Andrew Taylor — OGILVIE

Andrew Taylor P Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 24 RHP 6'5" / 190 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139130vR 122

ERA5.55

FIP5.55

K%17.6%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%2.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	24	12	84	373	126	43	12	50%	3.5	25.0%	13.6%	11.4%	4.2%	4.61	5.02	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	24	12	84	373	126	43	12	50%	3.5	25.0%	13.6%	11.4%	4.2%	4.61	5.02	—
2023	21	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	24	12	84	373	126	43	12	50%	3.5	33.8%	11.5%	22.3%	3.2%	4.61	3.49	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	5	3	14	62	17	5	3	60%	2.7	21.1%	9.3%	11.8%	5.6%	5.27	5.59	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	5	3	14	62	17	5	3	60%	2.7	21.1%	9.3%	11.8%	5.6%	5.27	5.59	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	5	3	14	62	17	5	3	60%	2.7	27.4%	8.1%	19.4%	4.8%	5.27	4.56	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	18	13	58	246	54	30	6	72%	3.2	16.9%	14.0%	2.9%	2.4%	3.39	4.74	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	18	13	58	246	54	30	6	72%	3.2	16.9%	14.0%	2.9%	2.4%	3.39	4.74	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	18	13	58	246	54	30	6	72%	3.2	22.0%	12.2%	9.8%	2.4%	3.39	4.13	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	11	8	43	172	43	13	6	73%	3.9	19.0%	9.4%	9.5%	4.7%	3.95	5.30	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	11	8	43	172	43	13	6	73%	3.9	19.0%	9.4%	9.5%	4.7%	3.95	5.30	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	ROK RAW	HOU	2	0	5	18	6	0	0	0%	2.4	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.86	0.29	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	HOU	5	4	20	74	19	5	2	80%	4.0	25.7%	6.8%	18.9%	2.7%	2.70	3.27	—
2026	24	AA RAW	HOU	4	4	19	80	18	8	4	100%	4.7	22.5%	10.0%	12.5%	5.0%	5.30	5.21	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	HOU	1	1	6	24	4	4	1	100%	5.7	17.6%	15.1%	2.5%	3.0%	5.55	5.55	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	HOU	—	—	49	196	47	17	7	—	—	24.1%	8.5%	15.6%	3.4%	4.13	5.33	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	12	12	68	287	53	39	9	100%	5.7	18.5%	13.7%	4.8%	3.0%	5.34	5.28	-0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	11	11	68	287	55	38	9	100%	6.2	19.1%	13.4%	5.8%	3.0%	5.22	5.19	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	HOU	11	11	67	283	55	37	9	100%	6.1	19.3%	13.2%	6.1%	3.0%	5.18	5.18	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	HOU	11	11	65	274	53	36	9	100%	5.9	19.3%	13.3%	6.0%	3.1%	5.21	5.25	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	5	5	29	122	23	17	4	100%	5.8	18.5%	13.7%	4.8%	3.0%	5.34	5.28	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	8	8	45	190	36	25	6	100%	5.6	19.1%	13.4%	5.8%	3.0%	5.22	5.19	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	HOU	9	9	52	220	42	29	7	100%	5.8	19.3%	13.2%	6.1%	3.0%	5.18	5.18	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	HOU	9	9	55	232	45	31	7	100%	6.1	19.3%	13.3%	6.0%	3.1%	5.21	5.25	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		30	30	181	764	146	102	23	100%	6.0	19.1%	13.4%	5.8%	3.0%	5.22	4.84	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	161	113	25	100%	6.0	19.1%	13.4%	5.8%	3.0%	5.22	4.84	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		58	36	199	853	181	107	33	62%	3.4	21.2%	12.6%	8.6%	3.9%	4.15	5.04	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	36	200	856	181	108	33	62%	3.4	21.2%	12.6%	8.6%	3.9%	4.15	5.04	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Taylor (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.55	17.6%	15.1%	3.0%	—	5.22	19.0%	5.5%	203	-0.33	—	—	—
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	91
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	87
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	84
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	84
Matt Ruppenthal R 2019 · 4.50 FIP	23	SP-	4.50	19.1%	14.3%	2.2%	.290	4.32	21.4%	6.5%	143	-0.18	3.74	283	82
Andrew Thurman R 2016 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	14.4%	16.9%	4.2%	.291	2.59	16.8%	9.6%	25	-3.72	2.59	264	82
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	81
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	81
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	81
Jonathan Hughes R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SP-	4.60	12.9%	12.5%	1.8%	.351	3.79	16.5%	6.2%	146	-0.81	3.44	219	80
Devereaux Harrison R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	17.6%	11.3%	3.6%	.252	4.76	16.6%	4.4%	294	-0.28	4.43	388	80
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	79
Ben Ethridge R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	22	SP-	4.45	14.4%	13.2%	1.7%	.250	6.04	13.0%	2.0%	66	+1.59	4.45	144	79
Reid Johnston R 2023 · 5.00 FIP	24	SP-	5.00	19.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.256	5.86	17.2%	2.4%	31	+0.86	3.74	234	79
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	79
Holt Jones R 2023 · 5.06 FIP	24	SP-	5.06	16.1%	17.9%	1.9%	.285	4.01	21.7%	7.0%	161	-1.05	3.37	241	78
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	77
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	77
Bryce Conley R 2019 · 5.40 FIP	24	SP-	5.40	17.0%	16.0%	3.1%	.227	4.28	17.4%	5.6%	142	-1.12	4.22	560	77
Carlos Tavera R 2023 · 5.86 FIP	24	SP-	5.86	19.6%	17.3%	4.0%	.267	5.23	18.9%	5.6%	114	-0.63	3.91	263	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	18.8%	13.7%	1.17	5.30
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91