Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Braves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.99 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Braves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 0 | 27 | 118 | 40 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.9% | 17.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 3.00 | 4.65 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 0 | 27 | 118 | 40 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 33.9% | 12.7% | 21.2% | 0.8% | 3.00 | 2.29 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 51 | 219 | 48 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.7% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 3.18 | 3.43 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 51 | 219 | 48 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.9% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 0.5% | 3.18 | 2.53 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | 23 | 0 | 31 | 125 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.0% | 5.8% | 22.2% | 1.3% | 2.03 | 2.16 | +0.9 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ATL | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 38 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5.00 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.1% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5.00 | 5.00 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 83 | 346 | 82 | 33 | 7 | — | — | 23.7% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 2.0% | 3.90 | 3.95 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.1% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 5.00 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ATL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 42 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 4.85 | 4.80 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 44 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 4.74 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 45 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ATL | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 4.85 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 4.74 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 98 | 0 | 103 | 433 | 83 | 46 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 4.74 | 4.32 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 90 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 4.74 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 77 | 0 | 110 | 466 | 100 | 50 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 1.3% | 2.78 | 3.38 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 140 | 0 | 200 | 847 | 181 | 90 | 11 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 1.3% | 2.78 | 3.38 | +4.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Isaac Gallegos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.00 | 17.1% | 11.8% | 2.7% | — | 4.71 | 19.0% | 8.2% | 162 | -0.29 | — | — | — |
| Colby Blueberg R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.55 | 17.7% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .310 | 4.02 | 21.6% | 10.6% | 110 | -0.53 | 2.36 | 229 | 93 |
| Alaska Abney R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.83 | 18.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .301 | 3.88 | 17.4% | 7.9% | 104 | -0.95 | 3.31 | 207 | 91 |
| Kieran Lovegrove R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.13 | 17.9% | 12.6% | 3.5% | .273 | 4.66 | 19.3% | 4.5% | 76 | -0.47 | 3.77 | 215 | 91 |
| Rob Huber R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.84 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 1.5% | .304 | 4.67 | 15.7% | 1.0% | 64 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 117 | 90 |
| Jacinto Arredondo R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.22 | 14.4% | 12.7% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.89 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 50 | -0.33 | 4.89 | 101 | 90 |
| Chris Kean R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.76 | 16.6% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .270 | 4.32 | 24.9% | 21.0% | 35 | -0.44 | 2.21 | 110 | 90 |
| Brett Standlee R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 19.7% | 11.1% | 2.1% | .322 | 4.33 | 17.0% | 8.9% | 75 | +0.33 | 4.00 | 128 | 90 |
| Matt Lollis R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.59 | 18.5% | 12.2% | 2.8% | .237 | 5.05 | 19.2% | 4.7% | 56 | +0.46 | 4.59 | 120 | 89 |
| Davison Palermo R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.15 | 19.0% | 12.4% | 2.0% | .246 | 5.00 | 18.3% | 5.9% | 148 | +0.85 | 4.15 | 191 | 89 |
| Chase Centala R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.34 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .270 | 4.16 | 17.4% | 10.8% | 55 | -0.18 | 4.16 | 124 | 89 |
| Max Alba R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 89 |
| Jake Ehret R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.98 | 18.5% | 11.2% | 1.9% | .297 | 5.62 | 12.3% | -3.5% | 41 | +1.64 | 3.88 | 173 | 89 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.55 | 18.3% | 14.4% | 2.1% | .265 | 4.56 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 58 | +0.01 | 4.55 | 155 | 89 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.12 | 17.8% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .309 | 3.23 | 24.8% | 15.5% | 104 | -0.89 | 2.88 | 312 | 89 |
| Logan Cozart R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 15.5% | 11.8% | 1.3% | .314 | 3.69 | 18.0% | 10.1% | 184 | -0.31 | 3.30 | 316 | 88 |
| Anyelo Leclerc R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.97 | 16.2% | 9.8% | 3.6% | .326 | 5.13 | 15.9% | 6.1% | 96 | +0.16 | 4.97 | 140 | 88 |
| Everhett Hazelwood R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.32 | 13.8% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .306 | 6.84 | 18.7% | 2.9% | 63 | +1.52 | 5.32 | 117 | 88 |
| Ralston Cash R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.78 | 19.4% | 11.8% | 3.3% | .240 | 3.92 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 185 | -0.86 | 3.03 | 242 | 88 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 88 |
| Mark Ecker R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.89 | 16.6% | 13.3% | 2.8% | .230 | 3.92 | 16.7% | 5.1% | 59 | -0.97 | 3.03 | 180 | 88 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 54 | 18.5% | 11.0% | 1.04 | 4.81 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |