Sammy Stafura — OGILVIE

Sammy StafuraSS Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 188 lbs A+ BB +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 2.1 · 2032

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .283 / .302

PA320

HR5

SB10

K%34

BB%10

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30↗41

PWR

35↗47

SPD

60↗61

FLD

45↗55

EYE

57↘55

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.0peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.9	$17M	+$16M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.0	$19M	+$18M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.1	$20M	+$19M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.9	$19M	+$15M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.7	$17M	+$11M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.4	$15M	+$7M
Totals		$20M		$106M	+$86M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	ACL Reds	53	45	2	1	0	1	5	32	0	0	0	.044	.140	.133	.273	.089	.071	60	9	.116	-53	-9	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
2024	19	A	2 teams	421	365	75	10	4	6	46	149	5	31	5	.205	.303	.304	.607	.099	.321	35	11	.276	69	-15	+4	+0	+5	+12	0.6
2025	20	A	2 teams	530	455	84	17	8	5	52	180	13	32	6	.185	.287	.290	.577	.105	.284	34	10	.259	56	-26	+4	+0	+6	+15	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A+	2 teams	38	31	3	0	0	2	4	22	2	1	0	.097	.243	.290	.534	.194	.125	58	11	.242	43	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
ROS	21	MLB	PIT	282	246	45	8	3	5	28	102	6	9	2	.183	.282	.301	.583	.118	.282	36	10	.268	63	-12	+1	-0	+3	+8	0.0
TOT	21	MLB	PIT	320	277	48	8	3	7	32	124	8	10	2	.173	.278	.300	.577	.126	.277	39	10	.265	61	-14	+1	-0	+3	+9	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	PIT	546	474	92	16	5	12	56	172	11	17	3	.194	.294	.325	.619	.131	.270	32	10	.280	73	-17	+2	-0	+6	+15	0.7
2028	23	MLB 28%	PIT	590	512	102	18	5	14	62	179	11	18	3	.199	.299	.336	.635	.137	.273	30	11	.291	81	-13	+2	-0	+6	+17	1.3
2029	24	MLB 45%	PIT	619	536	110	20	5	16	66	184	12	18	3	.205	.306	.351	.657	.146	.275	30	11	.297	85	-10	+2	-0	+7	+18	1.7
2030	25	MLB 60%	PIT	635	549	113	20	5	17	69	186	12	18	3	.206	.308	.353	.661	.148	.276	29	11	.301	88	-8	+2	-0	+7	+18	1.9
2031	26	MLB 78%	PIT	643	556	115	21	5	17	70	189	12	18	3	.207	.309	.354	.663	.147	.276	29	11	.302	90	-8	+2	-0	+7	+18	2.0
2032	27	MLB 92%	PIT	643	555	114	20	5	17	71	189	12	17	2	.205	.309	.351	.660	.146	.276	29	11	.302	90	-8	+3	-0	+7	+18	2.1
2033	28	MLB	PIT	638	550	113	20	5	17	71	189	12	16	2	.205	.310	.353	.662	.147	.276	30	11	.301	89	-8	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.9
2034	29	MLB	PIT	628	541	110	20	5	16	70	188	12	15	1	.203	.308	.348	.656	.144	.275	30	11	.299	87	-9	+3	-1	+7	+18	1.7
2035	30	MLB	PIT	618	533	108	19	5	16	69	187	11	14	1	.203	.307	.347	.654	.144	.273	30	11	.296	85	-11	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.4
2036	31	MLB	PIT	603	519	103	18	5	15	68	185	11	12	0	.198	.304	.339	.643	.141	.272	31	11	.292	82	-12	+2	-3	+6	+17	1.1
2037	32	MLB	PIT	585	504	98	17	4	14	65	183	11	11	0	.194	.300	.327	.627	.133	.270	31	11	.288	78	-14	+2	-4	+6	+17	0.7
2038	33	MLB	PIT	555	478	92	16	4	13	62	177	10	10	0	.192	.298	.324	.622	.132	.268	32	11	.282	74	-16	+2	-4	+6	+16	0.3
2039	34	MLB	PIT	508	438	82	14	4	11	56	166	9	9	0	.187	.292	.313	.605	.126	.266	33	11	.276	69	-18	+2	-5	+5	+14	-0.1
2040	35	MLB	PIT	451	391	70	12	3	9	49	152	8	8	0	.179	.283	.294	.578	.115	.263	34	11	.268	64	-19	+2	-6	+5	+13	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9548	8247	1628	287	80	221	1035	2989	178	273	34	.197	.300	.332	.632	.135	.276	31	11	.288	78	-232	+41	-26	+102	+271	15.9
/ 162G	—			650	561	111	20	5	15	70	203	12	19	2	.198	.300	.332	.631	.134	.277	31	11	.288	78	-16	+3	-2	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	ACL Reds	53	42	3	2	0	1	8	23	0	0	0	.071	.220	.190	.410	.119	.100	43	15	.193	6	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	352	290	74	10	4	6	52	84	5	27	5	.255	.375	.379	.755	.124	.335	24	15	.343	120	+8	+3	—	—	+10	2.2
2024	19	ROK	ACL Reds	69	55	19	3	2	2	12	20	0	4	0	.345	.463	.582	1.045	.236	.486	29	17	.442	196	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2025	20	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	110	94	15	3	0	2	10	26	3	4	1	.160	.262	.255	.517	.096	.191	24	9	.239	41	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	420	338	88	19	10	4	64	103	10	28	5	.260	.392	.411	.803	.151	.354	25	15	.359	133	+15	+4	—	—	+12	3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sammy Stafura (OGILVIE)	21	30→41	35→47	60→61	55	.189/.283/.302	.112	.287	5	10	34%	10%	65	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→47	40	52→60	45	.186/.279/.272	.086	.285	7	15	34%	9%	56	-1.3	.195/.294/.278	.083	.290	6	17	31%	11%	63	-0.8	.215/.301/.289	.073	.310	4	35	29%	9%	66	-0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	40→45	44→55	52→55	41	.201/.263/.319	.117	.279	11	19	31%	6%	59	-1.1	.203/.270/.325	.122	.295	10	17	33%	7%	65	-0.7	.220/.291/.388	.168	.274	20	25	27%	8%	88	+0.6
✕Kyren Paris 2023 · AA	21	41→46	45	59→60	41	.194/.274/.319	.125	.313	12	26	39%	8%	65	-0.7	.193/.278/.319	.126	.311	13	30	39%	9%	67	-0.5	.179/.270/.309	.131	.284	15	35	39%	10%	59	-0.7
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	41→51	40→50	56→55	42	.202/.257/.295	.093	.281	7	21	30%	7%	50	-1.7	.228/.284/.359	.131	.288	12	22	24%	7%	78	+0.2	.239/.295/.382	.143	.285	14	19	21%	7%	86	+0.8
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	42→48	42→50	54→50	49	.203/.293/.309	.106	.264	9	21	25%	9%	70	-0.3	.218/.276/.338	.120	.270	12	16	23%	6%	70	-0.3	.211/.267/.320	.108	.258	11	16	22%	6%	58	-1.0
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	39→49	41→50	54→65	45	.193/.257/.297	.104	.249	7	21	25%	7%	51	-1.7	.189/.265/.305	.116	.284	10	24	35%	8%	57	-1.2	.236/.312/.377	.141	.324	16	46	30%	9%	94	+0.8
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	.207/.272/.315	.108	.262	11	18	25%	7%	63	-0.9	.208/.274/.359	.151	.269	18	18	29%	7%	75	-0.0	.178/.268/.330	.152	.242	18	26	33%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	44→49	40→45	59→55	41	.210/.263/.309	.099	.290	7	20	29%	6%	56	-1.3	.223/.279/.336	.113	.300	9	18	27%	6%	70	-0.3	.225/.286/.343	.117	.296	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→43	43→45	56→50	42	.224/.277/.340	.116	.301	9	15	28%	6%	70	-0.3	.218/.275/.336	.118	.288	10	12	27%	6%	69	-0.4	.212/.270/.327	.116	.280	10	13	27%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	39→45	53→50	46	.186/.268/.273	.087	.271	6	14	31%	9%	50	-1.7	.188/.261/.284	.096	.328	7	13	41%	8%	50	-1.7	.138/.200/.215	.077	.281	6	16	50%	7%	4	-1.7
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	39→49	38→45	58→55	45	.188/.259/.276	.088	.265	5	16	29%	8%	46	-2.0	.210/.284/.296	.086	.280	6	17	25%	8%	63	-0.9	.229/.318/.327	.099	.300	9	17	24%	11%	81	+0.3
✕Jamari Baylor 2023 · A	22	40	42→45	50→55	41	.172/.280/.276	.105	.337	10	18	46%	10%	58	-1.2	.187/.287/.297	.110	.339	11	16	43%	10%	66	-0.6	.170/.275/.273	.103	.306	12	18	43%	10%	53	-0.5
✕Jonathan Galvez 2012 · A	21	45→48	45	53→55	40	.220/.280/.348	.128	.315	12	19	33%	7%	74	-0.1	.231/.282/.345	.114	.322	10	17	30%	6%	74	-0.1	.232/.285/.339	.107	.315	9	15	28%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	41	40→45	54→60	47	.189/.291/.289	.100	.303	7	8	36%	10%	66	-0.6	.201/.301/.282	.081	.273	6	17	26%	10%	68	-0.5	.180/.308/.228	.048	.225	5	30	19%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	37→36	45→50	54→50	38	.192/.253/.319	.127	.271	12	13	33%	6%	56	-1.3	.204/.262/.355	.151	.295	18	14	36%	6%	69	-0.4	.197/.258/.362	.165	.284	22	15	38%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	43→50	51→45	35	.183/.259/.287	.104	.311	11	11	42%	6%	51	-1.7	.198/.263/.310	.112	.287	13	7	34%	6%	58	-1.2	.185/.242/.280	.095	.261	13	5	33%	5%	38	-1.0
●Drew Stubbs 2007 · A	22	42→52	41→50	53→60	40	.201/.273/.298	.098	.311	9	15	36%	8%	59	-1.1	.221/.290/.328	.107	.321	9	20	31%	8%	73	-0.1	.241/.313/.367	.126	.326	13	37	28%	9%	90	+1.1
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	.197/.264/.289	.093	.275	8	16	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.236/.299/.340	.104	.314	7	24	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)