Michael Carico — OGILVIE

Michael CaricoC Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION322 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP278

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$35M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE80

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	30	22	5	1	0	1	6	7	2	0	0	227	433	409	842	182	286	23	20	391	151	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	30	25	5	1	0	1	3	10	2	0	0	200	333	360	693	160	264	33	10	298	88	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	30	25	5	1	0	1	3	10	2	0	0	200	333	360	693	160	286	33	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	30	22	5	1	0	1	6	7	2	0	0	227	433	409	842	182	286	23	20	391	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	30	25	5	1	0	1	3	10	2	0	0	200	333	360	693	160	264	33	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	30	25	5	1	0	1	3	10	2	0	0	200	333	360	693	160	264	33	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A MLE	CHC	—	322	261	44	9	0	7	55	128	4	5	1	169	322	284	605	115	289	40	17	282	77	-9	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A RAW	CHC	—	223	158	39	7	0	7	60	60	3	3	1	247	462	424	886	177	344	27	27	405	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ RAW	CHC	—	99	73	12	4	0	1	25	32	1	2	0	164	384	260	644	96	275	32	25	320	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A MLE	CHC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		277	33	11	292	84	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	A MLE	CHC	—	331	269	45	9	0	7	56	131	4	5	1	167	319	279	598	112	286	40	17	282	77	-9	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CHC	38%	284	238	47	9	1	7	41	93	3	5	1	197	323	332	655	134	280	33	14	297	87	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	351	295	59	11	1	9	49	112	4	6	1	200	322	336	657	136	281	32	14	301	90	-4	+1	+0	+6	+8	1.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	64%	394	332	67	13	1	10	54	124	5	7	2	202	322	337	660	136	282	31	14	303	91	-4	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	CHC	66%	409	345	70	13	1	11	56	128	5	8	2	203	323	342	665	139	282	31	14	304	92	-4	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	CHC	67%	417	351	70	13	1	11	58	131	5	8	2	199	321	336	657	137	281	31	14	302	91	-5	+1	-1	+7	+9	1.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	CHC	66%	415	349	69	13	1	10	58	131	5	8	2	198	320	327	647	129	280	32	14	301	90	-5	+1	-1	+7	+9	1.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	CHC	65%	411	346	68	13	1	10	57	131	5	7	2	197	319	327	645	130	279	32	14	298	88	-6	+1	-2	+7	+9	0.9
2034	31	MLB MLE	CHC	65%	386	325	63	12	1	9	54	124	4	7	2	194	316	320	636	126	276	32	14	294	85	-7	+1	-3	+7	+8	0.6
2035	32	MLB MLE	CHC	65%	358	301	57	10	1	8	50	116	4	6	1	189	313	309	622	120	272	32	14	288	81	-8	+1	-4	+6	+8	0.4
2036	33	MLB MLE	CHC	70%	320	270	50	9	1	7	44	106	3	5	1	185	306	304	610	119	268	33	14	282	77	-9	+1	-4	+6	+7	0.0
2037	34	MLB MLE	CHC	66%	272	230	42	7	1	6	37	92	3	4	1	183	304	300	604	117	261	34	14	274	72	-9	+0	-5	+5	+6	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	CHC	38%	107	90	16	3	0	2	15	35	1	2	0	178	302	278	580	100	282	33	14	288	87	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	194	163	33	6	1	5	27	62	2	3	1	202	323	344	666	141	283	32	14	292	90	-2	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.6
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	64%	251	211	42	8	1	6	35	79	3	5	1	199	321	332	653	133	283	31	14	294	91	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2030	27	MLB CTX	CHC	66%	269	227	46	9	1	7	37	84	3	5	1	203	322	344	666	141	283	31	14	294	92	-3	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2031	28	MLB CTX	CHC	67%	278	235	47	9	1	7	38	87	3	5	1	200	319	336	655	136	283	31	14	293	91	-3	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.8
2032	29	MLB CTX	CHC	66%	273	230	47	9	1	7	38	86	3	5	1	204	325	343	668	139	282	32	14	292	90	-3	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2033	30	MLB CTX	CHC	65%	268	226	44	8	1	6	37	85	3	5	1	195	316	319	634	124	280	32	14	289	88	-4	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2034	31	MLB CTX	CHC	65%	250	210	42	8	1	6	35	80	3	4	1	200	323	333	656	133	277	32	14	285	85	-4	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.4
2035	32	MLB CTX	CHC	65%	231	194	37	7	1	5	32	75	3	4	1	191	314	314	629	124	273	32	14	280	81	-5	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.2
2036	33	MLB CTX	CHC	70%	224	189	35	6	1	5	31	74	2	3	1	185	306	307	613	122	269	33	14	274	77	-6	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.0
2037	34	MLB CTX	CHC	66%	178	150	26	5	0	3	24	60	2	3	1	173	295	267	562	93	263	34	13	266	72	-6	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2523	2125	415	78	9	59	349	807	28	44	10	195	317	324	640	128	280	32	14	287	86	-41	+5	-13	+45	+55	5.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	547	106	20	2	15	90	208	7	11	3	194	315	320	635	126	278	32	14	287	86	-11	+1	-3	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4056	3415	668	124	11	99	562	1301	48	71	17	196	318	325	643	130	280	32	14	296	86	-65	+7	-20	+72	+87	8.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	547	108	20	2	16	90	208	8	11	3	197	319	329	648	132	282	32	14	296	86	-11	+1	-3	+12	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	2.5	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
/162	664	14	9	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.0	2,631	64	46	196	314	325	+47	+32	7.8	7.0
/162	664	16	12	+11.9	+8.1	2.0	pk7: 6
#6Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Carico (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	43→48	46→51	80	184/316/305	121	277	2	2	34%	15%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	41→39	42→45	46→55	56	196/304/308	112	272	9	11	28%	13%	78	-0.3	197/295/308	111	251	10	20	24%	12%	75	-0.5	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→43	49→55	54→50	48	203/290/352	149	278	16	16	32%	10%	82	+0.0	214/299/386	172	268	20	10	27%	10%	93	+0.8	205/292/383	178	245	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.3
✕Nolan Fontana 2014 · A	23	45→43	40	52→50	59	208/323/305	98	291	7	14	28%	14%	85	+0.2	207/302/294	87	304	4	9	29%	12%	74	-0.6	184/288/307	123	253	11	12	29%	12%	71	-0.3
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	39	45	42→45	51	196/292/318	122	278	13	6	32%	12%	76	-0.4	179/261/272	93	255	9	6	31%	9%	53	-2.1	154/237/226	72	219	7	4	31%	9%	32	-1.3
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	38→41	47→45	50→45	48	196/307/325	129	265	16	7	30%	10%	84	+0.2	187/296/284	97	258	8	5	29%	10%	71	-0.8	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→39	45→50	48→45	53	208/299/335	127	266	12	11	25%	10%	82	+0.0	198/288/331	133	281	13	8	31%	10%	77	-0.3	175/276/313	138	241	16	6	32%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43	48→55	56→50	47	211/301/358	147	306	15	12	34%	10%	88	+0.4	216/294/377	161	276	19	10	28%	9%	90	+0.6	211/292/376	165	256	20	8	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	40	46→55	47→45	45	203/281/331	128	258	14	8	26%	8%	74	-0.5	219/278/387	168	291	21	4	31%	6%	86	+0.3	217/271/408	191	280	27	0	32%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	43→41	43→50	50→40	50	212/304/325	114	273	10	7	25%	9%	82	-0.0	224/309/361	137	297	15	5	28%	8%	92	+0.7	229/300/373	144	272	16	1	22%	7%	90	+0.2
✕Zack Collins 2019 · AA	24	38→42	47→50	47→40	50	189/290/325	136	291	15	4	37%	12%	77	-0.3	204/299/347	143	302	15	4	34%	12%	85	+0.2	186/288/337	151	263	17	2	33%	12%	78	-0.2
✕Reese Havens 2010 · A	23	42→40	48→45	44→40	49	215/301/355	139	265	15	5	24%	9%	87	+0.4	222/296/361	139	301	15	4	30%	8%	86	+0.3	209/286/339	130	301	15	2	33%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	44	48→55	51→45	44	220/290/372	152	284	15	6	27%	7%	87	+0.4	226/287/341	115	299	8	7	26%	6%	78	-0.3	221/280/392	172	282	21	5	29%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Trevor Hauver 2023 · AA	24	40→46	49→50	46→40	53	199/308/347	148	293	17	3	35%	13%	88	+0.5	211/300/349	138	314	14	3	34%	11%	86	+0.3	212/299/348	136	310	13	2	33%	10%	83	+0.0
✕Logan Vick 2014 · A	23	48	41→45	51→50	54	226/318/331	106	305	7	15	26%	12%	88	+0.4	195/285/290	95	293	7	13	32%	11%	66	-1.1	147/250/227	80	231	5	13	35%	11%	38	-2.1
✕Thomas Dillard 2021 · A	23	45→38	44→45	52→50	51	215/305/333	118	304	12	10	31%	11%	84	+0.1	196/283/318	122	326	13	9	40%	10%	72	-0.7	182/275/301	120	302	13	9	40%	10%	64	-1.1
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→51	46→55	48→50	52	226/305/358	133	270	13	12	21%	9%	89	+0.5	230/298/389	159	277	18	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	222/292/383	160	263	19	11	23%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Carlos Soto 2022 · A	23	40	45	45→30	48	200/279/321	122	272	12	3	30%	9%	71	-0.8	196/272/310	114	293	10	5	34%	9%	66	-1.1	142/232/239	97	223	7	0	37%	10%	34	-1.0
✕Robert Kral 2012 · A	23	47→41	40→55	46→40	50	220/306/317	97	309	7	6	29%	10%	80	-0.2	220/316/359	139	276	14	3	24%	12%	93	+0.8	199/302/345	146	240	17	2	24%	12%	84	+0.1
✕Ryan Costello 2019 · A	23	41→39	50	42→30	47	214/284/368	154	274	17	4	28%	9%	84	+0.1	201/278/335	134	291	14	4	33%	9%	74	-0.6	169/258/297	128	251	15	0	37%	11%	56	-1.3
✕Kody Clemens 2019 · A	23	46→44	44→60	50→45	45	227/284/346	119	293	11	8	26%	7%	78	-0.3	201/260/331	130	273	12	8	30%	7%	65	-1.2	227/284/435	209	256	27	8	24%	6%	97	+0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps