Jalin Flores

3B Peoria Chiefs

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A+ HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ASTL	105	.223/.298/.319	2	1	24	—	.155/.212/.206
2026	23	A+STL	492	.251/.312/.443	17	7	57	—	.197/.248/.340
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBSTL	1	.195/.245/.318	0	0	57	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBSTL	79	.198/.249/.324	2	1	60	-0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBSTL	135	.200/.253/.327	3	2	63	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

ISO69

Speed62

Z-Con%48

Whiff%45

wOBA40

wRC+37

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsGrae Kessinger (age 24) · Mason Katz (age 24) · Kamren James (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .245 / .318

PA1

HR0

K%29

BB%5

BABIP254

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 22 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT22

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	105	94	21	3	0	2	10	34	0	1	0	223	298	319	617	96	322	32	10	281	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	492	447	112	27	4	17	31	133	9	7	2	251	312	443	755	192	315	27	6	331	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	105	97	15	2	0	1	7	46	0	1	0	155	212	206	418	52	281	44	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	492	456	90	20	3	13	22	169	9	7	2	197	248	340	588	143	271	34	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	105	97	15	2	0	1	7	46	0	1	0	155	212	206	418	52	275	44	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	105	94	21	3	0	2	10	34	0	1	0	223	298	319	617	96	322	32	10	281	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	492	456	90	20	3	13	22	169	9	7	2	197	248	340	588	143	276	34	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	492	447	112	27	4	17	31	133	9	7	2	251	312	443	755	192	315	27	6	331	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	105	97	15	2	0	1	7	46	0	1	0	155	212	206	418	52	281	44	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	492	458	90	20	3	13	22	169	9	7	2	197	248	338	587	142	271	34	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	105	97	15	2	0	1	7	46	0	1	0	155	212	206	418	52	281	44	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	492	458	90	20	3	13	22	169	9	7	2	197	248	338	587	142	271	34	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	STL	0%	380	354	69	14	2	9	18	109	5	6	1	196	245	322	567	126	252	29	5	253	57	-19	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	STL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	195	245	318	563	123	254	0	0	252	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	STL	30%	260	242	48	10	1	6	13	73	3	4	1	198	249	328	577	129	254	28	5	257	60	-12	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	STL	44%	305	282	56	11	1	8	16	85	4	4	1	201	253	331	584	131	255	28	5	261	63	-14	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	STL	30%	79	74	14	3	0	2	4	22	1	1	0	198	249	324	573	125	256	28	5	256	60	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	STL	44%	135	125	25	5	1	3	7	38	2	2	1	200	253	327	580	127	257	28	5	259	63	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	214	199	39	8	1	5	11	60	3	3	1	196	249	322	570	126	252	28	5	258	57	-10	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	118	24	3	15	33	182	9	9	3	195	247	320	567	124	251	28	5	258	57	-30	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1372	1272	248	51	6	33	68	433	19	19	5	195	247	322	569	127	263	32	5	252	57	-37	+1	+0	+3	+17	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	118	24	3	16	32	205	9	9	2	196	247	325	572	129	264	32	5	252	57	-31	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Peoria Chiefs · 492 PAwOBA .325 → .253 (−71)K% 27.0% → 34.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.03%	÷1.000	×1.270	—	—	34.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.30%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.998	4.46%
HBP% /PA	1.83%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	1.44%
Singles /BIP	20.38%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.985	×0.998	18.43%
Doubles /BIP	8.60%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.985	×0.998	6.85%
Triples /BIP	1.27%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.985	×0.998	1.06%
Home runs /BIP	5.41%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	4.32%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .325 → .253; ISO .192 → .144; BABIP .315 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 APalm Beach Cardinals · 105 PAwOBA .276 → .204 (−73)K% 32.4% → 44.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.38%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	44.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.52%	÷0.988	×0.690	—	—	6.65%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	—	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.67%	÷0.995	×0.920	×0.950	—	23.44%
Doubles /BIP	5.00%	÷0.896	×0.830	×0.950	—	4.40%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.910	×0.950	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.33%	÷0.973	×0.800	—	—	2.74%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 79, 3B 80, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .276 → .204; ISO .096 → .069; BABIP .322 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Pete Mackanin'73-'81 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,686 PA	2.5	1,686	30	27	222*	261*	370*	+6	+23	0.6	1.6
/162	664	12	11	+2.4	+8.9	0.2	pk7: 3
#3Todd Cruz'78-'84 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,634 PA	2.5	1,634	34	9	215*	250*	348*	+13	+35	0.5	0.5
/162	664	14	4	+5.4	+14.2	0.2	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	215	5	3	201	249	331	+2	+3	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	16	9	+7.1	+9.3	-0.3	pk7: 0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5David Howard'91-'99 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	11	23	220*	280*	301*	+10	+23	-1.6	-0.8
/162	664	4	9	+3.7	+8.5	-0.6	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jalin Flores (OGILVIE)	24	22	44	46	39	194/243/319	125	252	5	3	29%	5%	57	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Mason Katz 2015 · A	24	37→32	49→50	48→45	43	197/260/343	146	247	18	5	28%	7%	69	-0.9	205/273/318	113	292	11	8	31%	8%	68	-1.0	184/265/264	80	287	6	6	35%	8%	51	-1.2
✕Kamren James 2024 · A	24	36→30	44→50	45	34	183/242/295	112	285	12	8	39%	5%	51	-2.2	183/241/281	98	279	11	8	37%	5%	47	-2.5	164/223/254	90	241	11	7	35%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Darlin Moquete 2024 · A	24	38	44→45	45→55	41	196/250/307	112	252	13	9	28%	6%	57	-1.8	206/258/321	115	275	13	19	29%	6%	63	-1.4	200/253/312	112	267	14	26	30%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Gavin Collins 2019 · A	24	39	45	41→40	38	202/250/329	127	261	13	4	28%	5%	61	-1.5	208/263/319	111	257	11	4	23%	6%	64	-1.3	194/267/303	108	239	14	1	24%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Andy Garriola 2024 · A	24	36→39	45→50	48→45	37	190/234/309	119	239	13	9	27%	4%	51	-2.2	189/239/331	142	253	17	7	32%	5%	59	-1.7	183/234/329	146	239	19	5	32%	5%	55	-1.4
✕Jarek Cunningham 2014 · AA	24	36→39	47→50	47→45	36	190/241/324	134	260	15	8	33%	5%	57	-1.8	201/255/332	131	279	13	7	32%	6%	64	-1.3	195/252/325	130	269	12	4	31%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Joseph Odom 2016 · A	24	37	44→45	42→30	41	190/246/305	115	260	12	4	31%	7%	55	-2.0	219/258/326	107	295	10	3	28%	5%	63	-1.4	186/243/289	103	304	11	2	40%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Collin Price 2024 · A	24	37→36	43→50	43→45	44	186/262/299	114	266	11	4	33%	9%	60	-1.6	190/264/324	134	268	16	7	33%	8%	67	-1.1	176/256/317	141	243	18	8	34%	8%	60	-1.1
✕Jay Brossman 2009 · A	24	41→36	43→45	46→45	40	206/255/316	110	267	10	9	27%	5%	61	-1.5	197/247/320	123	252	13	8	27%	5%	58	-1.7	178/226/306	128	217	16	7	26%	5%	46	-0.7
✕Mateo Gil 2024 · AA	24	37→33	44→45	45	38	192/239/311	120	269	12	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	190/231/300	110	273	11	6	33%	5%	47	-2.5	156/185/252	96	223	10	3	35%	3%	16	-2.5
✕Will Banfield 2024 · AA	24	37	48→50	48→30	35	198/234/334	136	260	16	4	31%	4%	57	-1.8	204/243/313	109	283	12	3	31%	4%	55	-2.0	195/235/287	92	273	10	0	31%	4%	44	-1.5
✕Cody Morissette 2024 · AA	24	35→31	46→45	44→55	40	187/242/313	126	243	15	5	30%	6%	55	-1.9	190/243/309	119	252	13	15	29%	6%	55	-2.0	184/241/305	121	240	14	19	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	38	42→45	46→50	46	189/265/291	102	263	10	6	30%	8%	59	-1.7	193/262/310	117	276	12	11	32%	8%	62	-1.4	179/257/294	115	257	12	17	33%	9%	54	-0.8
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→33	43→50	46→50	34	191/235/306	115	287	11	11	36%	4%	51	-2.3	195/243/333	138	293	16	12	38%	5%	60	-1.6	165/221/310	144	234	19	14	38%	6%	44	-1.4
✕Jonathon Fixler 2010 · AA	24	37	49→55	43→40	39	199/256/343	144	255	17	4	29%	5%	68	-1.0	212/273/346	134	290	14	6	31%	6%	74	-0.5	194/264/334	141	276	15	2	34%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	32→40	43→45	47→45	44	169/250/274	105	239	11	6	33%	8%	50	-2.3	190/273/295	105	264	10	5	30%	9%	63	-1.3	177/267/274	97	242	10	3	29%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Trent Giambrone 2018 · A	24	40→41	42→50	41→55	39	203/247/298	95	266	12	7	28%	5%	53	-2.1	206/259/344	138	268	17	17	29%	6%	69	-0.9	184/245/316	132	241	16	19	31%	7%	54	-1.3

Jalin Flores

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps