Sebastian BaqueraC Hickory Crawdads
Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION102 act + 68 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .279 / .279
PA68
HR1
K%26
BB%7
BABIP262
ISO82
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.01.12.20.50.91.31.51.71.71.71.71.61.4+$95M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 41
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT36
scouting grade only
POWER41
scouting grade only
EYE54
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.7$9M+$9M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.7$9M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.7$8M+$8M
2034Arb-1$3M+1.7$7M+$6M
2035Arb-2$5M+1.6$6M+$5M
2036Arb-3$6M+1.4$5M+$3M
Totals $17M $45M +$38M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Rangers Red — 11693 19401 14288 41 204357280636 75277 2412 289 79 — — — — — —
202417 ROKDSL Rangers Red — 11686 27603 21188 41 314487488975 174364 1618 438 193 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Rangers — 7564 8100 2315 01 125211141352 16235 413 143 -32 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Rangers — 7563 10100 3215 01 159254175428 16233 284 203 13 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ATEX — 10290 20312 7284 01 222307344651 122295 277 293 83 -2 -0 +0 +2 +3 0.2
YTD19 ATEX — 10286 25413 11204 01 291396465861 174344 2011 382 151 +6 -0 +0 +2 +3 1.0
ROS19 ATEX 0% 6861 12201 5182 10 197279279558 82279 267 273 67 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
ROS19 MLBTEX 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 280 —— 257 55 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL19 ATEX — 10291 20312 7284 01 220307341648 121290 277 293 83 -2 -0 +0 +2 +3 0.2
TOT19 ATEX — 170151 32513 12466 11 212296318614 106282 277 285 76 -5 -0 +0 +3 +5 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBTEX 34% 241216 47815 18635 41 218293333626 116282 267 283 75 -7 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.5
202821 MLBTEX 48% 364325 711227 28948 62 218296332629 114284 268 289 79 -8 +0 +0 +7 +10 0.9
202922 MLBTEX 54% 451403 9116310 3511510 83 226304355658 129285 258 293 83 -9 +0 +0 +8 +13 1.3
203023 MLBTEX 57% 506451 10218311 3912811 94 226303353656 126286 258 296 85 -9 +0 +0 +9 +14 1.5
203124 MLBTEX 57% 520463 10518312 4113111 104 227305356661 130287 258 298 86 -8 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.7
203225 MLBTEX 57% 520463 10518312 4113011 104 227305356661 130287 258 299 87 -8 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.7
203326 MLBTEX 60% 520463 10518312 4113011 104 227305356661 130287 258 299 87 -8 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.7
203427 MLBTEX 62% 520463 10518312 4113111 104 227305356661 130287 258 299 87 -8 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.7
203528 MLBTEX 63% 520462 10518312 4213111 104 227307357664 130286 258 298 86 -8 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.6
203629 MLBTEX 64% 520462 10518312 4213211 94 227307357664 130285 258 296 85 -9 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.4
203730 MLBTEX 65% 520462 10217311 4213411 93 221301342643 121284 268 293 82 -10 +1 -2 +9 +15 1.2
203831 MLBTEX 65% 504448 9917311 4113110 83 221301346647 125282 268 289 79 -12 +0 -3 +9 +14 0.9
203932 MLBTEX 65% 489436 9315210 4012910 83 213294326620 112278 268 283 75 -14 +0 -4 +9 +14 0.6
202720 MLBTEX 34% 8375 17312 6222 10 227301373675 147284 277 268 63 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202821 MLBTEX 48% 176157 35614 13454 31 223299350649 127286 267 275 68 -6 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.2
202922 MLBTEX 54% 245219 48815 19625 42 219296333630 114287 258 279 72 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.4
203023 MLBTEX 57% 286256 591027 22726 52 230306367674 137288 258 282 74 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203124 MLBTEX 57% 294263 601027 23746 52 228305361666 133289 258 284 75 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203225 MLBTEX 57% 294263 601027 23746 62 228305361666 133289 258 284 76 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.6
203326 MLBTEX 60% 314279 641127 25797 62 229309358667 129289 258 285 76 -9 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.7
203427 MLBTEX 62% 323287 661128 26817 62 230309366675 136288 258 285 76 -9 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.7
203528 MLBTEX 63% 329293 671128 26837 62 229307362669 133288 258 284 75 -9 +0 -0 +6 +9 0.6
203629 MLBTEX 64% 332295 671128 27857 62 227307359666 132287 268 282 74 -10 +0 -1 +6 +9 0.5
203730 MLBTEX 65% 338301 671127 27877 62 223301342644 120286 268 279 72 -11 +0 -1 +6 +10 0.4
203831 MLBTEX 65% 328291 651127 27857 52 223305347652 124283 268 275 69 -12 +0 -2 +6 +9 0.2
203932 MLBTEX 65% 318282 611026 26847 52 216298330628 113280 268 270 65 -13 +0 -2 +6 +9 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 36603262 7361232383 29093378 6423 226304354658 128288 258 280 73 -113 +4 -7 +65 +104 5.4
/ 162G— — 650579 13122415 5216614 114 226305356661 130289 268 280 73 -20 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.9
Career— — 64545735 127421835139 5121656146 11645 222302345647 123285 268 292 82 -134 +5 -10 +115 +183 16.2
/ 162G— — 650578 12922414 5216715 125 223305348653 125287 268 292 82 -14 +0 -1 +12 +18 1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Rangers Red — 11686 27603 21188 41 314487488975 174364 1618 438 193 +12 +0 — — +3 1.6
202518 ROKACL Rangers — 7563 10100 3215 01 159254175428 16233 284 203 13 -7 -0 — — +2 -0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA
123,381976227312387+60+7722.521.6
/162664191+11.9+15.14.4pk7: 21
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA
113,94714453241275417+70+5319.118.9
/162664249+11.9+8.83.2pk7: 19
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#4Rod Barajaslast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA
123,7531342235284407+60+3015.816.0
/162664240+10.7+5.32.8pk7: 16
#5John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
93,7648267224299349+67+3610.18.5
/1626641512+11.9+6.41.8pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Sebastian Baquera (OGILVIE) 19 31→36 36→41 45→50 54 212/296/318 106282 31 27% 7% 76 +0.3 ————————— —————————
✕Jesus Galiz
2023 · A 		19 38 43→45 49→40 40 193/254/304 111268 105 31% 6% 53 -1.5 201/260/303 102309 93 36% 6% 54 -1.4 189/250/287982958237%6%45-1.0
✕Miguel Palma
2021 · A 		19 42 41→45 48→40 42 201/285/303 102283 911 30% 7% 66 -0.6 214/290/334 120285 135 28% 8% 76 +0.0 213/279/33011727714227%7%69-0.2
✕Ronarsy Ledesma
2012 · A 		19 41 42→45 47→50 43 203/277/306 103268 97 27% 6% 63 -0.9 224/283/326 102290 511 24% 5% 69 -0.4 226/280/33711129161123%4%69-0.2
✕Denzer Guzman
2023 · A 		19 38→36 40→45 47→50 42 190/245/284 93260 79 29% 6% 43 -2.2 187/246/287 100286 98 36% 7% 43 -2.2 205/268/331127286151232%7%61-0.7
✕Jose Ovalles
2013 · A 		19 40 42→45 45→40 47 199/278/308 110248 95 23% 7% 64 -0.8 215/277/321 106257 95 19% 6% 66 -0.6 219/276/3291102429314%6%66-0.2
✕Chris Suero
2023 · A 		19 41→37 38→45 47→55 49 191/290/273 82290 58 32% 11% 61 -1.0 192/289/292 100287 914 33% 10% 65 -0.7 175/282/297122265132636%10%62-0.6
✕Juan Uriarte
2017 · A 		19 41 38→45 46→30 41 199/261/275 76260 55 25% 5% 47 -1.9 210/260/302 92278 84 26% 4% 53 -1.5 184/227/264802547030%3%27-1.0
✕Jeferson Quero
2023 · A 		20 44→42 44→50 49→45 41 219/269/335 116284 129 27% 6% 66 -0.6 226/283/364 138283 167 25% 7% 79 +0.3 225/289/37014526918423%7%82+0.3
✕Christian Cerda
2023 · A 		20 40→37 40 50→40 50 194/278/287 93254 69 25% 9% 58 -1.2 189/282/293 104252 114 27% 11% 62 -0.9 173/268/27510122312227%11%50-1.2
✕Jett Williams
2023 · A 		19 45→46 41→45 56→55 43 214/285/313 99288 714 27% 7% 68 -0.5 203/314/320 117299 923 31% 12% 83 +0.6 201/310/335134289102630%12%81+0.3
✕Daniel Vellojin
2019 · A 		19 39 39→45 47→45 48 189/268/273 83260 66 28% 9% 50 -1.7 214/303/312 98272 78 22% 10% 76 +0.0 196/299/31111625812627%12%71-0.1
✕Victor Rodrigues
2023 · A 		18 41 38→30 49→50 44 197/261/279 83254 57 24% 6% 49 -1.8 211/290/283 72267 59 21% 9% 62 -0.9 219/316/2715227241019%11%68-0.2
✕Oswaldo Linares
2023 · A 		20 42 41→40 48→40 52 203/299/297 93263 96 25% 10% 70 -0.3 188/285/268 80281 74 32% 11% 57 -1.2 161/265/226652476233%11%36-1.0
✕Deiber Olivera
2012 · A 		19 44 38→40 50→45 44 210/259/296 86269 48 23% 6% 50 -1.7 236/277/312 76275 37 15% 4% 63 -0.9 255/291/322672892712%3%69-0.1
✕Adrian De Leon
2023 · A 		19 42 38→40 47→45 43 199/271/276 78287 57 30% 8% 53 -1.5 193/290/269 76317 65 37% 9% 60 -1.0 155/264/219642696339%10%36-1.1
✕Ismerling Mota
2017 · A 		19 43 40→45 46→40 41 211/253/301 90262 85 23% 5% 50 -1.8 203/254/278 75282 54 28% 5% 44 -2.1 180/231/230512203019%5%20-0.9
✕Carlos Rodriguez
2022 · A 		19 39 40→45 46→45 47 181/281/275 94294 76 37% 11% 57 -1.2 183/259/259 76293 56 36% 9% 43 -2.2 170/253/254842537233%9%37-1.0
✕Jacob Amaya
2018 · A 		19 44→46 39→45 48→45 46 210/278/294 84284 68 27% 8% 59 -1.1 225/302/319 94296 68 24% 10% 76 +0.0 210/281/32811826813625%8%68-0.4
✕Juan Mora
2019 · A 		19 45 38→45 46→55 49 211/291/293 83275 48 23% 9% 65 -0.7 213/293/327 114268 1014 23% 8% 75 -0.0 214/280/327113274111225%6%67-0.2
✕Manuel Joseph
2013 · A 		19 46 41→45 44→50 45 221/274/319 97271 88 21% 6% 63 -0.8 244/300/352 108288 915 18% 6% 83 +0.6 263/321/381118302102115%5%101+0.8