Derek Corro

P ACL Athletics

Age 22 LHP 5'11" / 145 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	18	ROKOAK	11	7	23	10.17	5.45	21.2%	21.2%	—	K 14.4% · BB 26.5% · FIP 6.42
2024	19	MIX2 levels	28	2	62	5.20	4.54	18.0%	14.8%	—	K 14.6% · BB 18.3% · FIP 5.35
2025	20	ROKOAK	9	0	12	4.38	3.02	32.1%	20.8%	—	K 21.8% · BB 25.9% · FIP 4.54
2027PROJ	22	MLBOAK	13	0	14	5.39	5.39	21.1%	16.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBOAK	10	0	10	5.11	4.99	22.1%	14.1%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsColby Langford (age 22) · Matt Minnick (age 23) · Joe Adametz (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 136

ERA5.39

FIP5.39

K%21.1%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%4.8%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	10	7	38	183	29	21	3	70%	3.8	10.8%	14.3%	-3.6%	2.5%	5.63	5.40	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	10	7	38	183	29	21	3	70%	3.8	15.8%	11.5%	4.4%	1.6%	5.63	4.25	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	11	7	23	132	28	28	2	64%	2.1	14.4%	26.5%	-12.1%	2.1%	10.17	6.42	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	11	7	23	132	28	28	2	64%	2.1	21.2%	21.2%	0.0%	1.5%	10.17	5.45	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	2	62	305	55	45	5	7%	2.2	14.6%	18.3%	-3.8%	2.1%	5.20	5.35	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	2	62	305	55	45	5	7%	2.2	14.6%	18.3%	-3.8%	2.1%	5.20	5.35	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	2	62	305	55	45	5	7%	2.2	18.0%	14.8%	3.3%	1.6%	5.20	4.54	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	9	0	12	53	17	11	0	0%	1.4	21.8%	25.9%	-4.1%	0.0%	4.38	4.54	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	9	0	12	53	17	11	0	0%	1.4	21.8%	25.9%	-4.1%	0.0%	4.38	4.54	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	9	0	12	53	17	11	0	0%	1.4	32.1%	20.8%	11.3%	0.0%	4.38	3.02	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	OAK	13	0	14	59	13	10	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	16.4%	4.8%	3.0%	5.39	5.39	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	OAK	19	0	20	84	19	12	2	0%	1.1	22.1%	14.1%	8.0%	2.9%	5.11	4.99	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	OAK	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	14.1%	8.0%	2.9%	5.11	4.99	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.1	22.1%	14.1%	8.0%	2.9%	5.11	4.61	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	122	20	0%	1.1	22.1%	14.1%	8.0%	2.9%	5.11	4.61	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		58	16	136	673	95	131	14	28%	2.3	14.1%	19.4%	-5.4%	2.1%	6.09	5.51	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	24	200	990	139	192	20	28%	2.3	14.1%	19.4%	-5.4%	2.1%	6.09	5.51	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Derek Corro (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.39	21.1%	16.4%	3.0%	—	4.99	22.1%	8.0%	20	-0.40	—	—	—
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	80
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	79
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	77
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	76
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	76
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	76
Jack O'Loughlin L 2022 · 4.83 FIP	22	SW	4.83	17.0%	13.7%	2.6%	.269	4.76	17.5%	7.2%	239	-0.07	3.78	348	75
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	74
Matt Walker L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	16.7%	13.3%	1.5%	.324	4.62	15.5%	4.0%	94	+0.41	4.21	156	74
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	74
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	74
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	74
Marino Santy L 2024 · 4.80 FIP	22	SW	4.80	17.6%	16.1%	2.1%	.322	4.51	20.3%	1.1%	82	-0.29	3.91	270	74
Alex Winkelman L 2016 · 4.44 FIP	22	SW	4.44	15.8%	14.7%	1.5%	.344	3.77	18.8%	6.5%	181	-0.67	3.40	246	73
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.28	17.9%	4.2%	149	-0.59	4.79	194	73
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	73
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	72
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	72
Felix Polanco L 2022 · 5.19 FIP	22	SU	5.19	18.7%	19.9%	2.1%	.290	3.68	18.8%	12.8%	27	-1.51	3.68	105	72
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	72