Gavin Grahovac

OF Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 22 R/R A K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2048ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	ALAA	107	.304/.402/.641	8	13	114	—	.240/.318/.490
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBLAA	217	.214/.280/.378	7	5	84	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBLAA	41	.216/.283/.383	1	1	86	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBLAA	90	.219/.286/.387	3	2	88	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO99

wOBA95

Speed95

wRC+94

BB%50

Z-Con%43

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%

CompsAlexander Canario (age 22) · Johan Mieses (age 22) · Anthony García (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .278 / .375

PA67

HR2

K%31

BB%7

ISO164

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	107	92	28	5	1	8	13	29	2	13	1	304	402	641	1.043	337	364	27	12	448	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	107	96	23	4	1	6	9	39	2	13	1	240	318	490	807	250	330	36	8	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	107	96	23	4	1	6	9	39	2	13	1	240	318	490	807	250	333	36	8	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	107	92	28	5	1	8	13	29	2	13	1	304	402	641	1.043	337	364	27	12	448	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	107	95	23	4	1	6	9	39	2	13	1	242	318	495	812	253	330	36	8	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	107	95	23	4	1	6	9	39	2	13	1	242	318	495	812	253	330	36	8	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	217	197	42	7	2	7	16	67	2	5	1	214	280	378	658	164	280	31	7	292	84	-4	+1	-1	-1	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAA	34%	120	109	24	4	1	4	9	36	1	3	0	217	284	383	667	166	281	30	8	296	86	-2	+1	-0	-1	+3	0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	LAA	46%	194	176	39	7	1	7	14	58	2	4	0	220	287	387	674	168	283	30	7	299	88	-3	+1	-0	-1	+4	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	258	234	52	9	2	9	19	76	3	5	1	222	289	390	679	169	283	29	7	301	90	-3	+1	-0	-2	+6	0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	LAA	54%	309	280	63	11	2	11	23	90	3	5	1	223	290	392	682	169	283	29	7	302	91	-3	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	LAA	54%	334	302	68	12	2	12	25	96	4	5	1	223	291	390	681	167	283	29	7	302	90	-4	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	LAA	54%	346	313	69	12	2	12	26	101	4	5	1	221	289	385	674	164	282	29	8	299	89	-5	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	LAA	53%	344	312	68	12	2	11	26	101	3	5	1	219	286	379	665	160	281	29	8	295	86	-6	+1	-2	-2	+7	-0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	337	306	66	11	2	11	25	100	3	4	1	215	282	371	653	156	278	30	7	291	83	-7	+0	-3	-2	+7	-0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAA	34%	41	38	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	216	283	383	666	166	279	29	7	295	86	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	LAA	46%	90	82	18	3	1	3	7	27	1	2	0	219	286	387	673	168	281	30	8	298	88	-1	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	133	121	27	4	1	5	10	39	1	2	0	221	288	390	678	169	281	29	8	300	90	-2	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	LAA	54%	168	151	34	6	1	6	13	49	2	3	0	222	290	392	681	170	281	29	8	302	91	-2	+1	-0	-1	+4	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	LAA	54%	181	163	36	6	1	6	14	52	2	3	0	222	290	390	680	168	281	29	8	301	90	-2	+1	-0	-1	+4	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	LAA	54%	188	170	37	6	1	6	14	55	2	3	0	220	288	385	673	165	280	29	7	299	89	-3	+1	-1	-1	+4	0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	LAA	53%	183	165	36	6	1	6	14	54	2	3	0	218	285	379	664	161	278	30	8	295	86	-3	+1	-1	-1	+4	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	177	160	35	6	1	6	13	53	2	2	0	215	281	371	652	156	276	30	7	290	83	-4	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1161	1050	230	38	7	39	88	341	12	19	0	219	287	380	667	161	283	29	8	298	89	-17	+4	-4	-7	+25	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	129	21	4	22	49	191	7	11	0	219	287	381	668	162	283	29	8	298	89	-9	+2	-2	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2416	2189	484	84	15	85	181	718	26	51	7	221	288	390	678	169	285	30	7	300	89	-34	+5	-8	-14	+50	-0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	131	23	4	23	49	193	7	14	2	222	290	392	682	170	287	30	8	300	89	-9	+1	-2	-4	+14	-0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 107 PAwOBA .435 → .336 (−99)K% 27.1% → 36.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.10%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	36.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.15%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.015	8.51%
HBP% /PA	1.87%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	1.48%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.024	×1.015	21.25%
Doubles /BIP	7.94%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.024	×1.015	6.85%
Triples /BIP	1.59%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.024	×1.015	1.50%
Home runs /BIP	12.70%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.015	10.31%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .435 → .336; ISO .337 → .252; BABIP .364 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Ricky Ledee'98-'07 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,307 PA	3.5	2,307	63	29	233*	311*	398*	-19	-6	2.4	3.1
/162	664	18	8	-5.5	-1.8	0.7	pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	1.8	1,227	42	20	221	285	386	-7	-10	1.1	1.1
/162	664	23	11	-4.0	-5.4	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Eric Anthony'89-'97 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,243 PA	3.4	2,243	78	24	225*	300*	410*	-22	-22	0.1	0.6
/162	664	23	7	-6.7	-6.6	0.0	pk7: 1
#6Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gavin Grahovac (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	212/278/375	162	280	2	2	31%	7%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	37→36	50→60	50	36	195/243/346	150	282	18	14	37%	6%	63	-1.4	213/276/401	188	298	24	14	35%	7%	89	+0.5	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Johan Mieses 2017 · A	22	36→33	53→55	44→50	36	199/248/370	171	271	21	8	35%	5%	71	-0.8	186/238/339	153	256	20	4	35%	5%	60	-1.6	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Anthony García 2014 · A	22	39→48	50→55	44→45	37	204/261/359	155	279	17	6	33%	5%	74	-0.6	210/280/350	140	262	15	6	25%	7%	78	-0.3	219/291/361	142	265	17	4	24%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Brian McFall 2007 · A	23	36→44	51→55	46→50	35	193/254/344	151	271	19	9	36%	5%	68	-1.0	210/270/359	149	286	17	8	32%	6%	77	-0.3	207/271/356	148	277	17	8	30%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Wladimir Balentien 2007 · AA	23	41→48	52→60	48→50	40	212/274/383	170	300	20	10	35%	7%	84	+0.1	225/286/395	170	284	21	9	27%	8%	91	+0.6	226/288/399	173	273	21	8	25%	8%	92	+0.6
●Aristides Aquino 2017 · A	23	41	50→65	50	37	214/253/372	158	273	17	9	29%	4%	73	-0.6	206/250/374	168	269	21	8	31%	5%	72	-0.7	218/281/448	230	271	34	9	33%	7%	100	+0.8
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	38→48	49→55	48→55	42	201/265/351	150	272	17	12	32%	7%	73	-0.6	221/268/376	155	290	20	15	30%	6%	80	-0.2	231/272/390	159	293	20	15	28%	5%	82	+0.0
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	35→45	50→60	51→45	45	190/273/335	145	258	19	8	33%	9%	73	-0.6	230/295/421	191	285	24	6	28%	8%	100	+1.3	232/298/432	200	280	25	7	26%	8%	104	+1.4
●Trayce Thompson 2012 · A	21	36→46	49→60	45→50	37	190/249/339	149	284	17	6	38%	6%	64	-1.3	196/257/347	151	285	17	13	36%	7%	69	-0.9	203/291/407	204	286	27	7	37%	10%	95	+0.6
✕Rece Hinds 2022 · A	21	41→44	53→55	50→55	35	211/265/385	174	309	20	10	38%	5%	80	-0.1	199/251/357	158	331	18	17	43%	5%	69	-0.9	207/257/386	179	313	22	22	40%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	38→42	48→55	46→50	35	200/242/343	143	282	16	6	35%	5%	61	-1.5	216/272/376	160	285	20	8	31%	6%	81	-0.1	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Nicky Delmonico 2014 · A	22	40→48	49→55	48→45	47	207/285/351	144	272	17	8	30%	9%	80	-0.1	221/278/364	143	299	14	6	29%	7%	80	-0.1	237/306/397	160	290	18	4	24%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	38→47	50	49→45	40	199/259/356	156	271	17	9	33%	6%	72	-0.7	217/277/354	137	301	14	7	31%	7%	78	-0.3	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Abimelec Ortiz 2023 · A	21	36→42	47→60	43→40	43	188/265/318	130	263	16	7	34%	8%	65	-1.2	216/279/399	183	284	24	4	32%	7%	89	+0.5	215/282/406	191	269	25	2	30%	7%	90	+0.5
✕O'Koyea Dickson 2012 · A	22	45→46	51→55	46→45	40	232/283/389	157	301	20	4	30%	6%	88	+0.4	227/283/375	148	260	17	6	20%	5%	85	+0.2	221/282/404	183	256	23	3	24%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Jordan Beck 2024 · AA	23	43→49	51→50	50	46	220/290/383	163	296	19	13	31%	9%	89	+0.5	226/286/364	138	314	14	16	31%	8%	83	+0.1	224/283/356	132	309	13	18	30%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Daniel Palka 2015 · A	23	39→43	49→55	47→50	41	205/264/354	149	277	17	6	32%	7%	73	-0.6	211/262/382	171	301	22	10	36%	6%	79	-0.2	207/274/387	180	261	25	4	31%	8%	84	+0.1
●Heriberto Hernández 2023 · A	23	39→48	52→60	45→50	40	197/273/358	161	305	20	6	40%	8%	78	-0.3	215/294/374	159	311	19	7	35%	9%	89	+0.5	222/305/421	199	281	26	11	30%	10%	104	+1.3
✕Angel Castillo 2011 · A	22	40→41	49→50	48→50	36	207/260/349	142	295	18	10	36%	5%	71	-0.8	192/244/299	107	278	12	13	34%	5%	52	-2.2	167/218/251	83	241	10	16	34%	4%	29	-2.3
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A	22	43→51	47→50	51→60	39	215/265/348	133	294	15	16	31%	6%	72	-0.7	215/279/342	127	288	12	32	28%	7%	76	-0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2

Gavin Grahovac

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps