Juan Sanchez — OGILVIE

Juan Sanchez P Augusta GreenJackets

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.57

FIP5.57

K%21.8%

BB%18.4%

K-BB%3.5%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	13	0	29	125	28	20	0	0%	2.3	15.2%	20.0%	-4.8%	0.0%	3.68	4.35	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	13	0	29	125	28	20	0	0%	2.3	22.4%	16.0%	6.4%	0.0%	3.68	3.24	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	10	5	12	69	13	19	1	50%	1.2	12.8%	34.4%	-21.6%	2.3%	11.68	7.62	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	10	5	12	69	13	19	1	50%	1.2	18.8%	27.5%	-8.7%	1.4%	11.68	6.67	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	45	210	50	33	2	0%	2.0	18.0%	19.8%	-1.8%	1.5%	3.40	4.90	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	45	210	50	33	2	0%	2.0	18.0%	19.8%	-1.8%	1.5%	3.40	4.90	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	45	210	50	33	2	0%	2.0	23.8%	15.7%	8.1%	1.0%	3.40	3.66	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	33	165	44	34	2	0%	1.3	20.5%	24.1%	-3.6%	1.5%	4.86	5.23	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	33	165	44	34	2	0%	1.3	20.5%	24.1%	-3.6%	1.5%	4.86	5.23	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	33	165	44	34	2	0%	1.3	26.7%	20.6%	6.1%	1.2%	4.86	4.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	ATL	17	0	18	76	17	14	2	0%	1.1	21.8%	18.4%	3.5%	2.9%	5.57	5.57	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ATL	29	0	30	128	29	20	4	0%	1.0	22.3%	15.7%	6.6%	2.9%	5.28	5.18	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	ATL	12	0	13	55	12	9	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	15.7%	6.6%	2.9%	5.28	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	55	12	9	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	15.7%	6.6%	2.9%	5.28	4.80	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	139	31	0%	1.1	22.3%	15.7%	6.6%	2.9%	5.28	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		72	5	120	569	99	130	7	7%	1.7	17.5%	22.9%	-5.4%	1.3%	4.73	5.21	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	8	200	948	166	217	12	7%	1.7	17.5%	22.9%	-5.4%	1.3%	4.73	5.21	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.57	21.8%	18.4%	2.9%	—	5.18	22.3%	6.6%	30	-0.39	—	—	—
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	86
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	85
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	85
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	84
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	84
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	84
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	84
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	83
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	83
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	83
Isaac Gallegos R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	21	SU	4.40	22.9%	17.8%	1.8%	.267	3.09	19.9%	10.5%	106	-1.31	2.89	125	82
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	82
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	82
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	82
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	82
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	81
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	81
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.54	19.0%	8.4%	155	-0.01	3.33	268	81
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	81
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	81