Jack Anker

P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.9 · 2030

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#476ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	APIT	1	0	1	0.00	1.10	33.3%	0.0%	—	K 33.3% · BB 0.0% · FIP 0.29
2026	22	MIX2 levels	25	17	108	4.35	3.81	23.0%	6.5%	—	K 17.4% · BB 7.5% · FIP 4.90
2027PROJ	23	MLBPIT	—	—	0	4.75	4.75	18.6%	7.7%	—
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBPIT	6	6	36	4.49	4.44	19.8%	7.5%	0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBPIT	8	8	51	4.39	4.34	20.6%	7.3%	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.8M+2

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 2.9, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%

CompsNick Payero (age 24) · Ricky Castro (age 24) · Nick Fraze (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%18.6%

BB%7.7%

K-BB%10.9%

Proj IP75

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 75 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.3M
2035	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.1M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$6M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2025	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2025	21	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	17	108	448	103	29	15	68%	4.3	17.4%	7.5%	9.9%	4.2%	4.35	4.90	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	17	108	448	103	29	15	68%	4.3	17.4%	7.5%	9.9%	4.2%	4.35	4.90	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	17	108	448	103	29	15	68%	4.3	23.0%	6.5%	16.5%	3.3%	4.35	3.81	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.6%	7.7%	10.9%	3.4%	4.75	4.75	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	13	13	83	350	69	26	12	100%	6.4	19.8%	7.5%	12.4%	3.3%	4.63	4.58	+0.8
2029	25	MLB MLE	PIT	12	12	77	326	67	24	11	100%	6.4	20.6%	7.3%	13.2%	3.3%	4.53	4.48	+0.8
2030	26	MLB MLE	PIT	12	12	76	322	67	24	11	100%	6.4	20.9%	7.3%	13.6%	3.3%	4.47	4.44	+0.9
2031	27	MLB MLE	PIT	12	12	74	312	65	23	10	100%	6.2	20.9%	7.4%	13.5%	3.3%	4.47	4.48	+0.8
2032	28	MLB MLE	PIT	11	11	70	297	62	22	10	100%	6.4	20.8%	7.6%	13.2%	3.4%	4.52	4.56	+0.7
2033	29	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	65	276	57	21	10	100%	6.5	20.5%	7.8%	12.8%	3.6%	4.62	4.69	+0.5
2034	30	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	59	249	50	20	9	100%	6.6	20.2%	8.1%	12.1%	3.8%	4.77	4.87	+0.4
2035	31	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	52	221	44	19	9	100%	6.5	19.8%	8.4%	11.4%	4.0%	4.95	5.07	+0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	6	6	36	152	30	11	5	100%	6.0	19.8%	7.5%	12.4%	3.1%	4.49	4.44	+0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	51	215	44	16	7	100%	6.4	20.6%	7.3%	13.2%	3.0%	4.39	4.34	+0.5
2030	26	MLB CTX	PIT	9	9	60	253	53	19	8	100%	6.7	20.9%	7.3%	13.6%	3.0%	4.34	4.31	+0.7
2031	27	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	63	266	56	20	8	100%	6.3	20.9%	7.4%	13.5%	3.1%	4.33	4.34	+0.7
2032	28	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	63	266	55	20	8	100%	6.3	20.8%	7.6%	13.2%	3.2%	4.38	4.42	+0.6
2033	29	MLB CTX	PIT	9	9	59	249	51	19	8	100%	6.6	20.5%	7.8%	12.8%	3.3%	4.47	4.54	+0.5
2034	30	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	54	228	46	18	8	100%	6.8	20.2%	8.1%	12.1%	3.5%	4.61	4.71	+0.3
2035	31	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	49	207	41	17	8	100%	6.1	19.8%	8.4%	11.4%	3.7%	4.79	4.91	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		68	68	436	1840	377	141	59	100%	6.4	20.5%	7.7%	12.8%	3.2%	4.47	4.11	+6.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		31	31	200	844	173	65	27	100%	6.4	20.5%	7.7%	12.8%	3.2%	4.47	4.11	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		26	17	109	451	79	34	19	65%	4.2	17.5%	7.5%	10.0%	4.2%	4.31	4.87	+5.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	31	200	830	145	62	35	65%	4.2	17.5%	7.5%	10.0%	4.2%	4.31	4.87	+1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 57 IPFIP 4.82 → 6.11 (+1.28)K% 23.3% → 18.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.33%	—	×0.770	17.97%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.50%	—	×1.150	8.62%
HR / BF /BF	5.00%	÷1.000	×1.250	6.25%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.82 → 6.11, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ABradenton Marauders · 50 IPFIP 2.65 → 3.51 (+0.85)K% 22.6% → 16.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.60%	—	×0.740	16.72%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	5.29%	—	×1.180	6.24%
HR / BF /BF	1.44%	÷1.000	×1.300	1.88%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 2.65 → 3.51, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Anker (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	18.6%	7.7%	3.4%	—	4.50	20.4%	13.0%	236	-0.25	—	—	—
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	91
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	91
Nick Fraze R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	23	SP-	4.49	18.8%	7.3%	3.8%	.271	4.69	18.1%	10.4%	162	+0.20	3.86	278	90
Luis Santos R 2015 · 4.48 FIP	24	SP-	4.48	17.0%	6.5%	3.6%	.293	4.12	19.1%	10.5%	315	-0.36	3.53	472	88
Kenten Egbert R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.34	10.8%	3.5%	133	+0.08	4.04	231	88
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	87
Nick Dean R 2024 · 3.86 FIP	23	SP-	3.86	17.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.275	3.47	21.7%	14.6%	111	-0.39	2.73	202	87
Angel Araiza R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	25	SP-	4.57	16.7%	6.5%	3.8%	.287	3.79	15.0%	7.6%	193	-0.78	3.40	289	86
Kyle Scott R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	22	SP-	4.12	17.7%	8.2%	2.7%	.269	3.94	15.9%	4.3%	42	-0.18	3.94	138	86
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	86
Brandon Maurer R 2013 · 4.72 FIP	23	SP-	4.72	17.4%	6.7%	4.1%	.339	3.21	20.5%	14.5%	190	-1.51	3.08	394	86
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.42	20.6%	11.4%	217	-0.41	3.07	280	86
Wil Jensen R 2021 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP	4.37	18.9%	6.9%	3.6%	.300	4.37	21.0%	11.3%	266	+0.00	3.48	368	85
J.C. Flowers R 2021 · 3.59 FIP	23	SP-	3.59	21.3%	8.7%	2.1%	.330	4.84	16.4%	2.8%	184	+1.25	3.59	281	85
Tyler Davis R 2016 · 5.18 FIP	23	SP-	5.18	16.7%	8.0%	4.5%	.349	4.48	12.0%	6.5%	196	-0.70	4.27	294	85
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	85
Logan Martin R 2024 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP-	3.95	16.9%	8.9%	2.1%	.278	4.58	17.6%	5.0%	140	+0.63	3.95	242	85
Tim Redding R 2001 · 4.88 FIP	23	SP-	4.88	22.1%	9.6%	4.4%	.321	4.34	15.1%	6.6%	350	-0.54	3.97	822	85
Hunter Dollander R 2022 · 3.92 FIP	25	SP-	3.92	19.2%	5.7%	3.1%	.311	6.77	17.6%	-0.7%	51	+2.85	3.92	106	84
Reid Johnston R 2022 · 3.74 FIP	23	SP-	3.74	19.4%	6.1%	2.8%	.297	5.00	19.5%	5.6%	92	+1.26	3.74	234	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.2	70	20.2%	7.6%	1.34	4.62
Shane Greene ('23)	2.4	59	21.7%	8.6%	1.12	4.50
Cris Carpenter ('88-'96, 2 WAR*)	2.1	69	18.3%*	7.4%*	1.15*	4.29*
Juan Carlos Oviedo ('14)	1.9	56	18.9%	8.0%	1.16	4.28
Bob Lacey ('77-'84, 2 WAR*)	2.3	75	20.5%*	7.3%*	1.35*	4.11*
Justin Speier ('09)	3.4	56	20.4%	8.0%	1.44	4.11
Ron Taylor ('62-'72, 3 WAR*)	4.0	80	17.8%*	6.8%*	1.26*	4.74*