Carlos De La Cruz
OF Mayos de Navojoa| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AAA/AAPHI | 454 | .234/.303/.367 | 11 | 6 | 50 | — | .198/.252/.290 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAWSH | 470 | .221/.286/.389 | 13 | 12 | 50 | — | .189/.239/.328 |
| 2026 | 26 | INTLMayos de Navo… | 53 | .326/.415/.478 | 1 | 1 | 156 | — | |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBWSH | 380 | .189/.241/.306 | 7 | 6 | 52 | -0.5 | |
| 2028PROJ26% MLB | 28 | MLBWSH | 57 | .189/.242/.303 | 1 | 1 | 53 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Phillies East | — | 165 | 148 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 284 | 350 | 459 | 809 | 176 | 409 | 34 | 7 | 356 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 461 | 428 | 94 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 159 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 220 | 272 | 327 | 599 | 107 | 330 | 34 | 6 | 270 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 68 | 62 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 299 | 452 | 750 | 210 | 324 | 34 | 7 | 325 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 139 | 122 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 56 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 148 | 252 | 238 | 490 | 90 | 250 | 40 | 9 | 234 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 30 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 200 | 467 | 200 | 667 | 333 | 27 | 27 | 356 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 162 | 151 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 319 | 510 | 829 | 232 | 347 | 28 | 5 | 357 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 241 | 214 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 75 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 266 | 346 | 463 | 808 | 196 | 362 | 31 | 8 | 358 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 68 | 62 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 306 | 368 | 516 | 884 | 210 | 500 | 40 | 6 | 388 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 582 | 509 | 132 | 25 | 1 | 24 | 54 | 160 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 259 | 347 | 454 | 800 | 194 | 327 | 27 | 9 | 354 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 175 | 163 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 63 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 241 | 276 | 517 | 86 | 286 | 36 | 5 | 236 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 279 | 248 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 85 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 262 | 342 | 427 | 769 | 165 | 365 | 30 | 9 | 343 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 470 | 429 | 95 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 35 | 155 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 221 | 286 | 389 | 676 | 168 | 312 | 33 | 7 | 300 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 53 | 46 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 326 | 415 | 478 | 893 | 152 | 438 | 25 | 13 | 399 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies East | — | 165 | 152 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 81 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 171 | 227 | 276 | 503 | 105 | 308 | 49 | 4 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 461 | 436 | 69 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 216 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 158 | 200 | 239 | 439 | 80 | 287 | 47 | 4 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 68 | 63 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 209 | 286 | 495 | 127 | 276 | 46 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 139 | 126 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 77 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 87 | 173 | 135 | 308 | 48 | 218 | 55 | 6 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 30 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 130 | 333 | 130 | 464 | 266 | 40 | 17 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 162 | 153 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 275 | 425 | 700 | 183 | 325 | 34 | 4 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 241 | 222 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 96 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 212 | 271 | 378 | 649 | 167 | 309 | 40 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 582 | 525 | 118 | 22 | 1 | 17 | 38 | 195 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 225 | 295 | 368 | 662 | 143 | 312 | 34 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 175 | 165 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 74 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 164 | 207 | 224 | 431 | 61 | 280 | 42 | 3 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 279 | 256 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 107 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 219 | 281 | 332 | 613 | 113 | 350 | 38 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 470 | 439 | 83 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 190 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 189 | 239 | 328 | 567 | 139 | 296 | 40 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies East | — | 165 | 152 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 81 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 171 | 227 | 276 | 503 | 105 | 319 | 49 | 4 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Phillies East | — | 165 | 148 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 284 | 350 | 459 | 809 | 176 | 409 | 34 | 7 | 356 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 461 | 436 | 69 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 216 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 158 | 200 | 239 | 439 | 80 | 292 | 47 | 4 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 461 | 428 | 94 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 159 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 220 | 272 | 327 | 599 | 107 | 330 | 34 | 6 | 270 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 237 | 212 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 119 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 123 | 212 | 193 | 405 | 71 | 253 | 50 | 8 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 237 | 204 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 87 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 181 | 292 | 299 | 591 | 118 | 283 | 37 | 11 | 276 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 471 | 439 | 98 | 22 | 2 | 17 | 19 | 176 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 223 | 271 | 399 | 670 | 175 | 325 | 37 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 471 | 427 | 118 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 31 | 147 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 276 | 340 | 487 | 827 | 211 | 373 | 31 | 7 | 362 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 582 | 525 | 118 | 22 | 1 | 17 | 38 | 195 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 225 | 295 | 368 | 662 | 143 | 318 | 34 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 582 | 509 | 132 | 25 | 1 | 24 | 54 | 160 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 259 | 347 | 454 | 800 | 194 | 327 | 27 | 9 | 354 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 454 | 421 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 181 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 200 | 254 | 295 | 549 | 95 | 328 | 40 | 5 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 454 | 411 | 96 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 148 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 234 | 303 | 367 | 670 | 134 | 335 | 33 | 7 | 302 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 470 | 439 | 83 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 190 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 189 | 239 | 328 | 567 | 139 | 303 | 40 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 470 | 429 | 95 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 35 | 155 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 221 | 286 | 389 | 676 | 168 | 312 | 33 | 7 | 300 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | INTL MLE | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 53 | 46 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 326 | 415 | 478 | 893 | 152 | 438 | 25 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | INTL RAW | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 53 | 46 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 326 | 415 | 478 | 893 | 152 | 438 | 25 | 13 | 399 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies East | — | 165 | 153 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 81 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 170 | 227 | 275 | 502 | 105 | 308 | 49 | 4 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 461 | 435 | 69 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 216 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 159 | 200 | 239 | 440 | 80 | 287 | 47 | 4 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 237 | 211 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 119 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 123 | 212 | 194 | 406 | 71 | 241 | 50 | 8 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 471 | 439 | 98 | 22 | 2 | 17 | 19 | 176 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 223 | 271 | 399 | 670 | 175 | 315 | 37 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 582 | 525 | 118 | 22 | 1 | 17 | 38 | 195 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 225 | 295 | 368 | 662 | 143 | 312 | 34 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 454 | 420 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 181 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 200 | 254 | 295 | 550 | 95 | 323 | 40 | 5 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 470 | 438 | 83 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 190 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 189 | 239 | 329 | 568 | 139 | 296 | 40 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 454 | 420 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 181 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 200 | 254 | 295 | 550 | 95 | 323 | 40 | 5 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 470 | 438 | 83 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 190 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 189 | 239 | 329 | 568 | 139 | 296 | 40 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | WSH | 0% | 380 | 353 | 66 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 138 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 189 | 241 | 306 | 547 | 117 | 283 | 36 | 5 | 245 | 52 | -22 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | WSH | 26% | 222 | 206 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 80 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 190 | 243 | 307 | 549 | 116 | 282 | 36 | 5 | 246 | 53 | -12 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +5 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | WSH | 26% | 57 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 242 | 303 | 545 | 114 | 280 | 35 | 5 | 245 | 53 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 57 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 246 | 283 | 529 | 94 | 281 | 35 | 5 | 245 | 50 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 114 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 228 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 189 | 245 | 281 | 526 | 93 | 282 | 35 | 5 | 245 | 50 | -36 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -2.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3270 | 3020 | 585 | 114 | 18 | 72 | 175 | 1307 | 55 | 48 | 18 | 194 | 251 | 315 | 566 | 121 | 309 | 40 | 5 | 242 | 50 | -21 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +8 | -1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 117 | 23 | 4 | 14 | 35 | 260 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 195 | 252 | 317 | 569 | 122 | 312 | 40 | 5 | 242 | 50 | -37 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +14 | -2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAHarrisburg Senators · 470 PAwOBA .293 → .242 (−51)K% 33.0% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.98% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.45% | ÷0.967 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.44% | ÷1.009 | ×0.970 | ×1.001 | ×0.988 | 19.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.93% | ÷0.887 | ×0.860 | ×1.001 | ×0.988 | 6.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.55% | ÷0.913 | ×0.950 | ×1.001 | ×0.988 | 2.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.74% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 3.80% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 102, 2B 77, 3B 83, K 99, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .293 → .242; ISO .168 → .137; BABIP .312 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 279 PAwOBA .335 → .272 (−63)K% 30.5% → 38.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.47% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.60% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.15% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.77% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | ×1.035 | ×0.998 | 25.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.98% | ÷1.022 | ×0.860 | ×1.035 | ×0.998 | 6.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷0.983 | ×0.950 | ×1.035 | ×0.998 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.91% | ÷1.137 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .335 → .272; ISO .165 → .118; BABIP .365 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 175 PAwOBA .231 → .196 (−35)K% 36.0% → 42.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.00% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.57% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.71% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×1.033 | 23.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×1.033 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.031 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.19% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .231 → .196; ISO .086 → .063; BABIP .286 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAReading Fightin Phils · 582 PAwOBA .347 → .291 (−56)K% 27.5% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.11% | ÷0.975 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.41% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.50% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×1.028 | ×1.012 | 23.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.16% | ÷0.999 | ×0.860 | ×1.028 | ×1.012 | 6.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷1.005 | ×0.950 | ×1.028 | ×1.012 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.88% | ÷1.050 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 5.17% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 101, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .347 → .291; ISO .194 → .149; BABIP .327 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 241 PAwOBA .350 → .275 (−75)K% 31.1% → 39.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.12% | ÷1.022 | ×1.310 | — | — | 39.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.88% | ÷1.057 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 4.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.90% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 2.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.90% | ÷1.044 | ×0.870 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 22.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.19% | ÷0.987 | ×0.780 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷0.966 | ×0.850 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.19% | ÷0.881 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 7.17% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 109, 2B 97, 3B 93, K 104, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .350 → .275; ISO .196 → .173; BABIP .362 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAReading Fightin Phils · 162 PAwOBA .351 → .296 (−55)K% 27.8% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.94% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.75% | ÷1.069 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×1.027 | 19.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.32% | ÷0.930 | ×0.860 | ×1.015 | ×1.027 | 10.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | ×1.027 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.60% | ÷1.051 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 5.04% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 114, 2B 86, 3B 90, K 101, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .351 → .296; ISO .232 → .187; BABIP .347 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AClearwater Threshers · 139 PAwOBA .229 → .155 (−73)K% 40.3% → 55.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.29% | ÷0.992 | ×1.360 | — | — | 55.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.35% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.88% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | — | 14.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.58% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | — | 6.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.983 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.44% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .229 → .155; ISO .090 → .058; BABIP .250 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 68 PAwOBA .321 → .232 (−89)K% 33.8% → 45.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.82% | ÷1.003 | ×1.350 | — | — | 45.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.35% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.51% | ÷0.975 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 19.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.26% | ÷1.182 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 7.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 6.44% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 95, 2B 136, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .321 → .232; ISO .210 → .144; BABIP .324 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .