Dustin Lawley
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 24 | AAA/A+2 orgs | 535 | .262/.318/.513 | 26 | 6 | 60 | — | .194/.236/.357 |
| 2014 | 25 | AABinghamton Me… | 489 | .235/.292/.438 | 20 | 4 | 52 | — | .189/.230/.338 |
| 2015 | 26 | AA/A+2 orgs | 376 | .214/.260/.350 | 8 | 8 | 28 | — | .174/.209/.274 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | — | 256 | 232 | 66 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 284 | 333 | 500 | 833 | 216 | 315 | 19 | 5 | 355 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 543 | 482 | 126 | 35 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 122 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 261 | 337 | 434 | 771 | 172 | 318 | 22 | 9 | 340 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 42 | 41 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 286 | 439 | 725 | 171 | 323 | 21 | 2 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 21 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 333 | 550 | 883 | 250 | 294 | 10 | 0 | 386 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 514 | 469 | 122 | 33 | 5 | 25 | 36 | 111 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 260 | 317 | 512 | 829 | 252 | 286 | 22 | 7 | 356 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 489 | 447 | 105 | 29 | 1 | 20 | 35 | 134 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 235 | 292 | 438 | 731 | 204 | 287 | 27 | 7 | 319 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 346 | 322 | 67 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 83 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 208 | 257 | 345 | 601 | 137 | 252 | 24 | 5 | 267 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 30 | 29 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 300 | 414 | 714 | 138 | 381 | 27 | 3 | 315 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 256 | 237 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 68 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 215 | 253 | 371 | 624 | 156 | 249 | 27 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 543 | 502 | 107 | 29 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 159 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 213 | 264 | 351 | 615 | 137 | 276 | 29 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 21 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 333 | 550 | 883 | 250 | 257 | 14 | 0 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 514 | 481 | 91 | 29 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 161 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 189 | 232 | 349 | 582 | 160 | 243 | 31 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 489 | 461 | 87 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 162 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 189 | 230 | 338 | 569 | 150 | 248 | 33 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 346 | 328 | 56 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 103 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 171 | 207 | 271 | 478 | 101 | 222 | 30 | 3 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 30 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 233 | 310 | 544 | 103 | 327 | 40 | 3 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 256 | 237 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 68 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 215 | 253 | 371 | 624 | 156 | 262 | 27 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | ROK RAW | Kingsport Mets | — | 256 | 232 | 66 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 284 | 333 | 500 | 833 | 216 | 315 | 19 | 5 | 355 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 541 | 115 | 31 | 3 | 12 | 33 | 171 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 213 | 264 | 348 | 612 | 135 | 283 | 29 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 585 | 523 | 137 | 39 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 131 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 262 | 333 | 434 | 767 | 172 | 319 | 22 | 9 | 338 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 535 | 501 | 97 | 31 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 164 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 194 | 236 | 357 | 594 | 164 | 250 | 31 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 535 | 489 | 128 | 35 | 5 | 26 | 36 | 113 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 262 | 318 | 513 | 831 | 252 | 287 | 21 | 7 | 358 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 489 | 461 | 87 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 162 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 189 | 230 | 338 | 569 | 150 | 251 | 33 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA RAW | Binghamton Mets | — | 489 | 447 | 105 | 29 | 1 | 20 | 35 | 134 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 235 | 292 | 438 | 731 | 204 | 287 | 27 | 7 | 319 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 376 | 357 | 62 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 115 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 174 | 209 | 275 | 484 | 101 | 234 | 31 | 3 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 376 | 351 | 75 | 24 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 91 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 214 | 260 | 350 | 610 | 137 | 263 | 24 | 5 | 271 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 256 | 242 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 68 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 211 | 253 | 364 | 617 | 153 | 249 | 27 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 542 | 115 | 31 | 3 | 12 | 33 | 171 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 212 | 264 | 347 | 611 | 135 | 276 | 29 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 535 | 502 | 97 | 31 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 164 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 193 | 236 | 357 | 593 | 163 | 244 | 31 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 489 | 461 | 87 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 162 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 189 | 230 | 338 | 569 | 150 | 248 | 33 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 376 | 357 | 62 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 115 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 174 | 209 | 275 | 484 | 101 | 230 | 31 | 3 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2241 | 2097 | 412 | 114 | 9 | 55 | 100 | 680 | 19 | 37 | 20 | 196 | 240 | 338 | 578 | 142 | 258 | 30 | 4 | 250 | 55 | -120 | -1 | +0 | -24 | +49 | -9.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 608 | 120 | 33 | 3 | 16 | 29 | 197 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 197 | 241 | 340 | 582 | 143 | 259 | 30 | 4 | 250 | 55 | -35 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 346 PAwOBA .262 → .209 (−53)K% 24.0% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.99% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.62% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 3.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.32% | ÷0.970 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 15.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.37% | ÷1.026 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 6.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.35% | ÷0.994 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.60% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 94, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .262 → .209; ISO .137 → .102; BABIP .252 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Salem Red Sox · 30 PAwOBA .306 → .216 (−91)K% 26.7% → 39.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.960 | ×1.420 | — | — | 39.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.33% | ÷1.036 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 1.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.026 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.968 | 16.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 15.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.841 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 105, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 92, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .306 → .216; ISO .138 → .096; BABIP .381 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABinghamton Mets · 489 PAwOBA .312 → .245 (−67)K% 27.4% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.40% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.16% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.57% | ÷0.990 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 16.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.27% | ÷1.050 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 7.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.036 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.39% | ÷1.009 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 4.93% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 107, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .312 → .245; ISO .204 → .152; BABIP .287 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+St. Lucie Mets · 514 PAwOBA .347 → .255 (−92)K% 21.6% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.60% | ÷0.979 | ×1.420 | — | — | 31.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.03% | ÷0.949 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 4.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.48% | ÷1.052 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×0.988 | 13.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.22% | ÷0.959 | ×0.960 | ×0.973 | ×0.988 | 8.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.40% | ÷1.114 | ×0.810 | ×0.973 | ×0.988 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.98% | ÷1.370 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 4.43% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 174, 1B 110, 2B 92, 3B 123, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .347 → .255; ISO .252 → .168; BABIP .286 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAALas Vegas 51s · 21 PAwOBA .374 → .311 (−63)K% 9.5% → 12.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.952 | ×1.290 | — | — | 12.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.994 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 4.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.048 | 15.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.023 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 9.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.078 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 4.21% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 90, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .374 → .311; ISO .250 → .189; BABIP .294 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ASavannah Sand Gnats · 543 PAwOBA .334 → .267 (−67)K% 22.5% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.47% | ÷1.032 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.02% | ÷1.055 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 5.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.56% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×0.990 | 18.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.72% | ÷0.920 | ×0.820 | ×0.969 | ×0.990 | 8.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.105 | ×0.940 | ×0.969 | ×0.990 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.89% | ÷0.954 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 3.31% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 84, 3B 121, K 106, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .334 → .267; ISO .172 → .142; BABIP .318 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKKingsport Mets · 256 PAwOBA .353 → .262 (−91)K% 18.8% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.975 | 3.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.17% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.975 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.020 | ×0.975 | 16.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.020 | ×0.975 | 6.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.020 | ×0.975 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.975 | 3.82% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .353 → .262; ISO .216 → .157; BABIP .315 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .