Wade Gaynor
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 25 | AADET | 528 | .226/.293/.375 | 12 | 12 | 46 | — | .188/.239/.303 |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA/AADET | 421 | .236/.299/.436 | 13 | 12 | 57 | — | .194/.241/.355 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA/AADET | 445 | .192/.247/.331 | 11 | 12 | 13 | — | .152/.188/.246 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 574 | 514 | 147 | 39 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 111 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 286 | 356 | 436 | 792 | 150 | 345 | 19 | 8 | 352 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 544 | 488 | 104 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 137 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 213 | 289 | 338 | 627 | 125 | 275 | 25 | 7 | 284 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 41 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 341 | 429 | 770 | 200 | 240 | 20 | 15 | 345 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 430 | 368 | 93 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 88 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 253 | 354 | 435 | 789 | 182 | 296 | 20 | 11 | 350 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 528 | 477 | 108 | 31 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 153 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 226 | 293 | 375 | 668 | 149 | 303 | 29 | 7 | 297 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 330 | 299 | 66 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 100 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 221 | 281 | 375 | 655 | 154 | 303 | 30 | 7 | 287 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 91 | 82 | 24 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 363 | 659 | 1.021 | 366 | 391 | 33 | 10 | 435 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 52 | 48 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 188 | 235 | 312 | 548 | 125 | 231 | 19 | 6 | 240 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 393 | 363 | 70 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 101 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 193 | 249 | 333 | 582 | 140 | 233 | 26 | 7 | 259 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 574 | 526 | 114 | 27 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 156 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 217 | 277 | 325 | 602 | 108 | 285 | 27 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 544 | 500 | 80 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 206 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 160 | 222 | 256 | 478 | 96 | 244 | 38 | 5 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 41 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 268 | 297 | 566 | 108 | 223 | 24 | 10 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 430 | 380 | 72 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 125 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 189 | 277 | 318 | 595 | 129 | 247 | 29 | 9 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 528 | 489 | 92 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 186 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 188 | 239 | 303 | 542 | 115 | 272 | 35 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 330 | 306 | 57 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 118 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 186 | 231 | 320 | 552 | 134 | 259 | 36 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 91 | 85 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 275 | 482 | 757 | 259 | 344 | 40 | 7 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 52 | 49 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 163 | 196 | 265 | 461 | 102 | 187 | 23 | 4 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 393 | 373 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 129 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 150 | 187 | 244 | 431 | 94 | 198 | 33 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 574 | 526 | 114 | 27 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 156 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 217 | 277 | 325 | 602 | 108 | 290 | 27 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A RAW | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 574 | 514 | 147 | 39 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 111 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 286 | 356 | 436 | 792 | 150 | 345 | 19 | 8 | 352 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 544 | 500 | 80 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 206 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 160 | 222 | 256 | 478 | 96 | 251 | 38 | 5 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ RAW | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 544 | 488 | 104 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 137 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 213 | 289 | 338 | 627 | 125 | 275 | 25 | 7 | 284 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 471 | 417 | 79 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 135 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 189 | 276 | 321 | 598 | 132 | 248 | 29 | 9 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 471 | 403 | 101 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 55 | 96 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 251 | 353 | 434 | 788 | 184 | 292 | 20 | 12 | 350 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 528 | 489 | 92 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 186 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 188 | 239 | 303 | 542 | 115 | 278 | 35 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA RAW | Erie SeaWolves | — | 528 | 477 | 108 | 31 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 153 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 226 | 293 | 375 | 668 | 149 | 303 | 29 | 7 | 297 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 391 | 76 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 154 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 194 | 241 | 355 | 596 | 161 | 284 | 37 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 421 | 381 | 90 | 31 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 130 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 236 | 299 | 436 | 734 | 199 | 320 | 31 | 8 | 319 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 445 | 423 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 141 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 147 | 181 | 236 | 418 | 90 | 198 | 32 | 4 | 187 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 445 | 411 | 79 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 111 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 192 | 247 | 331 | 578 | 139 | 233 | 25 | 7 | 257 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 574 | 525 | 114 | 27 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 156 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 217 | 277 | 326 | 603 | 109 | 285 | 27 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 544 | 499 | 80 | 23 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 206 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 160 | 222 | 257 | 479 | 96 | 244 | 38 | 5 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 471 | 418 | 79 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 135 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 189 | 276 | 321 | 597 | 132 | 245 | 29 | 9 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 528 | 490 | 92 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 186 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 188 | 239 | 302 | 542 | 114 | 272 | 35 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 394 | 76 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 154 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 193 | 241 | 353 | 594 | 160 | 277 | 37 | 5 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 445 | 424 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 141 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 146 | 181 | 236 | 417 | 90 | 197 | 32 | 4 | 187 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2983 | 2746 | 503 | 128 | 15 | 53 | 166 | 978 | 43 | 61 | 19 | 183 | 241 | 299 | 540 | 115 | 259 | 33 | 6 | 237 | 46 | -191 | +5 | +0 | +11 | +65 | -11.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 110 | 28 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 213 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 184 | 241 | 301 | 542 | 117 | 259 | 33 | 6 | 237 | 46 | -42 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAErie SeaWolves · 393 PAwOBA .252 → .187 (−66)K% 25.7% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.70% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.62% | ÷1.077 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 4.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.41% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 14.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.34% | ÷1.095 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 3.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷1.074 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.20% | ÷1.100 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 2.91% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 99, 2B 119, 3B 115, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .252 → .187; ISO .140 → .095; BABIP .233 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 52 PAwOBA .238 → .184 (−54)K% 19.2% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.77% | ÷1.085 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 9.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.083 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 7.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 2.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.911 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 98, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 100, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .238 → .184; ISO .125 → .095; BABIP .231 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 330 PAwOBA .282 → .231 (−51)K% 30.3% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.30% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.97% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.09% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 16.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.55% | ÷1.031 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 8.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.01% | ÷1.049 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.52% | ÷0.899 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.35% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 106, 3B 110, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .282 → .231; ISO .154 → .131; BABIP .303 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAErie SeaWolves · 91 PAwOBA .422 → .333 (−89)K% 33.0% → 39.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.97% | ÷1.020 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.89% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.46% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 12.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 19.23% | ÷0.945 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 17.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 1.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.54% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 9.12% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 108, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 104, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .422 → .333; ISO .366 → .284; BABIP .391 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAErie SeaWolves · 528 PAwOBA .292 → .236 (−55)K% 29.0% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.98% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.01% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.44% | ÷0.998 | ×0.970 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 18.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.57% | ÷0.965 | ×0.860 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 8.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.902 | ×0.950 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.020 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.83% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 100, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .292 → .236; ISO .149 → .116; BABIP .303 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 430 PAwOBA .344 → .265 (−79)K% 20.5% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.47% | ÷1.004 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.40% | ÷0.982 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 8.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.09% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.36% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 16.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.43% | ÷0.970 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 5.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.64% | ÷1.122 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.60% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .344 → .265; ISO .182 → .135; BABIP .296 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAErie SeaWolves · 41 PAwOBA .336 → .259 (−78)K% 19.5% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.51% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.63% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 10.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷1.003 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 18.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 3.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.260 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 4.64% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 90, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .336 → .259; ISO .200 → .129; BABIP .240 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 544 PAwOBA .277 → .213 (−65)K% 25.2% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.18% | ÷0.947 | ×1.420 | — | — | 37.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.80% | ÷1.062 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 4.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.57% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 2.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.23% | ÷0.999 | ×0.920 | ×0.952 | ×0.998 | 15.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.98% | ÷0.955 | ×0.960 | ×0.952 | ×0.998 | 7.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.952 | ×0.998 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.962 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 2.34% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 100, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 89, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .277 → .213; ISO .125 → .097; BABIP .275 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).