Alfonsin RosarioOF
Akron RubberDucks
Age 22
R/R
6'0" / 222 lbs
AA
K +5%HR +5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.9 · 2031
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .268 / .346
PA320
HR10
SB6
K%37
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗32
PWR
40↗55
SPD
45↗49
FLD
30↗50
EYE
47↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.4M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.3 | $2M | -$0.5M |
| Totals | $8M | $18M | +$10M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 33 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | .167 | .242 | .200 | .442 | .033 | .278 | 36 | 6 | .212 | 20 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 456 | 404 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 211 | 13 | 20 | 5 | .161 | .250 | .297 | .547 | .136 | .283 | 46 | 8 | .244 | 45 | -28 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +13 | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | 3 teams | 543 | 490 | 97 | 17 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 191 | 12 | 16 | 3 | .198 | .274 | .355 | .629 | .157 | .279 | 35 | 7 | .272 | 67 | -20 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 48 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .156 | .208 | .444 | .653 | .289 | .214 | 56 | 4 | .268 | 63 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CLE | 272 | 246 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 107 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .187 | .259 | .350 | .609 | .163 | .280 | 39 | 7 | .277 | 70 | -9 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +8 | -0.3 |
| TOT | 22 | MLB | CLE | 320 | 291 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 134 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .182 | .252 | .364 | .616 | .182 | .271 | 42 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -11 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 12% | CLE | 518 | 464 | 94 | 17 | 2 | 20 | 40 | 168 | 9 | 10 | 2 | .203 | .279 | .377 | .656 | .175 | .266 | 32 | 8 | .293 | 82 | -10 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 27% | CLE | 554 | 495 | 103 | 19 | 2 | 22 | 44 | 174 | 10 | 11 | 2 | .208 | .286 | .388 | .674 | .180 | .268 | 31 | 8 | .299 | 87 | -8 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 44% | CLE | 575 | 513 | 109 | 20 | 3 | 23 | 47 | 177 | 10 | 11 | 2 | .212 | .291 | .398 | .689 | .185 | .271 | 31 | 8 | .304 | 91 | -6 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 59% | CLE | 586 | 522 | 112 | 21 | 3 | 23 | 49 | 179 | 10 | 11 | 2 | .215 | .294 | .398 | .693 | .184 | .272 | 31 | 8 | .306 | 92 | -5 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 77% | CLE | 588 | 523 | 111 | 20 | 3 | 23 | 50 | 180 | 10 | 11 | 1 | .212 | .293 | .394 | .687 | .182 | .272 | 31 | 9 | .306 | 92 | -5 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | CLE | 585 | 519 | 109 | 20 | 2 | 23 | 51 | 180 | 10 | 10 | 1 | .210 | .293 | .389 | .682 | .179 | .271 | 31 | 9 | .305 | 92 | -6 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +17 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 91% | CLE | 576 | 511 | 107 | 20 | 2 | 22 | 50 | 179 | 10 | 9 | 1 | .209 | .292 | .386 | .678 | .176 | .270 | 31 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -7 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +16 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 566 | 502 | 104 | 19 | 2 | 22 | 49 | 178 | 10 | 9 | 0 | .207 | .291 | .384 | .675 | .177 | .268 | 31 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -8 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +16 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 552 | 490 | 100 | 18 | 2 | 21 | 48 | 176 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .204 | .287 | .378 | .665 | .173 | .267 | 32 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -10 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +16 | 0.0 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 534 | 474 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 46 | 173 | 9 | 6 | 0 | .200 | .284 | .365 | .649 | .165 | .265 | 32 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -11 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +15 | -0.3 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 504 | 448 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 167 | 8 | 5 | 0 | .199 | .281 | .364 | .644 | .165 | .263 | 33 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -13 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +14 | -0.6 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | CLE | 458 | 409 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 155 | 7 | 5 | 0 | .191 | .273 | .345 | .617 | .154 | .261 | 34 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -15 | +1 | -6 | -3 | +13 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7900 | 7040 | 1424 | 259 | 33 | 292 | 651 | 2607 | 143 | 150 | 20 | .202 | .283 | .373 | .656 | .171 | .271 | 33 | 8 | .292 | 82 | -164 | +22 | -34 | -47 | +224 | -0.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 579 | 117 | 21 | 3 | 24 | 54 | 214 | 12 | 12 | 2 | .202 | .284 | .373 | .657 | .171 | .270 | 33 | 8 | .292 | 82 | -14 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -0.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 33 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | .250 | .364 | .286 | .649 | .036 | .350 | 24 | 12 | .310 | 96 | -0 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 456 | 383 | 88 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 56 | 147 | 13 | 20 | 5 | .230 | .347 | .423 | .770 | .193 | .321 | 32 | 12 | .344 | 121 | +11 | +2 | — | — | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2025 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 145 | 128 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .211 | .303 | .391 | .694 | .180 | .293 | 33 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 354 | 306 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 89 | 9 | 12 | 1 | .268 | .364 | .490 | .854 | .222 | .325 | 25 | 10 | .376 | 146 | +18 | +2 | — | — | +10 | 3.1 |
| 2025 | 21 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | 44 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .108 | .250 | .108 | .358 | .000 | .182 | 34 | 14 | .194 | 7 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alfonsin Rosario (OGILVIE) | 22 | 20→32 | 40→55 | 45→49 | 40 | .194/.268/.346 | .153 | .285 | 10 | 6 | 37% | 7% | 71 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A |
22 | 37→34 | 51→60 | 50 | 37 | .200/.246/.359 | .159 | .282 | 20 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .212/.272/.410 | .198 | .294 | 26 | 14 | 36% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .209/.277/.424 | .216 | .279 | 30 | 13 | 36% | 8% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
●Trayce Thompson 2013 · AAA |
22 | 35→45 | 52→65 | 50 | 35 | .189/.243/.352 | .163 | .277 | 20 | 10 | 39% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .195/.254/.339 | .144 | .275 | 16 | 14 | 34% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .209/.298/.431 | .221 | .291 | 31 | 7 | 37% | 10% | 102 | +1.1 |
|
✕Rece Hinds 2023 · AA |
22 | 39→43 | 49→60 | 50→55 | 33 | .193/.248/.341 | .149 | .318 | 17 | 13 | 43% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .201/.251/.372 | .171 | .324 | 21 | 19 | 43% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .202/.251/.389 | .186 | .305 | 24 | 22 | 41% | 5% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Johan Mieses 2017 · A |
22 | 37→32 | 51→55 | 46→50 | 36 | .200/.247/.364 | .164 | .270 | 19 | 9 | 34% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .183/.234/.337 | .154 | .257 | 20 | 4 | 37% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .194/.269/.375 | .181 | .237 | 26 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA |
22 | 37→44 | 49→50 | 49→45 | 39 | .195/.252/.345 | .150 | .266 | 17 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .209/.268/.346 | .137 | .291 | 14 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .213/.268/.374 | .161 | .271 | 20 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Wladimir Balentien 2007 · AA |
23 | 40→45 | 53→55 | 48→50 | 38 | .207/.266/.378 | .171 | .298 | 21 | 10 | 37% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .218/.278/.385 | .167 | .278 | 20 | 9 | 28% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .219/.279/.399 | .180 | .260 | 22 | 7 | 25% | 7% | 86 | +0.6 |
|
✕Travis Demeritte 2018 · AA |
23 | 37→43 | 48→60 | 48→50 | 38 | .189/.250/.335 | .146 | .297 | 16 | 9 | 40% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .202/.267/.367 | .165 | .295 | 19 | 7 | 36% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .204/.271/.391 | .188 | .288 | 24 | 7 | 37% | 8% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Carlos Rincon 2021 · AA |
23 | 37→39 | 50→55 | 46→45 | 40 | .197/.265/.347 | .151 | .284 | 19 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.263/.376 | .164 | .301 | 21 | 6 | 36% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .203/.253/.375 | .171 | .279 | 24 | 4 | 36% | 5% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Nelson Velázquez 2022 · AA |
23 | 43→38 | 49→60 | 52→50 | 33 | .214/.257/.358 | .145 | .326 | 17 | 12 | 39% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .208/.270/.393 | .185 | .289 | 25 | 14 | 36% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .200/.270/.389 | .189 | .255 | 26 | 12 | 33% | 8% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Michael Toglia 2022 · AA |
23 | 38→37 | 49→55 | 49→45 | 41 | .196/.267/.342 | .146 | .295 | 17 | 9 | 38% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .198/.271/.366 | .168 | .280 | 22 | 7 | 36% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .193/.273/.374 | .181 | .256 | 25 | 7 | 34% | 9% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA |
23 | 38→46 | 48→60 | 53→50 | 36 | .199/.247/.340 | .141 | .285 | 16 | 15 | 35% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .223/.291/.421 | .198 | .297 | 25 | 12 | 33% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .224/.302/.431 | .208 | .280 | 28 | 10 | 30% | 9% | 102 | +1.8 |
|
●Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA |
23 | 38→48 | 50→55 | 48→55 | 41 | .200/.261/.356 | .156 | .274 | 18 | 12 | 33% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.264/.378 | .162 | .287 | 21 | 15 | 32% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .228/.269/.395 | .167 | .290 | 22 | 15 | 29% | 5% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Romy Gonzalez 2019 · A |
22 | 39→44 | 46→55 | 53→55 | 34 | .196/.247/.327 | .132 | .312 | 14 | 10 | 40% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .198/.251/.317 | .119 | .302 | 12 | 12 | 37% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .258/.302/.412 | .153 | .342 | 17 | 16 | 28% | 5% | 96 | +0.7 |
|
✕Heriberto Hernández 2023 · A |
23 | 39→45 | 52→55 | 45 | 40 | .201/.277/.364 | .164 | .309 | 20 | 7 | 40% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .212/.291/.377 | .165 | .312 | 20 | 7 | 36% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .213/.297/.387 | .174 | .298 | 22 | 7 | 34% | 10% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A |
22 | 44→30 | 47→60 | 51→50 | 42 | .211/.300/.348 | .138 | .322 | 15 | 12 | 36% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .206/.285/.382 | .176 | .328 | 21 | 9 | 41% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .193/.269/.393 | .200 | .316 | 27 | 12 | 45% | 8% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A |
22 | 36 | 48→50 | 54→50 | 37 | .191/.251/.335 | .144 | .272 | 16 | 14 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.261/.344 | .142 | .302 | 17 | 13 | 37% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .180/.244/.304 | .124 | .276 | 15 | 12 | 39% | 7% | 45 | -1.1 |
|
●Jo Adell 2021 · MLB |
22 | 43→44 | 49→65 | 50 | 37 | .217/.269/.369 | .152 | .313 | 17 | 10 | 36% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .215/.266/.393 | .178 | .304 | 23 | 10 | 36% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .218/.285/.446 | .228 | .252 | 34 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
✕Clint Frazier 2017 · AAA |
22 | 45→46 | 46→55 | 49→50 | 41 | .222/.281/.356 | .133 | .310 | 13 | 10 | 32% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .231/.288/.396 | .165 | .302 | 17 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 90 | +1.0 | .237/.308/.417 | .181 | .301 | 20 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 101 | +0.9 |
|
✕Michael Chavis 2018 · AA |
22 | 38→47 | 52→60 | 46→45 | 36 | .207/.252/.373 | .165 | .272 | 21 | 4 | 32% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .235/.290/.418 | .183 | .313 | 24 | 5 | 32% | 6% | 97 | +1.5 | .239/.300/.427 | .188 | .323 | 26 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 99 | +0.7 |
|
●Will Benson 2021 · A |
23 | 33→43 | 50→55 | 52→55 | 44 | .178/.260/.325 | .147 | .263 | 19 | 13 | 38% | 10% | 61 | -1.0 | .207/.302/.379 | .172 | .307 | 19 | 18 | 36% | 11% | 92 | +1.2 | .221/.322/.401 | .180 | .313 | 18 | 26 | 32% | 12% | 102 | +1.4 |