Tre' Morgan

1B Durham Bulls
Age 25 L/L 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs529.327/.405/.4861121116—.280/.343/.424
202523AAATB402.274/.402/.41288105—.264/.357/.365
202624AAA/ROKTB294.254/.323/.47314268—.203/.258/.358
2027PROJ10% MLB25MLBTB19.227/.300/.3540085-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB26MLBTB81.228/.301/.3562186-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Max EV33
Speed22
K%20
Z-Con%16
BB%14
Chase%12
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 0.6, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%
CompsZach DeLoach (age 25) · Justin Williams (age 25) · Brent Clevlen (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†85
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .300 / .354
PA19
HR0
K%32
BB%5
BABIP320
ISO56
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +1.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +4.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 ACharleston RiverDogs — 4436 14110 820 41 389500472972 83412 518 440 135 — — — — — —
202422 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 9176 16212 12171 11 211322342664 132241 1913 301 58 — — — — — —
202422 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 231197 731716 26183 101 3714455581.004 188383 811 436 135 — — — — — —
202422 ACharleston RiverDogs — 115100 32412 10133 95 320391440831 120353 119 371 97 — — — — — —
202422 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 9280 27811 881 13 338404500904 162351 99 388 149 — — — — — —
202523 AAADurham Bulls — 402328 901538 64776 84 274402412814 137332 1916 367 105 — — — — — —
202624 AAADurham Bulls — 243220 53909 13727 11 241304405709 164314 305 313 57 — — — — — —
202624 ROKFCL Rays — 5144 14515 780 10 3184128181.230 500290 1614 511 118 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 4439 13110 530 41 333409410819 77362 711 368 135 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 9181 15212 8211 11 185267309575 123219 239 254 58 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 231210 671616 16253 101 319376490866 171331 117 367 135 — — — — — —
202422 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 115105 29312 7183 95 276339381720 105314 166 312 97 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 402348 921544 44876 84 264357365722 101330 2211 323 105 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 243224 45706 9877 11 201254312567 112289 364 252 57 — — — — — —
202624 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 5147 10314 4120 10 213275574849 362201 248 343 118 — — — — — —
202321 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 4439 13110 530 41 333409410819 77361 711 368 135 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWCharleston RiverDogs — 4436 14110 820 41 389500472972 83412 518 440 135 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLE4 teams — 529477 13426311 38778 2110 281344417761 136311 157 329 109 — — — — — —
202422 A+ RAW4 teams — 529453 14831411 56568 2110 327405486891 159349 1111 390 109 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 402348 921544 44876 84 264357365722 101337 2211 323 105 — — — — — —
202523 AAA RAWDurham Bulls — 402328 901538 64776 84 274402412814 137332 1916 367 105 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 294270 5611110 14987 21 207265367631 159282 335 268 67 — — — — — —
202624 AAA RAW2 teams — 294264 6714114 20807 21 254323473797 220310 277 348 67 — — — — — —
202321 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 4439 13110 530 41 333409410819 77362 711 368 135 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLE4 teams — 529478 13426311 38778 2110 280344416760 136303 157 329 109 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 402349 921544 44876 84 264357364721 100330 2211 323 105 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 294271 5611110 14987 21 207265365630 159274 335 268 67 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A+ MLE4 teams — 529478 13426311 38778 2110 280344416760 136303 157 329 109 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 402349 921544 44876 84 264357364721 100330 2211 323 105 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 294271 5611110 14987 21 207265365630 159274 335 268 67 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLETB 10% 344309 701328 261096 52 225298354652 129317 328 293 85 -6 +0 +3 -6 +7 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXTB 10% 1918 4100 160 00 227300354653 127320 325 294 85 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLETB 35% 232208 47915 18724 31 226299356656 130315 318 295 86 -4 +0 +2 -4 +5 -0.1
202826 MLB CTXTB 35% 8174 16302 6251 10 228301356657 128318 317 295 86 -1 +0 +1 -1 +2 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 8174 16302 6251 10 216284338622 122298 317 295 95 -1 +0 +1 -1 +2 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650594 12824016 482018 80 215283337620 121297 317 295 95 -11 +2 +5 -12 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 16911513 380691134 13339728 4118 251323379702 128316 238 309 95 -7 +0 +3 -8 +9 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 14627413 5115311 167 251323378701 127316 248 309 95 -11 +1 +5 -12 +14 -0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAADurham Bulls · 243 PAwOBA .306 → .252 (−54)K% 29.6% → 35.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.63%÷1.000×1.200——35.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.35%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0483.87%
HBP% /PA2.88%—×0.940—×1.0482.84%
Singles /BIP23.65%÷1.000×0.930×0.981×1.04822.61%
Doubles /BIP6.08%÷1.000×0.830×0.981×1.0485.19%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.981×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP6.08%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0484.46%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .306 → .252; ISO .164 → .118; BABIP .314 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Rays · 51 PAwOBA .496 → .343 (−153)K% 15.7% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.69%÷1.000×1.440——22.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.73%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9558.13%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9550.00%
Singles /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.820—×0.9556.53%
Doubles /BIP13.89%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9559.55%
Triples /BIP2.78%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9551.91%
Home runs /BIP13.89%÷1.000×0.780—×0.95510.35%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .496 → .343; ISO .500 → .357; BABIP .290 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAADurham Bulls · 402 PAwOBA .361 → .323 (−37)K% 19.2% → 21.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.15%÷1.057×1.200——21.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.42%÷1.030×0.690—×1.05010.85%
HBP% /PA1.49%—×0.940—×1.0501.47%
Singles /BIP25.50%÷0.956×0.930×1.000×1.05026.07%
Doubles /BIP5.98%÷0.940×0.830×1.000×1.0505.54%
Triples /BIP1.20%÷0.900×0.970×1.000×1.0501.35%
Home runs /BIP3.19%÷1.380×0.700—×1.0501.70%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 91, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 111, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .361 → .323; ISO .137 → .108; BABIP .332 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 231 PAwOBA .428 → .367 (−61)K% 7.8% → 10.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA7.79%÷0.956×1.310——10.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.26%÷0.972×0.600—×1.0127.03%
HBP% /PA1.30%—×0.770—×1.0121.01%
Singles /BIP27.37%÷1.047×0.870×1.023×1.01223.55%
Doubles /BIP9.50%÷0.898×0.780×1.023×1.0128.54%
Triples /BIP0.56%÷1.150×0.850×1.023×1.0120.43%
Home runs /BIP3.35%÷1.015×0.880—×1.0122.94%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 91, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .428 → .367; ISO .188 → .174; BABIP .383 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ACharleston RiverDogs · 115 PAwOBA .362 → .312 (−50)K% 11.3% → 15.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.30%÷0.985×1.360——15.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.70%÷1.047×0.690——5.73%
HBP% /PA2.61%—×0.780——2.03%
Singles /BIP28.74%÷1.071×0.920×1.045—25.78%
Doubles /BIP4.60%÷1.017×0.830×1.045—3.92%
Triples /BIP1.15%÷1.099×0.910×1.045—0.99%
Home runs /BIP2.30%÷0.824×0.800——2.23%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 114, 2B 103, 3B 120, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .362 → .312; ISO .120 → .111; BABIP .353 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 91 PAwOBA .297 → .254 (−43)K% 18.7% → 22.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.68%÷0.999×1.220——22.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.19%÷1.022×0.680—×1.0429.14%
HBP% /PA1.10%—×0.840—×1.0420.96%
Singles /BIP18.64%÷1.008×0.920×0.962×1.04217.05%
Doubles /BIP3.39%÷0.972×0.910×0.962×1.0423.18%
Triples /BIP1.69%÷1.115×0.880×0.962×1.0421.34%
Home runs /BIP3.39%÷0.958×0.800—×1.0422.95%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 102, 2B 94, 3B 123, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .297 → .254; ISO .132 → .118; BABIP .241 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ACharleston RiverDogs · 44 PAwOBA .429 → .368 (−61)K% 4.5% → 6.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA4.55%÷0.985×1.360——6.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.18%÷1.035×0.690—×1.01512.30%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP35.29%÷1.071×0.920—×1.01530.76%
Doubles /BIP2.94%÷0.964×0.830—×1.0152.57%
Triples /BIP2.94%÷0.938×0.910—×1.0152.90%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.075×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 114, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .429 → .368; ISO .083 → .083; BABIP .412 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .