Jackson Lovich — OGILVIE

Jackson LovichSS Tampa Tarpons

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 192 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION510 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP315

ISO157

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$71M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$28M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	26	22	14	4	2	0	4	3	0	3	0	636	692	1.000	1.692	364	737	12	15	708	365	+8	+1	—	—	+1	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	26	23	12	4	2	0	3	4	0	3	0	522	577	870	1.446	348	633	15	12	578	277	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	26	23	12	4	2	0	3	4	0	3	0	522	577	870	1.446	348	632	15	12	578	277	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	26	22	14	4	2	0	4	3	0	3	0	636	692	1.000	1.692	364	737	12	15	708	277	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	26	23	12	4	2	0	3	4	0	3	0	522	577	870	1.446	348	633	15	12	578	277	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	26	23	12	4	2	0	3	4	0	3	0	522	577	870	1.446	348	633	15	12	578	277	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A MLE	NYY	—	510	464	106	18	3	18	37	204	3	41	9	228	290	397	686	168	355	40	7	299	88	-7	+5	+0	+5	+11	1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	NYY	—	363	320	88	17	2	18	36	101	3	21	7	275	354	509	863	234	341	28	10	375	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ RAW	NYY	—	147	129	41	4	2	6	16	45	0	20	2	318	393	519	912	202	438	31	11	396	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A MLE	NYY	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		312	30	10	298	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A MLE	NYY	—	520	473	107	18	3	18	38	207	3	42	9	226	288	391	679	165	350	40	7	299	88	-7	+5	+0	+6	+11	1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	NYY	43%	551	500	113	20	3	19	42	185	4	21	5	226	291	392	683	166	314	34	8	303	91	-6	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.4
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYY	58%	595	539	124	22	3	21	46	194	5	22	5	230	297	399	695	169	313	33	8	308	95	-4	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.8
2029	25	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	626	567	132	23	4	23	49	200	5	24	5	233	300	409	709	176	312	32	8	312	97	-2	+3	+0	+7	+14	2.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	NYY	68%	625	566	132	23	4	23	49	198	5	24	5	233	300	410	710	177	311	32	8	314	98	-1	+3	+0	+7	+14	2.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	NYY	68%	620	560	131	23	4	23	50	197	5	23	5	234	302	412	715	179	311	32	8	314	99	-1	+3	+0	+7	+13	2.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	NYY	68%	612	552	127	22	3	22	50	195	5	22	5	230	300	400	700	170	311	32	8	313	98	-1	+2	-1	+7	+13	2.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	NYY	66%	603	544	125	22	3	22	49	193	5	20	4	230	299	403	702	173	310	32	8	311	97	-2	+2	-1	+6	+13	1.9
2034	30	MLB MLE	NYY	66%	593	535	122	21	3	21	48	192	5	18	4	228	298	396	694	168	309	32	8	309	95	-4	+2	-2	+6	+13	1.6
2035	31	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	582	525	119	21	3	20	47	190	5	15	3	227	296	392	689	166	307	33	8	305	92	-5	+2	-3	+6	+13	1.3
2036	32	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	405	366	82	14	2	14	33	134	3	9	2	224	294	388	682	164	304	33	8	299	89	-5	+1	-4	+4	+9	0.5
2037	33	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	375	339	73	12	2	12	30	126	3	6	1	215	285	369	654	153	300	34	8	293	84	-7	+1	-4	+4	+8	0.2
2038	34	MLB MLE	NYY	60%	331	299	63	10	2	10	27	113	2	4	1	211	280	358	638	147	294	34	8	284	78	-8	+0	-5	+4	+7	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	NYY	43%	238	216	50	9	1	9	18	80	2	9	2	231	297	407	704	176	317	34	8	303	91	-3	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYY	58%	345	312	73	13	2	13	27	112	3	13	3	234	301	413	715	179	316	32	8	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+4	+7	1.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	406	368	86	15	2	16	32	130	3	15	3	234	300	416	716	182	315	32	8	312	97	-1	+2	+0	+4	+9	1.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	NYY	68%	425	385	91	16	2	17	34	135	3	16	4	236	303	421	724	184	314	32	8	314	98	-1	+2	+0	+5	+9	1.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	NYY	68%	422	382	90	16	2	17	34	134	3	16	3	236	303	421	725	186	314	32	8	314	99	-1	+2	+0	+5	+9	1.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	NYY	68%	416	376	88	16	2	16	34	133	3	15	3	234	303	415	718	181	314	32	8	313	98	-1	+2	-0	+4	+9	1.4
2033	29	MLB CTX	NYY	66%	401	362	84	15	2	15	33	129	3	13	3	232	302	409	710	177	313	32	8	311	97	-2	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	NYY	66%	389	351	81	14	2	15	32	126	3	12	3	231	301	410	711	179	312	32	8	309	95	-2	+1	-1	+4	+8	1.0
2035	31	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	378	341	79	14	2	14	31	123	3	10	2	232	301	408	709	176	310	33	8	305	92	-3	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.8
2036	32	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	262	237	52	9	1	9	21	87	2	6	1	219	288	380	668	160	306	33	8	299	89	-3	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.4
2037	33	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	242	218	47	8	1	8	20	81	2	4	1	216	287	372	659	156	302	33	8	293	84	-5	+0	-3	+3	+5	0.1
2038	34	MLB CTX	NYY	60%	199	180	39	6	1	7	16	68	1	2	1	217	284	378	662	161	296	34	8	284	78	-5	+0	-3	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4123	3728	860	151	20	156	332	1338	31	131	29	231	299	407	706	177	312	32	8	307	95	-29	+15	-13	+44	+89	10.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	136	24	3	25	52	211	5	21	5	231	299	410	709	179	313	32	8	307	95	-5	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6554	5924	1356	237	38	230	524	2124	52	212	45	229	297	398	695	169	313	32	8	308	95	-47	+24	-20	+70	+141	17.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	135	24	4	23	52	211	5	21	4	230	298	401	699	172	314	32	8	308	95	-5	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.4	4,241	150	134	229	294	398	+44	+27	14.5	12.8
/162	664	23	21	+6.9	+4.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jackson Lovich (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	52→57	62→67	52	221/285/382	161	312	4	7	34%	7%	88	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	40→37	53→60	56→55	45	216/275/390	173	253	21	15	24%	7%	85	+0.2	224/289/407	183	256	22	16	22%	7%	95	+0.9	221/290/400	179	249	21	19	21%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→44	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	211/273/334	123	271	14	11	27%	7%	72	-0.7	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→43	49→55	54→50	48	203/290/352	149	278	16	16	32%	10%	82	+0.0	214/299/386	172	268	20	10	27%	10%	93	+0.8	205/292/383	178	245	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2015 · A	22	47→37	53→50	54→50	43	241/304/421	180	307	21	10	28%	7%	103	+1.6	207/267/338	131	294	13	11	33%	5%	70	-0.8	202/274/346	144	284	16	9	33%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	42→45	50	51→45	45	210/316/367	157	290	18	7	32%	8%	97	+1.1	216/320/366	150	270	16	7	25%	8%	98	+1.2	214/321/360	146	266	16	7	24%	8%	95	+0.6
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	49→55	59→55	47	205/293/360	155	287	16	24	33%	10%	86	+0.3	245/323/418	173	327	19	21	29%	9%	109	+2.0	229/312/387	159	297	19	21	28%	9%	96	+0.9
●Ronny Simon 2022 · A	22	40→50	49→50	53→60	43	206/265/356	150	272	16	14	30%	7%	74	-0.6	220/270/357	137	283	15	22	27%	6%	75	-0.5	266/329/370	104	332	7	30	21%	8%	98	+0.9
●Zack Gelof 2022 · A	22	48→50	49→55	54→55	43	235/299/383	148	333	16	17	33%	8%	93	+0.8	233/296/404	171	326	21	20	33%	8%	97	+1.1	229/294/405	176	316	22	24	33%	8%	93	+0.7
●Chris Young 2006 · AA	22	44→48	54→60	56→55	46	229/301/421	192	292	21	23	28%	8%	102	+1.5	232/297/428	196	269	23	20	23%	8%	103	+1.5	239/321/429	190	289	21	17	24%	10%	108	+2.1
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A	22	43→29	47→60	51→50	42	209/299/349	140	319	15	12	36%	8%	86	+0.3	204/282/377	173	332	21	8	42%	8%	86	+0.3	193/269/382	189	315	25	12	44%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	42→40	51→50	51→55	45	218/285/381	163	274	18	17	27%	7%	87	+0.4	175/249/292	117	254	14	21	35%	7%	54	-2.0	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Everson Pereira 2023 · AA	22	46→47	51→55	54→50	39	228/285/395	167	332	19	16	36%	7%	90	+0.6	222/284/369	147	329	17	15	36%	7%	84	+0.1	205/279/360	155	289	21	12	35%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Anthony Volpe 2023 · AAA	22	42→50	52→55	60→55	48	218/298/397	180	264	19	29	25%	8%	96	+1.0	219/284/371	152	274	16	24	25%	8%	84	+0.2	224/284/362	138	278	14	23	24%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	88	+0.5	208/282/344	136	276	15	19	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	46	44→45	55	46	225/303/346	121	300	11	14	27%	8%	86	+0.3	225/283/333	108	304	9	9	28%	5%	75	-0.5	222/278/328	106	295	10	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA	22	46→55	49→55	58→55	37	233/270/393	160	293	16	19	27%	4%	84	+0.1	242/279/395	153	304	16	23	25%	4%	88	+0.4	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	42→39	46→45	53→55	51	210/295/335	126	263	13	20	25%	10%	80	-0.1	211/270/323	112	266	10	17	24%	7%	68	-1.0	202/249/302	100	249	8	18	21%	5%	53	-0.7
✕Rylan Bannon 2018 · A	22	46→44	50	51→50	44	235/298/388	153	288	19	8	25%	7%	94	+0.9	217/287/358	141	284	15	5	28%	8%	82	+0.0	191/289/327	136	253	16	12	29%	11%	75	-0.4
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44→43	45	56→60	41	213/288/344	131	301	12	19	32%	7%	80	-0.2	199/275/314	115	285	11	34	32%	8%	68	-1.0	202/274/318	116	272	11	40	28%	8%	66	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps