Wander Ventura — OGILVIE

Wander Ventura P FCL Rays

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%20.2%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%6.6%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	12	3	21	92	20	13	0	25%	1.7	14.8%	17.7%	-2.9%	0.0%	3.92	4.09	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	12	3	21	92	20	13	0	25%	1.7	21.7%	14.1%	7.6%	0.0%	3.92	3.05	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	10	10	28	123	21	9	0	100%	2.8	11.6%	9.1%	2.5%	0.0%	3.90	3.28	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	10	10	28	123	21	9	0	100%	2.8	11.6%	9.1%	2.5%	0.0%	3.90	3.28	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	10	10	28	123	21	9	0	100%	2.8	17.1%	7.3%	9.8%	0.0%	3.90	2.56	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	12	5	30	139	23	20	2	42%	2.5	11.3%	18.0%	-6.7%	2.0%	5.10	5.53	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	12	5	30	139	23	20	2	42%	2.5	11.3%	18.0%	-6.7%	2.0%	5.10	5.53	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	12	5	30	139	23	20	2	42%	2.5	16.5%	14.4%	2.2%	1.4%	5.10	4.43	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	TB	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	20.2%	13.6%	6.6%	3.0%	5.13	5.13	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TB	5	5	28	117	25	14	3	100%	5.5	21.2%	12.1%	9.0%	2.9%	4.92	4.84	+0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	TB	2	2	12	51	11	6	1	100%	6.0	21.2%	12.1%	9.0%	2.9%	4.92	4.84	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	12	50	11	6	1	100%	5.9	21.2%	12.1%	9.0%	2.9%	4.92	4.46	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	186	101	17	100%	5.6	21.2%	12.1%	9.0%	2.9%	4.92	4.46	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		34	18	78	354	44	52	3	53%	2.3	12.3%	14.8%	-2.5%	0.8%	4.37	4.37	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	46	200	904	111	134	7	53%	2.3	12.3%	14.8%	-2.5%	0.8%	4.37	4.37	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wander Ventura (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	20.2%	13.6%	3.0%	—	4.84	21.2%	9.0%	28	-0.29	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	82
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.4%	13.8%	142	-2.14	2.93	176	79
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	79
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	79
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	79
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	78
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	77
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	77
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	76
Jared Ruxer R 2015 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	17.3%	10.6%	2.1%	.333	4.29	14.9%	7.5%	240	+0.13	3.39	270	76
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	76
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	76
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	75
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	75
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	75
Eiberson Castellano R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SW	4.25	18.3%	14.1%	1.7%	.359	4.06	20.9%	10.7%	248	-0.19	3.67	383	74
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	74
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	74
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	73
Jacob Wosinski R 2023 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	17.7%	12.4%	5.7%	.351	4.73	16.8%	5.2%	148	-1.58	3.89	181	73