Andy Garriola — OGILVIE

Andy GarriolaOF Knoxville Smokies

Age 26 R/R 6'4" / 235 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION277 act + 184 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .252 / .375

PA184

HR7

K%30

BB%5

BABIP246

ISO176

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	388	69	18	0	11	13	114	11	11	3	178	226	309	535	131	218	27	3	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	382	86	23	0	12	19	82	11	11	3	225	282	380	661	154	254	20	5	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	2 teams	—	455	412	76	20	0	20	25	194	7	12	2	184	243	379	622	194	268	43	5	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	2 teams	—	455	395	97	29	1	21	41	134	7	12	2	246	327	484	810	238	303	29	9	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	2 teams	—	412	379	64	16	1	10	21	116	7	6	1	169	226	296	522	127	209	28	5	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	2 teams	—	412	369	76	19	1	12	31	93	7	6	1	206	280	360	641	154	238	23	8	285	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AA	CHC	—	277	254	53	9	1	15	14	84	6	1	1	209	266	429	696	220	241	30	5	299	87	-4	-0	+0	-2	+8	0.2
YTD	26	AA	CHC	—	277	241	60	11	1	17	20	65	6	1	1	249	314	515	828	266	265	23	7	352	128	+9	-0	+0	-2	+8	1.5
ROS	26	AA	CHC	2%	184	170	34	7	1	7	9	55	3	2	1	199	252	375	627	176	247	30	5	282	74	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
ROS	26	MLB	CHC	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						248	25	0	270	65	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AA	CHC	—	281	258	53	9	1	15	14	85	6	1	1	205	263	422	685	217	236	30	5	299	87	-4	-0	+0	-2	+8	0.2
TOT	26	AA	CHC	—	461	424	87	16	2	22	23	139	9	3	2	205	261	407	668	203	243	30	5	292	82	-10	-0	+0	-3	+13	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	CHC	27%	385	355	73	15	1	15	21	113	6	4	1	206	262	380	642	175	253	29	5	287	78	-10	+0	+0	-2	+11	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	CHC	40%	440	404	83	17	1	17	26	127	7	4	1	205	265	379	644	173	255	29	6	289	79	-10	+0	-1	-3	+12	-0.1
2029	29	MLB	CHC	45%	470	432	90	19	1	18	28	136	7	5	1	208	268	382	650	174	256	29	6	289	79	-11	+1	-1	-3	+13	-0.1
2027	27	MLB	CHC	27%	103	94	19	4	0	4	6	30	2	1	0	202	265	372	637	170	254	29	6	277	70	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	CHC	40%	175	160	34	7	1	7	10	51	3	2	1	212	272	400	672	188	257	29	6	279	72	-6	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	29	MLB	CHC	45%	210	192	40	8	1	8	13	61	3	2	1	208	269	385	655	177	258	29	6	279	72	-7	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	492	450	93	19	2	19	29	143	8	5	2	207	267	384	651	178	254	29	6	279	71	-16	+0	-1	-3	+14	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	123	25	3	25	38	189	11	7	3	207	267	385	652	178	255	29	6	279	71	-21	+0	-1	-4	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	2762	2540	489	112	5	98	143	855	48	44	10	192	249	356	605	164	242	31	5	267	62	-117	+5	-2	-17	+78	-5.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	114	26	1	23	34	201	11	10	2	191	247	353	600	162	239	31	5	267	62	-28	+1	-0	-4	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	23	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	382	86	23	0	12	19	82	11	11	3	225	282	380	661	154	254	20	5	293	83	-8	+1	—	—	+12	0.5
2024	24	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	74	63	17	5	0	3	6	15	3	3	0	270	356	492	848	222	304	20	8	368	139	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	24	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	381	332	80	24	1	18	35	119	4	9	2	241	321	482	803	241	302	31	9	343	121	+9	+1	—	—	+11	2.1
2025	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	152	137	25	7	1	4	12	30	1	1	0	182	253	336	589	153	200	20	8	262	59	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	25	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	260	232	51	12	0	8	19	63	6	5	1	220	296	375	671	155	262	24	7	299	87	-4	+1	—	—	+7	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	11	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
	/162	664	35	4	227	287	459	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	494	19	5	209	265	387	-3	+0	-0.1	-0.1
	/162	664	26	6	209	265	387	-4.0	+0.0	-0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andy Garriola (OGILVIE)	26	35	45	45	30	205/261/407	203	243	22	3	30%	5%	82	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	35→27	50	43→40	41	191/254/334	143	251	19	5	32%	7%	60	-1.0	195/273/339	144	246	19	5	28%	8%	70	-0.3	200/276/347	147	231	17	4	22%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	51→55	50	40	202/258/351	149	255	20	7	30%	6%	67	-0.5	220/291/413	193	279	26	9	30%	7%	97	+1.5	205/284/416	211	247	30	7	31%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Cam Devanney 2023 · AAA	26	37→41	50→55	45	40	199/260/351	152	262	18	6	31%	6%	67	-0.5	221/282/381	160	291	18	8	29%	6%	84	+0.6	219/280/381	162	289	19	7	30%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Brad Glenn 2013 · AA	26	38→46	53→55	45	37	207/254/378	170	277	22	6	34%	5%	72	-0.2	223/270/378	155	299	19	4	31%	6%	78	+0.2	223/270/372	148	296	18	2	30%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Brian Serven 2022 · AAA	27	34	49→45	47→30	38	187/238/330	143	232	18	5	29%	4%	53	-1.5	190/252/306	116	254	14	4	30%	7%	52	-1.6	224/307/333	109	327	9	1	31%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Weston Wilson 2021 · AA	26	38→43	48→55	48→55	42	200/258/333	133	262	16	10	30%	7%	61	-1.0	219/283/390	171	289	23	18	31%	8%	87	+0.8	212/291/397	185	265	26	25	30%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Rylan Bannon 2022 · AAA	26	34→42	49→50	50	46	185/255/328	144	223	18	11	26%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/358	155	263	19	13	29%	10%	82	+0.5	197/295/350	153	257	19	12	30%	11%	80	+0.3
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	39	47→50	49→45	39	203/247/337	133	251	15	8	26%	4%	57	-1.2	206/258/325	119	258	13	9	25%	5%	59	-1.1	184/241/285	100	222	12	6	23%	4%	38	-1.0
✕Taylor Featherston 2016 · MLB	26	41→45	48→55	50	38	214/258/358	144	272	16	12	28%	4%	68	-0.5	199/252/326	127	273	14	11	31%	5%	57	-1.2	185/242/306	121	262	14	12	34%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Dustin Lawley 2015 · AAA	26	37→44	49→50	45	37	198/240/347	150	265	17	6	32%	5%	57	-1.2	195/235/319	124	273	13	9	33%	4%	47	-1.9	170/202/275	105	236	11	10	33%	3%	20	-2.4
✕Jamie Romak 2012 · AA	26	39→48	51→55	44→45	42	210/268/363	153	254	20	5	26%	6%	74	-0.1	209/264/353	144	263	17	6	27%	6%	69	-0.4	200/257/371	171	274	21	5	34%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Logan Hill 2018 · AA	25	40→39	49→55	45	40	206/269/351	145	287	17	7	34%	7%	71	-0.3	208/271/378	170	297	22	4	36%	7%	79	+0.3	197/262/376	179	277	24	1	37%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Sean Bouchard 2022 · AA	26	41	50→55	47→50	39	209/263/369	160	294	17	10	34%	6%	72	-0.2	219/309/394	175	294	19	14	30%	10%	98	+1.6	210/314/386	176	278	19	16	30%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	41→42	50	51→50	40	214/262/365	151	274	18	14	29%	6%	71	-0.3	204/254/325	121	278	13	12	30%	6%	57	-1.2	179/233/303	124	254	15	13	35%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Caleb Stewart 2008 · AA	26	41→45	50	39→45	41	216/271/365	149	268	19	5	27%	6%	75	-0.0	216/282/346	130	275	13	7	25%	7%	75	-0.0	210/283/340	129	265	12	6	24%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Brandon Waring 2012 · AA	26	36→40	51→55	44→40	35	194/248/353	159	279	19	2	37%	6%	63	-0.8	194/257/369	175	291	22	3	40%	6%	72	-0.2	178/247/356	177	276	23	1	43%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Brandon Barnes 2012 · AAA	26	37→47	50→55	49→50	38	198/248/355	157	263	18	10	32%	5%	63	-0.9	229/275/355	126	310	12	15	29%	5%	73	-0.1	236/281/354	118	320	11	16	29%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Trey Amburgey 2021 · AAA	26	43→44	49→50	50	38	222/260/368	146	276	17	9	26%	4%	71	-0.3	212/260/345	133	309	13	6	34%	6%	65	-0.7	197/247/327	129	294	12	2	36%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Ray Sadler 2007 · AAA	26	39→43	49→55	46→50	39	206/256/351	145	275	17	11	32%	6%	65	-0.7	211/263/375	164	267	21	9	29%	6%	75	-0.0	202/255/365	163	248	21	8	28%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Erik Morrison 2012 · A	26	40→44	50→55	43→45	37	215/255/368	153	267	19	7	28%	4%	69	-0.4	235/278/357	122	293	14	6	24%	5%	76	+0.0	247/286/365	118	300	16	3	23%	4%	77	+0.1