Javier Osorio — OGILVIE

Javier OsorioSS Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs A HR +5%H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.0 · 2031

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .284 / .336

PA139

HR3

SB12

K%30

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

28↗33

PWR

41↗46

SPD

63↗68

EYE

47↗52

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.0peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.0	$19M	+$18M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.0	$19M	+$18M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.9	$19M	+$18M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.7	$17M	+$14M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.5	$16M	+$10M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.2	$13M	+$6M
Totals		$18M		$102M	+$84M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	178	160	17	3	0	1	10	99	7	15	3	.106	.192	.144	.336	.037	.262	56	6	.147	-29	-26	+2	+0	+2	+5	-1.8
2023	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	117	107	17	3	1	3	7	59	3	11	2	.159	.231	.290	.520	.131	.311	50	6	.224	30	-9	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2024	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	198	173	35	11	2	2	18	65	7	19	6	.202	.303	.324	.627	.121	.311	33	9	.282	74	-6	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.3
2025	20	ROK	FCL Tigers	146	130	29	5	0	5	7	49	7	20	4	.223	.299	.377	.676	.154	.308	34	5	.287	78	-4	+2	+0	+2	+4	0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	41	38	6	2	0	1	1	21	2	8	0	.158	.220	.289	.509	.132	.312	51	2	.201	12	-4	+2	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
ROS	21	MLB	DET	98	89	18	4	0	2	7	31	2	4	1	.202	.276	.315	.590	.112	.287	32	7	.277	70	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
TOT	21	MLB	DET	139	127	24	6	0	3	8	52	4	12	1	.189	.259	.307	.566	.118	.292	37	6	.255	53	-7	+2	+0	+1	+4	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	DET	229	205	44	9	1	6	18	60	4	9	1	.215	.291	.356	.647	.141	.275	26	8	.294	83	-4	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.6
2028	23	MLB 28%	DET	335	298	67	14	2	9	28	85	6	12	2	.225	.304	.376	.680	.151	.276	25	8	.302	90	-4	+2	+0	+4	+9	1.1
2029	24	MLB 45%	DET	408	363	83	17	2	12	35	101	7	14	2	.229	.309	.386	.694	.157	.278	25	9	.308	94	-3	+2	+0	+4	+12	1.5
2030	25	MLB 60%	DET	449	398	90	18	2	13	40	111	8	14	2	.226	.309	.379	.689	.153	.279	25	9	.311	96	-2	+2	+0	+5	+13	1.8
2031	26	MLB 77%	DET	474	420	95	19	2	14	43	117	8	15	2	.226	.310	.381	.691	.155	.279	25	9	.313	98	-1	+2	+0	+5	+13	2.0
2032	27	MLB 92%	DET	484	429	98	20	2	15	44	120	8	15	2	.228	.312	.389	.701	.161	.279	25	9	.313	98	-1	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.0
2033	28	MLB	DET	486	430	96	19	2	14	45	121	8	14	1	.223	.308	.374	.683	.151	.279	25	9	.312	97	-2	+2	-1	+5	+14	1.9
2034	29	MLB	DET	480	424	95	19	2	14	45	121	8	13	1	.224	.310	.377	.688	.153	.278	25	9	.310	95	-3	+2	-1	+5	+14	1.7
2035	30	MLB	DET	472	417	93	19	2	14	44	120	8	13	0	.223	.309	.379	.688	.156	.276	25	9	.307	93	-4	+3	-2	+5	+13	1.5
2036	31	MLB	DET	460	406	89	18	2	13	43	119	8	11	0	.219	.306	.369	.676	.150	.275	26	9	.303	90	-5	+2	-3	+5	+13	1.2
2037	32	MLB	DET	442	391	85	17	2	12	41	117	7	10	0	.217	.303	.363	.666	.146	.273	26	9	.298	86	-7	+2	-4	+5	+13	0.9
2038	33	MLB	DET	413	365	78	15	2	11	38	112	7	9	0	.214	.300	.356	.656	.142	.271	27	9	.292	82	-8	+2	-4	+4	+12	0.5
2039	34	MLB	DET	368	325	67	13	1	9	34	103	6	8	0	.206	.293	.335	.629	.129	.269	28	9	.286	77	-10	+2	-5	+4	+10	0.2
2040	35	MLB	DET	315	278	56	11	1	7	29	91	5	7	0	.201	.288	.324	.612	.122	.267	29	9	.278	71	-10	+1	-6	+3	+9	-0.2
2041	36	MLB	DET	258	229	44	8	1	5	23	78	4	6	0	.192	.277	.301	.579	.109	.263	30	9	.269	64	-10	+1	-6	+3	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6810	6037	1296	262	29	181	599	1879	128	239	29	.215	.299	.358	.657	.143	.278	28	9	.295	84	-123	+36	-31	+73	+193	15.1
/ 162G	—			650	576	124	25	3	17	57	179	12	23	3	.215	.299	.358	.656	.142	.279	28	9	.295	84	-12	+3	-3	+7	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	178	154	27	5	0	1	16	68	7	15	3	.175	.282	.227	.510	.052	.302	38	9	.246	47	-11	+2	—	—	+5	-0.4
2023	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	117	103	28	6	2	5	11	40	3	11	2	.272	.359	.515	.874	.243	.397	34	9	.383	151	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2024	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	198	161	49	15	4	3	30	44	7	19	6	.304	.434	.503	.937	.199	.404	22	15	.417	177	+17	+1	—	—	+6	2.5
2025	20	ROK	FCL Tigers	146	125	38	8	0	5	11	34	7	20	4	.304	.389	.488	.877	.184	.375	23	8	.384	152	+9	+2	—	—	+4	1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Osorio (OGILVIE)	21	28→33	41→46	63→68	52	.209/.284/.336	.127	.286	3	3	30%	8%	74	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→50	47→55	58→55	39	.214/.256/.353	.139	.265	14	15	25%	4%	65	-0.7	.239/.275/.401	.162	.303	18	22	27%	4%	85	+0.7	.244/.283/.399	.155	.300	17	24	24%	4%	86	+0.7
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	45→53	43→50	61→55	44	.220/.278/.344	.124	.294	9	27	28%	7%	72	-0.2	.237/.291/.371	.134	.285	13	17	21%	7%	85	+0.7	.244/.299/.375	.131	.283	14	12	19%	6%	86	+0.8
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→43	43→45	56→50	42	.224/.277/.340	.116	.301	9	15	28%	6%	70	-0.3	.218/.275/.336	.118	.288	10	12	27%	6%	69	-0.4	.212/.270/.327	.116	.280	10	13	27%	6%	62	-0.6
●Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	48→52	49→55	58→50	45	.235/.304/.393	.158	.314	14	16	29%	8%	96	+1.5	.241/.304/.403	.162	.308	17	10	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.241/.312/.408	.167	.299	18	5	25%	8%	96	+1.3
✕Mario Lisson 2006 · A	22	46→49	43→55	57→55	50	.222/.307/.345	.122	.296	10	18	26%	10%	85	+0.7	.222/.287/.338	.116	.289	11	21	26%	7%	75	-0.0	.233/.305/.376	.142	.304	18	8	28%	8%	91	+0.8
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	45	44→50	55→50	43	.222/.271/.351	.128	.275	10	10	23%	6%	70	-0.3	.228/.271/.337	.109	.304	7	9	26%	5%	66	-0.6	.233/.276/.342	.109	.324	5	10	28%	4%	67	-0.2
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→32	41→55	59→50	42	.208/.262/.314	.106	.276	8	21	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.196/.243/.346	.150	.273	17	9	34%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.269/.375	.181	.237	26	7	31%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44→42	45	56→60	41	.216/.289/.348	.132	.304	12	18	31%	7%	79	+0.3	.200/.277/.317	.117	.285	12	34	32%	8%	66	-0.6	.200/.273/.320	.120	.271	12	40	29%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	44→49	40→45	59→55	41	.210/.263/.309	.099	.290	7	20	29%	6%	56	-1.3	.223/.279/.336	.113	.300	9	18	27%	6%	70	-0.3	.225/.286/.343	.117	.296	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Eric Brown Jr. 2023 · A	22	46→32	44→40	58→65	45	.224/.296/.346	.123	.297	11	25	27%	8%	81	+0.4	.197/.265/.283	.086	.256	8	29	25%	7%	51	-1.7	.170/.237/.237	.067	.221	6	29	25%	7%	26	-1.6
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	46	44→45	55	46	.222/.297/.343	.121	.288	11	15	26%	8%	81	+0.4	.226/.283/.335	.109	.306	10	9	28%	5%	72	-0.2	.220/.277/.325	.105	.292	10	8	27%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→43	47→50	58→50	45	.225/.290/.366	.142	.304	14	17	30%	8%	83	+0.6	.208/.272/.334	.126	.270	15	11	28%	8%	67	-0.5	.204/.271/.351	.147	.261	18	12	28%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Kyren Paris 2023 · AA	21	41→46	45	59→60	41	.194/.274/.319	.125	.313	12	26	39%	8%	65	-0.7	.193/.278/.319	.126	.311	13	30	39%	9%	67	-0.5	.179/.270/.309	.131	.284	15	35	39%	10%	59	-0.7
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	37→36	45→50	54→50	38	.192/.253/.319	.127	.271	12	13	33%	6%	56	-1.3	.204/.262/.355	.151	.295	18	14	36%	6%	69	-0.4	.197/.258/.362	.165	.284	22	15	38%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Eddinson Paulino 2023 · A	21	44→41	46→45	56→50	44	.216/.282/.359	.144	.289	11	14	28%	8%	78	+0.2	.202/.260/.328	.126	.278	12	15	30%	6%	61	-1.0	.186/.241/.303	.118	.255	13	15	32%	6%	43	-1.4
✕Efrain Contreras 2008 · A	21	47	44→45	53→55	45	.232/.297/.346	.114	.275	12	15	20%	6%	82	+0.5	.215/.274/.310	.095	.277	8	11	24%	5%	62	-0.9	.185/.240/.257	.072	.258	6	6	29%	5%	31	-1.1
✕Maximo Rivera 2014 · A	21	45	40→45	53→60	43	.219/.272/.307	.089	.279	8	21	24%	6%	59	-1.1	.213/.262/.283	.070	.295	4	11	27%	6%	49	-1.8	.198/.239/.245	.047	.274	3	7	27%	5%	25	-0.9
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	46→50	52→40	44	.205/.283/.341	.136	.298	13	8	34%	9%	74	-0.1	.199/.260/.324	.125	.272	14	4	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.192/.251/.302	.111	.255	13	1	29%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	42→48	42→50	54→50	49	.203/.293/.309	.106	.264	9	21	25%	9%	70	-0.3	.218/.276/.338	.120	.270	12	16	23%	6%	70	-0.3	.211/.267/.320	.108	.258	11	16	22%	6%	58	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)