Carson Taylor

1B Tacoma Rainiers
Age 28 L/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202324AALAD281.221/.310/.36910150—.178/.246/.283
202425AAA/AAPHI477.279/.401/.45816597—.244/.333/.371
202627AAA/AA2 orgs372.233/.346/.3719166—.203/.283/.309
2027PROJ10% MLB28MLBSEA16.229/.309/.3440088-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB29MLBSEA58.227/.306/.3401086-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
BB%81
K%66
Z-Con%66
Whiff%63
Chase%62
Max EV44
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsRyan Langerhans (age 28) · Brock Stassi (age 28) · Travis Ishikawa (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†88
AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .309 / .344
PA16
HR0
K%25
BB%12
BABIP296
ISO71
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT41
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE53
scouting grade only
SPEED43
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202122 A+Great Lakes Loons — 342291 811619 45631 10 278377433810 155321 1813 359 91 — — — — — —
202122 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 3837 11002 190 00 297316459775 162346 243 342 118 — — — — — —
202223 AATulsa Drillers — 303269 681104 29674 00 253334338673 86322 2210 309 66 — — — — — —
202324 AATulsa Drillers — 281249 555110 31641 10 221310369679 149257 2311 308 50 — — — — — —
202425 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs — 2719 6000 622 00 316519316834 353 722 411 135 — — — — — —
202425 AAReading Fightin Phils — 450372 10316316 67965 51 277394465859 188327 2115 379 95 — — — — — —
202627 AAATacoma Rainiers — 228190 431103 33461 12 226344332675 105276 2014 309 62 — — — — — —
202627 AAColumbus Clingstones — 144123 30506 18362 01 244350431781 187293 2512 348 72 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202122 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 342305 751418 31841 10 246318377695 131298 259 303 91 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 303276 63903 22844 00 228295293588 65315 287 266 66 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 281258 46417 22761 10 178246283528 105227 278 242 50 — — — — — —
202425 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 2721 6000 422 00 286444286730 344 715 367 135 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLEReading Fightin Phils — 450394 9514311 451205 51 241327376702 135303 2710 309 95 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 228201 411002 22551 12 204286284569 80256 2410 260 62 — — — — — —
202627 AA MLEColumbus Clingstones — 144129 26405 12442 01 202280349629 147257 318 274 72 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLE2 teams — 380339 831619 35931 10 245317378695 133306 249 303 91 — — — — — —
202122 A+ RAW2 teams — 380328 9216111 46721 10 280371436807 155324 1912 357 91 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 303276 63903 22844 00 228295293588 65316 287 266 66 — — — — — —
202223 AA RAWTulsa Drillers — 303269 681104 29674 00 253334338673 86322 2210 309 66 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 281258 46417 22761 10 178246283528 105223 278 242 50 — — — — — —
202324 AA RAWTulsa Drillers — 281249 555110 31641 10 221310369679 149257 2311 308 50 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLE2 teams — 477414 10114311 501227 51 244335372707 128314 2610 312 97 — — — — — —
202425 AA RAW2 teams — 477391 10916316 73987 51 279401458859 179329 2115 381 97 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLE2 teams — 372330 671407 34993 13 203283309592 106262 279 265 66 — — — — — —
202627 AAA RAW2 teams — 372313 731609 51823 13 233346371717 137282 2214 324 66 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLE2 teams — 380341 831619 35931 10 243317375693 132298 249 303 91 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 303274 63903 22844 00 230295296590 66315 287 266 66 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 281256 46417 22761 10 180246285531 105227 278 242 50 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLE2 teams — 477417 10114311 501227 51 242335369705 127305 2610 312 97 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLE2 teams — 372332 671407 34993 13 202283307591 105256 279 265 66 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 AA MLE2 teams — 477417 10114311 501227 51 242335369705 127305 2610 312 97 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLE2 teams — 372332 671407 34993 13 202283307591 105256 279 265 66 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLESEA 10% 380338 781518 36973 32 231311349660 118298 269 299 88 -5 -0 +0 -7 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXSEA 10% 1614 3100 240 00 229309344653 116296 2512 296 88 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLESEA 27% 212188 43814 20542 11 229308345653 116296 259 296 86 -3 -0 -1 -4 +5 -0.4
202829 MLB CTXSEA 27% 5853 11201 5150 00 227306340647 114294 269 293 86 -1 +0 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5853 11201 5150 00 208276302578 94270 269 293 79 -1 +0 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650594 12322011 561680 00 207275300575 93270 269 293 79 -11 +0 -4 -12 +14 -1.3
Career— MLE — 21801943 43471644 19856819 106 223301334635 111289 269 285 79 -6 -0 -1 -7 +8 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 12921213 591696 32 223301333635 111288 269 285 79 -10 -1 -2 -12 +14 -1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAATacoma Rainiers · 228 PAwOBA .305 → .260 (−45)K% 20.2% → 24.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.18%÷1.000×1.200——24.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.04%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0039.71%
HBP% /PA0.44%—×0.940—×1.0030.41%
Singles /BIP20.14%÷1.000×0.930×1.031×1.00319.36%
Doubles /BIP7.64%÷1.000×0.830×1.031×1.0036.55%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×1.031×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP2.08%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0031.46%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .305 → .260; ISO .105 → .086; BABIP .276 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 144 PAwOBA .341 → .274 (−68)K% 25.0% → 30.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.000×1.220——30.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷1.000×0.680—×0.9788.31%
HBP% /PA1.39%—×0.840—×0.9781.14%
Singles /BIP21.84%÷1.000×0.920×0.994×0.97819.54%
Doubles /BIP5.75%÷1.000×0.910×0.994×0.9785.09%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880×0.994×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP6.90%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9785.40%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .341 → .274; ISO .187 → .150; BABIP .293 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 450 PAwOBA .374 → .309 (−65)K% 21.3% → 26.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.33%÷0.974×1.220——26.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.67%÷1.013×0.700—×0.99810.12%
HBP% /PA1.11%—×0.850—×0.9980.94%
Singles /BIP24.64%÷0.997×0.970×0.996×0.99823.82%
Doubles /BIP5.80%÷1.022×0.860×0.996×0.9984.85%
Triples /BIP1.09%÷0.983×0.950×0.996×0.9981.04%
Home runs /BIP5.80%÷1.137×0.780—×0.9983.97%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .374 → .309; ISO .188 → .142; BABIP .327 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 27 PAwOBA .402 → .367 (−36)K% 7.4% → 8.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA7.41%÷1.022×1.200——8.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.22%÷1.021×0.690—×1.03315.51%
HBP% /PA7.41%—×0.940—×1.0337.19%
Singles /BIP35.29%÷0.985×0.930—×1.03334.41%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.960×0.830—×1.0330.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970—×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.989×0.700—×1.0330.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .402 → .367; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .353 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AATulsa Drillers · 281 PAwOBA .298 → .242 (−57)K% 22.8% → 27.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.78%÷1.023×1.220——27.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.68%÷0.973×0.700—×1.0127.77%
HBP% /PA0.36%—×0.870—×1.0120.31%
Singles /BIP21.08%÷0.992×0.920×0.958×1.01218.94%
Doubles /BIP2.70%÷0.942×0.840×0.958×1.0122.34%
Triples /BIP0.54%÷0.900×0.940×0.958×1.0120.55%
Home runs /BIP5.41%÷1.083×0.800—×1.0124.04%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 105, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .298 → .242; ISO .149 → .114; BABIP .257 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AATulsa Drillers · 303 PAwOBA .302 → .266 (−36)K% 22.1% → 27.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.11%÷0.971×1.220——27.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.57%÷0.975×0.700—×1.0277.05%
HBP% /PA1.32%—×0.870—×1.0271.18%
Singles /BIP26.24%÷0.953×0.920×1.016×1.02726.44%
Doubles /BIP5.45%÷1.006×0.840×1.016×1.0274.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.940×1.016×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP1.98%÷0.993×0.800—×1.0271.64%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 91, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .302 → .266; ISO .086 → .070; BABIP .322 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Great Lakes Loons · 342 PAwOBA .355 → .303 (−52)K% 18.4% → 24.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.42%÷1.013×1.350——24.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.16%÷1.042×0.710—×1.0129.07%
HBP% /PA0.29%—×0.810—×1.0120.24%
Singles /BIP24.12%÷0.978×0.910×1.004×1.01222.83%
Doubles /BIP7.02%÷0.952×0.830×1.004×1.0126.22%
Triples /BIP0.44%÷1.150×0.820×1.004×1.0120.32%
Home runs /BIP3.95%÷0.930×0.830—×1.0123.57%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 103, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .355 → .303; ISO .155 → .136; BABIP .321 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .