Andy Garriola — OGILVIE

Andy GarriolaOF Knoxville Smokies

Age 26 R/R 6'4" / 235 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION477 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%5

BABIP264

ISO144

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	23	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	382	86	23	0	12	19	82	11	11	3	225	282	380	661	154	254	20	5	293	85	-8	+1	—	—	+9	0.2
2024	24	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	74	63	17	5	0	3	6	15	3	3	0	270	356	492	848	222	304	20	8	368	135	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	24	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	381	332	80	24	1	18	35	119	4	9	2	241	321	482	803	241	302	31	9	343	118	+8	+1	—	—	+8	1.8
2025	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	152	137	25	7	1	4	12	30	1	1	0	182	253	336	589	153	200	20	8	262	63	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	25	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	260	232	51	12	0	8	19	63	6	5	1	220	296	375	671	155	262	24	7	299	89	-4	+1	—	—	+6	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	389	70	18	0	10	12	115	11	11	3	180	226	303	529	123	218	28	3	230	42	-29	+1	—	—	+9	-1.9
2024	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	74	66	15	4	0	3	4	20	3	3	0	227	301	424	726	197	255	27	5	297	87	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	24	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	381	346	62	17	1	15	21	171	4	9	2	179	235	364	599	185	256	45	6	257	60	-18	+1	—	—	+8	-0.9
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	152	141	22	6	1	3	8	37	1	1	0	156	207	277	483	121	183	24	5	219	34	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2025	25	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	260	238	40	9	0	6	13	81	6	5	1	168	230	282	511	113	216	31	5	224	38	-19	+1	—	—	+6	-1.3
2023	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	389	70	18	0	10	12	115	11	11	3	180	226	303	529	123	225	28	3	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	382	86	23	0	12	19	82	11	11	3	225	282	380	661	154	254	20	5	293	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	455	412	75	20	1	18	25	192	7	12	2	182	241	367	607	184	268	42	5	264	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	455	395	97	29	1	21	41	134	7	12	2	246	327	484	810	238	303	29	9	347	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	412	379	63	16	1	9	21	118	7	6	1	166	224	285	509	119	210	29	5	222	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	412	369	76	19	1	12	31	93	7	6	1	206	280	360	641	154	238	23	8	285	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	390	70	18	0	10	12	115	11	11	3	179	226	303	528	123	218	28	3	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	455	420	75	20	1	18	25	192	7	12	2	179	241	360	601	181	256	42	5	264	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	412	381	63	16	1	9	21	118	7	6	1	165	224	283	507	118	204	29	5	222	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	416	390	70	18	0	10	12	115	11	11	3	179	226	303	528	123	218	28	3	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	455	420	75	20	1	18	25	192	7	12	2	179	241	360	601	181	256	42	5	264	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	412	381	63	16	1	9	21	118	7	6	1	165	224	283	507	118	204	29	5	222	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	CHC	—	477	441	97	15	1	17	21	135	8	1	1	220	268	374	642	154	270	28	4	277	74	-15	-0	+0	-3	+10	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA RAW	CHC	—	477	421	108	17	1	22	30	111	8	1	1	257	311	458	769	202	292	23	6	330	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AA MLE	CHC	2%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		263	33	0	274	71	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	26	AA MLE	CHC	—	486	450	98	15	1	17	21	138	8	1	1	218	265	369	634	151	268	28	4	277	74	-15	-0	+0	-3	+11	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CHC	27%	269	249	54	10	1	9	14	76	4	2	1	217	270	373	643	157	265	28	5	278	74	-8	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
2028	28	MLB MLE	CHC	40%	319	295	63	11	1	10	17	89	4	2	1	214	266	359	625	146	266	28	5	281	76	-9	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.5
2027	27	MLB CTX	CHC	27%	72	67	14	3	0	2	4	20	1	0	0	209	264	343	607	134	266	28	6	267	74	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CHC	40%	127	117	25	5	0	4	7	35	2	1	0	214	270	359	629	145	268	28	6	269	76	-4	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	199	184	39	8	0	6	11	55	3	1	0	212	268	353	621	141	266	28	6	268	57	-6	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	128	26	0	20	36	180	10	3	0	213	269	356	625	143	267	28	6	268	57	-19	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1880	1733	326	75	4	56	89	593	33	33	8	188	242	333	574	145	244	32	5	252	57	-18	+0	-1	-4	+13	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	112	26	1	19	31	205	11	11	3	187	240	329	569	142	243	32	5	252	57	-19	+0	-1	-4	+14	-1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	204	7	1	214	264	365	-1	+0	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	22	4	-4.0	+0.0	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andy Garriola (OGILVIE)	26	35	45	45	30	208/257/355	147	263	8	1	29%	5%	71	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	50→55	49→50	40	201/257/345	143	251	19	7	28%	6%	69	-0.9	213/286/383	170	277	22	9	31%	7%	88	+0.5	196/276/376	180	248	24	7	31%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Dustin Lawley 2015 · AAA	26	38→42	49→50	45	37	200/243/349	150	265	17	6	32%	5%	63	-1.3	196/236/316	120	269	12	9	31%	4%	53	-2.1	171/204/272	101	232	10	10	31%	3%	28	-2.4
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	34→28	49→50	43→40	42	187/252/323	136	248	18	5	32%	7%	62	-1.4	195/274/335	140	245	18	5	28%	8%	73	-0.6	196/273/324	129	231	14	4	22%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Brandon Waring 2012 · AA	26	36→39	51→55	44→40	37	195/251/352	157	275	18	2	36%	6%	68	-1.0	191/258/351	160	283	20	3	38%	6%	71	-0.8	176/249/335	160	268	20	1	40%	7%	61	-1.1
✕Cam Devanney 2023 · AAA	26	38→41	48→50	45	41	201/263/342	141	261	16	6	29%	6%	70	-0.8	216/279/360	144	284	15	8	28%	7%	80	-0.2	212/276/353	142	282	15	7	29%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Logan Hill 2019 · AA	26	39→40	50	40→45	39	205/268/354	149	289	18	5	35%	7%	75	-0.5	210/270/350	140	297	15	4	33%	6%	74	-0.5	198/259/338	140	276	15	1	33%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/244/306	122	245	15	10	31%	6%	55	-2.0	208/254/339	131	279	15	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	49→45	39	205/249/331	126	254	13	8	25%	4%	61	-1.5	209/262/319	110	263	11	9	24%	5%	63	-1.3	191/247/278	87	234	9	6	22%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Brad Glenn 2013 · AA	26	38→46	52→55	45	37	206/252/369	163	276	20	6	33%	5%	72	-0.7	221/268/363	142	293	16	4	29%	6%	76	-0.4	221/269/355	134	289	15	2	28%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Kiel Roling 2013 · AA	26	40→38	50→55	42→30	37	209/255/358	149	289	19	4	34%	6%	70	-0.8	217/265/369	152	286	18	4	30%	6%	77	-0.3	206/255/366	160	258	20	0	28%	6%	71	-0.6
✕Zach Houchins 2019 · AAA	26	42→43	49→50	41→40	40	220/257/366	146	258	18	5	23%	4%	73	-0.6	207/244/335	128	273	14	6	29%	4%	60	-1.6	185/216/302	116	247	12	2	30%	3%	40	-2.1
✕Jay Caligiuri 2006 · AA	26	40→37	48→45	46→30	43	208/267/351	143	260	16	4	27%	6%	74	-0.6	211/286/351	140	256	16	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	187/272/304	117	215	15	1	21%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Trey Amburgey 2021 · AAA	26	43→44	47→50	49→50	38	220/260/358	138	275	15	9	26%	4%	72	-0.7	208/258/339	131	303	13	6	34%	6%	67	-1.1	190/241/316	125	283	12	2	36%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Will Craig 2021 · AAA	26	40→48	49→50	42→40	39	211/271/359	148	276	18	5	30%	6%	77	-0.3	230/287/375	145	303	17	7	28%	6%	86	+0.3	228/282/373	146	292	18	0	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Devin Harris 2014 · A	26	36→40	52→55	43→40	38	198/249/367	168	264	20	3	33%	6%	70	-0.8	207/252/358	151	280	17	4	31%	5%	69	-0.9	199/243/344	145	269	16	4	32%	5%	60	-1.3
✕Wendell Rijo 2022 · AAA	26	40→43	50	48→50	41	213/268/365	152	268	19	9	28%	6%	77	-0.3	217/278/346	129	289	13	17	28%	7%	76	-0.4	219/282/358	139	281	14	27	26%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Erik Morrison 2012 · A	26	41→44	51→50	43→45	38	216/257/371	154	266	19	7	27%	4%	74	-0.5	230/273/335	105	287	11	6	23%	5%	71	-0.8	239/278/330	90	293	11	3	22%	4%	69	-0.5
✕Jeffrey Eure 2007 · AA	26	39→31	47→50	41→45	35	203/249/335	133	284	15	5	34%	4%	63	-1.4	206/261/315	109	301	10	8	33%	5%	62	-1.4	168/230/245	77	267	5	5	36%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Rodolfo Durán 2023 · AAA	25	37	48→50	47→45	37	199/236/338	139	252	16	4	28%	4%	59	-1.7	221/264/365	144	279	16	5	26%	5%	75	-0.5	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Jay Brossman 2011 · AA	26	37→36	45	44→45	41	193/245/315	123	242	13	7	26%	5%	57	-1.8	209/257/326	117	282	12	11	29%	6%	63	-1.4	191/227/312	121	253	15	17	31%	4%	46	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps