Manuel CabreraSS
FCL Nationals
Age 20
R/R
5'10" / 155 lbs
ROK
HR -9%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.1 · 2033
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .275 / .304
PA98
HR2
K%31
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗25
PWR
30↗35
SPD
52↗57
EYE
43↗48
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.1peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.0 | $19M | +$18M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.1 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.9 | $19M | +$18M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.8 | $19M | +$15M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.5 | $16M | +$11M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +1.3 | $14M | +$8M |
| Totals | $18M | $108M | +$90M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 179 | 155 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 55 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .116 | .217 | .161 | .378 | .045 | .167 | 31 | 7 | .170 | -12 | -23 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -1.5 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 146 | 120 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 48 | 14 | 12 | 3 | .200 | .333 | .275 | .608 | .075 | .319 | 33 | 7 | .255 | 53 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 115 | 104 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 60 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .135 | .217 | .144 | .362 | .010 | .318 | 52 | 6 | .177 | -6 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | WSH | 98 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .193 | .276 | .295 | .571 | .102 | .281 | 31 | 8 | .267 | 62 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | WSH | 184 | 163 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 54 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .209 | .291 | .331 | .622 | .123 | .284 | 29 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | WSH | 313 | 276 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 88 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .221 | .306 | .362 | .669 | .141 | .285 | 28 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | WSH | 402 | 355 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 110 | 7 | 10 | 2 | .220 | .306 | .363 | .669 | .144 | .286 | 27 | 9 | .302 | 90 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | WSH | 462 | 407 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 44 | 124 | 8 | 11 | 2 | .224 | .312 | .371 | .683 | .147 | .286 | 27 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | WSH | 496 | 436 | 98 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 133 | 9 | 12 | 2 | .225 | .314 | .376 | .691 | .151 | .287 | 27 | 10 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +14 | 1.9 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 516 | 451 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 138 | 9 | 12 | 2 | .228 | .319 | .384 | .703 | .155 | .287 | 27 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +15 | 2.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 524 | 457 | 104 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 141 | 9 | 12 | 2 | .228 | .320 | .381 | .701 | .153 | .287 | 27 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +15 | 2.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 524 | 457 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 142 | 9 | 12 | 2 | .225 | .318 | .379 | .696 | .153 | .287 | 27 | 10 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +2 | -1 | +6 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 517 | 450 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 53 | 141 | 9 | 11 | 1 | .220 | .314 | .362 | .677 | .142 | .286 | 27 | 10 | .309 | 94 | -3 | +2 | -1 | +6 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 509 | 443 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 141 | 9 | 10 | 1 | .221 | .315 | .366 | .681 | .144 | .285 | 28 | 10 | .306 | 92 | -5 | +2 | -2 | +5 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 496 | 434 | 93 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 51 | 139 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .214 | .308 | .353 | .661 | .138 | .283 | 28 | 10 | .302 | 89 | -6 | +2 | -3 | +5 | +14 | 1.3 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 479 | 419 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 137 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .212 | .307 | .346 | .653 | .134 | .281 | 29 | 10 | .297 | 86 | -8 | +2 | -4 | +5 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 450 | 395 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 132 | 7 | 8 | 0 | .210 | .302 | .342 | .644 | .132 | .280 | 29 | 10 | .292 | 81 | -9 | +2 | -4 | +5 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 404 | 353 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 122 | 7 | 7 | 0 | .204 | .299 | .329 | .628 | .125 | .278 | 30 | 10 | .285 | 77 | -11 | +1 | -5 | +4 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 350 | 306 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 109 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .199 | .294 | .320 | .614 | .121 | .275 | 31 | 10 | .278 | 71 | -12 | +1 | -6 | +4 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2042 | 36 | MLB | WSH | 291 | 255 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 94 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .192 | .287 | .302 | .589 | .110 | .272 | 32 | 10 | .269 | 64 | -12 | +1 | -6 | +3 | +8 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7455 | 6524 | 1389 | 251 | 34 | 186 | 723 | 2138 | 146 | 170 | 21 | .213 | .305 | .347 | .653 | .134 | .284 | 29 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -141 | +26 | -31 | +80 | +211 | 14.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 569 | 121 | 22 | 3 | 16 | 63 | 186 | 13 | 15 | 2 | .213 | .305 | .346 | .652 | .134 | .284 | 29 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -12 | +2 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 179 | 148 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 40 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .155 | .286 | .216 | .502 | .061 | .200 | 22 | 11 | .242 | 44 | -11 | +1 | — | — | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 146 | 113 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 36 | 14 | 12 | 3 | .265 | .424 | .354 | .778 | .088 | .377 | 25 | 12 | .364 | 136 | +6 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.2 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 115 | 100 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .220 | .322 | .270 | .592 | .050 | .362 | 36 | 10 | .282 | 74 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Manuel Cabrera (OGILVIE) | 20 | 20→25 | 30→35 | 52→57 | 48 | .198/.275/.304 | .106 | .281 | 2 | 2 | 31% | 8% | 62 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A |
19 | 36 | 41→45 | 47→60 | 41 | .181/.239/.272 | .091 | .247 | 9 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .219/.271/.301 | .082 | .284 | 7 | 20 | 24% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .234/.281/.297 | .063 | .300 | 5 | 24 | 23% | 5% | 58 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A |
20 | 41→35 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .199/.265/.295 | .096 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .204/.294/.305 | .101 | .301 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.292/.283 | .097 | .277 | 9 | 10 | 33% | 11% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A |
20 | 38 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 45 | .183/.271/.272 | .089 | .286 | 7 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 52 | -1.6 | .190/.265/.267 | .077 | .298 | 5 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 47 | -1.9 | .182/.268/.267 | .085 | .274 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A |
20 | 39→30 | 38→45 | 51→50 | 41 | .188/.258/.268 | .080 | .284 | 5 | 13 | 34% | 7% | 44 | -2.1 | .208/.274/.312 | .104 | .324 | 8 | 15 | 36% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .195/.257/.318 | .122 | .287 | 13 | 16 | 35% | 6% | 53 | -0.7 |
|
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A |
20 | 39 | 40 | 52→50 | 40 | .191/.251/.288 | .097 | .267 | 7 | 14 | 30% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .196/.259/.275 | .079 | .316 | 7 | 10 | 37% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .190/.261/.265 | .075 | .295 | 9 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 42 | -1.1 |
|
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A |
20 | 37 | 40 | 44→55 | 39 | .185/.250/.273 | .088 | .268 | 9 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.257/.289 | .089 | .277 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.256/.288 | .091 | .265 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A |
20 | 40 | 39→40 | 50 | 47 | .189/.277/.272 | .083 | .292 | 6 | 12 | 34% | 10% | 54 | -1.4 | .193/.265/.266 | .073 | .318 | 4 | 10 | 37% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .140/.204/.175 | .034 | .267 | 0 | 8 | 44% | 7% | -3 | -1.2 |
|
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A |
20 | 41 | 40→45 | 54→60 | 47 | .189/.291/.289 | .100 | .303 | 7 | 8 | 36% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .201/.301/.282 | .081 | .273 | 6 | 17 | 26% | 10% | 68 | -0.5 | .180/.308/.228 | .048 | .225 | 5 | 30 | 19% | 12% | 56 | -0.5 |
|
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A |
20 | 42 | 38→40 | 49→55 | 44 | .200/.281/.272 | .073 | .296 | 6 | 16 | 32% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .200/.259/.281 | .081 | .332 | 7 | 9 | 39% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .171/.216/.243 | .071 | .295 | 8 | 2 | 43% | 4% | 17 | -1.1 |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A |
20 | 40 | 43→45 | 43→50 | 47 | .193/.290/.298 | .105 | .281 | 11 | 10 | 32% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .182/.264/.285 | .103 | .284 | 10 | 6 | 37% | 8% | 52 | -1.6 | .153/.236/.254 | .101 | .237 | 11 | 2 | 38% | 9% | 32 | -0.9 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A |
19 | 42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .205/.277/.309 | .104 | .271 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.284/.326 | .102 | .290 | 5 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.280/.337 | .111 | .291 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A |
20 | 40→38 | 40 | 52→50 | 41 | .194/.257/.285 | .090 | .273 | 7 | 15 | 30% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .199/.267/.276 | .077 | .296 | 4 | 8 | 31% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .188/.268/.257 | .069 | .288 | 3 | 7 | 33% | 9% | 42 | -1.4 |
|
✕Max George 2016 · A |
20 | 39→37 | 40→45 | 53→55 | 42 | .188/.270/.278 | .090 | .290 | 7 | 14 | 35% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .184/.262/.290 | .106 | .252 | 10 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .162/.248/.288 | .126 | .217 | 14 | 23 | 31% | 7% | 44 | -1.3 |
|
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A |
19 | 39→41 | 42→50 | 53→55 | 44 | .191/.270/.293 | .102 | .283 | 10 | 11 | 34% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .199/.283/.318 | .119 | .317 | 11 | 15 | 37% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.296/.349 | .133 | .314 | 15 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A |
20 | 40 | 39→45 | 50 | 41 | .198/.251/.283 | .085 | .260 | 7 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .224/.280/.352 | .128 | .278 | 13 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .228/.279/.356 | .128 | .281 | 14 | 8 | 24% | 5% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A |
20 | 45 | 38→30 | 48→60 | 46 | .214/.278/.298 | .084 | .285 | 5 | 12 | 26% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .216/.302/.277 | .061 | .288 | 3 | 24 | 23% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.317/.260 | .044 | .285 | 1 | 34 | 22% | 12% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Efrain Contreras 2007 · A |
20 | 44 | 41→45 | 51→55 | 44 | .212/.278/.308 | .097 | .264 | 8 | 8 | 22% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .227/.291/.336 | .109 | .276 | 10 | 14 | 21% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .227/.291/.331 | .104 | .281 | 10 | 15 | 22% | 5% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A |
19 | 40 | 36→30 | 48→50 | 45 | .190/.258/.255 | .065 | .266 | 4 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .207/.263/.250 | .043 | .259 | 1 | 14 | 19% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .233/.291/.254 | .020 | .278 | 0 | 16 | 15% | 7% | 50 | -0.6 |
|
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A |
20 | 37 | 38→40 | 54→60 | 42 | .177/.252/.256 | .078 | .282 | 5 | 19 | 36% | 8% | 39 | -2.5 | .189/.255/.265 | .076 | .277 | 5 | 11 | 31% | 7% | 42 | -2.3 | .172/.238/.215 | .043 | .239 | 3 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 20 | -1.1 |
|
✕Leonel Espinoza 2023 · A |
20 | 38→44 | 40 | 50→55 | 41 | .188/.259/.276 | .087 | .266 | 8 | 11 | 31% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .208/.272/.296 | .088 | .299 | 7 | 14 | 31% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .208/.265/.288 | .081 | .297 | 7 | 18 | 31% | 5% | 49 | -1.0 |