Carlos Gutierrez

Carlos GutierrezOF Eugene Emeralds

Age 21 L/R 5'9" / 180 lbs A+ HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION303 act + 202 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .295 / .337

PA202

HR4

SB9

K%26

BB%8

BABIP288

ISO116

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$19M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	90	83	25	3	1	0	6	8	1	12	0	301	356	361	717	60	333	9	7	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	90	78	28	4	2	0	11	6	1	12	0	359	444	462	906	103	389	7	12	408	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	San Jose Giants	—	293	262	78	7	4	1	23	58	5	26	3	298	366	366	732	69	379	20	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	San Jose Giants	—	293	248	87	11	4	2	37	40	5	26	3	351	445	452	896	101	413	14	13	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	SF	—	303	274	55	10	2	7	26	85	2	20	2	201	275	328	603	128	262	28	9	268	63	-13	+3	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
YTD	21	A+	SF	—	303	258	67	14	2	9	42	61	2	20	2	260	368	434	802	174	307	20	14	359	133	+11	+3	+0	-2	+9	2.2
ROS	21	A+	SF	0%	202	181	40	7	1	4	17	53	2	9	1	221	295	337	632	116	285	26	8	282	74	-6	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.0
ROS	21	MLB	SF	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						280	0	0	271	66	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	SF	—	304	275	55	10	2	7	26	85	2	20	2	200	274	327	601	127	261	28	9	268	63	-13	+3	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
TOT	21	A+	SF	—	505	455	95	17	3	11	43	138	4	29	3	209	283	332	615	123	273	27	9	274	68	-18	+5	+0	-3	+14	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	SF	35%	426	383	87	16	3	9	36	108	4	13	2	227	300	355	655	128	287	25	8	293	82	-9	+2	+1	-3	+12	0.4
2028	23	MLB	SF	49%	479	431	99	18	3	11	41	118	4	13	2	230	303	362	664	132	288	25	9	299	87	-7	+2	+1	-3	+14	0.6
2029	24	MLB	SF	53%	550	492	114	21	3	13	48	133	5	14	2	232	306	366	672	134	289	24	9	303	90	-6	+2	+1	-3	+16	0.9
2030	25	MLB	SF	55%	550	492	115	21	3	14	48	132	5	13	2	234	308	374	682	140	289	24	9	306	92	-5	+2	+1	-3	+16	1.0
2031	26	MLB	SF	56%	545	487	114	21	3	14	48	131	5	13	2	234	309	376	685	142	289	24	9	307	93	-4	+2	+1	-3	+15	1.1
2032	27	MLB	SF	55%	538	480	113	21	3	14	48	130	5	12	2	235	311	379	691	144	289	24	9	307	93	-4	+2	+1	-3	+15	1.0
2033	28	MLB	SF	55%	530	472	110	20	3	13	48	129	5	12	2	233	310	371	681	138	289	24	9	306	92	-5	+2	+0	-3	+15	0.9
2027	22	MLB	SF	35%	147	132	29	5	1	3	13	37	1	4	1	220	295	341	635	121	282	25	9	282	74	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	SF	49%	232	208	47	9	1	5	20	57	2	6	1	226	300	351	651	125	283	25	9	288	78	-6	+1	+0	-1	+7	0.1
2029	24	MLB	SF	53%	290	260	60	11	2	7	25	70	3	7	1	231	306	369	675	138	284	24	9	292	81	-6	+1	+1	-2	+8	0.2
2030	25	MLB	SF	55%	301	269	61	11	2	7	26	72	3	7	1	227	302	361	663	134	284	24	9	294	83	-6	+1	+1	-2	+9	0.3
2031	26	MLB	SF	56%	303	270	62	11	2	7	27	73	3	7	1	230	307	363	670	133	284	24	9	295	84	-6	+1	+1	-2	+9	0.3
2032	27	MLB	SF	55%	296	264	61	11	2	7	27	71	3	7	1	231	310	367	677	136	284	24	9	295	84	-5	+1	+1	-2	+8	0.3
2033	28	MLB	SF	55%	290	259	60	11	2	7	26	70	3	6	1	232	309	371	680	139	283	24	9	294	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1860	1663	380	69	12	43	164	450	18	44	7	229	305	362	667	133	286	24	9	292	82	-39	+6	+3	-11	+53	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	132	24	4	15	57	157	6	15	2	227	302	360	662	133	284	24	9	292	82	-13	+2	+1	-4	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	4203	3763	895	155	27	93	363	1000	41	137	18	238	312	368	679	130	298	24	9	304	91	-44	+20	+6	-25	+119	7.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	138	24	4	14	56	155	6	21	3	237	310	364	674	127	298	24	9	304	91	-7	+3	+1	-4	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	90	78	28	4	2	0	11	6	1	12	0	359	444	462	906	103	389	7	12	408	170	+7	+2	—	—	+3	1.2
2025	20	A	San Jose Giants	—	293	248	87	11	4	2	37	40	5	26	3	351	445	452	896	101	413	14	13	401	165	+22	+4	—	—	+8	3.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
	/162	664	12	20	254	307	380	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,862	46	46	233	305	372	-11	+8	3.0	3.0
	/162	664	16	16	233	305	372	-4.0	+2.9	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Gutierrez (OGILVIE)	21	60	40	55	55	209/283/332	123	273	11	29	27%	9%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A	22	52→59	40→45	56→55	48	247/307/344	98	310	7	17	22%	8%	84	+0.6	263/324/374	111	306	8	19	16%	8%	98	+1.6	266/334/365	99	304	8	20	14%	8%	99	+1.4
●Dylan Beavers 2023 · A	21	54→52	40→50	54→55	49	253/321/354	101	335	5	14	24%	8%	92	+1.2	224/298/357	133	310	12	21	29%	9%	84	+0.6	221/302/362	141	296	15	23	29%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Michael Gigliotti 2018 · A	22	53	40	51→55	50	252/319/352	100	313	7	17	21%	8%	91	+1.1	234/297/320	86	306	5	20	23%	7%	74	-0.1	194/304/312	118	265	11	24	28%	11%	75	+0.0
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2015 · A	22	50→53	41→50	53→50	49	240/298/343	104	292	7	12	20%	8%	79	+0.3	235/285/337	102	290	8	9	21%	6%	72	-0.2	245/307/382	136	293	13	9	20%	7%	91	+0.9
●Ezequiel Carrera 2009 · A	22	50→60	39→45	57→60	45	235/296/328	93	301	6	20	23%	7%	75	-0.0	258/317/333	75	326	3	25	20%	7%	85	+0.7	256/323/359	102	320	11	15	22%	8%	92	+0.7
●Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	82	+0.5	248/300/333	85	280	5	13	13%	6%	77	+0.1	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Brandon Roberts 2006 · A	21	50→57	39→40	57→55	43	237/288/323	86	296	6	21	22%	5%	70	-0.3	250/296/316	66	310	4	22	20%	5%	72	-0.2	271/325/342	72	323	5	22	17%	5%	88	+0.5
✕Ramón Flores 2013 · A	21	48→58	40→45	51→50	44	232/279/328	97	291	7	12	22%	6%	68	-0.5	232/289/335	103	286	8	8	20%	7%	74	-0.1	251/324/348	97	299	8	8	18%	9%	88	+0.6
✕Raimel Tapia 2015 · A	21	54→63	39→45	48→55	41	259/299/346	87	323	6	16	21%	4%	80	+0.4	271/299/390	119	328	10	18	20%	3%	92	+1.2	280/306/404	124	335	9	19	19%	3%	96	+1.3
✕Forrest Wall 2017 · A	21	46→56	40→45	52→70	43	222/273/317	95	290	8	17	26%	6%	63	-0.9	215/271/318	103	297	9	19	29%	6%	63	-0.9	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	83	+0.6	232/278/326	94	303	6	7	24%	5%	66	-0.6	237/281/332	95	308	5	6	24%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	49→59	38→30	56→70	49	228/296/314	87	301	4	17	24%	8%	72	-0.2	265/309/316	51	306	1	59	13%	6%	76	+0.0	299/334/350	51	335	0	65	10%	5%	92	+0.9
✕Adrian Cardenas 2009 · AA	21	53→59	40→45	53→50	45	252/297/344	92	304	7	13	20%	6%	79	+0.3	264/312/360	96	311	6	9	16%	6%	89	+1.0	274/322/369	95	316	5	8	14%	6%	95	+1.2
✕Charlie Tilson 2014 · A	21	53→60	39→40	52→55	42	253/288/336	83	312	6	11	21%	4%	72	-0.2	255/293/348	93	321	6	18	21%	5%	78	+0.2	261/302/356	95	324	6	22	20%	5%	80	+0.3
●Domonic Brown 2009 · A	21	51→54	41→55	51→55	48	245/304/346	101	299	9	14	20%	7%	83	+0.6	252/311/398	146	317	15	18	24%	8%	100	+1.7	252/316/413	162	285	18	11	18%	8%	101	+1.4
✕Alek Thomas 2021 · A	21	50→51	43→50	48→50	42	239/289/356	118	318	10	10	27%	6%	79	+0.3	241/295/386	145	303	13	11	24%	6%	90	+1.0	240/293/384	145	293	13	11	22%	6%	85	+0.6
✕Chris Pieters 2017 · A	22	48	39→45	54→55	49	226/307/315	88	296	6	17	24%	8%	77	+0.1	207/263/300	93	289	6	12	28%	6%	54	-1.4	195/251/293	97	271	6	13	28%	6%	45	-0.8
✕Ryan Kalish 2009 · A	21	50→51	38→50	50→55	46	234/296/315	81	316	6	12	26%	8%	72	-0.2	239/298/374	135	298	14	20	24%	7%	89	+0.9	240/300/379	139	295	15	24	23%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	53→61	38→45	55→50	44	249/292/335	86	307	5	15	20%	5%	74	-0.1	258/303/359	101	313	5	15	18%	5%	85	+0.7	259/305/360	100	312	5	15	18%	5%	83	+0.4
✕Dan Robinson 2019 · A	22	52	38→40	51→50	51	243/305/334	91	287	4	10	16%	8%	80	+0.4	215/282/292	77	281	4	7	23%	8%	59	-1.1	197/270/264	67	260	2	5	23%	9%	44	-1.3