Blake Dickerson prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Blake Dickerson P FCL Tigers

Age 21 LHP 6'6" / 210 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA5.12

FIP5.12

K%21.7%

BB%14.5%

K-BB%7.1%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	10	5	24	103	20	16	1	50%	2.4	13.2%	19.4%	-6.2%	1.4%	3.33	5.23	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	10	5	24	103	20	16	1	50%	2.4	13.2%	19.4%	-6.2%	1.4%	3.33	5.23	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	10	5	24	103	20	16	1	50%	2.4	19.4%	15.5%	3.9%	1.0%	3.33	3.96	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	DET	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.7%	14.5%	7.1%	3.0%	5.12	5.12	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	DET	4	4	23	97	22	12	3	100%	5.8	22.7%	12.6%	10.1%	2.9%	4.87	4.76	+0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	DET	2	2	11	46	11	6	1	100%	5.5	22.7%	12.6%	10.1%	2.9%	4.87	4.76	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	11	48	11	6	1	100%	5.7	22.7%	12.6%	10.1%	2.9%	4.87	4.38	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	195	106	18	100%	5.5	22.7%	12.6%	10.1%	2.9%	4.87	4.38	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		10	5	24	103	14	20	1	50%	2.4	13.2%	19.4%	-6.2%	1.4%	3.33	5.23	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	41	200	847	112	164	12	50%	2.4	13.2%	19.4%	-6.2%	1.4%	3.33	5.23	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blake Dickerson (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.12	21.7%	14.5%	3.0%	—	4.76	22.7%	10.1%	23	-0.36	—	—	—
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.30	19.0%	8.0%	394	-1.50	3.58	460	84
Develson Aria L 2022 · 4.32 FIP	21	SP-	4.32	19.9%	12.2%	2.5%	.346	6.47	16.7%	-11.9%	47	+2.15	4.32	137	80
Felipe De La Cruz L 2022 · 4.65 FIP	21	SP-	4.65	21.7%	14.5%	2.8%	.387	3.82	21.5%	10.1%	278	-0.83	3.11	397	78
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.60	22.3%	10.3%	152	-0.39	3.90	265	76
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	75
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.79	17.1%	7.8%	206	-0.85	2.95	250	72
Sonny Vargas L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP-	4.54	21.0%	10.1%	3.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	165	71
Jonah Wesely L 2016 · 4.36 FIP	21	SW	4.36	26.0%	12.3%	3.5%	.450	3.51	20.5%	7.6%	86	-0.85	2.91	134	71
Taylor Hearn L 2016 · 3.99 FIP	21	SW	3.99	26.1%	10.6%	3.2%	.347	4.01	22.3%	11.7%	236	+0.02	3.72	572	71
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	71
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	70
Victor Cabreja L 2023 · 4.18 FIP	21	SW	4.18	15.8%	14.5%	1.1%	.213	5.20	11.8%	2.2%	185	+1.02	3.79	254	70
Jack Patterson L 2018 · 4.72 FIP	22	SP-	4.72	14.7%	8.0%	3.4%	.299	3.10	19.4%	7.9%	80	-1.62	3.10	127	70
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	70
Marco Gonzales L 2014 · 4.56 FIP	22	SP-	4.56	19.9%	12.8%	2.8%	.277	4.22	16.6%	9.5%	190	-0.34	3.09	1,143	70
Felix Doubront L 2010 · 4.00 FIP	22	SW	4.00	20.4%	8.8%	2.7%	.312	4.02	21.6%	11.6%	323	+0.02	3.44	719	70
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.28	17.9%	4.2%	149	-0.59	4.79	194	70
Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	16.9%	16.4%	4.1%	.272	4.58	20.9%	6.1%	59	-1.42	3.57	243	69
Joe Kemlage L 2022 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	19.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.278	5.35	17.6%	5.9%	65	+0.93	4.42	128	69
Avery Short L 2022 · 4.82 FIP	21	SP-	4.82	20.1%	11.4%	3.6%	.346	4.72	15.0%	6.4%	271	-0.10	4.20	485	69