Alfonsin Rosario

Alfonsin RosarioOF Akron RubberDucks

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 222 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION283 act + 188 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .383

PA188

HR7

SB6

K%38

BB%7

BABIP295

ISO183

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$6M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.7M
2033	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$26M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	33	30	5	1	0	0	2	12	1	4	0	167	242	200	442	33	278	36	6	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	33	28	7	1	0	0	4	8	1	4	0	250	364	286	649	36	350	24	12	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	456	404	66	12	2	15	35	215	13	20	5	163	252	314	567	151	287	47	8	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	456	383	88	18	4	16	56	147	13	20	5	230	347	423	770	193	321	32	12	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	3 teams	—	543	489	90	15	3	18	40	201	12	16	3	184	262	337	600	153	265	37	7	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	3 teams	—	543	471	113	22	3	21	58	152	12	16	3	240	338	433	771	193	307	28	11	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	CLE	—	283	257	53	15	2	13	17	116	6	12	0	206	271	432	703	226	305	41	6	306	92	-2	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.6
YTD	22	AA	CLE	—	283	248	67	20	3	16	26	90	6	12	0	270	354	569	922	298	352	32	9	395	160	+19	+2	+0	-2	+8	2.9
ROS	22	AA	CLE	2%	188	169	34	8	1	7	13	72	4	6	0	200	273	383	656	183	284	38	7	290	80	-4	+1	-0	-1	+5	0.1
ROS	22	MLB	CLE	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0						285	50	0	275	69	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	AA	CLE	—	287	261	53	15	2	13	17	118	6	12	0	203	268	425	693	222	301	41	6	306	92	-3	+2	-0	-2	+8	0.6
TOT	22	AA	CLE	—	471	426	87	23	3	20	30	188	10	18	0	204	272	412	685	209	301	40	6	300	87	-7	+4	-0	-3	+13	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CLE	35%	539	487	100	22	3	22	37	197	10	13	1	205	275	398	674	193	287	37	7	297	86	-9	+2	-1	-3	+15	0.4
2028	24	MLB	CLE	47%	576	520	110	24	4	23	41	202	10	13	1	212	282	406	688	194	288	35	7	303	90	-6	+2	-1	-3	+16	0.8
2029	25	MLB	CLE	52%	598	539	116	25	4	25	44	205	10	13	1	215	287	416	702	200	289	34	7	307	93	-5	+2	-1	-4	+17	1.0
2030	26	MLB	CLE	54%	609	549	118	25	4	25	45	207	10	13	1	215	286	412	698	197	289	34	7	308	94	-4	+2	-1	-4	+17	1.1
2031	27	MLB	CLE	54%	612	551	118	25	4	25	46	208	10	13	1	214	287	410	697	196	288	34	8	308	94	-4	+2	-1	-4	+17	1.1
2032	28	MLB	CLE	54%	608	546	117	25	4	25	47	208	10	12	1	214	289	412	701	198	288	34	8	307	93	-5	+2	-2	-4	+17	0.9
2033	29	MLB	CLE	53%	600	539	114	25	3	24	46	206	10	11	1	212	286	403	688	191	287	34	8	305	92	-6	+2	-3	-4	+17	0.7
2034	30	MLB	CLE	52%	590	529	111	24	3	24	46	204	10	10	1	210	285	403	688	193	285	35	8	303	90	-7	+2	-3	-4	+17	0.5
2035	31	MLB	CLE	52%	576	516	107	23	3	23	45	201	10	9	1	207	284	397	681	190	283	35	8	299	87	-9	+1	-4	-3	+16	0.2
2036	32	MLB	CLE	52%	558	501	101	21	3	21	43	197	9	8	1	202	277	381	658	180	279	35	8	293	82	-11	+1	-5	-3	+16	-0.2
2027	23	MLB	CLE	35%	190	172	36	8	1	8	13	69	3	5	0	209	277	407	684	198	287	36	7	284	76	-5	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.0
2028	24	MLB	CLE	47%	268	242	51	11	2	11	19	94	5	6	0	211	282	409	691	198	289	35	7	290	80	-6	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.1
2029	25	MLB	CLE	52%	310	279	60	13	2	13	23	106	5	7	1	215	287	416	702	201	289	34	7	294	83	-6	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.1
2030	26	MLB	CLE	54%	331	297	65	14	2	14	25	113	6	7	1	219	293	421	714	202	289	34	8	296	84	-6	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.2
2031	27	MLB	CLE	54%	332	298	65	14	2	14	25	113	6	7	1	218	292	419	711	201	289	34	8	296	85	-6	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.2
2032	28	MLB	CLE	54%	330	296	63	14	2	13	25	113	6	7	0	213	287	405	693	193	288	34	8	295	84	-6	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.2
2033	29	MLB	CLE	53%	319	286	61	13	2	13	25	110	5	6	0	213	288	409	697	196	287	34	8	293	82	-6	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.1
2034	30	MLB	CLE	52%	309	277	58	12	2	12	24	107	5	5	0	209	284	397	681	188	286	35	8	290	80	-7	+1	-2	-2	+9	-0.1
2035	31	MLB	CLE	52%	300	269	56	12	2	12	23	105	5	5	0	208	283	401	684	193	283	35	8	286	77	-8	+1	-2	-2	+8	-0.2
2036	32	MLB	CLE	52%	289	260	52	11	1	11	22	102	5	4	0	200	275	377	652	177	279	35	8	281	73	-9	+1	-2	-2	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2982	2680	567	122	18	121	224	1034	51	59	3	212	285	406	691	194	289	35	8	291	81	-64	+11	-12	-18	+84	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	124	27	4	26	49	225	11	13	1	212	286	406	692	193	291	35	8	291	81	-14	+2	-3	-4	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	7086	6369	1307	275	41	277	530	2535	129	161	18	205	280	392	671	187	287	36	7	296	84	-124	+25	-23	-43	+201	3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	119	25	4	25	49	233	12	15	2	204	279	389	668	185	286	36	8	296	84	-11	+2	-2	-4	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	33	28	7	1	0	0	4	8	1	4	0	250	364	286	649	36	350	24	12	310	96	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	456	383	88	18	4	16	56	147	13	20	5	230	347	423	770	193	321	32	12	344	121	+11	+2	—	—	+13	2.6
2025	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	145	128	27	6	1	5	15	48	2	2	1	211	303	391	694	180	293	33	10	312	97	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	354	306	82	16	2	16	37	89	9	12	1	268	364	490	854	222	325	25	10	376	146	+18	+2	—	—	+10	3.1
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	44	37	4	0	0	0	6	15	1	2	1	108	250	108	358		182	34	14	194	7	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	9	3,373	207	32	195	320	459	-29	-11	13.5	14.1
#1Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	/162	664	41	6	195	320	459	-5.6	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 15
#2Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	11	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
	/162	664	35	4	227	287	459	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#3Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#4Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,984	120	58	211	282	405	-18	+0	4.0	3.9
	/162	664	27	13	211	282	405	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfonsin Rosario (OGILVIE)	22	20→32	40→55	45→49	40	204/272/412	209	301	20	18	40%	6%	87	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	36→34	50→60	50	35	193/236/341	148	280	19	14	38%	5%	54	-1.4	209/272/403	194	297	25	14	37%	7%	86	+0.8	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
●Trayce Thompson 2013 · AAA	22	35→45	52→65	51→50	36	192/246/359	167	283	20	10	39%	6%	63	-0.8	195/254/335	140	281	15	15	34%	6%	60	-1.0	211/299/435	223	292	31	7	37%	10%	103	+1.1
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	36→46	50	49→45	38	193/249/349	157	265	18	9	34%	6%	63	-0.9	212/270/345	133	295	14	7	31%	6%	69	-0.4	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
●Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→60	48→55	41	195/256/339	145	267	16	12	33%	7%	63	-0.9	222/268/400	178	287	24	15	31%	5%	83	+0.6	235/274/422	187	292	26	15	29%	5%	88	+0.8
✕Johan Mieses 2017 · A	22	35→33	53→55	44→50	35	195/242/365	170	267	21	8	36%	5%	63	-0.8	181/230/331	150	256	20	4	37%	5%	50	-1.8	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Rece Hinds 2023 · AA	22	37→41	49→60	50→55	33	187/244/331	144	313	17	14	44%	6%	55	-1.4	200/249/369	169	324	21	19	43%	5%	67	-0.5	203/259/391	188	291	25	20	38%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Wladimir Balentien 2007 · AA	23	40→45	53→55	48→50	39	208/267/380	172	297	21	10	36%	7%	78	+0.2	220/280/387	167	278	20	9	28%	7%	85	+0.7	219/280/398	179	263	21	7	25%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Alex Binelas 2023 · AA	23	34→26	54→50	51→50	41	194/261/370	176	265	24	7	36%	8%	72	-0.2	200/264/348	148	298	18	12	37%	8%	68	-0.5	226/305/379	153	324	20	8	34%	9%	90	+0.6
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2023 · AAA	22	37→40	55	47→45	37	206/258/387	181	273	24	5	34%	5%	76	+0.1	206/262/379	173	264	24	3	31%	6%	76	+0.1	200/256/371	171	251	24	1	31%	5%	68	-0.4
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	35→45	50→60	51→45	45	191/275/338	147	260	19	8	33%	9%	71	-0.3	228/294/419	191	283	24	6	28%	8%	99	+1.7	225/292/420	195	273	25	7	27%	8%	97	+1.3
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA	23	37→46	48→60	54→50	36	196/246/338	142	285	17	16	37%	6%	57	-1.2	225/294/422	197	299	25	12	32%	8%	100	+1.7	224/302/430	206	282	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
●Coby Mayo 2023 · AA	21	42→45	50→60	51→45	41	217/278/367	150	295	18	8	32%	7%	79	+0.3	225/302/408	183	301	21	5	31%	9%	100	+1.7	221/303/414	193	290	23	4	31%	9%	99	+1.4
✕Michael Chavis 2018 · AA	22	39→46	53→60	47→45	36	212/257/384	172	278	22	4	32%	4%	75	-0.0	230/286/409	179	310	24	6	33%	6%	93	+1.3	230/291/409	179	312	25	5	33%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Nelson Velázquez 2022 · AA	23	42→38	50→60	53→50	32	213/256/364	152	326	19	13	40%	5%	69	-0.4	212/274/400	188	294	25	14	35%	7%	86	+0.8	205/274/399	195	264	27	12	33%	8%	84	+0.5
●Nolan Gorman 2022 · AAA	22	41→43	52→60	49→45	37	220/262/376	156	288	21	6	32%	5%	74	-0.1	223/287/423	200	298	29	7	34%	8%	98	+1.6	213/287/426	213	282	31	7	35%	9%	96	+1.2
●Jo Adell 2021 · MLB	22	42→44	49→65	49→50	37	211/264/356	146	309	17	9	36%	6%	70	-0.3	224/274/426	202	308	26	10	35%	5%	93	+1.3	218/285/448	231	251	34	12	29%	7%	102	+1.5
✕Carlos Rincon 2021 · AA	23	37	50→55	46→45	38	194/260/344	150	292	19	5	39%	7%	66	-0.6	211/260/374	163	299	21	6	36%	6%	73	-0.1	200/248/370	171	272	24	4	36%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A	22	43→29	47→60	51→50	42	209/299/349	140	319	15	12	36%	8%	84	+0.6	207/283/386	179	333	22	8	41%	8%	86	+0.8	194/270/396	201	315	27	12	45%	8%	82	+0.3
●Bobby Bradley 2018 · AA	22	38→40	53→65	44→40	38	204/263/371	167	291	23	4	37%	7%	73	-0.1	219/275/440	221	298	30	3	36%	7%	97	+1.5	208/272/450	242	270	35	0	37%	7%	96	+1.2
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	42→44	50	51→45	45	210/316/367	157	290	18	7	32%	8%	96	+1.5	216/319/370	154	271	17	7	26%	8%	98	+1.6	214/320/367	152	267	17	7	25%	8%	95	+0.9