Dean Curley — OGILVIE

Dean CurleySS Lake County Captains

Age 22 R/R 6'4" / 230 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION522 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP308

ISO139

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$44M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$8M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2032	Arb-1	$5M	+1.2	$6M	+$4M
2033	Arb-2	$7M	+1.1	$5M	+$2M
2034	Arb-3	$9M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$14M		$36M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	35	33	8	1	0	0	2	11	0	1	1	242	286	273	558	30	364	31	6	258	60	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	35	34	6	1	0	0	1	16	0	1	1	176	200	206	406	29	320	46	3	177	6	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	35	34	6	1	0	0	1	16	0	1	1	176	200	206	406	29	333	46	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	35	33	8	1	0	0	2	11	0	1	1	242	286	273	558	30	364	31	6	258	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	35	34	6	1	0	0	1	16	0	1	1	176	200	206	406	29	320	46	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	35	34	6	1	0	0	1	16	0	1	1	176	200	206	406	29	320	46	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	CLE	—	522	433	85	19	1	13	74	203	11	12	5	196	328	335	663	139	327	39	14	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	CLE	—	329	235	59	15	1	10	82	92	8	9	1	251	458	451	910	200	360	28	25	409	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA RAW	CLE	—	193	167	43	9	0	6	23	64	3	3	4	257	358	419	777	162	381	33	12	350	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	CLE	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		308	33	11	307	94	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	CLE	—	531	441	86	19	1	13	75	206	11	12	5	195	326	331	657	136	324	39	14	295	86	-9	+0	-0	+6	+12	0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CLE	43%	564	476	100	21	2	14	74	191	9	10	4	210	327	351	678	141	310	34	13	309	95	-3	+0	-4	+6	+12	1.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	58%	602	510	110	22	2	17	78	197	9	11	4	216	330	367	697	151	309	33	13	316	100	+0	+1	-4	+6	+13	1.6
2029	25	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	608	516	113	23	2	18	78	195	9	11	4	219	332	376	708	157	308	32	13	320	103	+2	+1	-4	+7	+13	1.8
2030	26	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	607	516	114	23	2	19	77	193	9	11	4	221	332	384	716	163	308	32	13	323	105	+3	+1	-4	+7	+13	1.9
2031	27	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	602	511	113	22	2	19	77	192	9	11	4	221	333	384	717	162	308	32	13	323	105	+3	+1	-4	+6	+13	1.9
2032	28	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	594	503	110	22	2	18	77	190	9	11	4	219	333	378	711	159	307	32	13	322	104	+3	+1	-5	+6	+13	1.8
2033	29	MLB MLE	CLE	66%	585	495	108	21	2	18	76	189	9	10	4	218	333	378	711	160	307	32	13	320	103	+2	+0	-6	+6	+13	1.6
2034	30	MLB MLE	CLE	66%	575	487	106	21	2	17	75	187	8	10	4	218	332	374	705	156	306	33	13	318	101	+1	+0	-6	+6	+12	1.4
2035	31	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	565	479	101	20	1	16	73	185	8	9	4	211	325	357	682	146	303	33	13	314	99	-1	+0	-7	+6	+12	1.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	555	470	98	19	1	16	72	184	8	9	3	209	324	355	679	147	300	33	13	309	95	-3	+1	-8	+6	+12	0.8
2037	33	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	479	407	83	16	1	13	62	162	7	7	3	204	319	344	663	140	296	34	13	302	91	-5	+0	-8	+5	+10	0.3
2038	34	MLB MLE	CLE	60%	332	281	55	10	1	8	43	114	5	5	2	196	313	324	637	128	289	34	13	294	85	-6	+0	-7	+4	+7	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	CLE	43%	245	207	43	9	1	6	32	83	4	4	2	208	325	348	673	140	309	34	13	297	95	-1	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.5
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	58%	349	296	64	13	1	10	45	114	5	6	2	216	329	368	698	152	309	33	13	305	100	+0	+0	-3	+4	+8	0.9
2029	25	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	394	335	74	15	1	12	50	127	6	7	3	221	332	379	712	158	308	32	13	309	103	+1	+0	-3	+4	+9	1.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	413	351	77	15	1	13	53	132	6	8	3	219	332	379	711	160	308	32	13	311	105	+2	+0	-3	+4	+9	1.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	409	347	76	15	1	13	53	131	6	8	3	219	333	380	713	161	307	32	13	311	105	+2	+0	-3	+4	+9	1.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	404	343	75	15	1	12	52	130	6	7	3	219	332	373	705	155	307	32	13	310	104	+2	+0	-3	+4	+9	1.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	CLE	66%	389	329	72	14	1	12	51	126	6	7	3	219	334	377	711	158	306	32	13	309	103	+1	+0	-4	+4	+8	1.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	CLE	66%	377	319	69	14	1	11	49	123	6	6	2	216	332	370	701	154	305	33	13	306	101	+0	+0	-4	+4	+8	0.9
2035	31	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	367	311	67	13	1	11	48	120	5	6	2	215	330	370	699	154	303	33	13	303	99	-1	+0	-5	+4	+8	0.7
2036	32	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	359	304	63	12	1	10	47	119	5	6	2	207	323	352	675	145	300	33	13	298	95	-2	+0	-5	+4	+8	0.5
2037	33	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	309	262	53	10	1	8	40	104	4	5	2	202	317	340	657	137	295	34	13	291	91	-3	+0	-5	+3	+7	0.2
2038	34	MLB CTX	CLE	60%	199	168	33	6	0	5	26	68	3	3	1	196	315	321	636	125	289	34	13	283	85	-4	+0	-4	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4214	3572	766	151	11	123	546	1377	62	73	28	214	329	366	695	152	307	33	13	304	99	-1	+3	-44	+45	+91	9.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	551	118	23	2	19	84	212	10	11	4	214	329	367	695	152	307	33	13	304	99	-0	+1	-7	+7	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6712	5693	1218	241	20	193	864	2198	99	116	45	214	328	365	693	151	307	33	13	314	99	-4	+5	-69	+72	+145	15.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	551	118	23	2	19	84	213	10	11	4	214	329	367	695	152	307	33	13	314	99	-0	+1	-7	+7	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Iannettalast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 4,253 PA	6.4	4,253	141	11	230	345	406	+76	-30	23.7	21.6
/162	664	22	2	+11.9	-4.6	3.7	pk7: 19
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.3	4,215	123	73	215	326	369	+44	-24	16.1	14.0
/162	664	19	11	+6.9	-3.7	2.5	pk7: 12
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dean Curley (OGILVIE)	22	30→46	40→53	50	50	203/323/341	138	308	3	3	34%	13%	94	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Derek Norris 2011 · A	22	41→51	50→55	44→50	52	209/313/362	153	287	18	6	32%	12%	94	+0.9	209/299/374	165	271	20	11	29%	10%	91	+0.7	258/336/412	153	316	16	5	22%	10%	109	+1.5
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2022 · AAA	22	43→48	48→55	46→45	43	221/272/355	134	264	16	7	24%	6%	76	-0.4	236/307/409	173	277	23	6	24%	8%	102	+1.5	238/313/422	183	282	26	4	25%	8%	105	+1.1
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	42→45	50	51→45	45	210/316/367	157	290	18	7	32%	8%	97	+1.1	216/320/366	150	270	16	7	25%	8%	98	+1.2	214/321/360	146	266	16	7	24%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Connor Norby 2022 · A	22	48→49	42→55	48→50	45	226/302/334	109	325	10	11	31%	9%	82	+0.0	234/295/389	155	306	18	11	28%	7%	92	+0.7	239/312/395	156	325	18	14	30%	8%	98	+1.0
✕Max Stassi 2013 · A	22	42→43	48→55	44→40	40	214/273/349	135	292	16	5	32%	6%	75	-0.5	216/262/352	136	287	16	3	30%	5%	72	-0.7	215/301/376	160	280	21	0	29%	10%	91	+0.3
●Sean Rodríguez 2007 · AA	22	46→49	52→60	48→50	46	235/306/404	170	299	19	12	28%	8%	100	+1.3	229/300/399	170	291	20	10	28%	7%	97	+1.1	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A	22	46→49	42→65	50→40	43	220/293/334	113	303	9	7	29%	7%	79	-0.2	212/265/408	196	277	26	4	33%	6%	86	+0.3	229/285/453	224	273	32	3	29%	6%	102	+1.2
●Miguel Vargas 2022 · AA	22	50→52	49→55	51→50	45	253/303/401	148	297	17	9	21%	6%	98	+1.2	227/306/381	154	270	16	12	22%	9%	95	+0.9	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
✕Kevin Cornelius 2016 · A	23	45	49→65	49→40	47	228/295/372	144	299	17	6	29%	9%	88	+0.5	220/279/379	159	327	19	3	36%	7%	84	+0.1	204/261/378	174	300	22	0	38%	7%	75	-0.2
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	49→48	46→60	49→55	42	243/302/374	131	307	13	12	25%	5%	92	+0.7	246/317/424	178	299	21	19	25%	6%	109	+2.0	246/317/445	199	306	24	25	27%	7%	110	+2.1
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→51	46→55	48→50	52	226/305/358	133	270	13	12	21%	9%	89	+0.5	230/298/389	159	277	18	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	222/292/383	160	263	19	11	23%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42→41	46→50	48→40	46	211/282/339	129	262	14	4	25%	7%	77	-0.3	219/310/346	127	298	13	6	29%	9%	89	+0.5	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→48	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	204/281/333	129	269	13	9	28%	7%	75	-0.5	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
●Zack Gelof 2022 · A	22	48→50	49→55	54→55	43	235/299/383	148	333	16	17	33%	8%	93	+0.8	233/296/404	171	326	21	20	33%	8%	97	+1.1	229/294/405	176	316	22	24	33%	8%	93	+0.7
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	46→49	40→45	48→45	49	216/322/312	96	283	8	9	24%	9%	86	+0.3	226/314/335	109	285	10	7	23%	7%	88	+0.4	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	38→41	47→45	50→45	48	196/307/325	129	265	16	7	30%	10%	84	+0.2	187/296/284	97	258	8	5	29%	10%	71	-0.8	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→45	51→50	42	215/281/322	107	301	9	11	30%	7%	72	-0.7	206/277/331	125	321	14	12	37%	7%	73	-0.6	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Kyle Lewis 2018 · A	23	44→48	47→55	48→40	40	218/275/347	128	309	16	7	34%	6%	75	-0.5	225/280/366	141	320	16	5	33%	7%	81	-0.1	242/314/397	155	338	20	6	32%	9%	99	+0.7
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps