Marwys Cabrera
P
ACL Royals
Age 20
RHP
6'4" / 175 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.54
FIP4.54
K%22.1%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Royals Gold | 11 | 9 | 30 | 132 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 82% | 2.8 | 14.4% | 18.0% | -3.6% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 4.16 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Royals Gold | 11 | 9 | 30 | 132 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 82% | 2.8 | 21.2% | 14.4% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 3.13 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Royals Ventura | 11 | 11 | 39 | 166 | 41 | 21 | 0 | 100% | 3.6 | 16.8% | 15.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 2.75 | 3.68 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Royals Ventura | 11 | 11 | 39 | 166 | 41 | 21 | 0 | 100% | 3.6 | 24.7% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 2.75 | 2.62 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Royals | 13 | 7 | 34 | 168 | 36 | 27 | 2 | 54% | 2.6 | 14.6% | 20.1% | -5.5% | 1.9% | 6.95 | 5.46 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Royals | 13 | 7 | 34 | 168 | 36 | 27 | 2 | 54% | 2.6 | 21.4% | 16.1% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 6.95 | 4.14 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | ACL Royals | 11 | 8 | 28 | 136 | 27 | 20 | 2 | 73% | 2.5 | 13.5% | 18.4% | -4.9% | 2.1% | 5.46 | 5.42 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | KC | 4 | 4 | 21 | 88 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.54 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | KC | — | — | 49 | 224 | 46 | 29 | 5 | — | — | 20.8% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 5.07 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | KC | 4 | 4 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | KC | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.00 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 93 | 19 | 100% | 4.8 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 46 | 35 | 131 | 602 | 90 | 109 | 6 | 76% | 2.9 | 14.9% | 18.1% | -3.2% | 1.0% | 4.73 | 4.67 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 53 | 200 | 917 | 137 | 166 | 9 | 76% | 2.9 | 14.9% | 18.1% | -3.2% | 1.0% | 4.73 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Marwys Cabrera (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.38 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 22 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 84 |
| Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.82 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .337 | 3.35 | 15.0% | 3.0% | 27 | -0.47 | 2.50 | 103 | 82 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 82 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 81 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 80 |
| Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .315 | 4.81 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 197 | +0.96 | 3.13 | 286 | 79 |
| Fraynel Nova R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .296 | 4.17 | 14.9% | 4.9% | 110 | +0.17 | 3.49 | 129 | 79 |
| Ulices Campos R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.60 | 17.9% | 11.5% | 2.8% | .253 | 5.16 | 12.0% | 1.0% | 65 | +0.56 | 4.13 | 153 | 79 |
| Clarke Schmidt R 2028 · 3.53 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.53 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 108 | -0.30 | 2.76 | 537 | 78 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 78 |
| Tanner Hall R 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 78 |
| Porter Hodge R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 78 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2029 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 78 |
| Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 78 |
| Grant Holman R 2027 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.18 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | .308 | 3.75 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 133 | -1.43 | 3.08 | 184 | 77 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2029 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 77 |
| Chris Campos R 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.86 | 21.0% | 11.8% | 3.7% | .364 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 237 | -0.29 | 4.43 | 306 | 77 |
| Carson Rudd R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 77 |
| Ryan Fernandez R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .357 | 3.52 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 53 | -0.92 | 2.97 | 335 | 77 |
| Jharold Clemente R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.08 | 17.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .258 | 5.35 | 13.3% | 4.3% | 92 | +0.27 | 3.91 | 116 | 77 |