Sebastian Baquera

C Hickory Crawdads
Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1291ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Rangers R…116.314/.487/.4883477—.185/.348/.261
202518ROKTEX75.159/.254/.17500-14—.125/.211/.141
202619A/ROKTEX192.281/.388/.4003182—.241/.330/.343
2027PROJMLE20MLBTEX302.203/.275/.29345620.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBTEX56.208/.281/.31011670.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBTEX129.212/.286/.32222720.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
wRC+54
K%51
wOBA50
BB%46
Z-Con%32
Whiff%30
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 9.2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 82%
CompsSammy Hernandez (age 20) · Gilberto Vizcarra (age 20) · Rafael Morel (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 111 proj PA
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .272 / .290
PA111
HR1
K%26
BB%7
ISO90
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.40.40.40.30.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 37
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT29
scouting grade only
POWER37
scouting grade only
EYE49
scouting grade only
SPEED48
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.5M
2035Arb-1$1M+0.3$0.7M+$0.1M
2036Arb-2$2M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-3$1.0M———
Totals $4M $4M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Rangers Red — 11686 27603 21188 41 314487488975 174364 1618 438 77 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Rangers — 7563 10100 3215 01 159254175428 16233 284 203 -14 — — — — — —
202619 AHickory Crawdads — 163136 36602 19394 11 265371353724 88351 2412 328 72 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Rangers — 2924 9211 332 01 3754836671.149 292400 1010 495 135 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 11692 17401 15238 41 185348261609 76221 2013 282 77 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 7564 8100 2315 01 125211141352 16192 413 147 -14 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 163141 33502 14534 11 234321312633 78333 339 275 72 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 2925 7111 242 01 280379520899 240312 147 367 135 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 11692 17401 15238 41 185348261609 76232 2013 282 77 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Rangers Red — 11686 27603 21188 41 314487488975 174364 1618 438 77 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 7564 8100 2315 01 125211141352 16235 413 147 -14 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWACL Rangers — 7563 10100 3215 01 159254175428 16233 284 203 -14 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 192166 40712 16576 12 241330331661 90349 308 289 82 — — — — — —
202619 A RAW2 teams — 192160 45813 22426 12 281388400788 119359 2211 353 82 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 11692 17401 15238 41 185348261609 76221 2013 282 77 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 7568 8100 2315 01 118211132344 15192 413 147 -14 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 192168 40712 16576 12 238330327657 89330 308 289 82 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 11692 17401 15238 41 185348261609 76221 2013 282 77 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 7568 8100 2315 01 118211132344 15192 413 147 -14 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 192168 40712 16576 12 238330327657 89330 308 289 82 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLETEX 0% 302272 561024 22795 51 203275293567 90268 267 260 62 -14 +1 +0 +5 +7 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLETEX 34% 164148 30512 12423 31 208281307588 100270 267 268 67 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
202922 MLB MLETEX 48% 266240 51915 20684 52 212285319604 107272 268 274 72 -9 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.2
203023 MLB MLETEX 54% 356320 691227 27906 62 215289327616 112274 258 279 75 -11 +0 +0 +6 +8 0.4
203124 MLB MLETEX 55% 414372 811528 321037 72 218291334625 116276 258 283 78 -11 +1 +0 +7 +9 0.6
203225 MLB MLETEX 56% 445400 871629 351107 83 219293339632 119277 258 285 79 -11 +0 +0 +8 +10 0.7
203326 MLB MLETEX 56% 445400 871629 351107 83 219293338631 119276 258 285 79 -11 +0 +0 +8 +10 0.7
203427 MLB MLETEX 60% 445400 871629 351117 83 218292335627 118276 258 284 78 -12 +0 +0 +8 +10 0.7
203528 MLB MLETEX 62% 445400 871629 351127 73 216290331620 115275 258 281 76 -13 +0 -1 +8 +10 0.5
203629 MLB MLETEX 63% 445400 851528 351137 63 214287324611 111273 258 277 74 -14 +0 -1 +8 +10 0.2
203730 MLB MLETEX 63% 445401 841528 341157 63 210283316600 106271 268 273 71 -16 +0 -2 +8 +10 -0.0
202821 MLB CTXTEX 34% 5651 10201 4141 10 208281310591 102270 257 269 67 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202922 MLB CTXTEX 48% 129116 24412 10332 21 212286322608 110272 268 276 72 -4 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
203023 MLB CTXTEX 54% 193173 37614 15493 31 216289331621 116274 258 281 75 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.2
203124 MLB CTXTEX 55% 229205 45815 18574 41 218292338630 120275 258 285 78 -6 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.3
203225 MLB CTXTEX 56% 249224 48815 19624 41 220294343637 123276 258 287 79 -6 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.4
203326 MLB CTXTEX 56% 250224 48815 20624 41 220294343636 123276 258 287 79 -6 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.4
203427 MLB CTXTEX 60% 265238 52916 21664 52 219293340632 121275 258 286 78 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.4
203528 MLB CTXTEX 62% 274247 53916 21694 42 217291335625 118274 258 283 76 -8 +0 -0 +5 +6 0.3
203629 MLB CTXTEX 63% 279251 54916 22714 42 214288328616 114273 258 279 74 -9 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.1
203730 MLB CTXTEX 63% 282254 53915 22734 42 211284320604 109271 268 274 71 -10 +0 -1 +5 +6 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22061983 42472945 17255634 3513 214288327615 113272 258 282 74 -64 +2 -3 +39 +48 2.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 12521313 5116410 104 214288327615 113273 258 282 74 -19 +1 -1 +12 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 43643903 8341512078 341111483 7130 214291323613 109277 268 278 74 -118 +3 -4 +71 +86 3.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 12422312 5116612 114 213290324614 110276 268 278 74 -19 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHickory Crawdads · 163 PAwOBA .324 → .275 (−49)K% 23.9% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.93%÷1.000×1.360——32.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.66%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0458.40%
HBP% /PA2.45%—×0.780—×1.0452.00%
Singles /BIP28.87%÷1.000×0.920×1.009×1.04528.01%
Doubles /BIP6.19%÷1.000×0.830×1.009×1.0455.42%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.009×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP2.06%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0451.72%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .324 → .275; ISO .088 → .072; BABIP .351 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Rangers · 29 PAwOBA .482 → .367 (−115)K% 10.3% → 14.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.34%÷1.000×1.440——14.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.34%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0086.46%
HBP% /PA6.90%—×0.720—×1.0085.00%
Singles /BIP23.81%÷1.000×0.820—×1.00819.67%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0086.91%
Triples /BIP4.76%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0083.45%
Home runs /BIP4.76%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0083.74%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .482 → .367; ISO .292 → .223; BABIP .400 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Rangers · 75 PAwOBA .201 → .147 (−54)K% 28.0% → 41.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.00%÷0.981×1.440——41.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.00%÷1.016×0.620—×1.0222.50%
HBP% /PA6.67%—×0.720—×1.0224.91%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷0.991×0.820×0.990×1.02217.95%
Doubles /BIP2.38%÷1.017×0.720×0.990×1.0221.71%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.138×0.720×0.990×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.302×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 128, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .201 → .147; ISO .016 → .010; BABIP .233 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Rangers Red · 116 PAwOBA .431 → .282 (−150)K% 15.5% → 19.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.52%÷0.969×1.220——19.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.10%÷0.976×0.700—×1.02213.28%
HBP% /PA6.90%—×0.700—×1.0224.94%
Singles /BIP26.47%÷1.025×0.680×0.950×1.02217.05%
Doubles /BIP8.82%÷1.032×0.600×0.950×1.0224.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.600×0.950×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP4.41%÷1.333×0.470—×1.0221.59%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .431 → .282; ISO .174 → .082; BABIP .364 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).