Zach Britton — OGILVIE

Zach BrittonC New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 27 L/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 189 proj PA

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .250 / .262

PA15

HR0

K%33

BB%8

ISO85

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	333	267	60	18	0	7	48	102	16	5	1	225	375	371	745	146	331	31	14	344	119	+8	+1	—	—	+7	1.6
2022	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	76	64	15	5	0	3	12	17	0	0	0	234	355	453	808	219	273	22	16	360	130	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	236	188	45	15	1	7	41	70	6	10	2	239	391	441	833	202	339	30	17	374	140	+11	+1	—	—	+5	1.8
2022	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	56	47	19	3	1	1	7	7	1	0	1	404	491	574	1.065	170	450	12	12	461	198	+7	-0	—	—	+1	0.8
2023	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	75	55	12	2	0	1	20	16	0	3	0	218	427	309	736	91	289	21	27	357	127	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	231	205	42	10	0	4	21	74	4	5	1	205	291	312	603	107	297	32	9	277	74	-7	+1	—	—	+5	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	333	280	48	13	0	5	35	131	16	5	1	171	299	271	571	100	288	39	11	262	63	-14	+1	—	—	+7	-0.7
2022	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	76	67	13	4	0	2	9	21	0	0	0	194	289	343	633	149	252	28	12	291	83	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2022	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	236	204	33	8	1	6	25	98	6	10	2	162	272	299	571	137	255	42	11	249	55	-13	+1	—	—	+5	-0.7
2023	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	75	63	12	2	0	1	12	20	0	3	0	190	320	270	590	79	264	27	16	276	73	-2	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	231	211	35	8	0	3	15	91	4	5	1	166	235	246	481	81	260	39	6	209	28	-20	+1	—	—	+5	-1.5
2021	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	333	280	48	13	0	5	35	131	16	5	1	171	299	271	571	100	295	39	11	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	333	267	60	18	0	7	48	102	16	5	1	225	375	371	745	146	331	31	14	344	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	368	319	53	14	1	9	40	139	7	10	3	166	273	301	574	135	254	38	11	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	368	299	79	23	2	11	60	94	7	10	3	264	399	465	864	201	347	26	16	385	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	75	63	12	2	0	1	12	20	0	3	0	190	320	270	590	79	262	27	16	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	75	55	12	2	0	1	20	16	0	3	0	218	427	309	736	91	289	21	27	357	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	231	211	35	8	0	3	15	91	4	5	1	166	235	246	481	81	271	39	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	231	205	42	10	0	4	21	74	4	5	1	205	291	312	603	107	297	32	9	277	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	333	279	48	13	0	5	35	131	16	5	1	172	299	272	571	100	288	39	11	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	368	318	53	14	1	9	40	139	7	10	3	167	273	302	575	135	254	38	11	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	75	63	12	2	0	1	12	20	0	3	0	190	320	270	590	79	264	27	16	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	231	210	35	8	0	3	15	91	4	5	1	167	235	248	482	81	260	39	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	75	63	12	2	0	1	12	20	0	3	0	190	320	270	590	79	264	27	16	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	231	210	35	8	0	3	15	91	4	5	1	167	235	248	482	81	260	39	6	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	TOR	2%	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	143	200	143	343		264	33	7	238	47	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	TOR	27%	226	203	38	8	1	3	18	73	3	4	1	187	263	281	544	94	267	32	8	245	52	-13	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.4
2028	29	MLB MLE	TOR	37%	276	249	46	9	1	4	22	88	3	5	1	185	259	277	536	92	268	32	8	249	55	-15	+1	-1	+5	+6	-0.5
2027	28	MLB CTX	TOR	27%	61	55	10	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	182	262	273	535	91	268	33	8	238	52	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	TOR	37%	102	92	16	3	0	1	8	32	1	2	0	174	248	239	487	65	269	31	8	242	55	-5	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	163	147	26	5	0	2	13	52	2	3	0	177	253	252	505	75	255	32	8	241	55	-9	+1	-1	+3	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	104	20	0	8	52	207	8	12	0	177	254	253	506	75	256	32	8	241	55	-36	+2	-3	+12	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1524	1339	234	54	3	25	143	547	33	32	7	175	271	276	546	101	270	36	9	249	55	-29	+1	-2	+9	+11	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	100	23	1	11	61	233	14	14	3	175	271	277	548	102	270	36	9	249	55	-36	+1	-3	+12	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach Britton (OGILVIE)	27	20	35	49	44	177/250/262	85	264	2	4	33%	8%	47	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	37	42→45	47→30	44	184/253/289	105	259	9	5	32%	8%	54	-2.0	195/267/298	103	310	9	6	37%	9%	61	-1.5	127/205/187	61	257	4	0	48%	9%	12	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/241/266	89	277	7	11	37%	6%	45	-2.7	186/269/301	115	281	11	21	35%	9%	63	-1.4	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→30	46→50	50	44	180/256/309	130	256	14	12	34%	9%	60	-1.6	194/270/319	125	275	14	12	33%	8%	68	-1.0	163/251/289	126	221	17	12	33%	9%	52	-1.1
✕JJ Muno 2021 · A	27	42	40	52→60	42	202/276/295	93	290	7	16	31%	7%	64	-1.3	199/285/291	92	285	8	26	31%	7%	68	-1.0	183/277/263	81	265	8	35	31%	7%	56	-0.9
✕Jesus Loya 2019 · AAA	27	43	39→40	52→50	38	210/254/293	83	289	7	13	29%	5%	53	-2.1	218/257/322	104	285	11	7	27%	4%	61	-1.5	207/235/288	81	268	9	0	26%	3%	45	-1.2
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA	27	40	39→30	47→45	44	193/264/277	83	278	6	8	31%	8%	55	-2.0	214/270/320	106	290	9	8	28%	7%	66	-1.1	200/250/316	115	268	9	0	28%	6%	58	-0.3
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	38→32	39→40	43→50	39	186/244/267	82	291	7	8	37%	7%	45	-2.7	220/295/322	102	299	10	19	28%	9%	77	-0.3	236/319/338	102	297	11	25	23%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Daniel Lockhart 2019 · AA	26	40	40	52→50	43	196/246/289	93	254	7	10	26%	6%	50	-2.3	207/260/307	100	271	9	9	26%	6%	60	-1.6	191/241/278	87	240	9	5	24%	5%	44	-1.3
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	40→37	40→45	44→45	42	191/261/284	93	292	8	6	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/275/335	115	311	11	6	31%	7%	72	-0.7	236/286/368	132	312	14	2	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Wes Darvill 2018 · AA	26	41→39	41→40	49→45	46	203/262/297	94	260	8	10	25%	7%	59	-1.7	207/256/298	91	289	8	7	29%	6%	56	-1.9	174/214/227	53	244	5	0	30%	5%	22	-1.2
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	42→40	48→30	40	191/248/295	104	256	10	5	29%	6%	53	-2.1	228/293/328	100	322	8	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	245/316/306	61	355	3	0	29%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37→38	37→40	43→45	44	179/255/251	73	251	5	8	29%	7%	47	-2.6	194/257/270	76	290	5	7	32%	7%	51	-2.3	168/234/218	51	258	3	3	33%	7%	28	-2.1
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	41	189/253/285	96	258	8	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/270/318	113	284	10	14	30%	6%	67	-1.1	179/250/307	128	258	11	20	33%	6%	54	-0.5
✕Kody Eaves 2019 · AAA	26	39→42	42→45	46→50	42	194/250/303	109	262	9	7	29%	7%	55	-1.9	200/250/317	117	286	11	7	32%	6%	58	-1.7	186/233/310	124	267	12	4	34%	6%	49	-1.9
✕Parker Morin 2018 · AAA	27	38	39→40	47→40	38	189/231/272	83	258	6	4	29%	5%	40	-3.0	211/259/303	92	286	7	7	27%	5%	59	-1.7	218/260/285	67	296	3	3	26%	4%	52	-0.6
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	40→39	39→40	55	39	197/248/283	86	274	7	17	30%	6%	49	-2.4	226/280/355	129	277	16	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	232/279/364	132	253	21	6	18%	6%	80	-0.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Logan Moore 2018 · AAA	27	40	42→40	42→30	39	198/248/296	97	283	10	3	33%	6%	53	-2.1	195/261/286	91	278	9	6	31%	7%	56	-1.9	153/232/207	54	216	5	0	29%	8%	26	-1.8
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	40→38	40	42→50	41	200/256/286	87	277	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	188/252/288	100	262	11	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	153/225/238	85	211	12	11	32%	7%	30	-1.3