Rudy Flores
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 26 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 540 | .280/.334/.438 | 12 | 2 | 81 | — | .228/.267/.371 |
| 2018 | 27 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 549 | .285/.391/.462 | 17 | 4 | 92 | — | .229/.305/.374 |
| 2019 | 28 | AAATecos de los … | 344 | .323/.390/.597 | 23 | 0 | 105 | — | .256/.308/.453 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | — | 206 | 179 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 52 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 302 | 390 | 430 | 820 | 128 | 408 | 25 | 11 | 369 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 380 | 343 | 94 | 24 | 3 | 19 | 31 | 134 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 274 | 340 | 528 | 867 | 254 | 389 | 35 | 8 | 375 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 577 | 525 | 158 | 35 | 0 | 28 | 33 | 189 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 301 | 357 | 528 | 885 | 227 | 414 | 33 | 6 | 384 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 490 | 440 | 106 | 24 | 0 | 14 | 32 | 138 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 241 | 311 | 391 | 702 | 150 | 315 | 28 | 7 | 313 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 175 | 160 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 300 | 356 | 481 | 838 | 181 | 413 | 30 | 7 | 368 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 287 | 257 | 75 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 82 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 292 | 352 | 514 | 866 | 222 | 367 | 29 | 8 | 372 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 146 | 129 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 279 | 363 | 465 | 828 | 186 | 383 | 29 | 8 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 134 | 121 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 295 | 388 | 684 | 157 | 316 | 32 | 8 | 301 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 252 | 235 | 70 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 298 | 340 | 494 | 834 | 196 | 376 | 25 | 5 | 364 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 154 | 140 | 41 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 357 | 386 | 743 | 93 | 387 | 22 | 8 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 516 | 438 | 123 | 25 | 3 | 17 | 57 | 124 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 281 | 383 | 468 | 851 | 187 | 352 | 24 | 11 | 377 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 33 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 360 | 515 | 360 | 875 | 474 | 18 | 21 | 417 | 168 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA | Tecos de los Dos Laredos | — | 344 | 310 | 100 | 14 | 1 | 23 | 26 | 87 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 323 | 390 | 597 | 986 | 274 | 385 | 25 | 8 | 429 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 206 | 188 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 75 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 207 | 273 | 293 | 566 | 85 | 320 | 36 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 380 | 355 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 19 | 192 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 192 | 239 | 372 | 611 | 180 | 341 | 51 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 577 | 538 | 120 | 26 | 0 | 18 | 20 | 245 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 223 | 268 | 372 | 640 | 149 | 353 | 42 | 3 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 490 | 451 | 91 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 21 | 172 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 258 | 317 | 575 | 115 | 287 | 35 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 175 | 164 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 65 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 264 | 341 | 606 | 122 | 337 | 37 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 287 | 266 | 59 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 108 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 263 | 376 | 639 | 154 | 307 | 38 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 134 | 124 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 220 | 282 | 502 | 113 | 274 | 45 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 252 | 239 | 62 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 79 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 259 | 292 | 418 | 710 | 159 | 351 | 31 | 3 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 516 | 462 | 106 | 21 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 156 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 229 | 305 | 374 | 679 | 145 | 302 | 30 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tecos de los Dos Laredos | — | 344 | 320 | 82 | 10 | 1 | 17 | 16 | 105 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 308 | 453 | 761 | 197 | 325 | 31 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 206 | 188 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 75 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 207 | 273 | 293 | 566 | 85 | 330 | 36 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK RAW | Missoula Osprey | — | 206 | 179 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 52 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 302 | 390 | 430 | 820 | 128 | 408 | 25 | 11 | 369 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 380 | 355 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 19 | 192 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 192 | 239 | 372 | 611 | 180 | 351 | 51 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 380 | 343 | 94 | 24 | 3 | 19 | 31 | 134 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 274 | 340 | 528 | 867 | 254 | 389 | 35 | 8 | 375 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 577 | 538 | 120 | 26 | 0 | 18 | 20 | 245 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 223 | 268 | 372 | 640 | 149 | 363 | 42 | 3 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | Visalia Rawhide | — | 577 | 525 | 158 | 35 | 0 | 28 | 33 | 189 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 301 | 357 | 528 | 885 | 227 | 414 | 33 | 6 | 384 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 490 | 451 | 91 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 21 | 172 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 258 | 317 | 575 | 115 | 297 | 35 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | Mobile BayBears | — | 490 | 440 | 106 | 24 | 0 | 14 | 32 | 138 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 241 | 311 | 391 | 702 | 150 | 315 | 28 | 7 | 313 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 608 | 564 | 126 | 24 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 227 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 223 | 271 | 369 | 640 | 145 | 332 | 37 | 5 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 608 | 546 | 159 | 32 | 3 | 24 | 46 | 177 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 291 | 356 | 493 | 849 | 201 | 385 | 29 | 8 | 370 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 540 | 510 | 115 | 31 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 196 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 225 | 263 | 361 | 624 | 135 | 337 | 36 | 4 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 540 | 496 | 139 | 40 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 141 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 280 | 334 | 438 | 771 | 157 | 366 | 26 | 7 | 340 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 492 | 112 | 22 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 166 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 228 | 303 | 372 | 675 | 144 | 308 | 30 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 549 | 463 | 132 | 25 | 3 | 17 | 64 | 130 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 285 | 391 | 462 | 853 | 177 | 359 | 24 | 12 | 379 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tecos de los Dos Laredos | — | 344 | 320 | 82 | 10 | 1 | 17 | 16 | 105 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 308 | 453 | 761 | 197 | 328 | 31 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA RAW | Tecos de los Dos Laredos | — | 344 | 310 | 100 | 14 | 1 | 23 | 26 | 87 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 323 | 390 | 597 | 986 | 274 | 385 | 25 | 8 | 429 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 206 | 187 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 75 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 273 | 294 | 567 | 86 | 320 | 36 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 380 | 355 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 19 | 192 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 192 | 239 | 372 | 611 | 180 | 341 | 51 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 577 | 539 | 120 | 26 | 0 | 18 | 20 | 245 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 223 | 268 | 371 | 639 | 148 | 353 | 42 | 3 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 490 | 453 | 91 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 21 | 172 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 201 | 258 | 316 | 573 | 115 | 287 | 35 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 608 | 566 | 126 | 24 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 227 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 223 | 271 | 367 | 639 | 145 | 318 | 37 | 5 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 540 | 509 | 115 | 31 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 196 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 226 | 263 | 361 | 625 | 136 | 324 | 36 | 4 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 491 | 112 | 22 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 166 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 228 | 303 | 373 | 675 | 145 | 302 | 30 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tecos de los Dos Laredos | — | 344 | 317 | 82 | 10 | 1 | 17 | 16 | 105 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 259 | 308 | 457 | 766 | 199 | 325 | 31 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3694 | 3418 | 753 | 158 | 9 | 107 | 175 | 1378 | 71 | 14 | 16 | 220 | 273 | 366 | 638 | 145 | 329 | 37 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -121 | -4 | +0 | -66 | +80 | -11.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 133 | 28 | 2 | 19 | 31 | 242 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 221 | 273 | 369 | 642 | 148 | 330 | 37 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -21 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAATecos de los Dos Laredos · 344 PAwOBA .415 → .323 (−92)K% 25.3% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.29% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.98% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.80% | ÷0.956 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 25.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.28% | ÷1.103 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.31% | ÷0.919 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 7.72% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 91, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .415 → .323; ISO .274 → .196; BABIP .385 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAJackson Generals · 516 PAwOBA .366 → .297 (−69)K% 24.0% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.03% | ÷0.972 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.88% | ÷1.003 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 6.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.10% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 2.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.84% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×0.968 | 21.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.96% | ÷1.022 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | ×0.968 | 6.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷1.145 | ×0.880 | ×0.974 | ×0.968 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.954 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 4.40% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 104, 3B 129, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .366 → .297; ISO .187 → .152; BABIP .352 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAJackson Generals · 252 PAwOBA .356 → .300 (−56)K% 25.4% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.40% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷0.987 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 3.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.98% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | ×1.042 | ×0.978 | 22.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.70% | ÷1.004 | ×0.910 | ×1.042 | ×0.978 | 10.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.042 | ×0.978 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.68% | ÷0.985 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 3.72% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .356 → .300; ISO .196 → .158; BABIP .376 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAReno Aces · 134 PAwOBA .298 → .211 (−87)K% 32.1% → 45.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.09% | ÷0.919 | ×1.290 | — | — | 45.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.21% | ÷1.007 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 5.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.79% | ÷0.992 | ×0.900 | ×1.025 | ×1.003 | 20.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.97% | ÷1.089 | ×0.810 | ×1.025 | ×1.003 | 6.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.025 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.044 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 3.84% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 84, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .298 → .211; ISO .157 → .100; BABIP .316 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Visalia Rawhide · 287 PAwOBA .365 → .279 (−86)K% 28.6% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.020 | ×1.340 | — | — | 37.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.62% | ÷1.008 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 4.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.29% | ÷0.994 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×0.968 | 23.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷1.038 | ×0.820 | ×0.995 | ×0.968 | 6.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.065 | ×0.760 | ×0.995 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.134 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 6.28% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 108, 3B 113, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .365 → .279; ISO .222 → .163; BABIP .367 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAMobile BayBears · 175 PAwOBA .360 → .265 (−95)K% 29.7% → 37.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.71% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.86% | ÷0.975 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.70% | ÷1.065 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×0.988 | 24.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.26% | ÷1.146 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×0.988 | 7.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.984 | ×0.988 | 1.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.63% | ÷1.160 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.15% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 113, 2B 129, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .360 → .265; ISO .181 → .126; BABIP .413 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAMobile BayBears · 490 PAwOBA .307 → .247 (−60)K% 28.2% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.16% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.53% | ÷1.043 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 4.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.65% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 2.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.52% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 20.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.95% | ÷0.961 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 7.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.880 | ×1.005 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.64% | ÷1.098 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.37% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 84, K 95, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .307 → .247; ISO .150 → .115; BABIP .315 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Visalia Rawhide · 577 PAwOBA .376 → .276 (−100)K% 32.8% → 42.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.76% | ÷1.034 | ×1.340 | — | — | 42.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.37% | ÷1.077 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 3.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.25% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.27% | ÷0.988 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×0.988 | 25.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.42% | ÷0.978 | ×0.820 | ×0.984 | ×0.988 | 8.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.984 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.248 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 6.07% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 107, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .376 → .276; ISO .227 → .153; BABIP .414 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .