Sammy Stafura — OGILVIE

Sammy StafuraSS Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 188 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION212 act + 141 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.161 / .257 / .273

PA141

HR3

SB7

K%37

BB%9

BABIP245

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.4M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$26M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	53	45	2	1	0	1	5	31	0	0	0	44	140	133	273	89	67	58	9	116	-53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	53	42	3	2	0	1	8	23	0	0	0	71	220	190	410	119	100	43	15	193	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	421	365	75	9	4	5	46	151	5	31	5	205	303	293	596	88	327	36	11	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	421	345	93	13	6	8	64	104	5	31	5	270	389	412	801	142	357	25	15	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	530	456	84	16	8	5	51	181	13	32	6	184	285	287	572	103	284	34	10	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	530	432	103	22	10	6	74	129	13	32	6	238	365	377	743	139	318	24	14	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	PIT	—	212	186	36	4	1	10	18	92	4	16	1	194	279	387	666	194	295	43	8	288	78	-5	+3	+0	+2	+6	0.6
YTD	21	A+	PIT	—	212	178	47	6	1	13	26	68	4	16	1	264	370	528	898	264	337	32	12	386	154	+13	+3	+0	+2	+6	2.4
ROS	21	A+	PIT	0%	141	124	20	3	1	3	13	53	3	7	1	161	257	273	530	113	256	37	9	254	53	-8	+1	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
ROS	21	MLB	PIT	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						255	0	0	240	42	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	PIT	—	213	187	36	4	1	10	18	92	4	16	1	193	278	385	663	193	292	43	8	287	78	-5	+3	-0	+2	+6	0.6
TOT	21	A+	PIT	—	353	310	56	7	2	13	31	145	7	23	2	180	270	342	611	161	273	41	9	274	68	-13	+4	-0	+4	+10	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	PIT	35%	568	500	89	14	4	14	53	207	10	22	3	178	270	306	576	128	265	36	9	264	60	-25	+3	-0	+6	+16	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	PIT	49%	597	525	97	15	4	16	57	209	10	23	3	185	277	320	597	135	269	35	10	274	68	-22	+3	-0	+6	+17	0.5
2029	24	MLB	PIT	53%	615	541	105	17	4	18	59	209	10	24	3	194	285	340	625	146	271	34	10	280	73	-19	+4	-0	+7	+17	0.9
2030	25	MLB	PIT	55%	627	552	107	17	4	18	60	211	10	24	3	194	285	337	622	143	272	34	10	284	75	-17	+4	-0	+7	+18	1.1
2031	26	MLB	PIT	56%	634	557	108	17	4	19	62	213	10	24	3	194	286	341	627	147	272	34	10	285	76	-17	+4	-0	+7	+18	1.2
2032	27	MLB	PIT	55%	634	557	108	17	4	19	62	213	10	24	3	194	286	341	627	147	271	34	10	285	76	-17	+4	-0	+7	+18	1.2
2033	28	MLB	PIT	55%	629	552	107	17	4	19	62	212	10	23	3	194	287	342	629	149	271	34	10	284	76	-17	+3	-1	+7	+18	1.0
2034	29	MLB	PIT	53%	619	542	104	16	4	18	62	210	10	21	3	192	287	336	622	144	270	34	10	283	74	-18	+3	-1	+7	+18	0.8
2027	22	MLB	PIT	35%	196	173	31	5	1	5	18	72	3	8	1	179	268	306	574	127	264	37	9	251	50	-11	+1	-0	+2	+6	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	PIT	49%	290	256	47	7	2	8	27	101	5	11	1	184	274	320	595	137	267	35	9	261	58	-14	+2	-0	+3	+8	-0.1
2029	24	MLB	PIT	53%	325	286	55	9	2	9	31	111	5	12	2	192	283	332	615	140	270	34	10	267	63	-14	+2	-0	+3	+9	0.1
2030	25	MLB	PIT	55%	343	301	58	9	2	10	33	115	6	13	2	193	285	336	621	143	270	34	10	271	66	-13	+2	-0	+4	+10	0.2
2031	26	MLB	PIT	56%	353	310	60	10	2	10	34	119	6	14	2	194	286	335	621	142	270	34	10	272	66	-13	+2	-0	+4	+10	0.2
2032	27	MLB	PIT	55%	349	306	58	9	2	10	34	117	6	13	2	190	283	330	613	141	270	34	10	272	67	-13	+2	-0	+4	+10	0.2
2033	28	MLB	PIT	55%	344	301	58	9	2	10	34	116	6	13	2	193	287	336	623	143	270	34	10	271	66	-13	+2	-0	+4	+10	0.2
2034	29	MLB	PIT	53%	330	289	56	9	2	10	33	112	5	11	1	194	287	343	630	149	269	34	10	270	65	-13	+2	-1	+4	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2531	2223	423	67	15	72	244	863	42	95	13	190	283	331	614	141	270	34	10	268	63	-105	+14	-1	+27	+72	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	108	17	4	18	63	222	11	24	3	189	283	327	610	138	269	34	10	268	63	-27	+4	-0	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	6068	5316	1006	159	45	155	592	2100	101	255	36	189	283	324	606	134	274	35	10	276	69	-209	+37	-2	+65	+172	6.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	108	17	5	17	63	225	11	27	4	190	283	327	609	137	275	35	10	276	69	-22	+4	-0	+7	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	53	42	3	2	0	1	8	23	0	0	0	71	220	190	410	119	100	43	15	193	6	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	352	290	74	10	4	6	52	84	5	27	5	255	375	379	755	124	335	24	15	343	120	+8	+3	—	—	+10	2.2
2024	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	69	55	19	3	2	2	12	20	0	4	0	345	463	582	1.045	236	486	29	17	442	196	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2025	20	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	110	94	15	3	0	2	10	26	3	4	1	160	262	255	517	96	191	24	9	239	41	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	420	338	88	19	10	4	64	103	10	28	5	260	392	411	803	151	354	25	15	359	133	+15	+4	—	—	+12	3.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,531	73	95	193	282	338	+27	+8	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	19	25	193	282	338	+7.1	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sammy Stafura (OGILVIE)	21	30→41	35→47	60→61	55	180/270/342	161	273	13	23	41%	9%	68	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→50	54→65	45	186/250/288	102	245	7	22	27%	7%	46	-2.0	187/263/301	114	290	10	25	36%	8%	56	-1.3	239/314/383	144	329	16	46	30%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	39→46	35→45	55→60	41	188/231/243	55	251	3	18	26%	5%	25	-3.5	199/255/286	87	268	7	18	27%	6%	47	-1.9	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	42→50	52→55	42	203/265/309	106	263	10	18	26%	6%	58	-1.2	207/272/357	150	272	17	18	30%	7%	74	-0.1	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Sergio Garcia 2012 · AAA	21	38	42→45	54→60	41	193/248/290	97	267	11	22	31%	6%	45	-2.1	213/253/326	113	295	12	27	31%	4%	56	-1.3	231/255/354	123	300	13	17	28%	2%	62	-0.4
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	42→50	40→45	59→55	39	204/254/302	98	293	6	20	31%	6%	50	-1.7	223/280/337	114	302	9	18	28%	6%	71	-0.3	225/287/343	117	297	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	35	-2.8	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	37	-2.6	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	15	-0.8
✕Kenny Wilson 2011 · A	21	36→46	35→40	56→60	40	170/243/223	53	273	2	26	36%	7%	27	-3.3	191/262/262	71	286	4	28	32%	7%	45	-2.1	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→50	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	40	-2.4	208/276/322	114	297	8	11	31%	7%	66	-0.6	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	41→49	42→45	54→50	49	201/291/307	106	264	9	21	26%	9%	69	-0.4	217/273/331	114	272	11	15	24%	6%	66	-0.6	211/266/314	103	262	10	16	23%	6%	56	-1.2
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Justin Trapp 2012 · A	21	42→45	39→45	54→55	39	200/255/283	83	294	6	21	33%	6%	46	-2.0	213/267/313	100	294	9	16	29%	6%	59	-1.1	214/267/306	93	290	9	15	28%	5%	54	-1.2
✕Bubba Starling 2014 · A	21	40→46	42→45	54→50	41	197/259/298	100	284	10	13	33%	7%	53	-1.5	202/251/323	121	297	12	11	35%	5%	56	-1.3	216/254/336	119	279	14	10	27%	4%	56	-0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	57	-1.2	191/237/342	151	271	18	8	36%	5%	55	-1.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0