Ryan Spikes — OGILVIE

Ryan Spikes2B Montgomery Biscuits

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.1 · 2029

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .231 / .305

PA320

HR8

SB16

K%38

BB%5

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

55→55

SPD

50→50

EYE

35↘20

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.1peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-5M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Rays	47	42	8	2	0	1	4	18	1	4	1	.190	.277	.310	.586	.119	.304	38	9	.239	41	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2022	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	326	299	51	7	2	8	17	152	8	17	5	.171	.235	.288	.522	.117	.305	47	5	.228	33	-25	+1	+0	+1	+9	-1.3
2023	20	A	2 teams	657	605	89	14	6	9	41	292	8	32	12	.147	.211	.235	.446	.088	.261	44	6	.198	10	-67	+2	+0	+2	+19	-4.5
2024	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	343	315	49	9	1	5	14	143	6	14	4	.156	.206	.238	.444	.083	.256	42	4	.199	11	-35	+1	+0	+1	+10	-2.3
2025	22	A+	2 teams	309	290	56	6	2	12	10	106	6	15	7	.193	.235	.352	.587	.159	.251	34	3	.249	49	-18	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	52	49	8	1	0	1	3	28	0	6	1	.163	.212	.245	.456	.082	.350	54	6	.184	-1	-6	+1	+0	+0	+1	-0.4
ROS	23	MLB	TB	268	250	46	7	1	7	13	107	3	10	3	.184	.233	.304	.537	.120	.283	40	5	.239	41	-18	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.9
TOT	23	MLB	TB	320	299	54	8	1	8	16	135	3	16	4	.181	.230	.294	.524	.114	.293	42	5	.230	34	-24	+2	+0	+1	+9	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 11%	TB	382	354	70	11	2	11	21	124	4	14	4	.198	.251	.333	.584	.136	.266	32	5	.261	58	-18	+1	+0	+1	+11	-0.5
2028	25	MLB 26%	TB	424	391	79	12	2	13	25	134	5	14	4	.202	.259	.343	.602	.141	.270	32	6	.272	66	-16	+1	+0	+2	+12	-0.2
2029	26	MLB 44%	TB	450	414	87	14	2	15	28	140	5	14	4	.210	.268	.362	.631	.152	.272	31	6	.278	71	-15	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.1
2030	27	MLB 59%	TB	460	422	88	14	2	15	30	142	5	14	4	.209	.269	.358	.627	.149	.273	31	7	.279	72	-15	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.1
2031	28	MLB 69%	TB	461	423	88	14	2	15	30	144	5	13	3	.208	.269	.357	.626	.149	.272	31	7	.278	71	-15	+1	-1	+2	+13	0.0
2032	29	MLB 77%	TB	455	417	85	13	2	14	30	143	5	11	3	.204	.265	.345	.611	.141	.271	31	7	.276	69	-16	+1	-1	+2	+13	-0.2
2033	30	MLB 85%	TB	447	409	83	13	2	14	30	142	5	10	2	.203	.266	.347	.613	.144	.270	32	7	.273	67	-17	+1	-2	+2	+13	-0.3
2034	31	MLB	TB	434	397	79	12	2	13	29	140	5	8	2	.199	.262	.338	.600	.139	.268	32	7	.269	64	-18	+1	-3	+2	+12	-0.6
2035	32	MLB	TB	417	383	76	12	2	12	27	136	4	6	1	.198	.258	.334	.593	.136	.266	33	6	.264	61	-19	+1	-4	+1	+12	-0.8
2036	33	MLB	TB	388	356	69	10	2	11	25	129	4	4	0	.194	.255	.326	.580	.132	.265	33	6	.259	56	-19	+1	-4	+1	+11	-1.0
2037	34	MLB	TB	343	315	59	9	1	9	22	117	3	3	0	.187	.247	.308	.555	.121	.263	34	6	.253	51	-19	+1	-5	+1	+10	-1.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6611	6082	1162	179	33	184	396	2309	82	203	59	.191	.250	.322	.572	.131	.270	35	6	.255	53	-351	+17	-20	+24	+187	-14.5
/ 162G	—			650	598	114	18	3	18	39	227	8	20	6	.191	.250	.321	.571	.130	.269	35	6	.255	53	-34	+2	-2	+2	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Rays	47	40	10	3	0	1	6	13	1	4	1	.250	.362	.400	.762	.150	.346	28	13	.346	123	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	326	290	66	11	3	10	26	105	8	17	5	.228	.309	.390	.698	.162	.316	32	8	.312	97	-1	+1	—	—	+9	1.0
2023	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	501	441	95	15	6	10	51	154	5	28	8	.215	.303	.345	.648	.129	.304	31	10	.293	83	-10	+2	—	—	+14	0.7
2023	20	INTL	Perth Heat	156	136	36	5	0	7	17	48	3	4	4	.265	.359	.456	.815	.191	.358	31	11	.364	137	+6	-1	—	—	+4	1.0
2024	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	343	306	67	11	2	7	23	102	6	14	4	.219	.287	.337	.623	.118	.297	30	7	.277	70	-12	+1	—	—	+10	-0.1
2025	22	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	58	53	10	0	2	1	4	16	1	4	1	.189	.259	.321	.579	.132	.250	28	7	.262	58	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	251	232	60	9	1	12	11	67	5	11	6	.259	.306	.461	.768	.203	.308	27	4	.334	114	+4	-0	—	—	+7	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Spikes (OGILVIE)	23	40	55	50	20	.184/.231/.305	.121	.276	8	9	38%	5%	43	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Demeritte 2018 · AA	23	37→43	48→60	48→50	38	.189/.250/.335	.146	.297	16	9	40%	7%	58	-1.2	.202/.267/.367	.165	.295	19	7	36%	8%	74	-0.1	.204/.271/.391	.188	.288	24	7	37%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Monte Harrison 2019 · AA	23	43	47→50	52→60	33	.205/.260/.335	.130	.333	15	18	41%	5%	63	-0.9	.210/.269/.344	.134	.361	16	28	43%	6%	69	-0.4	.194/.262/.320	.126	.338	17	41	45%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Narciso Crook 2018 · A	23	39→43	43→55	49→50	34	.195/.236/.304	.109	.284	11	10	35%	4%	43	-2.2	.215/.267/.339	.124	.312	11	11	33%	5%	66	-0.6	.199/.278/.357	.158	.302	19	15	38%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Shay Whitcomb 2023 · AA	24	38→44	48→55	54→55	32	.193/.241/.327	.134	.309	17	19	42%	5%	53	-1.5	.203/.258/.366	.163	.282	22	18	35%	6%	70	-0.3	.204/.266/.379	.174	.263	25	19	32%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Jerry Gil 2006 · MLB	23	41→37	49→65	50→55	33	.216/.245/.363	.146	.291	18	16	32%	3%	63	-0.9	.212/.239/.392	.180	.274	23	10	32%	3%	69	-0.4	.190/.213/.369	.179	.242	23	8	33%	2%	50	-1.0
✕Nelson Velázquez 2022 · AA	23	43→38	49→60	52→50	33	.214/.257/.358	.145	.326	17	12	39%	5%	67	-0.5	.208/.270/.393	.185	.289	25	14	36%	7%	82	+0.5	.200/.270/.389	.189	.255	26	12	33%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Rece Hinds 2023 · AA	22	39→43	49→60	50→55	33	.193/.248/.341	.149	.318	17	13	43%	6%	59	-1.1	.201/.251/.372	.171	.324	21	19	43%	5%	69	-0.4	.202/.251/.389	.186	.305	24	22	41%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	.190/.256/.326	.136	.273	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.205/.269/.352	.147	.297	17	9	35%	6%	72	-0.2	.199/.264/.350	.151	.290	18	7	36%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Melky Mesa 2010 · A	23	34→44	47→55	50→55	33	.181/.233/.317	.136	.275	15	10	39%	5%	46	-2.0	.204/.261/.354	.150	.301	17	17	36%	6%	69	-0.4	.209/.267/.364	.155	.298	18	21	35%	6%	69	-0.3
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	44→45	51→55	40	.195/.268/.308	.113	.290	12	13	35%	7%	59	-1.1	.200/.270/.300	.100	.307	9	12	35%	8%	58	-1.2	.166/.253/.240	.073	.276	4	11	37%	10%	33	-0.6
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	44→45	51→60	39	.187/.243/.297	.111	.259	12	21	32%	6%	46	-2.0	.218/.284/.349	.131	.292	12	37	28%	7%	76	+0.1	.226/.298/.368	.142	.297	13	49	27%	8%	84	+0.6
✕Carlos De La Cruz 2023 · AA	23	41→44	48→50	49→45	33	.201/.255/.341	.140	.322	16	7	41%	5%	63	-0.9	.210/.267/.348	.138	.325	16	6	38%	6%	69	-0.4	.201/.258/.333	.132	.315	15	6	39%	6%	58	-1.0
✕Moisés Gómez 2022 · AA	23	33→42	45→60	44→45	32	.165/.225/.286	.121	.300	14	7	48%	6%	36	-2.7	.198/.252/.381	.183	.307	26	8	42%	6%	72	-0.2	.191/.245/.379	.188	.277	28	6	41%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	49→50	52→55	41	.194/.257/.337	.143	.263	18	19	33%	7%	63	-0.9	.184/.262/.320	.136	.261	17	22	35%	8%	61	-1.0	.178/.268/.330	.152	.242	18	26	33%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Brandon Jacobs 2014 · AA	23	39→42	46→50	47→50	35	.199/.250/.326	.128	.294	14	13	36%	5%	56	-1.3	.190/.247/.317	.127	.296	15	8	39%	6%	53	-1.5	.156/.215/.286	.131	.236	18	3	41%	6%	28	-1.9
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	36→42	48→50	56→55	32	.184/.238/.325	.140	.293	16	19	41%	5%	51	-1.7	.204/.262/.347	.143	.288	18	22	34%	6%	67	-0.5	.205/.267/.345	.140	.279	18	23	32%	6%	66	-0.5
●Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	38→48	50→55	48→55	41	.200/.261/.356	.156	.274	18	12	33%	7%	69	-0.4	.216/.264/.378	.162	.287	21	15	32%	6%	76	+0.0	.228/.269/.395	.167	.290	22	15	29%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA	24	41	44→50	54→60	37	.199/.259/.318	.119	.313	12	19	38%	6%	58	-1.2	.202/.269/.329	.127	.302	12	25	35%	7%	66	-0.6	.193/.269/.328	.135	.286	12	34	35%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Yusuf Carter 2008 · A	23	36→34	46→50	48→50	31	.189/.222/.315	.126	.290	15	9	40%	4%	40	-2.4	.213/.254/.357	.144	.303	17	11	34%	5%	66	-0.6	.219/.264/.370	.151	.296	19	10	32%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	36→32	44→55	47→50	33	.188/.230/.306	.119	.276	12	12	36%	4%	42	-2.3	.190/.235/.310	.120	.293	12	12	38%	5%	45	-2.1	.185/.235/.340	.155	.265	19	12	37%	5%	52	-1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)