Carson Taylor — OGILVIE

Carson Taylor1B Tacoma Rainiers

Age 27 L/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION228 act + 152 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .291 / .311

PA152

HR3

K%26

BB%10

BABIP269

ISO104

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	380	341	86	16	1	10	33	92	1	1	0	252	320	393	713	141	311	24	9	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	380	328	92	16	1	11	46	72	1	1	0	280	371	436	807	155	324	19	12	357	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	303	277	64	9	0	3	21	92	4	0	0	231	295	296	591	65	333	30	7	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	303	269	68	11	0	4	29	67	4	0	0	253	334	338	673	86	322	22	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	281	258	49	5	1	8	22	79	1	1	0	190	256	310	566	120	240	28	8	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	281	249	55	5	1	10	31	64	1	1	0	221	310	369	679	149	257	23	11	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	2 teams	—	477	415	96	13	3	11	49	133	7	5	1	231	323	357	679	125	307	28	10	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	2 teams	—	477	391	109	16	3	16	73	98	7	5	1	279	401	458	859	179	329	21	15	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	SEA	—	228	200	38	9	0	2	23	59	1	1	2	190	277	265	542	75	252	26	10	253	52	-12	-1	+0	-4	+6	-1.1
YTD	27	AAA	SEA	—	228	190	43	11	0	3	33	46	1	1	2	226	344	332	675	105	276	20	14	309	94	-1	-1	+0	-4	+6	0.0
ROS	27	AAA	SEA	10%	152	135	28	5	0	3	15	40	1	1	1	207	291	311	603	104	270	26	10	276	69	-5	-0	+0	-3	+4	-0.4
ROS	27	MLB	SEA	10%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	268	27	7	268	63	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	SEA	—	243	214	41	10	0	2	24	63	1	1	2	192	276	266	543	75	255	26	10	254	53	-13	-1	+0	-4	+7	-1.1
TOT	27	AAA	SEA	—	380	335	66	14	0	5	38	99	2	2	3	197	283	284	566	87	258	26	10	262	59	-18	-1	+0	-7	+11	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	SEA	31%	333	295	62	12	1	6	32	87	3	2	1	210	294	319	613	108	273	26	10	281	73	-10	+0	-1	-6	+9	-0.8
2028	29	MLB	SEA	40%	352	312	66	12	1	7	34	92	3	2	1	212	295	324	619	112	273	26	10	282	74	-10	+0	-1	-6	+10	-0.8
2027	28	MLB	SEA	31%	103	91	19	4	0	2	10	27	1	1	0	209	294	319	613	110	270	26	10	272	67	-4	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.3
2028	29	MLB	SEA	40%	139	124	26	5	0	3	13	36	1	1	1	210	290	323	612	113	271	26	9	273	67	-5	-0	-1	-2	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	257	229	48	10	0	5	24	67	2	2	1	210	290	319	609	109	270	26	9	273	67	-10	+0	-1	-5	+7	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	121	25	0	13	61	169	5	5	3	209	290	320	609	111	269	26	9	273	67	-24	-0	-2	-12	+18	-2.0
Career	—			—	2278	2033	451	72	7	48	206	615	20	12	4	222	300	335	635	113	291	27	9	284	75	-64	+1	-2	-41	+65	-4.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	129	21	2	14	59	175	6	3	1	222	301	338	639	116	290	27	9	284	75	-18	+0	-1	-12	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	342	291	81	16	1	9	45	63	1	1	0	278	377	433	810	155	321	18	13	359	133	+13	+0	—	—	+10	2.3
2021	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	38	37	11	0	0	2	1	9	0	0	0	297	316	459	775	162	346	24	3	342	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	303	269	68	11	0	4	29	67	4	0	0	253	334	338	673	86	322	22	10	309	95	-2	+0	—	—	+9	0.7
2023	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	281	249	55	5	1	10	31	64	1	1	0	221	310	369	679	149	257	23	11	308	94	-2	+0	—	—	+8	0.6
2024	25	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	27	19	6	0	0	0	6	2	2	0	0	316	519	316	834		353	7	22	411	172	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	25	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	450	372	103	16	3	16	67	96	5	5	1	277	394	465	859	188	327	21	15	379	148	+25	+1	—	—	+13	3.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	268	5	2	213	293	326	-5	-2	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	13	5	213	293	326	-11.9	-3.7	-1.4	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carson Taylor (OGILVIE)	27	38	41	45	56	197/283/284	87	258	5	2	26%	10%	59	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Papi 2019 · AAA	26	45→47	45	44→45	49	223/300/347	124	295	13	5	28%	9%	83	+0.6	219/284/325	106	305	9	8	29%	8%	70	-0.3	171/227/213	42	253	0	0	30%	6%	12	-0.7
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA	27	44→43	45	44→45	49	219/289/348	129	269	13	7	23%	8%	78	+0.2	228/294/355	127	284	12	8	23%	8%	82	+0.5	228/294/350	122	280	11	5	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Dillon Paulson 2023 · AA	26	44→37	46→50	45→30	50	222/295/348	126	277	14	6	24%	9%	81	+0.4	222/286/335	113	294	10	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	218/282/326	107	289	9	0	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Matt Skole 2016 · AAA	27	38→40	47→50	44→40	46	199/272/331	132	262	16	4	30%	9%	67	-0.5	194/257/338	144	249	18	4	29%	7%	63	-0.9	175/249/299	124	238	15	1	32%	8%	48	-1.3
✕Jaycob Brugman 2019 · MLB	27	48→49	44→50	47→45	44	234/288/346	112	307	11	9	27%	7%	76	+0.1	222/278/391	169	301	21	7	32%	7%	85	+0.7	199/258/405	206	258	28	0	34%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Chris McGuiness 2014 · MLB	26	41→47	46→50	45→30	48	207/281/339	132	269	14	3	28%	9%	73	-0.1	217/291/335	118	264	11	3	21%	9%	76	+0.0	215/291/323	109	254	10	1	19%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Carlos Alvarez 2014 · AAA	26	44	44→45	46→45	47	220/282/342	122	276	11	6	24%	8%	73	-0.1	232/307/337	105	283	8	8	20%	9%	83	+0.6	245/326/331	86	298	6	6	18%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Chantz Mack 2017 · AA	26	44→45	44→45	45	46	217/284/331	113	292	11	5	29%	8%	72	-0.2	215/290/320	105	298	10	6	29%	9%	71	-0.3	158/270/213	55	222	5	0	28%	13%	34	-0.5
✕Danny Hayes 2017 · AAA	26	45→48	47→45	42→30	51	224/304/363	139	292	14	2	27%	10%	88	+0.9	199/269/331	132	290	14	4	34%	9%	66	-0.6	168/242/287	118	250	14	0	37%	9%	41	-2.0
✕Nick Maton 2023 · MLB	26	43→42	47→50	48→45	47	216/290/357	141	287	13	7	29%	8%	81	+0.4	218/307/369	151	274	18	5	26%	10%	92	+1.2	208/307/357	149	255	19	3	25%	11%	86	+0.4
✕Slade Heathcott 2018 · MLB	27	46→43	48→45	46→50	42	227/288/367	140	312	16	10	31%	7%	82	+0.5	226/285/356	130	327	13	13	33%	7%	79	+0.3	217/273/305	88	346	4	17	36%	6%	55	-0.3
✕Aaron Rifkin 2007 · AAA	28	42→44	48→50	47→45	45	216/276/361	145	270	15	8	26%	7%	76	+0.1	227/276/371	144	307	15	6	30%	5%	79	+0.3	223/271/368	145	302	16	3	31%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Darick Hall 2022 · AAA	27	39→40	49→55	41→40	44	204/277/354	150	261	16	4	28%	7%	76	+0.0	222/276/398	176	271	24	4	27%	6%	86	+0.8	218/272/389	171	262	24	3	27%	6%	80	+0.3
✕Viosergy Rosa 2016 · AA	26	42→49	44→45	46→30	47	210/285/326	116	281	12	2	29%	9%	71	-0.3	200/263/325	125	295	14	2	35%	8%	62	-0.9	191/252/320	129	283	15	0	36%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Jesus Valenzuela 2016 · AAA	27	50	41→40	45→40	49	241/299/337	96	295	8	8	21%	8%	79	+0.3	229/275/339	110	280	11	8	22%	6%	69	-0.4	226/268/315	90	272	9	2	20%	5%	59	-0.2
✕Tyler Collins 2017 · MLB	27	44→50	47→50	49→50	43	224/275/350	126	277	15	10	25%	6%	72	-0.2	217/279/344	127	291	14	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	221/288/362	141	300	16	12	30%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Mike Costanzo 2011 · AAA	27	43→48	45→50	49→40	40	213/270/338	125	305	12	6	33%	7%	67	-0.5	208/267/342	134	298	14	4	33%	7%	67	-0.5	200/262/332	133	282	14	2	33%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Emerson Frostad 2010 · AAA	27	43→47	43→50	44→40	47	214/279/332	117	273	10	4	25%	8%	69	-0.4	216/266/312	96	268	7	5	21%	6%	58	-1.2	213/257/297	83	262	5	2	20%	5%	49	-0.9
✕Larry Broadway 2008 · AAA	27	45→48	49→50	49→40	45	228/287/374	147	291	16	5	27%	8%	84	+0.6	222/277/351	129	296	13	5	28%	7%	73	-0.1	216/270/336	120	289	12	2	28%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Jeremy Vasquez 2022 · AA	26	43→47	43→45	40→30	47	212/280/329	117	275	10	4	26%	8%	69	-0.4	220/278/317	97	281	8	4	23%	7%	65	-0.7	220/276/294	74	276	5	0	21%	7%	54	-1.0