Matthew Etzel

LF Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 25 L/R 6'2" / 211 lbs AAA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
ETA2029MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202523AAAMIA121.275/.370/.3632972—.241/.311/.324
202523AAMIA251.232/.361/.36251868—.203/.289/.311
202624AAAMIA503.241/.345/.428192572—.200/.279/.337
2027PROJ10% MLB25MLBMIA32.214/.291/.3341183-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB26MLBMIA127.215/.292/.3363584-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB27MLBMIA171.215/.292/.3364784-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Max EV87
Speed78
BB%74
Z-Con%55
Whiff%51
Chase%49
Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 82%
CompsTravis Swaggerty (age 25) · Elijah Dunham (age 26) · Michael Gigliotti (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†83
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .291 / .334
PA32
HR1
K%28
BB%9
BABIP288
ISO138
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +6.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 1915 4200 430 30 267421400821 133333 1621 377 80 — — — — — —
202321 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 9170 22412 14174 163 314449486935 171377 1915 409 111 — — — — — —
202422 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 270240 59647 25722 146 246322392714 146317 279 317 63 — — — — — —
202422 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 214186 571244 22422 316 306386478864 172368 2010 376 85 — — — — — —
202523 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 121102 28302 16290 92 275370363732 88356 2413 331 72 — — — — — —
202523 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 251207 48825 42640 187 232361362724 130307 2517 331 68 — — — — — —
202624 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 503432 10420219 671242 257 241345428774 188292 2513 345 72 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 1916 4200 340 30 250368375743 125280 2116 286 80 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 9176 20312 9234 163 263371408779 145320 2510 332 111 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 270248 53636 17882 146 214270335604 121289 336 262 63 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 214195 471033 13552 316 241295369664 128303 266 294 85 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 121108 26302 11360 92 241311324635 83315 309 275 72 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 251222 45824 27790 187 203289311600 108283 3111 268 68 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 503451 9016214 481492 257 200279337616 137262 3010 274 72 — — — — — —
202321 A MLE2 teams — 11092 24512 12274 193 261370402773 141338 2511 324 105 — — — — — —
202321 A RAW2 teams — 11085 26612 18204 193 306444471915 165369 1816 403 105 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 484443 991569 301434 4512 223279345624 122302 306 276 73 — — — — — —
202422 AA RAW2 teams — 484426 11618811 471144 4512 272350430780 157341 2410 343 73 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE2 teams — 372330 691025 381140 279 209291297588 88298 3110 270 69 — — — — — —
202523 AA RAW2 teams — 372309 761127 58930 279 246364362727 117324 2516 331 69 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 503451 9016214 481492 257 200279337616 137262 3010 274 72 — — — — — —
202624 AAA RAWJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 503432 10420219 671242 257 241345428774 188292 2513 345 72 — — — — — —
202321 A MLE2 teams — 11093 24512 12274 193 258370398768 140313 2511 324 105 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 484447 991569 301434 4512 221279342621 121295 306 276 73 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE2 teams — 372331 691025 381140 279 208291296587 88293 3110 270 69 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 503448 9016214 481492 257 201279339619 138262 3010 274 72 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 484447 991569 301434 4512 221279342621 121295 306 276 73 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE2 teams — 372331 691025 381140 279 208291296587 88293 3110 270 69 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 503448 9016214 481492 257 201279339619 138262 3010 274 72 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEMIA 10% 380341 751329 351111 165 222297349646 128298 299 291 83 -8 +1 +0 -4 +8 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXMIA 10% 3229 6101 390 10 214291334625 120288 289 282 83 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEMIA 35% 365327 721328 341051 165 222298352650 129297 299 292 84 -7 +1 +0 -4 +8 -0.2
202927 MLB MLEMIA 44% 388347 781429 361112 165 222298352650 129296 299 292 84 -7 +1 +0 -4 +8 -0.2
203028 MLB MLEMIA 49% 401359 791429 371142 155 222297349646 128294 289 291 83 -8 +1 -1 -4 +9 -0.3
203129 MLB MLEMIA 50% 400358 791429 371142 134 220295345640 125292 289 289 81 -9 +1 -1 -4 +9 -0.5
202826 MLB CTXMIA 35% 127113 25413 12371 52 215292336628 121287 299 284 84 -2 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.1
202927 MLB CTXMIA 44% 171152 33514 16491 72 215292336628 121286 299 284 84 -3 +1 +0 -2 +4 -0.1
203028 MLB CTXMIA 49% 196175 37614 18561 72 214291334625 120285 299 282 83 -4 +1 -0 -2 +4 -0.2
203129 MLB CTXMIA 50% 200179 38614 18571 62 213289330619 118283 289 280 81 -4 +0 -1 -2 +4 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 694619 13321415 641994 258 215293334627 120289 299 282 79 -14 +2 -1 -7 +15 -0.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650580 12520414 601864 237 216294336630 121289 299 282 79 -13 +2 -1 -7 +14 -0.5
Career— MLE — 33432993 6531122172 30297018 19054 218294342635 124294 299 285 79 -38 +6 -2 -20 +41 -1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 12722414 591893 3710 218293342635 124294 299 285 79 -13 +2 -1 -7 +14 -0.5