Isaiah Lane

SS Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 22 R/R A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1472ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	AMIN	93	.288/.435/.548	2	3	110	—	.231/.348/.436
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBMIN	203	.213/.293/.352	4	4	82	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBMIN	40	.216/.296/.359	1	1	84	0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBMIN	87	.219/.298/.365	2	2	87	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Chase%94

BB%86

Speed60

K%59

Whiff%58

Max EV49

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%

CompsAndy Burns (age 22) · Juan Mora (age 22) · Tim Tawa (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .290 / .349

PA61

HR1

K%29

BB%9

ISO139

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	73	21	5	4	2	18	21	1	3	2	288	435	548	983	260	373	23	19	423	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	78	18	4	3	2	13	29	1	3	2	231	348	436	784	205	319	31	14	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	78	18	4	3	2	13	29	1	3	2	231	348	436	784	205	333	31	14	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	73	21	5	4	2	18	21	1	3	2	288	435	548	983	260	373	23	19	423	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	79	18	4	3	2	13	29	1	3	2	228	348	430	778	203	319	31	14	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	93	79	18	4	3	2	13	29	1	3	2	228	348	430	778	203	319	31	14	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	203	180	38	7	3	4	19	59	2	4	1	213	293	352	645	139	291	29	9	289	82	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	116	103	22	4	2	2	11	33	1	2	1	216	296	359	654	143	292	28	9	293	84	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	46%	189	168	37	7	3	4	17	53	2	4	1	219	298	364	662	146	292	28	9	296	87	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	253	226	49	9	4	5	23	71	2	5	1	220	299	368	667	148	293	28	9	298	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	306	272	61	11	5	7	28	85	3	6	2	222	300	371	671	149	292	28	9	300	89	-4	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	332	296	65	12	5	7	30	91	3	6	2	222	301	370	671	148	292	27	9	300	89	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	344	307	68	13	5	7	31	95	3	6	2	220	299	366	664	146	291	28	9	297	87	-5	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	341	304	66	12	5	7	31	96	3	6	2	218	296	360	656	142	290	28	9	294	85	-6	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	336	300	65	12	5	7	30	95	3	6	2	215	293	353	645	138	288	28	9	289	82	-7	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.2
2036	31	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	321	287	60	11	4	6	29	92	2	5	3	211	288	343	631	132	285	29	9	284	78	-8	-0	-3	+3	+7	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	40	36	8	1	1	1	4	11	0	1	0	216	296	359	655	143	292	28	10	293	84	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	46%	87	78	17	3	1	2	8	25	1	2	0	219	298	365	663	146	293	29	9	296	87	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	131	117	26	5	2	3	12	37	1	3	1	220	300	368	668	148	293	28	9	298	88	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	166	148	33	6	2	4	15	46	2	3	1	222	301	371	672	149	292	28	9	300	89	-2	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	180	160	36	7	3	4	16	50	2	3	1	222	301	371	671	149	292	28	9	300	89	-2	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	187	166	37	7	3	4	17	52	2	3	1	220	299	366	665	146	291	28	9	297	87	-3	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	181	161	36	7	3	4	16	51	2	3	1	218	296	360	656	142	290	28	9	294	85	-3	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	191	170	37	7	3	4	17	54	2	3	1	215	293	353	646	138	288	28	9	290	82	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	175	156	32	6	2	3	16	50	1	3	1	211	288	344	632	132	285	29	9	284	78	-5	+0	-2	+2	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1338	1192	262	49	20	29	121	376	13	24	7	220	299	367	666	148	293	28	9	295	86	-23	+2	-4	+14	+29	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	128	24	10	14	59	183	6	12	3	221	299	370	669	149	296	28	9	295	86	-11	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2692	2395	522	97	42	55	249	758	24	50	18	218	298	362	660	144	292	28	9	296	86	-45	+3	-7	+28	+56	3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	125	23	10	13	60	183	6	12	4	216	297	358	655	142	290	28	9	296	86	-11	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 93 PAwOBA .418 → .331 (−87)K% 22.6% → 30.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.58%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	30.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.35%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.015	13.56%
HBP% /PA	1.08%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	0.85%
Singles /BIP	19.23%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.951	×1.015	17.08%
Doubles /BIP	9.62%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.951	×1.015	7.71%
Triples /BIP	7.69%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.951	×1.015	6.76%
Home runs /BIP	3.85%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.015	3.12%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .418 → .331; ISO .260 → .214; BABIP .373 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	4.3	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
/162	664	18	10	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Kiko Garcia'76-'85 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,595 PA	2.4	1,595	12	34	232*	283*	343*	+14	+14	2.2	3.0
/162	664	5	14	+5.7	+6.0	0.9	pk7: 4
#4Tim Bogar'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,710 PA	2.6	1,710	24	13	217*	284*	324*	+11	+37	2.1	2.9
/162	664	9	5	+4.2	+14.4	0.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.1	1,399	29	26	219	294	362	+15	+18	3.1	2.9
/162	664	14	12	+7.1	+8.5	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Chris Woodward'99-'11 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,896 PA	2.9	1,896	33	9	230*	288*	354*	+9	+15	1.1	2.4
/162	664	12	3	+3.1	+5.4	0.4	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Isaiah Lane (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	211/290/349	138	291	1	1	29%	9%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A	22	43→53	47→50	54→55	42	211/280/356	145	295	13	13	32%	7%	80	-0.2	239/287/369	130	297	11	16	22%	6%	84	+0.1	250/295/369	119	301	10	15	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	46→50	42→50	51→50	42	219/286/327	109	306	9	11	30%	7%	74	-0.5	211/283/339	128	327	14	12	37%	7%	77	-0.3	246/324/371	124	344	12	15	29%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→48	45→55	51→55	44	213/272/340	128	284	12	11	29%	7%	72	-0.7	233/294/390	157	279	18	13	23%	7%	93	+0.8	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Cayden Wallace 2024 · AA	22	45→49	44→50	53→50	45	220/280/345	125	285	10	13	26%	7%	76	-0.4	226/279/351	125	289	12	13	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Ricardo Olivar 2024 · A	22	49→50	44→45	51→50	45	233/311/357	125	326	10	9	30%	8%	91	+0.7	224/296/352	128	290	14	9	26%	9%	84	+0.2	215/289/349	134	265	17	10	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Dom Keegan 2023 · A	22	48→52	46→45	50→40	42	231/293/362	131	322	13	8	31%	7%	85	+0.2	230/295/359	129	310	12	3	28%	8%	85	+0.2	226/292/357	131	305	12	1	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Tommy Troy 2024 · A	22	47→55	46→45	57→50	44	228/298/359	132	326	13	18	32%	8%	86	+0.3	223/292/336	113	299	10	17	27%	8%	79	-0.2	233/306/347	114	304	10	17	25%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Damiano Palmegiani 2022 · A	22	48→42	43→50	50→40	45	229/300/343	114	314	11	7	29%	8%	84	+0.1	204/282/366	162	271	20	5	31%	8%	83	+0.1	192/273/350	158	256	20	4	32%	8%	74	-0.5
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A	22	43→51	47→50	51→60	39	215/265/348	133	294	15	16	31%	6%	72	-0.7	215/279/342	127	288	12	32	28%	7%	76	-0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Mario Lisson 2006 · A	22	46→49	43→50	57→55	50	221/307/345	123	302	9	19	28%	10%	86	+0.3	220/283/335	115	289	10	21	26%	7%	75	-0.5	222/292/345	123	288	15	8	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Tucker Mitchell 2024 · A	23	43	47→50	50→45	40	210/286/337	127	310	15	9	35%	7%	78	-0.3	198/250/292	94	278	10	7	31%	5%	53	-2.1	162/205/229	67	228	8	5	32%	4%	18	-1.7
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2016 · A	22	50→47	42→50	55→50	41	237/282/357	121	312	7	9	26%	6%	79	-0.2	222/269/320	98	297	7	10	26%	5%	65	-1.2	179/236/266	87	238	9	17	28%	4%	40	-0.6
✕Nick Yorke 2024 · AA	22	48→57	46→50	50→55	43	236/293/366	130	314	14	13	29%	7%	86	+0.3	248/304/358	110	328	11	17	26%	7%	88	+0.4	250/308/351	102	325	10	18	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Ben Ross 2023 · A	22	46→44	46→45	54→55	46	224/295/357	132	306	13	14	30%	8%	85	+0.2	187/251/310	123	264	14	13	33%	7%	58	-1.7	186/257/314	129	258	15	19	33%	8%	59	-1.3
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44	45	56→60	41	214/289/346	132	303	12	19	32%	7%	81	-0.1	204/281/321	117	287	12	34	31%	8%	72	-0.7	210/283/330	120	279	11	40	27%	8%	72	-0.5
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	43→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	117	278	10	9	21%	6%	81	-0.1	219/292/328	109	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	49	206/292/311	105	279	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	222/303/310	88	316	7	6	29%	9%	78	-0.3	239/331/311	72	336	7	6	28%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Brice Matthews 2024 · A	22	45	44→50	54→60	46	211/306/329	118	322	12	22	35%	10%	84	+0.1	217/298/371	154	326	18	30	36%	9%	90	+0.6	208/288/365	156	305	19	33	36%	9%	82	+0.0

Isaiah Lane

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps