Joshua Mears — OGILVIE

Joshua MearsRF San Antonio Missions

Age 26 R/R 6'3" / 230 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .246 / .328

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%5

BABIP251

ISO140

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	AZL Padres 1	—	195	166	42	4	3	7	23	59	4	9	1	253	358	440	797	187	343	30	12	353	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	291	242	59	10	4	17	36	114	12	10	5	244	369	529	898	285	375	39	12	392	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	94	83	14	2	0	5	10	45	1	1	0	169	266	373	639	205	273	48	11	287	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	207	184	41	11	0	14	16	90	6	1	1	223	306	511	817	288	333	43	8	354	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	66	56	15	6	1	3	8	26	1	2	0	268	369	571	941	304	429	39	12	400	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	227	190	30	9	0	9	29	96	7	13	5	158	292	347	639	189	244	42	13	293	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	74	69	12	3	0	6	4	35	1	1	1	174	230	478	708	304	214	47	5	305	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	206	191	41	5	1	10	11	69	2	8	3	215	265	408	673	194	272	33	5	294	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	164	144	24	3	1	5	12	55	6	5	4	167	259	306	565	139	221	34	7	257	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 1	—	195	174	28	2	2	5	15	85	4	9	1	161	244	282	525	121	262	44	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	291	253	37	5	2	12	25	166	12	10	5	146	255	324	579	178	324	57	9	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	94	85	11	1	0	4	8	54	1	1	0	129	213	282	495	153	260	57	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	207	188	29	7	0	10	12	115	6	1	1	154	228	351	579	197	289	56	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	66	59	9	3	1	2	5	38	1	2	0	153	231	339	570	186	311	58	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	227	198	23	6	0	7	21	120	7	13	5	116	226	253	478	136	209	53	9	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	74	70	8	2	0	4	3	43	1	1	1	114	162	314	476	200	191	58	4	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	206	195	31	3	1	8	7	89	2	8	3	159	196	308	504	149	230	43	3	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	164	148	21	2	1	4	8	64	6	5	4	142	216	250	466	108	201	39	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 1	—	195	174	28	2	2	5	15	85	4	9	1	161	244	282	525	121	267	44	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 1	—	195	166	42	4	3	7	23	59	4	9	1	253	358	440	797	187	343	30	12	353	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	291	253	37	5	2	12	25	166	12	10	5	146	255	324	579	178	329	57	9	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	291	242	59	10	4	17	36	114	12	10	5	244	369	529	898	285	375	39	12	392	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	367	333	49	12	1	16	24	208	8	4	1	147	222	333	555	186	297	57	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	367	323	70	19	1	22	34	161	8	4	1	217	307	486	793	269	338	44	9	345	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	227	198	23	6	0	7	21	120	7	13	5	116	226	253	478	136	222	53	9	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	227	190	30	9	0	9	29	96	7	13	5	158	292	347	639	189	244	42	13	293	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	280	265	41	6	1	12	10	132	3	9	4	155	194	321	515	166	236	47	4	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	280	260	53	8	1	16	15	104	3	9	4	204	255	427	682	223	261	37	5	297	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	164	148	21	2	1	4	8	64	6	5	4	142	216	250	466	108	207	39	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	—	164	144	24	3	1	5	12	55	6	5	4	167	259	306	565	139	221	34	7	257	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 1	—	195	174	28	2	2	5	15	85	4	9	1	161	244	282	525	121	262	44	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	291	252	37	5	2	12	25	166	12	10	5	147	255	325	581	179	324	57	9	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	367	332	49	12	1	16	24	208	8	4	1	148	222	334	556	187	286	57	7	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	227	197	23	6	0	7	21	120	7	13	5	117	226	254	479	137	209	53	9	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	280	265	41	6	1	12	10	132	3	9	4	155	194	321	515	166	220	47	4	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	164	149	21	2	1	4	8	64	6	5	4	141	216	248	464	107	201	39	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	280	265	41	6	1	12	10	132	3	9	4	155	194	321	515	166	220	47	4	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	164	149	21	2	1	4	8	64	6	5	4	141	216	248	464	107	201	39	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	2%	214	197	38	7	1	6	11	67	4	4	2	194	248	331	579	137	256	31	5	258	61	-10	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	191	246	328	574	137	251	33	0	256	61	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	27%	212	196	38	7	1	6	11	66	3	4	2	195	251	332	582	136	257	31	5	260	62	-10	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.7
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	27%	57	53	11	2	0	2	3	18	1	1	0	193	248	329	577	136	252	32	5	258	62	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	57	53	11	2	0	2	3	18	1	1	0	208	263	358	622	151	273	32	5	258	46	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	126	23	0	23	34	205	11	11	0	209	263	361	624	152	274	32	5	258	46	-29	+2	+0	-7	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1882	1703	264	45	9	66	121	887	45	57	23	155	230	308	538	153	260	47	6	236	46	-16	+0	+0	-4	+8	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	92	16	3	23	42	306	16	20	8	156	232	311	543	155	262	47	6	236	46	-30	+0	+0	-7	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joshua Mears (OGILVIE)	26	20	45	50	35	192/246/328	136	256	4	3	31%	5%	61	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	34→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/243/305	121	244	14	10	31%	6%	54	-2.0	209/255/340	131	279	14	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	47→45	52→50	42	196/260/323	127	273	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	197/275/307	110	300	10	14	35%	9%	66	-1.1	186/271/290	104	286	8	12	35%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Jordan Nwogu 2024 · AA	25	36	48→50	51→55	36	188/253/324	136	286	17	17	39%	6%	62	-1.4	206/267/304	98	294	10	22	31%	6%	62	-1.4	212/276/293	80	294	7	25	28%	6%	61	-0.8
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	34→30	44→45	49→50	45	182/254/292	110	240	14	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	210/285/321	111	280	12	12	27%	9%	73	-0.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	36→32	48→50	43→40	42	193/258/328	135	252	17	5	31%	7%	65	-1.2	199/277/337	138	247	17	5	26%	8%	75	-0.5	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Andrés Alvarez 2024 · AA	27	37→32	45	51→50	42	191/256/309	118	267	13	13	33%	7%	59	-1.6	214/278/326	112	303	11	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	220/290/326	106	314	9	12	31%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Dustin Lawley 2015 · AAA	26	38→42	49→50	45	37	200/242/348	149	265	16	6	32%	5%	63	-1.3	196/236/315	119	269	12	9	31%	4%	53	-2.1	171/204/270	99	232	9	10	31%	3%	28	-2.4
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	50→55	49→50	41	203/260/349	146	252	19	7	28%	6%	71	-0.8	214/287/385	171	278	22	9	31%	8%	89	+0.5	197/278/378	180	249	24	7	31%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Cody Puckett 2013 · AAA	26	39→40	47→50	50	40	202/254/338	136	263	15	11	30%	6%	65	-1.2	213/256/350	137	247	17	10	22%	5%	69	-0.9	206/240/347	141	216	21	8	17%	4%	59	-1.1
✕Matt Gorski 2024 · AAA	26	36→34	51→55	56→55	37	196/245/348	152	264	20	21	34%	6%	65	-1.2	202/250/363	161	283	20	16	35%	6%	70	-0.9	190/239/355	165	267	20	14	36%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Jesus Valdez 2024 · AA	26	37	47→45	49→50	31	198/225/332	134	276	16	9	34%	3%	53	-2.1	205/253/310	105	291	11	6	32%	5%	58	-1.7	193/252/279	86	271	10	3	31%	6%	48	-0.8
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	42	46→40	48→55	42	209/269/335	126	284	13	14	30%	7%	70	-0.8	228/297/333	105	298	8	27	25%	8%	80	-0.2	233/309/320	88	303	5	48	23%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jay Brossman 2011 · AA	26	37→36	45	44→45	40	191/243/313	122	240	12	7	26%	5%	55	-1.9	207/255/324	117	279	12	11	29%	6%	62	-1.4	185/222/306	120	244	15	17	31%	4%	42	-0.5
✕Tyler Marincov 2018 · AA	26	41	45→50	44→50	39	207/261/331	125	288	13	9	32%	6%	66	-1.1	197/254/334	137	295	17	11	37%	6%	65	-1.2	166/221/292	126	240	18	14	39%	6%	42	-1.8
✕Will Wilson 2024 · AAA	26	40→39	48→50	44→45	41	207/264/341	134	274	17	6	31%	7%	70	-0.8	206/265/303	97	274	10	8	27%	7%	61	-1.5	191/253/271	79	256	8	7	27%	7%	47	-1.8
✕Kalian Sams 2013 · AA	26	33→26	51→55	56→55	33	184/229/339	155	276	20	17	41%	5%	57	-1.8	210/270/370	160	294	20	16	34%	7%	79	-0.2	184/259/363	179	235	26	18	34%	8%	71	-0.3
✕Jake Adams 2021 · AA	25	37→35	49→50	44→45	37	200/250/343	142	279	19	7	35%	6%	65	-1.2	194/250/303	109	354	12	9	46%	5%	55	-1.9	92/147/161	68	211	10	4	59%	3%	-14	-1.2
✕Kody Kirkland 2009 · AAA	26	38→42	46→50	48→45	38	194/255/326	132	278	14	10	34%	6%	63	-1.3	203/260/314	111	280	10	10	30%	6%	61	-1.5	173/225/258	86	234	6	7	28%	5%	34	-2.0
✕Jimmy Kerrigan 2021 · AAA	27	38→39	47→50	46→50	34	201/244/333	132	276	16	12	33%	4%	61	-1.5	212/265/347	135	333	16	13	39%	6%	72	-0.7	195/250/330	134	314	17	13	41%	5%	61	-1.0
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	35→25	44→50	49→50	35	182/236/299	117	270	12	9	36%	5%	50	-2.3	212/272/323	111	293	10	10	30%	5%	69	-0.9	212/282/301	88	289	5	9	26%	4%	65	-0.3