Luis Escudero
2B Tampa Tarpons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKDSL NYY Bombe… | 160 | .287/.453/.418 | 1 | 26 | 67 | — | .174/.314/.227 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROKNYY | 189 | .212/.339/.314 | 3 | 13 | 19 | — | .138/.226/.180 |
| 2026 | 20 | A/ROKNYY | 227 | .281/.456/.538 | 11 | 18 | 118 | — | .226/.363/.419 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBNYY | 337 | .220/.321/.351 | 7 | 8 | 93 | 0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ43% MLB | 22 | MLBNYY | 77 | .225/.324/.366 | 2 | 2 | 95 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ61% MLB | 23 | MLBNYY | 163 | .228/.326/.373 | 4 | 4 | 97 | 0.4 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 133 | 101 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 248 | 424 | 386 | 810 | 139 | 307 | 19 | 20 | 374 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 160 | 122 | 35 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 3 | 26 | 5 | 287 | 453 | 418 | 871 | 131 | 309 | 8 | 21 | 397 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 189 | 156 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 28 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 212 | 339 | 314 | 653 | 103 | 234 | 15 | 16 | 301 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 202 | 153 | 44 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 45 | 34 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 288 | 458 | 556 | 1.013 | 268 | 309 | 17 | 22 | 442 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 25 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 222 | 440 | 389 | 829 | 167 | 250 | 20 | 24 | 389 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 133 | 109 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 156 | 303 | 220 | 523 | 64 | 200 | 23 | 14 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 160 | 132 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 15 | 3 | 26 | 5 | 174 | 314 | 227 | 542 | 53 | 199 | 9 | 15 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 189 | 167 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 40 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 138 | 226 | 180 | 405 | 42 | 169 | 21 | 10 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 202 | 166 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 46 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 229 | 363 | 428 | 791 | 199 | 265 | 23 | 16 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 25 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 200 | 360 | 350 | 710 | 150 | 200 | 28 | 16 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 133 | 109 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 156 | 303 | 220 | 523 | 64 | 205 | 23 | 14 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 133 | 101 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 248 | 424 | 386 | 810 | 139 | 307 | 19 | 20 | 374 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 160 | 132 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 15 | 3 | 26 | 5 | 174 | 314 | 227 | 542 | 53 | 195 | 9 | 15 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 160 | 122 | 35 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 3 | 26 | 5 | 287 | 453 | 418 | 871 | 131 | 309 | 8 | 21 | 397 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 189 | 167 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 40 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 138 | 226 | 180 | 405 | 42 | 171 | 21 | 10 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Yankees | — | 189 | 156 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 28 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 212 | 339 | 314 | 653 | 103 | 234 | 15 | 16 | 301 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 227 | 186 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 53 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 226 | 363 | 419 | 782 | 194 | 264 | 23 | 16 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 227 | 171 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 51 | 39 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 281 | 456 | 538 | 994 | 257 | 303 | 17 | 22 | 436 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 133 | 109 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 156 | 303 | 220 | 523 | 64 | 200 | 23 | 14 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 160 | 132 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 15 | 3 | 26 | 5 | 174 | 314 | 227 | 542 | 53 | 199 | 9 | 15 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 189 | 168 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 40 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 137 | 226 | 179 | 404 | 42 | 169 | 21 | 10 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 227 | 185 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 53 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 227 | 363 | 422 | 784 | 195 | 258 | 23 | 16 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 160 | 132 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 15 | 3 | 26 | 5 | 174 | 314 | 227 | 542 | 53 | 199 | 9 | 15 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 189 | 168 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 40 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 137 | 226 | 179 | 404 | 42 | 169 | 21 | 10 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 227 | 185 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 53 | 4 | 18 | 2 | 227 | 363 | 422 | 784 | 195 | 258 | 23 | 16 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | NYY | 0% | 337 | 291 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 40 | 77 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 220 | 321 | 351 | 671 | 131 | 270 | 23 | 12 | 305 | 93 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | NYY | 43% | 178 | 153 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 40 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 223 | 323 | 359 | 682 | 136 | 272 | 22 | 12 | 309 | 95 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | NYY | 61% | 268 | 232 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 60 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 226 | 325 | 366 | 691 | 140 | 274 | 22 | 12 | 312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | NYY | 66% | 348 | 301 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 77 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 228 | 326 | 371 | 697 | 143 | 275 | 22 | 11 | 314 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | NYY | 69% | 390 | 339 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 87 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 230 | 326 | 374 | 700 | 144 | 276 | 22 | 11 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 1.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | NYY | 70% | 413 | 359 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 92 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 230 | 326 | 375 | 701 | 145 | 277 | 22 | 11 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | NYY | 69% | 423 | 368 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 95 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 229 | 325 | 373 | 697 | 144 | 276 | 22 | 11 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYY | 68% | 423 | 368 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 95 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 227 | 322 | 368 | 690 | 141 | 275 | 22 | 11 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | NYY | 67% | 414 | 361 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 95 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 225 | 320 | 361 | 681 | 137 | 274 | 23 | 11 | 308 | 94 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | NYY | 72% | 403 | 351 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 45 | 93 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 221 | 316 | 353 | 669 | 132 | 272 | 23 | 11 | 303 | 91 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB MLE | NYY | 75% | 387 | 338 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 91 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 217 | 311 | 343 | 654 | 126 | 268 | 24 | 11 | 297 | 87 | -6 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB MLE | NYY | 77% | 366 | 320 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 88 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 305 | 330 | 634 | 118 | 264 | 24 | 11 | 289 | 82 | -8 | -0 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | NYY | 43% | 77 | 67 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 225 | 324 | 366 | 690 | 141 | 272 | 22 | 12 | 312 | 95 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | NYY | 61% | 163 | 141 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 326 | 373 | 699 | 145 | 274 | 22 | 12 | 315 | 97 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | NYY | 66% | 230 | 200 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 51 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 230 | 327 | 378 | 705 | 148 | 275 | 22 | 11 | 318 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | NYY | 69% | 268 | 232 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 60 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 231 | 327 | 381 | 708 | 150 | 276 | 22 | 12 | 319 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | NYY | 70% | 288 | 251 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 64 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 232 | 327 | 383 | 709 | 151 | 277 | 22 | 11 | 319 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | NYY | 69% | 292 | 254 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 65 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 231 | 326 | 380 | 705 | 149 | 276 | 22 | 11 | 317 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYY | 68% | 290 | 252 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 65 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 229 | 324 | 375 | 698 | 146 | 275 | 22 | 11 | 315 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | NYY | 67% | 276 | 240 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 63 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 226 | 321 | 368 | 689 | 142 | 274 | 23 | 11 | 311 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | NYY | 72% | 288 | 251 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 67 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 317 | 359 | 676 | 137 | 272 | 23 | 11 | 306 | 91 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB CTX | NYY | 75% | 290 | 254 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 68 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 312 | 349 | 661 | 130 | 268 | 23 | 11 | 300 | 87 | -4 | -0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB CTX | NYY | 77% | 282 | 247 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 68 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 306 | 335 | 641 | 123 | 264 | 24 | 11 | 292 | 82 | -6 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2744 | 2389 | 536 | 99 | 11 | 70 | 309 | 624 | 27 | 47 | 9 | 224 | 320 | 363 | 683 | 139 | 273 | 23 | 11 | 311 | 91 | -18 | +6 | -8 | +10 | +59 | 5.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 566 | 127 | 23 | 3 | 17 | 73 | 148 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 224 | 319 | 366 | 685 | 141 | 273 | 23 | 11 | 311 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4854 | 4198 | 916 | 169 | 24 | 113 | 567 | 1082 | 51 | 134 | 33 | 218 | 319 | 351 | 669 | 132 | 265 | 22 | 12 | 302 | 91 | -26 | +7 | -10 | +15 | +90 | 7.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 562 | 123 | 23 | 3 | 15 | 76 | 145 | 7 | 18 | 4 | 219 | 319 | 351 | 670 | 132 | 266 | 22 | 12 | 302 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ATampa Tarpons · 202 PAwOBA .434 → .351 (−83)K% 16.8% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.83% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 15.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 17.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 7.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 6.92% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .434 → .351; ISO .268 → .224; BABIP .309 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Yankees · 25 PAwOBA .380 → .276 (−105)K% 20.0% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 24.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 14.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 18.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 5.97% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .380 → .276; ISO .167 → .133; BABIP .250 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Yankees · 189 PAwOBA .299 → .196 (−102)K% 14.8% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.001 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 9.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.53% | ÷1.056 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 14.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.34% | ÷1.043 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 1.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.008 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷2.059 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.89% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 312, 1B 111, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .299 → .196; ISO .103 → .053; BABIP .234 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL NYY Bombers · 160 PAwOBA .391 → .267 (−124)K% 7.5% → 9.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.50% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 9.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.25% | ÷1.005 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 14.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.88% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.008 | ×0.680 | ×1.002 | ×1.008 | 15.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.038 | ×0.600 | ×1.002 | ×1.008 | 2.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.002 | ×1.008 | 1.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.91% | ÷1.658 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.26% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 232, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .391 → .267; ISO .131 → .071; BABIP .309 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 133 PAwOBA .368 → .242 (−126)K% 18.8% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.80% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.30% | ÷1.035 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 14.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.01% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 2.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.37% | ÷0.970 | ×0.680 | ×0.973 | ×1.022 | 15.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.041 | ×0.600 | ×0.973 | ×1.022 | 3.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.083 | ×0.600 | ×0.973 | ×1.022 | 1.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.724 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.73% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 245, 1B 94, 2B 108, 3B 117, K 95, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .368 → .242; ISO .139 → .064; BABIP .307 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).