Jackson Lovich — OGILVIE

Jackson LovichSS Tampa Tarpons

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 192 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION322 act + 214 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .287 / .385

PA214

HR7

SB9

K%34

BB%7

BABIP309

ISO164

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER58

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$13M	+$12M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$11M	+$10M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$14M		$46M	+$40M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	26	23	11	3	2	0	3	4	0	3	0	478	538	783	1.321	304	579	15	12	561	287	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	26	22	14	4	2	0	4	3	0	3	0	636	692	1.000	1.692	364	737	12	15	708	399	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	NYY	—	322	292	67	15	1	12	24	128	2	21	6	229	292	411	703	182	353	40	7	306	92	-3	+2	+0	+3	+9	1.2
YTD	22	A	NYY	—	322	284	82	17	2	16	32	90	2	21	6	289	365	532	896	243	363	28	10	387	154	+20	+2	+0	+3	+9	3.5
ROS	22	A	NYY	0%	214	194	43	9	1	7	16	72	2	9	2	221	287	385	672	164	301	34	7	295	84	-4	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.6
ROS	22	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		303	—	—	293	82	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	NYY	—	322	293	67	15	1	12	24	128	2	21	6	229	292	410	702	181	350	40	7	306	92	-3	+2	+0	+3	+9	1.2
TOT	22	A	NYY	—	536	486	110	24	2	19	40	200	4	30	8	226	290	401	691	175	334	37	7	302	89	-7	+3	+0	+6	+15	1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	NYY	34%	581	526	116	23	3	19	45	191	5	16	4	221	288	384	672	163	303	33	8	300	87	-8	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.6
2028	24	MLB	NYY	46%	608	550	124	24	3	21	48	194	5	17	4	225	294	395	688	169	303	32	8	305	92	-6	+2	+0	+7	+17	2.0
2029	25	MLB	NYY	52%	614	555	126	24	3	22	49	193	5	17	4	227	296	400	696	173	303	31	8	308	94	-4	+2	+0	+7	+17	2.2
2030	26	MLB	NYY	54%	613	554	126	24	3	22	49	191	5	17	4	227	296	401	697	173	303	31	8	310	95	-3	+2	+0	+7	+17	2.3
2031	27	MLB	NYY	54%	608	549	125	24	3	22	49	190	5	17	4	228	297	403	699	175	303	31	8	310	96	-3	+2	+0	+7	+17	2.3
2032	28	MLB	NYY	54%	600	541	123	24	3	21	49	188	5	16	4	227	297	399	697	172	302	31	8	309	95	-3	+2	-1	+6	+17	2.1
2033	29	MLB	NYY	53%	591	532	120	23	3	21	49	187	5	15	4	226	297	398	695	173	302	32	8	308	94	-4	+1	-1	+6	+17	1.9
2034	30	MLB	NYY	57%	581	523	118	23	3	20	48	185	5	13	3	226	297	396	693	170	301	32	8	305	92	-6	+1	-2	+6	+16	1.7
2035	31	MLB	NYY	59%	571	514	114	22	3	19	47	183	5	11	3	222	293	387	680	165	298	32	8	301	89	-7	+1	-3	+6	+16	1.3
2036	32	MLB	NYY	61%	405	366	79	15	2	13	33	132	3	6	2	216	286	374	660	158	295	33	8	296	85	-7	+0	-4	+4	+11	0.6
2027	23	MLB	NYY	34%	200	181	41	8	1	7	15	66	2	6	1	227	293	398	691	171	305	33	8	297	86	-3	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.5
2028	24	MLB	NYY	46%	281	255	58	11	2	10	22	90	2	8	2	227	294	404	698	176	305	32	8	303	90	-3	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.9
2029	25	MLB	NYY	52%	317	286	67	13	2	12	25	99	3	9	2	234	303	420	722	185	305	31	8	306	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+9	1.1
2030	26	MLB	NYY	54%	332	300	70	14	2	12	26	103	3	9	2	233	301	413	714	180	305	31	8	308	94	-2	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.2
2031	27	MLB	NYY	54%	330	297	68	13	2	12	27	103	3	9	2	229	300	407	707	178	305	31	8	308	94	-2	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.2
2032	28	MLB	NYY	54%	326	293	68	13	2	12	27	102	3	9	2	232	303	413	716	181	304	31	8	307	93	-3	+1	-0	+3	+9	1.1
2033	29	MLB	NYY	53%	314	282	65	13	2	11	26	99	3	8	2	230	302	408	710	177	304	32	8	305	92	-3	+1	-1	+3	+9	1.0
2034	30	MLB	NYY	57%	330	297	68	13	2	12	27	105	3	7	2	229	300	407	707	178	303	32	8	303	90	-4	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.9
2035	31	MLB	NYY	59%	339	305	69	13	2	12	28	109	3	7	2	226	298	400	698	174	300	32	8	299	87	-5	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.7
2036	32	MLB	NYY	61%	248	224	48	9	1	8	20	81	2	4	1	214	285	371	655	156	297	33	8	294	83	-5	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3017	2721	622	120	18	108	243	957	27	76	18	229	298	405	703	176	307	32	8	303	90	-33	+8	-6	+32	+85	8.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	134	26	4	23	52	206	6	16	4	229	298	404	703	176	307	32	8	303	90	-7	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.9
Career	—			—	6012	5427	1225	238	32	207	485	1910	50	157	38	226	295	396	691	170	305	32	8	306	93	-50	+16	-10	+64	+170	19.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	132	26	3	22	52	206	5	17	4	225	293	392	685	167	304	32	8	306	93	-5	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	26	22	14	4	2	0	4	3	0	3	0	636	692	1.000	1.692	364	737	12	15	708	399	+9	+1	—	—	+1	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,136	108	77	226	292	396	+34	+18	9.7	8.7
	/162	664	23	16	226	292	396	+7.1	+3.8	2.0	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jackson Lovich (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	53→58	57→62	53	226/290/401	175	334	19	30	37%	7%	89	+1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	40→38	48→55	53→50	39	206/266/349	143	284	16	9	32%	6%	69	-0.4	214/278/357	143	300	16	10	33%	6%	76	+0.1	212/284/375	163	291	20	9	33%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	41→38	54→60	56→55	45	219/278/397	178	254	22	15	24%	7%	87	+0.8	226/291/414	188	257	23	16	22%	7%	97	+1.5	222/292/406	184	249	22	19	21%	7%	92	+0.8
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A	22	43→29	47→60	51→50	42	209/299/349	140	319	15	12	36%	8%	84	+0.6	207/283/386	179	333	22	8	41%	8%	86	+0.8	194/270/396	201	315	27	12	45%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	42→44	50	51→45	45	210/316/367	157	290	18	7	32%	8%	96	+1.5	216/319/370	154	271	17	7	26%	8%	98	+1.6	214/320/367	152	267	17	7	25%	8%	95	+0.9
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Ronny Simon 2022 · A	22	39→49	50	53→55	42	205/263/357	153	269	17	14	31%	7%	70	-0.3	221/270/363	142	283	16	22	27%	6%	74	-0.1	261/322/377	116	323	10	29	21%	7%	95	+1.0
✕Rylan Bannon 2018 · A	22	46→42	50	51→50	44	235/298/388	153	288	19	8	25%	7%	93	+1.3	210/279/350	140	281	15	5	29%	8%	75	-0.0	197/295/350	153	257	19	12	30%	11%	80	+0.3
✕Chris Williams 2019 · A	22	38→30	53→60	47→40	47	207/281/370	163	255	22	4	29%	9%	82	+0.5	179/271/314	135	283	15	4	38%	11%	63	-0.9	179/261/368	189	250	28	4	40%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	87	+0.8	209/284/358	149	274	16	19	29%	9%	79	+0.3	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	46→55	52→50	39	205/249/339	134	269	14	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	183/230/341	158	264	20	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	35→34	49→50	54→50	36	188/246/332	144	269	17	14	36%	6%	56	-1.3	199/257/342	143	302	18	13	38%	6%	63	-0.8	180/243/309	129	278	16	12	39%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→48	47→55	59→55	38	216/258/360	144	272	14	15	26%	4%	68	-0.5	239/275/399	160	304	18	22	27%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42	47→50	48→40	46	215/286/350	135	266	15	4	25%	7%	78	+0.2	219/309/349	130	303	13	6	30%	9%	88	+0.9	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	44→50	51→45	35	182/259/292	110	306	12	11	42%	6%	53	-1.5	199/263/309	110	291	13	7	34%	6%	58	-1.2	187/246/280	93	268	12	5	34%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Tyler Kolodny 2011 · A	23	40→36	50→45	51→50	40	209/279/369	160	275	18	9	30%	6%	80	+0.4	213/288/327	114	289	10	10	28%	6%	73	-0.1	210/300/295	85	278	6	10	24%	6%	67	-0.2
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	35→45	50→60	51→45	45	191/275/338	147	260	19	8	33%	9%	71	-0.3	228/294/419	191	283	24	6	28%	8%	99	+1.7	225/292/420	195	273	25	7	27%	8%	97	+1.3
✕Alexander Canario 2021 · A	21	44→34	50→60	48→50	40	223/281/376	154	307	18	8	33%	7%	82	+0.5	201/256/378	177	290	23	14	38%	6%	72	-0.2	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	42→40	52→50	51→55	45	219/286/388	169	275	19	17	28%	8%	88	+0.9	179/253/304	125	255	16	21	35%	8%	53	-1.5	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
●Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→44	52→55	54→50	48	206/295/372	166	284	19	16	33%	10%	88	+0.9	216/301/395	179	269	22	10	27%	10%	96	+1.5	207/293/388	181	246	23	6	26%	10%	89	+0.7
✕Chris Turner 2006 · A	22	47→35	48→55	53→45	38	230/282/383	154	329	14	9	34%	6%	85	+0.7	198/254/344	146	333	16	5	43%	6%	63	-0.9	180/237/330	150	300	17	2	44%	5%	50	-1.3