Jack Anker — OGILVIE

Jack Anker P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.8 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 101

ERA4.45

FIP4.45

K%20.9%

BB%8.2%

K-BB%12.7%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.2M
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$10M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2025	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2025	21	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	25	17	108	448	103	29	15	68%	4.3	17.4%	7.5%	9.9%	4.2%	4.35	4.90	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	25	17	108	448	103	29	15	68%	4.3	17.4%	7.5%	9.9%	4.2%	4.35	4.90	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	PIT	13	7	50	208	47	11	3	54%	3.9	22.6%	5.3%	17.3%	1.4%	4.11	2.65	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	PIT	12	10	57	240	56	18	12	83%	4.8	23.3%	7.5%	15.8%	5.0%	4.55	4.82	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PIT	17	17	109	462	100	36	14	100%	6.4	21.7%	7.8%	13.9%	3.0%	4.35	4.30	+0.8
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	18	18	112	473	105	36	14	100%	6.2	22.3%	7.6%	14.7%	3.0%	4.26	4.21	+0.9
2029	25	MLB MLE	PIT	18	18	114	479	108	36	14	100%	6.3	22.6%	7.5%	15.2%	3.0%	4.19	4.15	+1.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	PIT	18	18	114	479	109	36	14	100%	6.3	22.8%	7.4%	15.4%	3.0%	4.16	4.13	+1.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	PIT	18	18	112	472	108	35	14	100%	6.2	22.8%	7.5%	15.3%	3.0%	4.17	4.17	+1.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	PIT	17	17	108	458	104	35	14	100%	6.4	22.7%	7.7%	15.0%	3.1%	4.22	4.26	+0.8
2033	29	MLB MLE	PIT	16	16	104	437	98	34	14	100%	6.5	22.4%	7.9%	14.5%	3.3%	4.32	4.39	+0.6
2034	30	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	97	411	91	34	14	100%	6.5	22.1%	8.2%	13.9%	3.5%	4.47	4.56	+0.4
2035	31	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	91	383	83	33	14	100%	6.5	21.7%	8.5%	13.2%	3.7%	4.65	4.77	+0.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	PIT	13	13	84	354	75	32	14	100%	6.5	21.2%	8.9%	12.3%	4.0%	4.86	4.99	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	54	228	49	18	6	100%	6.8	21.7%	7.8%	13.9%	2.8%	4.23	4.18	+0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	12	12	78	329	73	25	9	100%	6.5	22.3%	7.6%	14.7%	2.8%	4.14	4.09	+0.6
2029	25	MLB CTX	PIT	14	14	92	388	88	29	11	100%	6.6	22.6%	7.5%	15.2%	2.8%	4.07	4.03	+0.8
2030	26	MLB CTX	PIT	16	16	99	418	95	31	12	100%	6.2	22.8%	7.4%	15.4%	2.8%	4.04	4.01	+0.9
2031	27	MLB CTX	PIT	16	16	101	426	97	32	12	100%	6.3	22.8%	7.5%	15.3%	2.8%	4.05	4.05	+0.9
2032	28	MLB CTX	PIT	16	16	100	422	96	32	12	100%	6.2	22.7%	7.7%	15.0%	2.9%	4.09	4.13	+0.8
2033	29	MLB CTX	PIT	15	15	96	405	91	32	12	100%	6.4	22.4%	7.9%	14.5%	3.0%	4.18	4.25	+0.6
2034	30	MLB CTX	PIT	14	14	91	384	85	31	12	100%	6.5	22.1%	8.2%	13.9%	3.2%	4.33	4.42	+0.4
2035	31	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	86	363	79	31	12	100%	6.6	21.7%	8.5%	13.2%	3.4%	4.50	4.62	+0.1
2036	32	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	80	338	72	30	12	100%	6.2	21.2%	8.9%	12.3%	3.7%	4.70	4.83	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		138	138	878	3707	826	292	112	100%	6.4	22.3%	7.9%	14.4%	3.0%	4.22	3.87	+10.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		31	31	200	844	188	67	26	100%	6.4	22.3%	7.9%	14.4%	3.0%	4.22	3.87	+2.5
Career	—	MLE		26	17	109	451	79	34	19	65%	4.2	17.5%	7.5%	10.0%	4.2%	4.31	4.87	+6.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	31	200	830	145	62	35	65%	4.2	17.5%	7.5%	10.0%	4.2%	4.31	4.87	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Anker (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.45	20.9%	8.2%	3.1%	—	4.22	22.2%	14.6%	335	-0.23	—	—	—
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	85
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	83
Nick Fraze R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	23	SP-	4.49	18.8%	7.3%	3.8%	.271	4.70	17.9%	10.2%	162	+0.21	3.86	278	82
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	82
Yusniel Padron-Artiles R 2019 · 4.48 FIP	21	SP-	4.48	17.6%	7.9%	3.4%	.343	6.27	19.2%	11.3%	197	+1.79	3.27	243	82
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	81
Travis Herrin R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	22	SP-	4.40	21.1%	7.3%	3.9%	.315	4.92	17.6%	5.2%	106	+0.52	4.40	236	81
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	80
Gus Varland R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	22	SP-	4.29	19.6%	8.7%	3.2%	.294	5.73	18.1%	5.7%	105	+1.44	2.39	330	80
Rico Garcia R 2017 · 3.37 FIP	23	SP-	3.37	18.8%	7.0%	1.8%	.316	4.07	19.8%	11.5%	296	+0.70	3.37	587	80
Garrett Hill R 2018 · 3.39 FIP	22	SP-	3.39	19.2%	7.7%	1.7%	.390	3.16	21.6%	11.0%	200	-0.23	3.02	539	79
Connor Cooke R 2022 · 3.35 FIP	22	SP-	3.35	23.7%	8.4%	2.2%	.350	4.13	24.0%	11.4%	56	+0.78	2.93	103	79
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.13	25.3%	15.3%	121	-0.38	3.26	181	79
Hunter Dollander R 2022 · 3.92 FIP	25	SP-	3.92	19.2%	5.7%	3.1%	.311	6.77	17.6%	-0.7%	51	+2.85	3.92	106	79
Lucas Long R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	22	SP-	4.84	14.5%	5.9%	4.0%	.300	3.94	15.0%	9.1%	386	-0.90	3.42	441	78
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	22	SP	3.76	21.9%	9.8%	2.3%	.175	4.18	18.0%	7.5%	168	+0.42	3.51	330	78
J.C. Flowers R 2021 · 3.59 FIP	23	SP-	3.59	21.3%	8.7%	2.1%	.330	4.86	16.2%	2.6%	184	+1.27	3.59	281	78
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	77
Jarrod Cande R 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SP-	4.31	19.1%	7.3%	3.5%	.330	4.94	18.1%	9.1%	212	+0.63	4.31	304	77
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.3	97	22.2%	7.9%	1.25	4.35
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Alex Wood ('24)	5.0	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Joe Musgrove ('24)	5.3	117	23.9%	6.0%	1.13	3.73
Kenta Maeda ('24)	4.9	122	25.9%	6.9%	1.30	4.17
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88