Jonas Uzcategui — OGILVIE

Jonas Uzcategui P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 21 LHP 6'0" / 155 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125133vR 141

ERA5.70

FIP5.70

K%22.9%

BB%19.9%

K-BB%3.0%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	7	1	13	65	18	13	1	14%	1.9	18.8%	25.0%	-6.2%	1.7%	6.23	5.62	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	7	1	13	65	18	13	1	14%	1.9	27.7%	20.0%	7.7%	1.5%	6.23	4.33	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	11	0	13	77	13	30	0	0%	1.2	11.5%	48.7%	-37.2%	0.0%	12.08	8.30	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	11	0	13	77	13	30	0	0%	1.2	11.5%	48.7%	-37.2%	0.0%	12.08	8.30	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	11	0	13	77	13	30	0	0%	1.2	16.9%	39.0%	-22.1%	0.0%	12.08	8.15	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	18	0	20	86	30	16	1	0%	1.1	23.7%	23.3%	0.5%	0.9%	5.49	4.53	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	18	0	20	86	30	16	1	0%	1.1	23.7%	23.3%	0.5%	0.9%	5.49	4.53	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	18	0	20	86	30	16	1	0%	1.1	34.9%	18.6%	16.3%	1.2%	5.49	3.15	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	6	1	7	41	10	10	1	17%	1.2	24.4%	24.4%	0.0%	2.4%	12.86	5.47	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	6	1	7	41	10	10	1	17%	1.2	24.4%	24.4%	0.0%	2.4%	12.86	5.47	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	6	1	7	41	10	10	1	17%	1.2	24.4%	24.4%	0.0%	2.4%	12.86	6.39	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	28	10	59	265	84	39	4	36%	2.1	22.5%	17.7%	4.8%	2.0%	4.30	4.54	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	28	10	59	265	84	39	4	36%	2.1	22.5%	17.7%	4.8%	2.0%	4.30	4.54	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	MIA	15	2	26	116	42	13	1	13%	1.7	36.2%	11.2%	25.0%	0.9%	3.81	1.94	—
2026	21	A RAW	MIA	13	8	33	149	42	26	3	62%	2.5	28.2%	17.4%	10.7%	2.0%	4.68	4.04	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	58	0	60	255	61	42	7	0%	1.0	23.9%	16.6%	7.3%	2.9%	5.32	5.16	-0.4
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	60	0	63	265	65	38	8	0%	1.0	24.6%	14.4%	10.2%	2.9%	4.98	4.80	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIA	29	0	30	127	30	21	4	0%	1.0	23.9%	16.6%	7.3%	2.9%	5.32	5.16	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	44	0	46	194	48	28	6	0%	1.0	24.6%	14.4%	10.2%	2.9%	4.98	4.80	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		72	0	75	318	77	49	9	0%	1.0	24.3%	15.3%	9.1%	2.9%	5.11	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	204	130	24	0%	1.1	24.3%	15.3%	9.1%	2.9%	5.11	4.56	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		70	12	111	534	111	131	8	17%	1.6	20.8%	24.5%	-3.7%	1.5%	6.16	5.28	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		126	22	200	962	200	235	15	17%	1.6	20.8%	24.5%	-3.7%	1.5%	6.16	5.28	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jonas Uzcategui (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.70	22.9%	19.9%	3.0%	—	4.98	24.2%	8.8%	123	-0.72	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	79
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.15	23.9%	5.2%	99	-2.27	3.91	148	78
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	77
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	77
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	76
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	76
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	76
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	76
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	284	75
Adrian Almeida L 2016 · 5.65 FIP	21	SU	5.65	18.6%	15.3%	4.0%	.295	4.97	18.4%	-4.1%	119	-0.68	4.27	188	75
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	75
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2021 · 4.55 FIP	21	SU	4.55	25.7%	21.3%	1.7%	.389	5.41	22.7%	0.2%	76	+0.86	2.58	155	75
Alex Robinson L 2016 · 5.59 FIP	21	SU	5.59	22.4%	26.9%	1.8%	.243	4.03	23.8%	8.8%	90	-1.56	3.69	135	74
Blake Townsend L 2022 · 5.83 FIP	21	SU	5.83	18.3%	17.5%	3.8%	.170	3.73	18.1%	8.4%	167	-2.10	3.34	305	74
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.31	18.9%	7.9%	394	-1.49	3.58	457	73
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	73
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	72
Felix Cabrera L 2023 · 4.62 FIP	21	SU	4.62	17.9%	18.6%	1.2%	.258	5.43	13.8%	-5.3%	62	+0.81	3.96	132	72
Gregori Louis L 2023 · 6.48 FIP	20	SU	6.48	17.3%	20.4%	4.1%	.241	4.37	19.6%	2.9%	111	-2.11	3.58	149	72
Riger Fernandez L 2018 · 4.61 FIP	20	SU	4.61	17.2%	19.5%	0.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	4.61	164	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	45	24.1%	15.8%	1.12	5.19
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99