Jorgelys Mota — OGILVIE

Jorgelys MotaSS Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 170 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION86 act + 234 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†31

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .241 / .254

PA234

HR3

SB11

K%41

BB%6

BABIP293

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-3	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$-0.3M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	73	67	12	1	1	1	4	33	2	4	2	179	247	269	515	90	333	45	5	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	73	65	17	1	1	2	6	22	2	4	2	262	342	400	742	138	366	30	8	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	113	102	19	3	1	1	6	54	4	2	2	186	259	265	524	78	375	48	5	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	113	98	29	5	3	1	10	38	4	2	2	296	384	439	823	143	467	34	9	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	292	271	40	5	1	2	11	138	9	15	7	148	206	196	402	48	288	47	4	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	292	264	57	7	2	3	18	99	9	15	7	216	289	292	580	76	331	34	6	268	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	328	305	53	10	2	4	17	153	6	25	7	174	232	259	491	85	331	47	5	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	328	296	80	17	3	6	26	101	6	25	7	270	341	409	750	139	392	31	8	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	WSH	—	86	72	16	1	0	2	8	34	5	11	2	222	341	319	661	97	378	40	9	299	87	-1	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.4
YTD	21	A+	WSH	—	86	67	19	1	0	3	13	25	5	11	2	284	435	433	868	149	400	29	15	394	159	+6	+1	+0	+1	+2	1.1
ROS	21	A+	WSH	0%	234	213	37	6	1	3	13	95	6	11	3	174	241	254	495	80	288	41	6	226	31	-18	+1	-0	+3	+7	-0.9
ROS	21	MLB	WSH	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						288	0	0	207	17	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	WSH	—	87	73	16	1	0	2	8	34	5	11	2	219	337	315	652	96	368	39	9	298	86	-1	+1	-0	+1	+2	0.3
TOT	21	A+	WSH	—	320	285	53	7	1	5	21	129	11	22	5	186	268	270	538	84	314	40	7	246	46	-19	+2	-0	+3	+9	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	WSH	35%	375	342	61	10	1	6	22	147	8	13	3	178	245	266	511	88	291	39	6	239	41	-25	+1	-1	+4	+11	-1.0
2028	23	MLB	WSH	49%	446	405	77	12	2	10	28	168	10	14	4	190	260	304	563	114	292	38	6	256	54	-23	+1	-1	+5	+13	-0.6
2029	24	MLB	WSH	53%	493	447	89	14	2	13	32	181	11	15	4	199	269	327	596	128	294	37	6	267	62	-21	+1	-1	+5	+14	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	WSH	55%	519	469	95	15	2	15	34	188	11	15	4	203	272	339	611	136	294	36	7	273	67	-19	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.1
2031	26	MLB	WSH	56%	533	482	97	15	2	16	35	193	11	15	4	201	271	340	611	139	295	36	7	276	70	-18	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.3
2032	27	MLB	WSH	55%	537	485	98	15	2	16	36	195	11	14	4	202	273	340	613	138	294	36	7	276	70	-18	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.3
2033	28	MLB	WSH	55%	534	482	97	15	2	16	36	195	11	13	4	201	272	340	612	139	294	37	7	275	69	-19	+1	-2	+6	+15	0.1
2027	22	MLB	WSH	35%	130	118	21	3	1	2	8	51	3	4	1	178	248	271	519	93	291	39	6	223	29	-10	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.5
2028	23	MLB	WSH	49%	216	196	38	6	1	5	13	82	5	7	2	194	262	311	573	117	292	38	6	240	42	-14	+1	-0	+2	+6	-0.6
2029	24	MLB	WSH	53%	260	235	46	7	1	7	17	96	6	8	2	196	267	323	591	128	294	37	7	251	50	-15	+1	-0	+3	+7	-0.4
2030	25	MLB	WSH	55%	284	257	51	8	1	8	19	103	6	8	2	198	270	331	600	132	294	36	7	257	55	-14	+1	-1	+3	+8	-0.3
2031	26	MLB	WSH	56%	297	269	54	8	1	9	20	108	6	8	2	201	271	338	609	138	295	36	7	261	58	-14	+1	-1	+3	+8	-0.2
2032	27	MLB	WSH	55%	295	267	54	8	1	9	20	107	6	8	2	202	273	341	614	139	294	36	7	261	58	-14	+1	-1	+3	+8	-0.2
2033	28	MLB	WSH	55%	292	264	53	8	1	9	20	107	6	7	2	201	272	341	613	140	294	37	7	260	57	-14	+1	-1	+3	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1775	1607	317	48	7	49	117	654	38	50	13	197	268	327	595	130	294	37	7	253	52	-96	+5	-4	+19	+50	-2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	117	18	3	18	43	239	14	18	5	199	270	332	601	133	296	37	7	253	52	-35	+2	-1	+7	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	4477	4070	775	121	19	103	274	1740	100	156	48	190	259	305	564	115	299	39	6	255	53	-237	+12	-8	+48	+127	-5.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	113	18	3	15	40	253	15	23	7	191	260	308	568	117	301	39	6	255	53	-34	+2	-1	+7	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	73	65	17	1	1	2	6	22	2	4	2	262	342	400	742	138	366	30	8	335	115	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	18	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	15	13	2	0	1	0	1	7	1	1	0	154	267	308	574	154	333	47	7	263	60	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2023	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	98	85	27	5	2	1	9	31	3	1	2	318	402	459	861	141	481	32	9	382	150	+6	-1	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	111	102	26	4	2	0	5	39	4	3	2	255	315	333	649	78	413	35	5	296	85	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	181	162	31	3	0	3	13	60	5	12	5	191	272	265	538	74	280	33	7	251	50	-10	+0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2025	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	328	296	80	17	3	6	26	101	6	25	7	270	341	409	750	139	392	31	8	337	116	+6	+2	—	—	+9	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,776	48	50	199	266	329	+19	-1	0.2	0.4
	/162	664	18	19	199	266	329	+7.1	-0.5	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorgelys Mota (OGILVIE)	21	22→25	42→54	60	40	186/268/270	84	314	5	22	40%	7%	46	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Monte Harrison 2017 · A	21	37→44	38→50	52→60	35	176/245/255	79	302	6	14	41%	6%	36	-2.7	208/262/336	128	338	14	19	41%	5%	63	-0.8	206/263/349	143	355	18	31	44%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A	21	36→44	41→55	53→50	31	183/215/280	97	279	9	12	37%	4%	27	-3.3	197/243/303	106	298	10	10	36%	5%	46	-2.0	198/275/352	154	301	19	15	38%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Todd Glaesmann 2012 · A	21	37→43	38→50	52→50	30	173/224/254	81	308	5	12	44%	5%	26	-3.4	203/244/310	107	294	10	7	33%	4%	48	-1.9	199/230/335	136	257	15	7	29%	3%	46	-1.1
✕Travis Witherspoon 2010 · A	21	37→47	42→50	56→55	31	185/227/287	102	290	9	10	39%	4%	35	-2.8	211/257/322	111	301	12	19	32%	5%	57	-1.2	209/267/345	136	278	16	25	30%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Junior Perez 2022 · A	21	39→40	42→50	54→55	36	176/246/284	108	328	9	17	46%	8%	43	-2.2	181/251/291	110	322	11	24	43%	8%	48	-1.9	159/228/295	136	252	16	23	42%	8%	37	-2.0
✕James Simmons 2008 · A	22	38	39→55	52→55	36	177/240/270	93	303	6	11	41%	7%	37	-2.7	194/246/286	92	335	7	16	41%	6%	43	-2.2	201/260/369	167	362	23	18	48%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→29	37→50	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	37	-2.7	181/253/315	134	327	17	16	46%	7%	56	-1.3	164/239/293	129	288	17	19	46%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Junior Arias 2013 · A	21	36→42	42→50	52→60	34	184/223/285	101	269	10	16	35%	4%	33	-2.9	199/235/299	100	296	10	30	35%	4%	41	-2.3	197/242/323	125	299	16	30	38%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Jeffrey Baez 2015 · A	21	41→43	42→50	54→60	36	199/247/305	106	301	9	19	36%	5%	48	-1.9	203/245/305	102	270	10	23	28%	5%	47	-1.9	196/251/342	146	261	19	15	32%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Jordyn Adams 2022 · A	22	38→40	40→45	52→60	35	183/238/269	86	312	8	16	42%	6%	36	-2.7	194/252/291	97	301	8	29	36%	6%	47	-1.9	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	40	37→55	50→45	41	186/263/256	70	295	4	13	35%	8%	43	-2.2	196/264/293	97	301	10	5	36%	6%	54	-1.4	196/264/343	147	286	18	5	37%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	35	-2.8	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	37	-2.6	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	15	-0.8
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	202/247/299	97	291	7	12	32%	5%	46	-2.0	194/247/296	102	282	9	6	33%	6%	46	-2.0	138/192/212	74	190	5	0	29%	5%	1	-1.2
✕GJ Hill 2022 · A	21	36→27	40→50	57→55	28	156/219/242	86	346	8	21	54%	6%	21	-3.7	173/240/281	108	331	12	15	48%	7%	40	-2.4	171/235/325	154	252	20	28	40%	6%	48	-0.8
✕Cameron Cauley 2023 · A	20	39→42	37→50	60	37	183/239/254	71	300	4	28	38%	6%	31	-3.0	192/245/311	119	312	12	26	40%	6%	50	-1.8	199/253/334	135	284	13	30	34%	7%	56	-0.9
✕Luis Yanel Diaz 2021 · A	21	37→42	42→45	53→55	30	183/218/283	100	306	9	11	42%	4%	30	-3.1	190/240/311	121	348	13	15	46%	5%	47	-1.9	185/238/302	117	316	13	21	44%	5%	42	-1.3