Andy Garriola
OF Knoxville Smokies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | A+/ACHC | 455 | .246/.327/.484 | 21 | 12 | 60 | — | .183/.243/.363 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA/A+CHC | 412 | .206/.280/.360 | 12 | 6 | 35 | — | .166/.221/.284 |
| 2026 | 26 | AACHC | 481 | .256/.310/.456 | 22 | 1 | 70 | — | .213/.259/.365 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBCHC | 3 | .208/.255/.353 | 0 | 0 | 69 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 28 | MLBCHC | 45 | .208/.257/.351 | 1 | 0 | 69 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 416 | 382 | 86 | 23 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 82 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 225 | 282 | 380 | 661 | 154 | 254 | 20 | 5 | 293 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | — | 74 | 63 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 270 | 356 | 492 | 848 | 222 | 304 | 20 | 8 | 368 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 381 | 332 | 80 | 24 | 1 | 18 | 35 | 119 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 241 | 321 | 482 | 803 | 241 | 302 | 31 | 9 | 343 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | — | 152 | 137 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 253 | 336 | 589 | 153 | 200 | 20 | 8 | 262 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | — | 260 | 232 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 63 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 220 | 296 | 375 | 671 | 155 | 262 | 24 | 7 | 299 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | — | 481 | 425 | 109 | 17 | 1 | 22 | 30 | 111 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 310 | 456 | 767 | 200 | 291 | 23 | 6 | 329 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 416 | 388 | 68 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 110 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 175 | 223 | 291 | 515 | 116 | 210 | 26 | 3 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 74 | 66 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 227 | 301 | 424 | 726 | 197 | 248 | 26 | 5 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 381 | 345 | 60 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 164 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 174 | 232 | 351 | 583 | 177 | 243 | 43 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Knoxville Smokies | — | 152 | 141 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 207 | 284 | 490 | 128 | 181 | 24 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 260 | 239 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 76 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 172 | 230 | 285 | 514 | 113 | 209 | 29 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Knoxville Smokies | — | 481 | 446 | 95 | 15 | 1 | 17 | 20 | 136 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 259 | 365 | 625 | 152 | 254 | 28 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 416 | 388 | 68 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 110 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 175 | 223 | 291 | 515 | 116 | 217 | 26 | 3 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A RAW | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 416 | 382 | 86 | 23 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 82 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 225 | 282 | 380 | 661 | 154 | 254 | 20 | 5 | 293 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 455 | 410 | 73 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 27 | 183 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 178 | 241 | 349 | 590 | 171 | 257 | 40 | 6 | 256 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 455 | 395 | 97 | 29 | 1 | 21 | 41 | 134 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 246 | 327 | 484 | 810 | 238 | 303 | 29 | 9 | 347 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 379 | 63 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 113 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 166 | 224 | 285 | 509 | 119 | 206 | 27 | 5 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 412 | 369 | 76 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 93 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 206 | 280 | 360 | 641 | 154 | 238 | 23 | 8 | 285 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Knoxville Smokies | — | 481 | 446 | 95 | 15 | 1 | 17 | 20 | 136 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 259 | 365 | 625 | 152 | 260 | 28 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA RAW | Knoxville Smokies | — | 481 | 425 | 109 | 17 | 1 | 22 | 30 | 111 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 256 | 310 | 456 | 767 | 200 | 291 | 23 | 6 | 329 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 416 | 389 | 68 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 110 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 175 | 223 | 290 | 514 | 116 | 210 | 26 | 3 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 455 | 418 | 73 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 27 | 183 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 175 | 241 | 342 | 583 | 167 | 244 | 40 | 6 | 256 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 381 | 63 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 113 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 165 | 224 | 283 | 507 | 118 | 199 | 27 | 5 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Knoxville Smokies | — | 481 | 450 | 95 | 15 | 1 | 17 | 20 | 136 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 259 | 362 | 622 | 151 | 254 | 28 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 455 | 418 | 73 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 27 | 183 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 175 | 241 | 342 | 583 | 167 | 244 | 40 | 6 | 256 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 381 | 63 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 113 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 165 | 224 | 283 | 507 | 118 | 199 | 27 | 5 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Knoxville Smokies | — | 481 | 450 | 95 | 15 | 1 | 17 | 20 | 136 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 259 | 362 | 622 | 151 | 254 | 28 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | CHC | 2% | 380 | 354 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 106 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 207 | 255 | 354 | 608 | 147 | 257 | 28 | 5 | 270 | 69 | -14 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | CHC | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 255 | 353 | 608 | 145 | 259 | 33 | 0 | 270 | 69 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | CHC | 27% | 166 | 155 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 256 | 352 | 608 | 145 | 258 | 28 | 5 | 270 | 69 | -6 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | CHC | 27% | 45 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 257 | 351 | 607 | 143 | 260 | 29 | 4 | 270 | 69 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 45 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 333 | 600 | 119 | 286 | 29 | 4 | 270 | 54 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 607 | 130 | 29 | 0 | 14 | 29 | 188 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 266 | 331 | 597 | 117 | 286 | 29 | 4 | 270 | 54 | -24 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +14 | -1.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2085 | 1923 | 360 | 81 | 3 | 61 | 96 | 631 | 37 | 32 | 7 | 187 | 240 | 328 | 567 | 140 | 237 | 30 | 5 | 248 | 54 | -12 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +7 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 112 | 25 | 1 | 19 | 30 | 197 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 187 | 240 | 327 | 567 | 140 | 237 | 30 | 5 | 248 | 54 | -24 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAKnoxville Smokies · 481 PAwOBA .325 → .271 (−54)K% 23.1% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 4.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.66% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×0.978 | 19.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | ×0.978 | 4.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.986 | ×0.978 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 5.48% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .325 → .271; ISO .200 → .163; BABIP .291 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+South Bend Cubs · 260 PAwOBA .295 → .220 (−74)K% 24.2% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.23% | ÷1.051 | ×1.270 | — | — | 29.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.31% | ÷1.042 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 4.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.31% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 1.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.34% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×0.968 | 15.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.957 | ×0.968 | 5.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.957 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.73% | ÷1.106 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 3.31% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 110, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .295 → .220; ISO .155 → .110; BABIP .262 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAKnoxville Smokies · 152 PAwOBA .258 → .218 (−40)K% 19.7% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.74% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷0.988 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.66% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.15% | ÷0.996 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 10.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.54% | ÷0.910 | ×0.910 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.976 | ×0.988 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.74% | ÷0.911 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.24% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .258 → .218; ISO .153 → .135; BABIP .200 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 381 PAwOBA .342 → .249 (−93)K% 31.2% → 43.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.23% | ÷0.985 | ×1.360 | — | — | 43.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.92% | ÷1.007 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.37% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.970 | 14.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.27% | ÷0.986 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.970 | 8.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.970 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.45% | ÷0.908 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 7.22% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .342 → .249; ISO .241 → .179; BABIP .302 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+South Bend Cubs · 74 PAwOBA .363 → .293 (−70)K% 20.3% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.27% | ÷1.005 | ×1.270 | — | — | 25.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 5.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.05% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 3.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×0.978 | 16.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.42% | ÷1.034 | ×0.810 | ×0.971 | ×0.978 | 7.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.850 | ×0.971 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.909 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 5.38% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 96, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .363 → .293; ISO .222 → .184; BABIP .304 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 416 PAwOBA .287 → .222 (−65)K% 19.7% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.71% | ÷1.011 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.57% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 3.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.64% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×0.980 | 14.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.67% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×0.980 | 6.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 3.28% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .287 → .222; ISO .154 → .119; BABIP .254 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).