Tyler Hardman — OGILVIE

Tyler Hardman3B Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 228 lbs AAA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION511 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP257

ISO148

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	114	101	24	5	0	4	9	45	2	4	1	238	312	406	718	168	370	39	8	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	16	15	1	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	67	67	67	133		100	38	0	57	-76	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2022	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	447	397	104	16	2	22	40	136	3	14	4	262	334	479	813	217	333	30	9	353	125	+13	+1	—	—	+10	2.5
2022	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	83	77	25	6	1	6	6	22	0	1	0	325	373	662	1.036	338	388	27	7	444	187	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2023	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	331	283	67	9	2	26	40	110	3	9	3	237	337	558	896	322	270	33	12	381	144	+17	+1	—	—	+7	2.6
2024	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	309	269	47	6	1	8	33	120	2	12	2	175	269	294	563	119	269	39	11	257	60	-15	+2	—	—	+7	-0.7
2024	25	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	65	59	14	3	0	1	5	26	0	1	0	237	297	339	636	102	394	40	8	284	78	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	25	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	17	17	4	1	0	1	0	7	0	0	1	235	235	471	706	235	333	41	0	304	92	-0	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	26	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	453	413	94	25	5	20	38	143	1	12	3	228	294	458	752	230	295	32	8	329	109	+5	+1	—	—	+10	1.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	114	104	17	3	0	3	6	61	2	4	1	163	223	279	502	115	308	54	5	212	30	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2022	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	16	15	1	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	67	67	67	133		95	44	0	54	-77	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2022	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	447	410	80	13	2	16	27	179	3	14	4	195	250	354	604	159	279	40	6	261	63	-20	+1	—	—	+10	-0.9
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	331	295	55	8	2	19	28	133	3	9	3	186	264	420	684	234	233	40	8	290	82	-7	+1	—	—	+7	0.1
2024	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	309	280	39	5	1	6	23	144	2	12	2	139	210	229	438	89	238	47	7	198	20	-29	+2	—	—	+7	-2.1
2024	25	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	65	61	10	2	0	1	3	37	0	1	0	164	203	246	449	82	336	57	5	180	8	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2024	25	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	17	17	3	1	0	1	0	10	0	0	1	176	176	412	588	235	298	59	0	177	6	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	453	424	75	20	4	14	27	180	1	12	3	177	228	342	570	165	259	40	6	243	51	-27	+1	—	—	+10	-1.6
2021	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	114	104	17	3	0	3	6	61	2	4	1	163	223	279	502	115	333	54	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	114	101	24	5	0	4	9	45	2	4	1	238	312	406	718	168	370	39	8	316	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	546	503	96	16	2	19	32	220	3	15	4	191	243	344	587	153	283	40	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	546	489	130	22	3	28	46	164	3	15	4	266	333	495	828	229	334	30	8	358	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	331	295	55	8	2	19	28	133	3	9	3	186	264	420	684	234	243	40	8	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	—	331	283	67	9	2	26	40	110	3	9	3	237	337	558	896	322	270	33	12	381	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	391	358	51	8	1	7	26	191	2	13	3	142	205	229	434	87	267	49	7	194	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	391	345	65	10	1	10	38	153	2	13	3	188	272	310	582	122	294	39	10	264	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	453	424	75	20	4	14	27	180	1	12	3	177	228	342	570	165	264	40	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	—	453	413	94	25	5	20	38	143	1	12	3	228	294	458	752	230	295	32	8	329	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	114	105	17	3	0	3	6	61	2	4	1	162	223	276	499	114	308	54	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	546	506	96	16	2	19	32	220	3	15	4	190	243	342	585	152	273	40	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	331	297	55	8	2	19	28	133	3	9	3	185	264	418	681	232	233	40	8	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	391	360	51	8	1	7	26	191	2	13	3	142	205	228	432	86	257	49	7	194	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	453	422	75	20	4	14	27	180	1	12	3	178	228	344	571	166	259	40	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	331	297	55	8	2	19	28	133	3	9	3	185	264	418	681	232	233	40	8	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	391	360	51	8	1	7	26	191	2	13	3	142	205	228	432	86	257	49	7	194	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	453	422	75	20	4	14	27	180	1	12	3	178	228	344	571	166	259	40	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	NYY	—	511	468	93	16	0	19	33	150	8	11	1	199	263	355	618	156	246	29	6	269	69	-19	+2	+0	+2	+11	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA RAW	NYY	—	167	150	45	8	0	13	15	45	2	3	0	300	371	613	985	313	348	27	9	425	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA RAW	NYY	—	344	302	66	12	0	13	34	79	6	8	1	219	310	387	697	169	250	23	10	313	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AAA MLE	NYY	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		255	30	10	268	67	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	27	MLB CTX	NYY	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						257	0	0	265	67	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	NYY	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	265	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	27	AAA MLE	NYY	—	521	477	94	16	0	19	34	153	8	11	1	197	262	350	612	153	244	29	7	269	69	-20	+2	+0	+2	+11	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	NYY	31%	333	303	60	11	1	11	23	106	4	6	1	198	264	350	613	152	259	32	7	272	70	-12	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.3
2028	29	MLB MLE	NYY	40%	352	320	64	12	1	11	25	111	4	6	1	200	266	347	613	147	261	32	7	274	72	-12	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.4
2027	28	MLB CTX	NYY	31%	103	94	19	4	0	4	7	33	1	2	0	202	265	372	637	170	262	32	7	270	70	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	NYY	40%	139	127	26	5	0	5	10	44	1	2	0	205	268	362	630	157	263	32	7	272	72	-5	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	243	222	45	9	0	9	17	77	2	4	0	203	266	365	630	162	261	32	7	271	56	-8	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	120	24	0	24	45	206	5	11	0	202	264	364	627	162	260	32	7	271	56	-22	+2	-2	+2	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2530	2316	419	78	11	84	168	1005	19	65	16	181	242	333	575	152	268	40	7	251	56	-24	+2	-2	+2	+15	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	108	20	3	22	43	258	5	17	4	182	243	336	579	155	268	40	7	251	56	-22	+1	-2	+2	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	268	9	5	198	259	349	-4	-2	-0.7	-0.3
/162	664	22	12	-10.5	-3.7	-1.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Hardman (OGILVIE)	27	35	60	50	40	192/254/342	150	255	8	5	33%	7%	67	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richie Shaffer 2018 · MLB	27	36→39	47→55	46→40	41	187/260/320	133	278	16	5	37%	8%	64	-1.3	183/248/313	130	307	15	6	42%	7%	57	-1.8	117/175/233	116	202	14	0	49%	6%	9	-2.1
✕Brahiam Maldonado 2012 · AA	26	37→44	52→55	48→50	36	201/252/364	163	284	20	9	36%	6%	71	-0.8	210/258/342	132	278	15	9	29%	5%	68	-1.0	207/249/317	110	261	11	7	25%	4%	54	-0.9
✕Brock Kjeldgaard 2013 · AA	27	40→43	49→50	46→45	38	199/269/345	146	311	17	7	40%	7%	74	-0.6	194/273/331	137	287	17	5	36%	9%	72	-0.7	170/255/307	137	237	20	0	36%	9%	57	-1.6
✕Devin Harris 2015 · AA	27	39→40	50→55	44→40	38	206/252/366	160	275	18	3	32%	5%	71	-0.8	210/256/354	144	284	16	6	31%	6%	70	-0.9	195/240/341	146	255	17	4	30%	5%	57	-1.3
✕Melky Mesa 2014 · AAA	27	42→44	48→50	53→55	34	215/258/355	141	304	16	19	35%	4%	71	-0.8	209/246/328	119	313	12	9	36%	3%	59	-1.6	198/234/303	106	301	9	5	36%	3%	45	-1.4
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA	27	42→43	47→50	49→50	40	211/279/350	139	304	15	12	34%	7%	78	-0.3	208/282/351	143	321	16	15	38%	7%	80	-0.2	194/272/334	141	306	16	17	39%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	48→50	51→50	35	197/244/332	135	278	17	9	35%	5%	60	-1.6	219/269/349	130	282	14	11	27%	5%	73	-0.6	219/270/346	127	273	14	10	24%	5%	70	-0.5
✕Taylor Snyder 2022 · AAA	27	37→34	54→50	52→50	38	204/254/377	174	271	22	13	34%	6%	75	-0.5	183/240/315	132	290	16	14	40%	7%	55	-1.9	135/199/230	95	235	12	16	46%	7%	18	-1.7
✕Jim Haley 2022 · AA	27	37→44	48→50	53→55	34	195/246/333	137	283	16	20	36%	5%	61	-1.5	200/255/326	126	283	14	20	33%	5%	63	-1.4	198/255/315	117	273	13	22	31%	5%	57	-1.2
✕Kalian Sams 2013 · AA	26	34→27	51→55	56→55	33	187/233/344	157	281	20	17	41%	5%	59	-1.7	212/272/373	161	298	20	16	34%	7%	80	-0.1	189/263/369	180	243	26	18	34%	8%	74	-0.2
✕Adam Brett Walker 2018 · AAA	26	33→43	51→55	47→45	31	181/225/333	153	286	20	8	44%	5%	53	-2.1	197/258/339	142	319	16	8	41%	7%	68	-1.0	152/243/288	136	261	13	3	44%	10%	49	-0.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2022 · MLB	26	37→40	51→50	48→50	42	199/266/360	161	273	20	10	34%	8%	76	-0.4	193/263/325	132	270	15	13	32%	8%	66	-1.1	176/257/299	122	245	13	14	32%	9%	56	-1.1
✕Vince Fernandez 2022 · AA	27	39	53→55	51→45	36	202/270/375	172	306	21	6	39%	6%	80	-0.1	203/276/354	151	327	17	8	41%	7%	78	-0.3	174/257/325	151	291	16	6	43%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Mark Contreras 2022 · AAA	27	39→38	47→50	50→55	38	197/263/340	143	289	14	15	36%	6%	70	-0.9	200/262/323	123	290	14	24	34%	6%	65	-1.2	188/254/295	106	273	12	30	34%	6%	53	-1.5
✕Dustin Geiger 2019 · AA	27	38→47	45→50	46→40	39	195/256/312	118	283	13	6	35%	6%	60	-1.6	206/271/321	115	330	11	7	38%	7%	68	-1.0	166/240/282	116	284	11	0	42%	7%	45	-0.6
✕Jordan Qsar 2023 · AAA	27	39→37	52→55	52→50	38	195/268/363	168	324	20	13	44%	8%	77	-0.3	205/286/348	143	334	16	15	40%	9%	80	-0.1	183/285/318	135	294	16	20	39%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Jacob Heyward 2022 · AA	26	37→40	50→45	42→50	44	193/284/345	152	280	18	8	36%	9%	80	-0.2	194/266/321	127	304	15	6	39%	8%	66	-1.1	160/235/262	102	257	14	1	41%	8%	40	-1.9
✕CJ Alexander 2023 · AA	27	38→44	52→55	54→50	36	208/242/370	162	266	21	17	31%	4%	68	-1.0	211/258/374	163	279	20	9	31%	6%	75	-0.5	202/258/364	162	276	19	4	33%	7%	69	-0.6
✕Anthony Gallas 2015 · AAA	27	42	51→55	44→40	37	221/259/382	161	285	19	4	30%	5%	78	-0.3	216/259/362	146	284	17	5	29%	5%	73	-0.6	206/250/352	146	261	17	2	28%	5%	63	-1.1
✕Dustin Lawley 2015 · AAA	26	38→42	49→50	45	37	200/243/349	150	265	17	6	32%	5%	63	-1.3	196/236/316	120	269	12	9	31%	4%	53	-2.1	171/204/272	101	232	10	10	31%	3%	28	-2.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps