Chariel Radney — OGILVIE

Chariel Radney P DSL Rays

Age 22 LHP 6'0" / 189 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 8 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118126vR 134

ERA5.31

FIP5.31

K%21.4%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%5.7%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	12	8	32	151	38	33	1	67%	2.6	17.1%	27.3%	-10.2%	0.9%	4.55	5.59	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	12	8	32	151	38	33	1	67%	2.6	25.2%	21.9%	3.3%	0.7%	4.55	4.24	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	5	1	4	25	2	5	1	20%	0.9	8.0%	20.0%	-12.0%	4.0%	14.54	7.15	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	5	1	4	25	2	5	1	20%	0.9	8.0%	20.0%	-12.0%	4.0%	14.54	8.64	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	12	0	19	78	18	12	0	0%	1.6	15.7%	19.2%	-3.5%	0.0%	2.41	4.21	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	12	0	19	78	18	12	0	0%	1.6	15.7%	19.2%	-3.5%	0.0%	2.41	4.21	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	12	0	19	78	18	12	0	0%	1.6	23.1%	15.4%	7.7%	0.0%	2.41	3.10	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	7	0	12	61	7	12	1	0%	1.7	7.8%	24.6%	-16.8%	2.2%	6.94	6.79	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	7	0	12	61	7	12	1	0%	1.7	7.8%	24.6%	-16.8%	2.2%	6.94	6.79	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	7	0	12	61	7	12	1	0%	1.7	11.5%	19.7%	-8.2%	1.6%	6.94	6.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	TB	8	0	8	34	7	5	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	15.8%	5.7%	3.0%	5.31	5.31	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TB	19	0	20	84	19	12	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	13.6%	8.7%	2.9%	5.04	4.93	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	TB	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	13.6%	8.7%	2.9%	5.04	4.93	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	13.6%	8.7%	2.9%	5.04	4.55	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	122	20	0%	1.1	22.4%	13.6%	8.7%	2.9%	5.04	4.55	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		36	9	66	315	45	76	4	25%	1.8	14.2%	24.2%	-10.0%	1.2%	5.02	5.61	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	27	200	950	135	230	11	25%	1.8	14.2%	24.2%	-10.0%	1.2%	5.02	5.61	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chariel Radney (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.31	21.4%	15.8%	3.0%	—	4.93	22.4%	8.7%	20	-0.38	—	—	—
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	82
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	80
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	78
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	78
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	76
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	76
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	76
Jack O'Loughlin L 2022 · 4.83 FIP	22	SW	4.83	17.0%	13.7%	2.6%	.269	4.76	17.5%	7.2%	239	-0.07	3.78	348	76
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	75
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	75
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	75
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	75
Felix Polanco L 2022 · 5.19 FIP	22	SU	5.19	18.7%	19.9%	2.1%	.290	3.68	18.8%	12.8%	27	-1.51	3.68	105	74
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	74
Ignacio Briceno L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.270	3.28	14.7%	3.5%	76	-1.26	2.39	156	74
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	74
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	74
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	73
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.24	22.9%	8.7%	176	+0.05	3.24	203	73
Nick Jones L 2022 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	22.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.284	3.63	21.7%	12.0%	143	-0.58	1.32	201	73