Sabier Marte
P
FCL Yankees
Age 22
RHP
6'5" / 167 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126116vR 107
ERA4.71
FIP4.71
K%18.7%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%9.3%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 10 | 4 | 30 | 133 | 38 | 3 | 3 | 40% | 3.0 | 19.4% | 2.8% | 16.6% | 2.3% | 4.15 | 3.06 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 10 | 4 | 30 | 133 | 38 | 3 | 3 | 40% | 3.0 | 28.6% | 2.3% | 26.3% | 2.3% | 4.15 | 2.18 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 11 | 8 | 41 | 169 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 73% | 3.7 | 16.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 2.43 | 2.89 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 11 | 8 | 41 | 169 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 73% | 3.7 | 24.9% | 7.7% | 17.2% | 0.0% | 2.43 | 1.99 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 12 | 5 | 49 | 206 | 44 | 16 | 4 | 42% | 4.1 | 14.5% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.76 | 4.27 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 12 | 5 | 49 | 206 | 44 | 16 | 4 | 42% | 4.1 | 21.4% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 1.9% | 2.76 | 3.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 11 | 11 | 36 | 166 | 44 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 3.3 | 18.2% | 13.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.25 | 5.23 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 45 | 188 | 35 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.71 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 4.77 | 4.77 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 81 | 354 | 79 | 35 | 11 | — | — | 22.3% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 5.40 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 9 | 9 | 46 | 195 | 39 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 48 | 201 | 42 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.1% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 44 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 44 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 47 | 200 | 44 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 42 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 4 | 4 | 23 | 97 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 21.1% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 39 | 165 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 39 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 40 | 15 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 38 | 38 | 222 | 938 | 201 | 80 | 28 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.5% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.04 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 181 | 72 | 25 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.5% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 44 | 28 | 156 | 674 | 115 | 62 | 13 | 64% | 3.5 | 17.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 3.75 | 3.92 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 36 | 200 | 864 | 147 | 79 | 17 | 64% | 3.5 | 17.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 3.75 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sabier Marte (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 18.7% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.39 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 142 | -0.32 | — | — | — |
| Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 90 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 89 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 88 |
| Jared Karros R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .290 | 5.32 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.60 | 3.31 | 191 | 87 |
| TJ Nichols R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.96 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .310 | 5.17 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 174 | +1.21 | 3.96 | 245 | 87 |
| Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 86 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 86 |
| Nick Fraze R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.68 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .271 | 4.64 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 162 | -0.04 | 3.81 | 278 | 85 |
| Ricky Castro R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 84 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 84 |
| Johnathan Harmon R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.22 | 17.8% | 10.2% | 2.4% | .293 | 5.23 | 15.4% | 6.7% | 157 | +1.01 | 3.46 | 246 | 83 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 83 |
| Nick Garcia R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.31 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .274 | 4.88 | 17.3% | 5.9% | 265 | +0.57 | 4.27 | 384 | 82 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 82 |
| Michael Ross R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.05 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .275 | 5.83 | 12.5% | 3.6% | 64 | +0.78 | 5.05 | 146 | 82 |
| Nick Dean R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.00 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 2.5% | .275 | 3.50 | 21.7% | 14.6% | 111 | -0.50 | 2.73 | 202 | 81 |
| Mac Sceroler R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.46 | 17.6% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .318 | 4.22 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 200 | -0.24 | 3.81 | 275 | 81 |
| Manuel Espinoza R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.29 | 17.7% | 9.7% | 2.7% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 275 | 81 |
| Grant Judkins R 2027 · 5.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.40 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.85 | 16.4% | 5.4% | 150 | +0.45 | 5.40 | 322 | 81 |
| Nick Payero R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.06 | 16.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | .285 | 5.72 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 107 | +1.66 | 4.06 | 178 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 47 | 21.0% | 8.7% | 1.13 | 4.44 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Nick Wittgren ('23) | 8 | 41 | 21.6% | 7.0% | 1.15 | 4.04 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |