Andrew Taylor
P
Asheville Tourists
Age 24
RHP
6'5" / 190 lbs
A+
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION12 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142132vR 123
ERA5.46
FIP5.46
K%17.6%
BB%14.8%
K-BB%2.8%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 79 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 24 | 12 | 84 | 373 | 126 | 43 | 12 | 50% | 3.5 | 25.0% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 4.61 | 5.04 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 24 | 12 | 84 | 373 | 126 | 43 | 12 | 50% | 3.5 | 33.8% | 11.5% | 22.3% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 3.49 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 5 | 3 | 14 | 62 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 60% | 2.7 | 21.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 5.27 | 5.39 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 5 | 3 | 14 | 62 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 60% | 2.7 | 27.4% | 8.1% | 19.4% | 4.8% | 5.27 | 4.56 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 18 | 13 | 58 | 246 | 54 | 30 | 6 | 72% | 3.2 | 16.9% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.39 | 4.50 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 18 | 13 | 58 | 246 | 54 | 30 | 6 | 72% | 3.2 | 22.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 3.39 | 4.13 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 4 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 25% | 2.9 | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.46 | 5.46 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.6% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.46 | 5.46 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 79 | 331 | 65 | 44 | 10 | — | — | 19.6% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 5.34 | 4.65 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.6% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.46 | 5.08 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 53 | 39 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.5% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.26 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 55 | 38 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.1% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 5.15 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 55 | 37 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.3% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 5.11 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 23 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.5% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.26 | 5.21 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 36 | 25 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.1% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 5.15 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.3% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 5.11 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 21 | 127 | 534 | 102 | 70 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 5.16 | 4.76 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 161 | 111 | 25 | 99% | 5.9 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 5.16 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 51 | 29 | 168 | 728 | 163 | 93 | 26 | 57% | 3.3 | 22.4% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 4.24 | 4.77 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 35 | 200 | 868 | 194 | 111 | 31 | 57% | 3.3 | 22.4% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 4.24 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Taylor (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.46 | 17.6% | 14.8% | 2.9% | — | 5.15 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 203 | -0.31 | — | — | — |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 89 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 88 |
| Ramsey David R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 18.6% | 17.4% | 2.7% | .219 | 7.27 | 19.1% | -0.7% | 30 | +2.04 | 5.23 | 107 | 85 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 82 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 82 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 82 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 17.0% | 14.3% | 1.6% | .335 | 4.05 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 99 | -0.30 | 3.59 | 327 | 82 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.55 | 19.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.24 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 143 | -0.31 | 3.72 | 283 | 81 |
| Sam Whiting R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.13 | 14.3% | 15.1% | 2.4% | .309 | 7.73 | 17.8% | 2.4% | 17 | +2.60 | 4.17 | 152 | 81 |
| Grant Ford R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 81 |
| Paul Clemens R 2029 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 80 |
| Andrew Thurman R 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 24 | SP- | 6.01 | 14.4% | 16.9% | 3.6% | .291 | 2.59 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 25 | -3.42 | 2.59 | 237 | 80 |
| Carlson Reed R 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.9% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 237 | 80 |
| Cory Lewis R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 20.9% | 19.5% | 2.6% | .354 | 5.34 | 19.5% | 4.8% | 44 | +0.11 | 3.39 | 284 | 80 |
| R.J. Freure R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.83 | 21.7% | 16.2% | 4.6% | .298 | 6.05 | 20.3% | 0.1% | 26 | +0.22 | 5.19 | 196 | 79 |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.52 | 19.4% | 12.5% | 4.5% | .257 | 5.02 | 18.7% | 3.7% | 127 | -0.50 | 4.07 | 378 | 79 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.30 | 16.1% | 17.9% | 2.4% | .285 | 4.38 | 20.9% | 5.2% | 137 | -0.92 | 4.13 | 217 | 79 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 78 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2025 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 78 |
| Danny Cody R 2026 · 6.00 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.00 | 20.5% | 15.0% | 5.0% | .369 | 6.37 | 11.4% | -6.9% | 37 | +0.37 | 6.00 | 106 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 18.6% | 13.6% | 1.13 | 5.24 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |