Juan Villavicencio

SS Clearwater Threshers

Age 22 L/R 5'10" / 155 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP40ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	APHI	104	.146/.307/.207	1	9	23	—	.126/.248/.184
2025	20	ROKPHI	22	.286/.318/.524	1	2	37	—	.190/.227/.381
2026	21	A+PHI	145	.213/.338/.311	1	10	39	—	.176/.255/.260
2026	21	APHI	304	.298/.384/.540	13	20	97	—	.237/.298/.417
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBPHI	526	.223/.293/.357	11	18	83	0.7
2028PROJ31% MLB	23	MLBPHI	151	.228/.299/.371	4	5	86	0.3
2029PROJ45% MLB	24	MLBPHI	237	.230/.302/.378	6	8	89	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed87

BB%82

K%40

wRC+32

wOBA27

ISO24

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 3, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 90%

CompsJakob Marsee (age 22) · Spencer Jones (age 22) · Brice Matthews (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .291 / .353

PA320

HR7

SB11

K%30

BB%9

ISO134

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$38M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$10M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	167	143	38	8	2	2	20	35	1	13	1	266	358	392	749	126	336	21	12	335	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	205	169	35	6	4	3	26	41	5	9	5	207	330	343	673	136	248	20	13	303	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	187	159	42	7	3	1	22	44	4	5	3	264	368	365	732	101	353	24	12	333	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	104	82	12	2	0	1	17	30	2	9	0	146	307	207	514	61	204	29	16	251	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	22	21	6	2	0	1	1	7	0	2	1	286	318	524	842	238	385	32	5	366	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	145	122	26	5	2	1	23	38	0	10	3	213	338	311	649	98	301	26	16	304	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	304	265	79	15	5	13	37	71	0	20	3	298	384	540	924	242	363	23	12	401	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	31	22	4	1	1	0	6	8	2	1	1	182	400	318	718	136	267	26	19	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	167	150	25	5	1	1	14	44	1	13	1	167	242	233	476	67	224	26	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	205	176	24	4	2	2	19	52	5	9	5	136	240	216	456	80	167	25	9	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	187	167	31	5	2	1	14	61	4	5	3	186	265	257	522	72	271	33	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	104	87	11	2	0	1	12	38	2	9	0	126	248	184	431	57	182	37	12	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	22	21	4	1	0	1	1	10	0	2	1	190	227	381	608	190	290	45	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	145	131	23	4	2	1	14	50	0	10	3	176	255	260	515	84	266	34	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	304	278	66	12	4	10	24	97	0	20	3	237	298	417	715	180	324	32	8	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	167	150	25	5	1	1	14	44	1	13	1	167	242	233	476	67	226	26	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	167	143	38	8	2	2	20	35	1	13	1	266	358	392	749	126	336	21	12	335	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	205	176	24	4	2	2	19	52	5	9	5	136	240	216	456	80	175	25	9	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	205	169	35	6	4	3	26	41	5	9	5	207	330	343	673	136	248	20	13	303	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	187	167	31	5	2	1	14	61	4	5	3	186	265	257	522	72	280	33	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	187	159	42	7	3	1	22	44	4	5	3	264	368	365	732	101	353	24	12	333	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	126	108	14	3	0	1	13	48	2	11	1	130	236	185	421	56	210	38	10	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	126	103	18	4	0	2	18	37	2	11	1	175	309	272	581	97	239	29	14	271	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	480	434	94	17	6	11	41	157	2	31	7	217	287	359	647	143	310	33	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	480	409	109	21	8	14	66	117	2	31	7	267	371	460	831	193	339	24	14	367	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	167	150	25	5	1	1	14	44	1	13	1	167	242	233	476	67	224	26	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	205	179	24	4	2	2	19	52	5	9	5	134	240	212	452	78	167	25	9	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	187	167	31	5	2	1	14	61	4	5	3	186	265	257	522	72	271	33	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	126	110	14	3	0	1	13	48	2	11	1	127	236	182	418	55	201	38	10	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	480	434	94	17	6	11	41	157	2	31	7	217	287	359	647	143	305	33	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	187	167	31	5	2	1	14	61	4	5	3	186	265	257	522	72	271	33	7	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	126	110	14	3	0	1	13	48	2	11	1	127	236	182	418	55	201	38	10	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	480	434	94	17	6	11	41	157	2	31	7	217	287	359	647	143	305	33	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	526	474	106	20	5	11	45	157	2	18	3	223	293	357	650	134	305	30	9	291	83	-11	+2	-0	+6	+11	0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PHI	31%	485	438	99	18	5	11	42	141	2	17	3	226	297	365	663	139	304	29	9	296	86	-8	+2	+1	+5	+11	1.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	PHI	45%	523	470	107	20	5	12	46	150	2	18	3	229	300	371	672	143	305	29	9	300	89	-7	+2	+2	+6	+11	1.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	544	489	112	21	5	13	48	154	2	19	4	230	302	375	677	145	304	28	9	302	90	-6	+2	+2	+6	+12	1.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	PHI	58%	554	497	115	21	5	14	49	155	3	19	4	231	303	376	679	146	303	28	9	303	91	-6	+2	+2	+6	+12	1.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	PHI	59%	556	499	116	22	5	14	49	154	3	18	4	230	303	376	678	145	302	28	9	303	91	-6	+2	+2	+6	+12	1.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	PHI	60%	552	496	113	21	5	13	49	155	2	16	3	229	301	371	672	142	301	28	9	300	89	-7	+2	+1	+6	+12	1.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	PHI	59%	543	488	112	21	5	13	48	154	2	13	3	226	298	365	663	139	300	28	9	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	PHI	59%	533	480	107	20	4	12	46	152	2	10	2	224	295	358	653	134	298	29	9	292	84	-10	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.8
2036	31	MLB MLE	PHI	64%	519	467	103	19	4	11	45	150	2	6	2	220	290	349	639	129	296	29	9	287	80	-12	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.4
2037	32	MLB MLE	PHI	68%	501	452	98	18	4	10	43	148	1	2	1	215	284	337	621	122	292	30	9	279	75	-15	+0	-2	+5	+11	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	PHI	31%	151	136	32	6	2	4	13	44	1	5	1	228	299	371	670	144	305	29	9	299	86	-2	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	PHI	45%	237	213	49	9	2	6	21	68	1	8	2	230	302	378	680	147	305	29	9	303	89	-3	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.6
2030	25	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	291	262	61	11	3	8	26	82	1	10	2	232	304	382	685	150	304	28	9	305	90	-3	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.8
2031	26	MLB CTX	PHI	58%	322	289	68	12	3	9	28	90	2	11	2	232	304	383	688	151	304	28	9	306	91	-3	+1	+1	+3	+7	1.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	PHI	59%	330	296	69	12	3	9	29	92	2	11	2	232	304	382	687	150	303	28	9	306	91	-4	+1	+1	+4	+7	1.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	PHI	60%	332	298	69	12	3	9	29	93	2	10	2	230	302	378	680	147	302	28	9	303	89	-4	+1	+1	+4	+7	0.8
2034	29	MLB CTX	PHI	59%	321	289	66	12	3	8	28	91	1	8	2	228	300	371	671	143	301	28	9	300	87	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2035	30	MLB CTX	PHI	59%	312	281	63	11	3	7	27	89	1	6	1	225	296	364	660	139	299	29	9	295	84	-6	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.5
2036	31	MLB CTX	PHI	64%	331	298	66	12	3	7	29	96	1	4	1	221	292	354	646	133	296	29	9	289	80	-8	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2037	32	MLB CTX	PHI	68%	340	307	67	12	3	7	29	100	1	1	1	216	286	342	627	126	292	29	9	282	75	-10	-0	-1	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2967	2669	610	109	28	74	259	845	13	74	16	229	300	374	673	145	303	28	9	298	80	-49	+8	+2	+32	+64	5.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	133	24	6	16	57	185	3	16	4	227	300	371	671	144	302	28	9	298	80	-11	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6795	6099	1334	247	61	146	594	1970	36	218	48	219	292	351	643	132	295	29	9	287	80	-92	+17	+4	+60	+122	11.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	128	24	6	14	57	188	3	21	5	220	292	353	645	134	296	29	9	287	80	-11	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Alex Gonzalez'94-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,528 PA	8.3	5,528	137	97	232*	290*	379*	+55	+6	8.3	10.0
/162	664	16	12	+6.6	+0.8	1.0	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.0	3,287	75	84	226	294	365	+35	+6	7.8	7.1
/162	664	15	17	+7.1	+1.2	1.6	pk7: 6
#6Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Villavicencio (OGILVIE)	22	30→45	30→42	55→52	45	221/291/353	133	305	7	11	30%	9%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	49→51	45→55	56→55	43	240/300/365	125	317	13	19	28%	7%	88	+0.5	222/275/369	147	357	16	25	40%	6%	80	-0.1	220/289/397	177	359	21	23	42%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Brice Matthews 2024 · A	22	45	44→50	54→60	46	211/306/329	118	322	12	22	35%	10%	84	+0.1	217/298/371	154	326	18	30	36%	9%	90	+0.6	208/288/365	156	305	19	33	36%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→54	43→40	58→65	50	212/292/336	124	282	9	19	27%	10%	79	-0.2	228/288/323	95	287	7	44	22%	6%	74	-0.5	222/287/310	87	280	7	49	22%	7%	70	-0.8
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	44→52	39→45	58→55	46	208/280/301	93	279	6	17	26%	8%	66	-1.1	228/306/313	85	303	5	16	24%	9%	78	-0.3	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2023 · A	22	48	42→45	57→55	50	227/304/340	113	301	7	21	26%	9%	84	+0.2	218/283/329	111	294	9	18	27%	8%	74	-0.6	209/274/311	102	283	9	19	28%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→45	48→50	57→55	45	200/273/344	144	263	16	19	30%	8%	74	-0.5	218/289/354	136	286	15	17	28%	8%	82	+0.0	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Kyle Isbel 2019 · A	22	48→52	43→50	53→55	41	231/279/347	116	311	10	19	28%	6%	76	-0.4	220/271/346	126	290	13	17	28%	6%	73	-0.6	232/292/371	139	290	13	19	24%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Eddinson Paulino 2024 · A	22	42	46→50	54→50	43	210/273/349	139	282	12	17	29%	7%	75	-0.5	202/261/322	120	278	12	13	30%	6%	64	-1.3	186/244/297	111	257	12	11	31%	6%	49	-1.3
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	50→51	44→45	50→55	47	239/306/363	124	325	11	10	28%	9%	90	+0.6	237/310/354	117	348	9	17	31%	10%	89	+0.5	237/311/358	121	351	9	21	32%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Victor Labrada 2022 · A	22	48→55	41→45	52→60	41	220/287/323	104	340	7	20	35%	8%	74	-0.6	211/277/311	100	317	8	25	33%	7%	68	-1.0	236/319/356	120	306	10	36	24%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44	45	56→60	41	214/289/346	132	303	12	19	32%	7%	81	-0.1	204/281/321	117	287	12	34	31%	8%	72	-0.7	210/283/330	120	279	11	40	27%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Tommy Troy 2024 · A	22	47→55	46→45	57→50	44	228/298/359	132	326	13	18	32%	8%	86	+0.3	223/292/336	113	299	10	17	27%	8%	79	-0.2	233/306/347	114	304	10	17	25%	8%	84	+0.1
●Dylan Beavers 2024 · AA	22	50→52	45→50	53→55	47	237/304/372	135	322	10	19	28%	8%	91	+0.7	228/307/363	135	303	14	20	27%	10%	91	+0.7	225/312/362	137	293	15	21	27%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Robert Hassell III 2024 · AA	22	47→55	41→45	52→55	44	224/290/322	98	325	9	15	32%	8%	75	-0.5	233/289/323	90	321	8	17	28%	7%	74	-0.5	239/292/323	84	319	8	19	26%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43→44	48→55	56→50	47	212/302/359	147	307	15	12	34%	10%	88	+0.5	219/297/382	163	280	19	10	28%	9%	92	+0.7	215/296/383	167	260	20	8	25%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	40→42	47→45	50→45	49	202/313/334	132	268	16	7	29%	10%	88	+0.5	192/300/291	99	262	9	5	28%	10%	74	-0.5	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	48→50	47→50	50	43	237/295/379	142	319	15	10	30%	7%	90	+0.6	234/295/375	141	317	14	12	29%	7%	89	+0.5	230/294/371	141	309	14	12	29%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2024 · A	21	49	41→45	51→55	48	228/305/328	100	320	8	16	29%	10%	82	-0.0	198/259/296	98	322	10	15	39%	7%	57	-1.8	148/206/227	79	248	11	17	43%	6%	20	-1.2
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5

Juan Villavicencio

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps