Alfonsin Rosario

Alfonsin RosarioOF Akron RubberDucks

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 222 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION426 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP278

ISO155

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	33	28	7	1	0	0	4	8	1	4	0	250	364	286	649	36	350	24	12	310	96	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	456	383	88	18	4	16	56	147	13	20	5	230	347	423	770	193	321	32	12	344	119	+10	+2	—	—	+10	2.3
2025	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	145	128	27	6	1	5	15	48	2	2	1	211	303	391	694	180	293	33	10	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	354	306	82	16	2	16	37	89	9	12	1	268	364	490	854	222	325	25	10	376	140	+17	+2	—	—	+8	2.7
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	44	37	4	0	0	0	6	15	1	2	1	108	250	108	358		182	34	14	194	18	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	33	30	5	1	0	0	2	12	1	4	0	167	242	200	442	33	282	36	6	212	30	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	456	404	65	12	2	13	35	212	13	20	5	161	250	297	547	136	275	46	8	245	52	-26	+2	—	—	+10	-1.4
2025	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	145	133	22	5	1	4	10	62	2	2	1	165	234	308	543	143	263	43	7	234	45	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	354	317	64	11	2	12	26	118	9	12	1	202	281	363	644	161	269	33	7	280	76	-10	+2	—	—	+8	-0.1
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	33	30	5	1	0	0	2	12	1	4	0	167	242	200	442	33	278	36	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	33	28	7	1	0	0	4	8	1	4	0	250	364	286	649	36	350	24	12	310	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	456	404	65	12	2	13	35	212	13	20	5	161	250	297	547	136	284	46	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	456	383	88	18	4	16	56	147	13	20	5	230	347	423	770	193	321	32	12	344	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	543	490	93	17	3	17	39	195	12	16	3	190	266	341	607	151	271	36	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	543	471	113	22	3	21	58	152	12	16	3	240	338	433	771	193	307	28	11	344	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	33	30	5	1	0	0	2	12	1	4	0	167	242	200	442	33	282	36	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	456	405	65	12	2	13	35	212	13	20	5	160	250	296	546	136	275	46	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	543	487	93	17	3	17	39	195	12	16	3	191	266	343	609	152	267	36	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	33	30	5	1	0	0	2	12	1	4	0	167	242	200	442	33	282	36	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	456	405	65	12	2	13	35	212	13	20	5	160	250	296	546	136	275	46	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	543	487	93	17	3	17	39	195	12	16	3	191	266	343	609	152	267	36	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	CLE	—	426	389	70	22	3	13	26	177	8	17	0	180	246	352	598	172	282	42	6	261	63	-19	+3	+0	-3	+9	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AA RAW	CLE	—	283	248	67	20	3	16	26	90	6	12	0	270	354	569	922	298	352	32	9	395	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AAA RAW	CLE	—	143	129	22	9	1	2	12	56	2	5	0	171	252	302	554	132	282	39	8	253	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	AA MLE	CLE	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		279	44	11	268	67	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	AA MLE	CLE	—	435	397	71	22	3	13	27	181	8	17	0	179	245	348	593	169	282	42	6	261	63	-19	+3	-0	-3	+9	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CLE	35%	539	488	93	23	3	18	37	204	9	14	1	191	260	361	621	170	280	38	7	279	75	-16	+2	-1	-3	+12	-0.6
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	47%	576	521	105	25	4	21	41	209	9	14	1	202	271	386	657	184	282	36	7	288	81	-13	+2	-1	-3	+12	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	598	540	111	26	4	22	43	212	10	14	1	206	277	391	667	185	283	35	7	292	84	-11	+2	-1	-4	+13	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	609	549	112	26	4	22	45	214	10	14	1	204	276	386	663	182	283	35	7	294	85	-11	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	612	551	113	26	4	23	46	215	10	14	1	205	278	392	670	187	283	35	8	294	85	-11	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	608	547	111	26	3	22	46	215	10	13	1	203	277	382	659	179	282	35	8	293	85	-11	+2	-2	-4	+13	-0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	600	539	108	25	3	22	46	213	10	11	1	200	276	380	656	180	281	36	8	292	83	-12	+2	-3	-4	+13	-0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	590	531	106	25	3	21	45	211	9	10	1	200	274	377	650	177	280	36	8	289	82	-13	+2	-3	-4	+13	-0.6
2027	23	MLB CTX	CLE	35%	190	172	32	8	1	6	13	72	3	5	0	186	255	349	604	163	279	38	7	265	75	-6	+1	-0	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	47%	268	243	49	12	1	10	19	97	4	7	0	202	271	383	653	181	281	36	7	274	81	-6	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	310	279	56	13	2	11	23	110	5	7	0	201	274	380	654	179	282	35	7	279	84	-6	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	331	299	61	14	2	12	24	116	5	8	0	204	274	385	659	181	282	35	7	281	85	-6	+2	-1	-2	+7	0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	332	299	61	14	2	12	25	117	5	7	0	204	277	385	661	181	282	35	8	281	85	-6	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	330	297	60	14	2	12	25	117	5	7	0	202	275	384	659	182	281	35	8	280	85	-6	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	319	287	58	13	2	12	24	113	5	6	0	202	275	387	662	185	280	35	8	278	83	-6	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	335	301	60	14	2	12	26	120	5	6	0	199	274	379	653	179	278	36	8	276	82	-7	+1	-2	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2415	2177	437	102	14	87	179	862	37	53	0	201	273	380	653	180	282	36	7	278	78	-49	+11	-7	-14	+52	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	117	27	4	23	48	232	10	14	0	200	272	377	649	177	281	36	7	278	78	-13	+3	-2	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5773	5198	1023	232	33	201	426	2116	103	144	16	197	271	370	641	173	282	37	7	284	78	-98	+18	-14	-28	+103	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	116	26	4	23	48	238	12	16	2	198	273	374	647	176	284	37	7	284	78	-13	+2	-2	-4	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#3Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.6	2,421	88	52	202	272	384	-15	+0	1.2	1.3
/162	664	24	14	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfonsin Rosario (OGILVIE)	22	20→32	40→55	45→49	40	182/251/345	163	279	10	10	40%	7%	67	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	36→34	50→60	50	36	193/240/341	148	278	18	14	37%	6%	61	-1.5	207/269/387	180	291	23	14	36%	7%	83	+0.1	201/270/393	193	274	26	13	36%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Rece Hinds 2023 · AA	22	37→42	48→55	50→55	32	185/241/327	142	319	16	14	45%	6%	58	-1.7	201/251/362	161	322	19	19	41%	5%	70	-0.9	201/250/372	172	302	21	22	40%	5%	70	-0.7
●Trayce Thompson 2013 · AAA	22	36→46	51→60	51→50	36	191/247/353	161	284	19	10	39%	6%	66	-1.1	199/258/334	135	277	14	15	32%	7%	66	-1.1	206/295/413	207	291	28	7	37%	10%	97	+0.6
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	36→44	49→50	49→45	39	193/251/345	152	262	17	9	33%	6%	66	-1.1	207/266/332	125	289	12	7	31%	7%	68	-1.0	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Nelson Velázquez 2022 · AA	23	42→38	49→60	53→50	33	211/255/358	146	324	18	13	39%	5%	70	-0.8	209/271/388	179	289	24	14	35%	7%	84	+0.1	201/271/385	185	259	25	12	32%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Wladimir Balentien 2007 · AA	23	40→45	52→55	48→50	39	208/267/373	165	294	20	10	35%	7%	78	-0.3	220/280/385	165	277	20	9	27%	7%	86	+0.3	220/282/388	168	265	20	8	25%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Michael Toglia 2022 · AA	23	38→39	48→55	49→45	42	193/265/335	142	287	16	9	37%	8%	70	-0.9	197/270/360	163	275	21	7	35%	9%	77	-0.3	202/279/386	184	273	24	7	34%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Johan Mieses 2017 · A	22	36→33	52→55	44→50	35	198/245/367	169	270	20	8	35%	5%	69	-0.9	184/234/333	149	254	20	4	35%	5%	57	-1.8	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A	22	43→29	47→60	51→50	42	209/299/349	140	319	15	12	36%	8%	86	+0.3	204/282/377	173	332	21	8	42%	8%	86	+0.3	193/269/382	189	315	25	12	44%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	36	49→50	54→50	37	192/251/336	144	277	17	14	36%	6%	64	-1.3	200/259/334	134	299	16	13	36%	7%	67	-1.1	181/245/299	117	275	13	12	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Sam Huff 2020 · A	22	37→40	48→55	44→45	30	191/233/328	136	303	17	6	42%	4%	55	-1.9	212/260/373	161	331	22	4	41%	5%	76	-0.4	214/277/388	174	309	26	1	38%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Carlos Rincon 2021 · AA	23	37→39	49→55	46→45	39	196/261/341	145	286	18	5	37%	7%	70	-0.9	211/261/361	150	298	18	6	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/250/356	156	275	20	4	34%	5%	65	-0.6
✕Travis Demeritte 2018 · AA	23	37→44	48→55	47→50	39	191/251/332	141	291	15	9	38%	7%	63	-1.4	204/270/356	152	296	17	7	35%	8%	76	-0.4	205/271/367	162	301	19	9	36%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Greg Halman 2010 · AA	22	36→40	52→55	49→50	31	194/240/354	160	289	21	15	40%	4%	64	-1.3	201/250/355	154	317	19	18	41%	5%	68	-1.0	193/242/349	156	305	20	22	42%	5%	60	-1.0
✕Brian McFall 2006 · A	22	38→44	46→55	51→50	36	193/259/315	122	286	14	12	36%	5%	63	-1.4	202/261/354	152	279	18	9	33%	5%	72	-0.7	209/271/356	147	280	17	8	30%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→41	48→55	46→50	35	195/236/334	139	275	15	6	35%	5%	57	-1.8	212/267/368	156	279	19	8	31%	6%	78	-0.3	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2023 · AAA	22	37→40	55	47→45	37	207/259/388	181	272	24	5	33%	5%	80	-0.2	203/260/368	165	260	22	3	31%	6%	75	-0.5	195/249/365	169	248	24	1	32%	5%	68	-0.6
✕Anthony García 2014 · A	22	38→47	49→55	44→45	37	200/256/352	152	273	17	6	33%	5%	70	-0.9	207/275/344	137	258	14	6	25%	7%	75	-0.5	219/290/359	140	265	17	4	24%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Romy Gonzalez 2019 · A	22	39→44	47→50	53→55	34	193/243/327	134	308	14	10	41%	6%	59	-1.7	201/257/316	115	309	11	12	36%	6%	61	-1.5	277/323/436	159	352	16	16	25%	6%	111	+0.9
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→55	48→55	42	197/259/341	144	266	16	12	32%	7%	68	-1.0	215/261/367	152	281	19	15	30%	5%	75	-0.5	224/265/381	157	284	20	15	28%	5%	77	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps