Kehden Hettiger — OGILVIE

Kehden HettigerC Reading Fightin Phils

Age 22 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION217 act + 144 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.149 / .244 / .251

PA144

HR3

K%39

BB%10

BABIP233

ISO102

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	27	23	3	1	0	0	4	10	0	0	1	130	259	174	433	43	231	37	15	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	27	21	4	1	0	0	6	7	0	0	1	190	370	238	608	48	286	26	22	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	288	238	33	8	1	3	45	100	3	4	1	139	283	218	502	80	219	35	16	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	288	226	44	9	1	5	57	68	3	4	1	195	364	310	673	115	252	24	20	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	3 teams	—	413	375	62	14	1	7	32	159	2	2	1	165	235	264	499	99	258	38	8	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	3 teams	—	413	353	77	21	2	9	54	120	2	2	1	218	325	365	691	147	298	29	13	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	PHI	—	217	191	30	6	0	7	23	97	0	6	3	157	248	298	546	141	256	45	11	242	43	-14	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.4
YTD	22	AA	PHI	—	217	180	36	8	0	8	34	75	0	6	3	200	327	378	705	178	280	35	16	317	101	+0	+0	+0	+4	+6	1.0
ROS	22	AA	PHI	2%	144	127	19	4	0	3	15	57	1	2	1	149	244	251	494	102	245	39	10	237	39	-10	+0	-0	+3	+4	-0.4
ROS	22	MLB	PHI	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						247	33	0	236	39	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	AA	PHI	—	220	194	30	6	0	7	23	98	0	6	3	155	244	294	538	139	250	45	10	242	43	-14	+0	-0	+4	+6	-0.4
TOT	22	AA	PHI	—	361	318	49	10	0	10	38	154	1	8	4	154	246	279	525	126	246	43	11	240	42	-24	+0	-0	+6	+10	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	PHI	26%	475	421	71	15	1	12	49	178	2	6	3	169	258	295	553	126	251	37	10	252	51	-26	+0	-1	+8	+13	-0.5
2028	24	MLB	PHI	37%	516	455	81	17	1	14	53	186	3	7	3	178	268	312	580	134	256	36	10	262	58	-24	+0	-1	+9	+15	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	PHI	43%	520	458	82	17	1	14	54	183	3	7	3	179	270	312	582	133	259	35	10	267	63	-22	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.1
2030	26	MLB	PHI	47%	520	458	84	17	1	15	54	181	3	7	3	183	274	323	597	140	260	35	10	270	65	-21	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.2
2031	27	MLB	PHI	48%	520	458	84	17	1	15	54	181	3	7	3	183	274	323	597	140	259	35	10	270	65	-21	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.3
2032	28	MLB	PHI	48%	520	457	82	17	1	14	55	182	3	6	3	179	272	313	585	133	259	35	11	269	64	-21	+0	-2	+9	+15	0.1
2027	23	MLB	PHI	26%	123	108	18	4	0	3	13	46	1	2	1	167	262	287	549	120	253	37	11	250	50	-7	+0	-0	+2	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	PHI	37%	190	167	29	6	0	5	20	68	1	2	1	174	266	299	565	126	258	36	11	260	57	-9	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	PHI	43%	224	198	36	7	1	6	23	79	1	3	1	182	270	318	588	136	261	35	10	265	61	-10	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.0
2030	26	MLB	PHI	47%	243	215	40	8	1	7	25	85	1	3	1	186	274	330	604	144	262	35	10	268	63	-10	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.1
2031	27	MLB	PHI	48%	248	219	40	8	1	7	26	87	1	3	1	183	272	324	597	142	261	35	10	268	63	-10	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.1
2032	28	MLB	PHI	48%	251	222	40	8	1	7	26	88	1	3	1	180	269	320	589	140	261	35	10	267	62	-11	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1282	1132	203	41	4	35	133	454	6	16	6	179	269	315	584	136	259	35	10	264	61	-57	+1	-3	+23	+36	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	103	21	2	18	67	230	3	8	3	179	269	317	586	138	258	35	10	264	61	-29	+0	-1	+12	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	3943	3470	601	127	8	97	415	1417	23	48	22	173	266	298	564	125	254	36	11	257	55	-199	+1	-7	+70	+112	-2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	99	21	1	16	68	234	4	8	4	173	266	297	563	124	255	36	10	257	55	-33	+0	-1	+12	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	27	21	4	1	0	0	6	7	0	0	1	190	370	238	608	48	286	26	22	303	90	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	288	226	44	9	1	5	57	68	3	4	1	195	364	310	673	115	252	24	20	319	102	+1	+0	—	—	+8	0.9
2025	21	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	26	22	4	0	0	1	4	6	0	1	0	182	308	318	626	136	200	23	15	292	81	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	21	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	355	306	71	20	2	8	44	104	2	1	1	232	332	389	721	157	320	29	12	323	106	+2	-0	—	—	+10	1.2
2025	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	32	25	2	1	0	0	6	10	0	0	0	80	258	120	378	40	125	31	19	199	11	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,286	35	17	181	268	316	+23	-7	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	18	9	181	268	316	+11.9	-3.6	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kehden Hettiger (OGILVIE)	22	20→39	40→47	40	60	154/246/279	126	246	10	8	43%	11%	42	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron Bracho 2023 · A	22	30→37	41→50	44→40	38	156/224/248	92	251	9	4	40%	7%	25	-3.5	196/259/332	136	263	17	5	31%	7%	62	-0.9	193/255/337	144	244	19	4	29%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A	23	34	41→50	42→40	41	176/240/273	97	255	9	4	33%	7%	38	-2.6	207/260/304	97	277	8	3	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/281/340	119	284	13	0	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Nick Plummer 2019 · A	23	36→46	41→45	43→50	46	169/274/264	95	288	8	8	40%	11%	52	-1.6	178/278/290	112	307	10	8	41%	10%	60	-1.0	182/279/305	123	300	13	10	40%	9%	62	-0.6
✕Randy Florentino 2022 · A	22	34	40→50	43→45	39	169/234/252	83	267	8	6	38%	7%	30	-3.1	190/245/276	86	264	8	6	30%	6%	40	-2.4	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
✕Fernando Perez 2016 · A	22	38→40	46→50	44→30	37	197/243/321	124	272	14	3	33%	5%	52	-1.6	204/247/347	143	276	18	3	32%	5%	60	-1.0	219/258/374	155	276	21	1	29%	4%	70	-0.2
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	35→43	46→50	41→40	45	175/265/301	125	286	14	2	41%	11%	57	-1.2	193/291/339	146	301	16	3	37%	12%	78	+0.2	188/297/338	150	281	16	2	36%	13%	78	+0.2
✕Steven Lerud 2008 · A	23	37→41	42→45	43→40	37	185/249/288	103	277	9	4	35%	6%	46	-2.0	206/271/312	106	282	10	4	29%	6%	62	-0.9	199/291/280	82	290	7	2	31%	9%	60	-0.3
✕Mark Fleury 2010 · A	22	37→39	43→45	46→45	43	188/244/300	112	245	10	4	27%	6%	46	-2.0	204/270/316	112	289	10	5	31%	7%	62	-0.9	195/268/300	105	282	9	4	32%	8%	55	-0.6
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Luis Toribio 2023 · A	22	35→38	44→45	45→40	37	175/241/290	115	300	13	3	44%	8%	43	-2.2	179/249/306	127	292	15	3	41%	8%	51	-1.7	160/234/288	128	247	16	1	40%	8%	37	-1.4
✕Joe DeCarlo 2016 · A	22	36→37	43→55	44→30	42	178/266/287	109	280	11	3	38%	8%	54	-1.4	196/276/343	147	277	18	3	34%	8%	72	-0.2	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Omar Martinez 2022 · A	21	39→38	42→45	40	45	189/279/290	101	291	10	4	36%	10%	60	-1.0	197/279/315	118	293	13	5	34%	9%	66	-0.6	177/257/291	114	276	14	3	39%	9%	48	-1.3
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→39	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	95	272	5	6	36%	8%	41	-2.3	201/268/322	121	279	12	6	31%	7%	63	-0.9	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Carlos Soto 2021 · A	22	42	41→50	47→30	41	206/265/302	96	286	9	5	30%	6%	56	-1.3	194/271/313	119	274	11	3	31%	9%	62	-0.9	169/256/291	122	232	12	0	31%	10%	49	-0.8
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	46→55	44→50	48	183/269/314	131	257	13	8	32%	10%	62	-0.9	197/280/350	153	289	17	9	35%	9%	76	+0.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	47→50	44→40	39	181/246/309	128	264	15	5	36%	7%	50	-1.7	207/262/323	116	285	12	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	206/261/314	108	276	12	2	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕John Whittleman 2011 · AA	24	38→43	43→50	40→45	48	190/268/304	114	257	11	3	29%	10%	58	-1.2	189/274/346	157	267	18	3	34%	10%	72	-0.2	173/267/346	173	236	21	1	35%	11%	68	-0.3
✕Andry Arias 2022 · A	22	38	42→40	44→40	39	189/254/293	104	286	10	7	36%	7%	50	-1.8	194/259/289	95	310	7	6	37%	7%	50	-1.8	160/232/251	91	264	6	3	39%	8%	26	-1.1
✕Agustin Ruiz 2022 · AA	22	34→33	47→50	42→40	37	183/242/306	123	272	16	4	38%	6%	48	-1.9	187/257/332	145	265	18	4	36%	7%	62	-0.9	168/245/307	139	232	18	2	35%	7%	49	-1.1
✕John Tolisano 2011 · A	22	40→47	43→50	44→50	44	198/261/308	110	272	10	6	30%	8%	56	-1.3	209/271/344	135	275	14	11	28%	8%	69	-0.4	205/268/344	139	261	14	12	26%	8%	64	-0.5