Aidan Major

P Hill City Howlers

Age 24 RHP 5'11" / 200 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2029

Overview

APROSPECTFG #898

ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	MIX3 levels	17	16	63	4.55	4.58	21.3%	9.7%	—	K 15.2% · BB 12.1% · FIP 6.14
2027PROJ	24	MLBCLE	12	12	67	5.51	5.51	16.8%	12.6%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCLE	5	5	29	5.29	5.22	18.5%	11.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBCLE	8	8	45	5.15	5.10	19.4%	11.5%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command40FB velo55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsKhristian Curtis (age 22) · J.P. Massey (age 24) · Will Sanders (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.51

FIP5.51

K%16.8%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%4.2%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4050

CMD3040

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	16	63	268	57	26	10	94%	3.7	15.2%	12.1%	3.1%	5.1%	4.55	6.14	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	16	63	268	57	26	10	94%	3.7	15.2%	12.1%	3.1%	5.1%	4.55	6.14	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	16	63	268	57	26	10	94%	3.7	21.3%	9.7%	11.6%	3.7%	4.55	4.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CLE	12	12	67	283	47	36	10	100%	5.6	16.8%	12.6%	4.2%	3.4%	5.51	5.51	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CLE	12	12	68	287	53	34	9	100%	5.7	18.5%	11.8%	6.7%	3.3%	5.29	5.22	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	CLE	11	11	68	287	56	33	9	100%	6.2	19.4%	11.5%	7.9%	3.3%	5.15	5.10	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	CLE	11	11	67	283	55	32	9	100%	6.1	19.6%	11.5%	8.1%	3.3%	5.11	5.10	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	CLE	11	11	65	274	54	32	9	100%	5.9	19.6%	11.6%	8.0%	3.4%	5.14	5.17	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	CLE	5	5	29	122	23	14	4	100%	5.8	18.5%	11.8%	6.7%	3.3%	5.29	5.22	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CLE	8	8	45	190	37	22	6	100%	5.6	19.4%	11.5%	7.9%	3.3%	5.15	5.10	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	CLE	9	9	52	220	43	25	7	100%	5.8	19.6%	11.5%	8.1%	3.3%	5.11	5.10	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	CLE	9	9	55	232	45	27	8	100%	6.1	19.6%	11.6%	8.0%	3.4%	5.14	5.17	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		30	30	181	762	148	88	25	100%	6.0	19.4%	11.6%	7.8%	3.3%	5.16	4.76	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	164	97	28	100%	6.0	19.4%	11.6%	7.8%	3.3%	5.16	4.76	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		17	16	63	268	41	33	14	94%	3.7	15.2%	12.1%	3.1%	5.1%	4.55	6.14	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	51	200	846	129	103	43	94%	3.7	15.2%	12.1%	3.1%	5.1%	4.55	6.14	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aidan Major (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.51	16.8%	12.6%	3.4%	—	5.14	19.2%	7.6%	203	-0.37	—	—	—
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	84
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	84
Will Sanders R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	22	SP	4.95	19.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.297	4.11	20.1%	12.5%	173	-0.84	3.92	266	84
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	83
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	83
Jake Peppers R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	22	SP	5.02	15.3%	12.2%	3.0%	.293	5.15	14.8%	-1.3%	89	+0.13	4.83	186	83
Bryce Osmond R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	12.4%	4.4%	.294	7.13	16.7%	3.8%	80	+1.57	5.56	177	82
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	82
Ike Buxton R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	24	SP	4.45	15.4%	13.1%	1.8%	.341	4.97	13.8%	-5.5%	46	+0.52	4.45	196	82
Paxton Schultz R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	24	SP-	5.27	17.5%	12.2%	3.8%	.293	4.31	21.9%	11.8%	274	-0.96	3.83	543	81
Riley Thompson R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	23	SP	4.69	16.5%	9.4%	3.3%	.288	5.32	21.7%	7.0%	57	+0.63	4.48	340	81
Bryce Warrecker R 2024 · 5.43 FIP	22	SP	5.43	11.3%	11.7%	3.3%	.271	3.82	20.1%	9.6%	91	-1.61	2.47	154	81
Connor Staine R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	23	SP	4.80	20.3%	12.6%	3.3%	.266	5.19	16.1%	3.4%	230	+0.39	3.86	414	80
Josh Bostick R 2024 · 4.65 FIP	22	SP	4.65	19.3%	11.2%	3.2%	.304	5.40	21.7%	12.6%	119	+0.75	4.65	226	80
Aaron Heilman R 2003 · 5.57 FIP	24	SP	5.57	16.2%	12.4%	4.1%	.311	3.13	22.0%	14.1%	223	-2.44	2.76	630	80
Levi Wells R 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	20.0%	12.1%	2.6%	.360	3.82	19.0%	10.2%	132	-0.53	3.70	192	79
Elijah Dale R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP	4.55	16.7%	13.6%	2.1%	.239	6.48	18.4%	-1.6%	31	+1.93	4.55	140	79
John Maine R 2005 · 6.04 FIP	24	SP-	6.04	13.0%	13.0%	4.3%	.242	4.20	20.9%	11.4%	421	-1.84	3.91	582	79
Hayden Merda R 2023 · 5.17 FIP	23	SP	5.17	16.1%	15.3%	2.7%	.325	4.59	25.5%	10.9%	108	-0.58	4.20	203	78
Charlie Morton R 2008 · 4.79 FIP	24	SP	4.79	13.9%	11.3%	2.6%	.285	3.97	14.7%	6.0%	348	-0.82	2.52	2,281	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	18.8%	11.8%	1.29	5.24
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Phil Hennigan ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.4	70	20.9%*	10.4%*	1.50*	4.95*