Carlos Gutierrez

Carlos GutierrezOF Eugene Emeralds

Age 21 L/R 5'9" / 180 lbs A+ BB -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 2.3 · 2032

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.241 / .314 / .366

PA284

HR6

SB10

K%21

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

40→40

SPD

55→55

FLD

55→55

EYE

49↗54

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.2peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.1	$19M	+$18M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.2	$20M	+$20M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.3	$22M	+$21M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.1	$21M	+$16M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.0	$20M	+$14M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.7	$18M	+$9M
Totals		$22M		$120M	+$98M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	90	83	25	3	1	0	6	8	1	12	0	.301	.356	.361	.717	.060	.333	9	7	.322	105	+0	+2	+0	-1	+3	0.5
2025	20	A	San Jose Giants	293	261	80	8	4	1	24	56	5	26	3	.307	.376	.379	.755	.073	.387	19	8	.331	111	+4	+4	+0	-2	+8	1.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A+	Eugene Emeralds	62	57	9	2	1	2	4	14	1	4	0	.158	.226	.333	.559	.175	.171	23	6	.237	40	-4	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	21	MLB	SF	222	199	46	8	2	5	18	48	3	6	1	.231	.305	.367	.671	.136	.279	22	8	.299	87	-3	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.3
TOT	21	MLB	SF	284	256	55	10	3	7	22	62	4	10	1	.215	.287	.359	.647	.145	.255	22	8	.286	77	-7	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	SF	341	302	74	13	3	9	32	62	4	9	1	.245	.325	.397	.723	.152	.277	18	9	.318	102	+1	+1	+1	-2	+10	1.0
2028	23	MLB 28%	SF	420	372	91	17	3	11	40	76	5	11	1	.245	.326	.395	.721	.151	.278	18	10	.324	106	+3	+2	+1	-3	+12	1.5
2029	24	MLB 45%	SF	473	418	103	19	3	13	46	85	6	11	1	.246	.330	.400	.729	.153	.279	18	10	.328	109	+5	+2	+1	-3	+13	1.9
2030	25	MLB 60%	SF	501	440	111	20	4	15	50	90	6	12	1	.252	.337	.418	.755	.166	.280	18	10	.331	112	+7	+2	+1	-3	+14	2.1
2031	26	MLB 78%	SF	516	453	113	20	4	15	52	93	6	12	1	.249	.335	.411	.745	.161	.281	18	10	.333	113	+8	+2	+1	-3	+15	2.2
2032	27	MLB 92%	SF	522	458	115	21	4	15	53	94	6	12	1	.251	.337	.413	.749	.162	.281	18	10	.333	113	+8	+2	+1	-3	+15	2.3
2033	28	MLB	SF	520	455	113	20	4	15	54	95	6	11	1	.248	.336	.409	.745	.160	.281	18	10	.332	112	+7	+2	+0	-3	+15	2.1
2034	29	MLB	SF	512	448	112	20	4	15	53	95	6	10	0	.250	.337	.413	.750	.163	.280	19	10	.330	111	+6	+2	-0	-3	+15	2.0
2035	30	MLB	SF	503	440	107	19	3	14	52	95	6	10	0	.243	.331	.395	.727	.152	.279	19	10	.327	109	+5	+2	-1	-3	+14	1.7
2036	31	MLB	SF	490	430	103	18	3	13	51	95	6	9	0	.240	.329	.386	.715	.147	.278	19	10	.324	106	+3	+2	-2	-3	+14	1.4
2037	32	MLB	SF	472	415	98	17	3	12	49	94	5	8	0	.236	.324	.378	.702	.142	.277	20	10	.320	103	+1	+2	-3	-3	+13	1.1
2038	33	MLB	SF	443	389	92	16	3	11	46	91	5	7	0	.237	.325	.378	.703	.141	.276	21	10	.314	99	-1	+1	-3	-3	+13	0.7
2039	34	MLB	SF	397	349	80	14	2	9	41	85	4	7	0	.229	.317	.358	.675	.129	.275	21	10	.308	94	-3	+1	-4	-2	+11	0.3
2040	35	MLB	SF	344	302	69	12	2	8	35	77	4	6	0	.228	.317	.361	.678	.132	.274	22	10	.301	89	-4	+1	-5	-2	+10	-0.1
2041	36	MLB	SF	285	251	55	9	2	6	29	67	3	5	0	.219	.307	.343	.650	.124	.272	24	10	.293	82	-6	+1	-6	-2	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7344	6465	1587	274	54	187	731	1406	87	184	11	.245	.330	.391	.722	.146	.285	19	10	.323	105	+42	+32	-19	-44	+208	22.3
/ 162G	—			650	572	141	24	5	17	65	124	8	16	1	.247	.332	.395	.727	.149	.286	19	10	.323	105	+4	+3	-2	-4	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	90	78	28	4	2	0	11	6	1	12	0	.359	.444	.462	.906	.103	.389	7	12	.408	170	+7	+2	—	—	+3	1.2
2025	20	A	San Jose Giants	293	248	87	11	4	2	37	40	5	26	3	.351	.445	.452	.896	.101	.413	14	13	.401	165	+22	+4	—	—	+8	3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Gutierrez (OGILVIE)	21	60	40	55	54	.241/.314/.366	.125	.295	6	7	21%	8%	94	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Kolten Wong 2012 · A	21	51→60	45→50	48→55	48	.248/.300/.374	.126	.278	11	12	16%	6%	89	+0.9	.251/.296/.362	.111	.291	9	18	17%	5%	84	+0.6	.270/.354/.410	.140	.305	12	16	15%	9%	112	+2.0
●J.P. Crawford 2016 · AA	21	52→58	41→45	48→50	53	.248/.314/.348	.100	.291	8	13	17%	8%	88	+0.9	.222/.296/.324	.102	.270	9	9	20%	9%	75	-0.0	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	52→62	42→50	53→55	48	.250/.318/.360	.110	.306	9	11	21%	7%	93	+1.3	.269/.332/.397	.128	.319	12	17	19%	7%	108	+2.3	.268/.333/.391	.123	.317	12	18	19%	7%	103	+1.6
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A	22	52→60	41→45	55	48	.247/.306/.350	.103	.310	7	16	22%	8%	85	+0.7	.264/.324/.374	.110	.307	8	18	16%	7%	98	+1.6	.265/.329/.365	.100	.306	7	20	15%	8%	94	+1.1
●Justin Yurchak 2018 · A	21	51→61	44→40	49→40	52	.249/.317/.367	.118	.295	12	4	20%	9%	94	+1.3	.228/.288/.319	.091	.284	7	2	21%	8%	69	-0.4	.273/.337/.381	.107	.337	11	2	21%	8%	103	+1.1
●Jon Jay 2007 · A	22	56→65	40→45	50	49	.267/.320/.367	.100	.306	7	11	15%	7%	95	+1.4	.256/.306/.365	.109	.302	10	12	18%	6%	89	+0.9	.287/.347/.405	.118	.332	9	15	15%	6%	111	+2.1
●Michael Harris II 2022 · A	21	49→57	42→55	56→55	41	.237/.286/.348	.111	.312	9	19	26%	6%	76	+0.1	.271/.315/.439	.168	.332	18	21	23%	5%	112	+2.6	.278/.321/.456	.177	.328	21	21	21%	5%	116	+2.7
●Gavin Lux 2019 · AA	21	48→58	43→50	50	46	.233/.290/.345	.112	.296	10	12	24%	7%	76	+0.1	.249/.309/.402	.153	.314	17	10	25%	8%	100	+1.7	.260/.330/.404	.144	.327	14	8	23%	9%	106	+1.8
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2016 · A	22	46→54	45→55	55→45	53	.229/.307/.355	.125	.265	13	10	19%	9%	87	+0.8	.239/.318/.350	.111	.280	10	8	17%	9%	91	+1.1	.238/.339/.417	.179	.270	23	4	20%	12%	114	+1.9
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	56→55	51	.229/.303/.336	.107	.265	9	17	17%	8%	81	+0.4	.248/.301/.331	.083	.281	5	14	13%	6%	77	+0.1	.256/.317/.334	.078	.294	4	14	13%	8%	82	+0.4
●Adam Eaton 2011 · A	22	55→65	43→45	51→55	45	.260/.338/.379	.119	.334	10	14	24%	7%	107	+2.2	.278/.355/.391	.113	.337	8	23	18%	8%	117	+2.9	.282/.355/.409	.127	.336	9	15	17%	8%	114	+2.9
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	49	42→45	49→50	48	.238/.307/.349	.111	.292	9	12	21%	8%	85	+0.7	.225/.272/.314	.089	.289	5	7	23%	5%	61	-1.0	.225/.269/.312	.087	.288	4	6	22%	5%	55	-0.7
●TJ Friedl 2017 · A	21	48→53	42→50	51→55	42	.228/.286/.337	.109	.309	8	10	28%	6%	73	-0.1	.226/.293/.326	.100	.295	6	15	24%	7%	74	-0.1	.246/.337/.381	.136	.276	15	18	16%	10%	103	+1.8
✕Colin Moran 2014 · A	21	48→57	43→55	50→30	45	.234/.283/.345	.110	.286	10	6	22%	6%	74	-0.1	.246/.290/.349	.103	.318	9	3	24%	6%	77	+0.1	.271/.332/.429	.158	.324	19	0	21%	8%	111	+1.6
●Brandon Marsh 2019 · A	21	47→57	42→50	52→50	41	.223/.282/.334	.110	.330	9	10	33%	7%	71	-0.3	.223/.283/.328	.105	.333	8	13	33%	7%	70	-0.3	.262/.344/.424	.163	.366	16	16	30%	11%	115	+2.2
●Domonic Brown 2009 · A	21	48→55	41→55	51→55	47	.234/.289/.333	.099	.285	9	14	21%	7%	73	-0.1	.252/.310/.400	.148	.314	15	17	23%	7%	100	+1.7	.254/.320/.417	.163	.315	18	20	24%	8%	107	+1.6
●Jackson Merrill 2023 · A	20	51→58	42→55	51→50	41	.244/.289/.355	.111	.326	9	12	27%	6%	79	+0.3	.259/.300/.414	.155	.299	17	12	19%	5%	99	+1.7	.266/.310/.441	.174	.301	19	10	18%	6%	107	+1.9
✕Jorbit Vivas 2022 · A	21	53→56	47→45	47→50	47	.262/.324/.402	.140	.294	14	7	16%	6%	107	+2.2	.237/.316/.354	.117	.267	11	10	15%	8%	92	+1.2	.221/.310/.330	.108	.251	10	14	16%	8%	81	+0.4
●Colt Keith 2023 · A	21	49→53	46→55	53→45	45	.236/.300/.372	.137	.327	13	8	31%	8%	89	+0.9	.251/.308/.410	.159	.313	18	5	25%	7%	102	+1.8	.253/.314/.408	.154	.307	18	4	23%	8%	102	+1.6
✕Nate Roberts 2011 · A	22	50	45	48→55	46	.240/.311/.366	.126	.323	12	8	28%	8%	92	+1.2	.260/.357/.368	.108	.322	7	14	20%	8%	113	+2.6	.277/.385/.382	.105	.336	6	19	17%	9%	123	+1.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)