Javier Osorio — OGILVIE

Javier OsorioSS Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION287 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP268

ISO129

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED69

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	178	154	27	5	0	1	16	68	7	15	3	175	282	227	510	52	302	38	9	246	53	-10	+2	—	—	+4	-0.4
2023	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	117	103	28	6	2	5	11	40	3	11	2	272	359	515	874	243	397	34	9	383	145	+6	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
2024	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	198	161	49	15	4	3	30	44	7	19	6	304	434	503	937	199	404	22	15	417	168	+16	+1	—	—	+4	2.2
2025	20	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	146	125	38	8	0	5	11	34	7	20	4	304	389	488	877	184	375	23	8	384	146	+8	+2	—	—	+3	1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	178	160	17	3	0	1	10	99	7	15	3	106	192	144	336	37	240	56	6	148	-14	-24	+2	—	—	+4	-1.9
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	117	107	17	3	1	3	7	59	3	11	2	159	231	290	520	131	299	50	6	226	39	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	198	173	34	10	2	2	18	64	7	19	6	197	298	312	610	116	306	32	9	281	76	-6	+1	—	—	+4	0.0
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	146	130	28	5	0	4	7	49	7	20	4	215	292	346	638	131	289	34	5	276	73	-5	+2	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	178	160	17	3	0	1	10	99	7	15	3	106	192	144	336	37	262	56	6	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	178	154	27	5	0	1	16	68	7	15	3	175	282	227	510	52	302	38	9	246	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	117	107	17	3	1	3	7	59	3	11	2	159	231	290	520	131	311	50	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	117	103	28	6	2	5	11	40	3	11	2	272	359	515	874	243	397	34	9	383	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	198	173	34	10	2	2	18	64	7	19	6	197	298	312	610	116	299	32	9	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	198	161	49	15	4	3	30	44	7	19	6	304	434	503	937	199	404	22	15	417	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	146	130	28	5	0	4	7	49	7	20	4	215	292	346	638	131	304	34	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	—	146	125	38	8	0	5	11	34	7	20	4	304	389	488	877	184	375	23	8	384	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	178	159	17	3	0	1	10	99	7	15	3	107	192	145	337	38	240	56	6	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	117	106	17	3	1	3	7	59	3	11	2	160	231	292	523	132	299	50	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	198	171	34	10	2	2	18	64	7	19	6	199	298	316	614	117	306	32	9	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	146	131	28	5	0	4	7	49	7	20	4	214	292	344	635	130	289	34	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	117	106	17	3	1	3	7	59	3	11	2	160	231	292	523	132	299	50	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	198	171	34	10	2	2	18	64	7	19	6	199	298	316	614	117	306	32	9	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	146	131	28	5	0	4	7	49	7	20	4	214	292	344	635	130	289	34	5	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	DET	—	287	258	51	12	0	7	19	95	5	29	7	198	266	326	592	128	273	33	7	263	64	-12	+3	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	DET	—	287	251	63	14	0	9	25	67	5	29	7	251	330	414	744	163	300	23	9	328	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	DET	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		273	30	10	270	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	DET	—	297	267	52	12	0	7	20	98	5	30	7	195	264	318	582	124	269	33	7	263	64	-13	+3	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	DET	34%	307	277	58	13	1	8	21	92	6	15	4	209	280	350	630	141	277	30	7	281	76	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	DET	48%	392	354	75	16	1	11	28	114	7	19	5	212	283	356	639	144	279	29	7	288	81	-9	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2029	24	MLB MLE	DET	53%	448	405	88	19	1	13	32	128	8	22	5	217	288	365	653	148	280	29	7	292	84	-9	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2030	25	MLB MLE	DET	55%	475	428	94	20	2	14	35	134	9	23	6	220	292	374	666	154	280	28	7	294	85	-8	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2031	26	MLB MLE	DET	56%	491	443	96	20	2	14	36	139	9	24	6	217	289	366	655	149	280	28	7	295	86	-8	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	DET	55%	495	446	97	21	2	14	37	140	9	24	6	217	291	368	658	150	280	28	7	295	86	-8	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	DET	55%	493	444	96	20	2	14	37	140	9	23	6	216	290	365	655	149	280	28	8	294	85	-9	+2	-1	+5	+11	0.9
2034	29	MLB MLE	DET	53%	484	435	94	20	1	14	37	139	9	21	5	216	291	363	654	147	279	29	8	293	84	-9	+2	-1	+5	+10	0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	DET	53%	475	427	90	19	1	13	36	137	9	18	4	211	286	351	637	141	278	29	8	290	82	-10	+2	-2	+5	+10	0.5
2036	31	MLB MLE	DET	52%	461	415	86	18	1	12	35	135	8	16	4	207	282	342	624	135	276	29	8	286	80	-11	+2	-3	+5	+10	0.3
2037	32	MLB MLE	DET	52%	443	398	81	17	1	11	34	131	8	12	3	204	280	334	614	131	273	30	8	281	76	-13	+1	-4	+5	+10	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	DET	34%	105	95	19	4	0	3	7	31	2	5	1	200	269	337	606	137	272	30	7	261	76	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	DET	48%	190	171	37	8	1	5	13	55	4	9	2	216	287	363	650	146	274	29	7	268	81	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	DET	53%	236	213	45	10	1	6	17	67	4	11	3	211	282	352	634	141	275	28	7	273	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2030	25	MLB CTX	DET	55%	260	234	50	11	1	7	19	73	5	13	3	214	287	359	646	145	275	28	7	275	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2031	26	MLB CTX	DET	56%	273	246	53	11	1	8	20	77	5	13	3	215	288	366	654	150	275	28	7	276	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	DET	55%	272	245	53	11	1	8	20	77	5	13	3	216	289	367	656	151	275	28	7	276	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2033	28	MLB CTX	DET	55%	269	242	51	11	1	7	20	77	5	12	3	211	285	351	636	140	275	29	7	275	85	-5	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	DET	53%	258	231	49	10	1	7	20	74	5	11	3	212	289	355	644	143	274	29	8	274	84	-5	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	DET	53%	250	224	48	10	1	7	19	72	5	10	2	214	290	362	652	147	273	29	8	271	82	-5	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.3
2036	31	MLB CTX	DET	52%	240	216	44	9	1	6	18	70	4	8	2	204	277	338	615	134	271	29	8	268	80	-6	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	DET	52%	230	206	43	9	1	6	18	68	4	6	2	209	285	350	635	141	268	30	8	263	76	-7	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2583	2323	492	104	10	70	191	741	48	111	27	212	285	356	641	144	277	29	7	272	78	-53	+11	-6	+28	+56	3.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	125	26	3	18	48	186	12	28	7	214	287	361	648	147	279	29	7	272	78	-13	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5613	5051	1052	224	18	148	411	1703	115	283	69	208	283	348	631	139	280	30	7	284	78	-103	+22	-10	+53	+108	7.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	122	26	2	17	48	197	13	33	8	209	283	347	630	138	281	30	7	284	78	-13	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	3.3	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.1
/162	664	19	24	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.2	2,770	77	121	215	285	360	+30	+21	5.9	5.3
/162	664	18	29	+7.1	+5.0	1.4	pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Osorio (OGILVIE)	21	28→33	42→47	64→69	51	199/268/325	127	273	4	13	31%	7%	69	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	46→54	43→50	61→55	45	223/282/346	122	298	9	28	27%	7%	77	-0.3	240/293/371	131	287	13	16	20%	7%	87	+0.4	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Jorge Mateo 2015 · A	20	43→48	41→50	60→65	44	207/270/305	98	282	7	30	28%	7%	63	-1.4	210/256/311	101	298	6	37	30%	5%	59	-1.7	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	62	-1.4	194/241/346	152	272	18	8	35%	5%	63	-1.4	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Kyren Paris 2023 · AA	21	41→47	45	60	41	193/274/319	125	316	12	27	39%	8%	69	-0.9	192/279/314	122	305	12	30	38%	10%	70	-0.9	180/273/303	123	282	14	35	38%	10%	63	-0.9
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→52	46→55	59→55	39	213/256/347	134	267	12	15	26%	4%	68	-1.0	239/275/393	154	305	16	22	27%	4%	85	+0.2	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Jonatan Clase 2023 · A	21	42→46	48→50	62→65	42	205/281/348	143	310	15	32	36%	8%	78	-0.3	208/278/347	139	296	14	42	32%	8%	76	-0.4	205/274/337	132	284	13	47	31%	8%	71	-0.7
✕Mason Auer 2023 · A	22	46	46→45	63→60	43	228/289/362	134	305	13	29	29%	7%	84	+0.1	186/244/296	110	285	10	31	36%	6%	52	-2.2	158/217/258	100	251	9	37	39%	6%	30	-2.6
✕Mikey Perez 2023 · A	23	42→35	44→45	58→60	43	204/289/330	125	286	11	31	31%	8%	78	-0.3	198/284/316	118	296	12	26	35%	8%	72	-0.7	150/256/252	101	230	14	36	38%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	43→51	40→45	59→55	40	207/258/309	101	292	7	20	30%	6%	59	-1.7	225/281/337	112	302	8	18	27%	6%	74	-0.5	227/288/340	113	297	9	18	25%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	41→48	43→45	54→50	49	203/292/313	110	263	10	21	26%	9%	75	-0.5	220/278/337	117	273	11	15	23%	6%	74	-0.6	216/272/322	106	264	10	16	22%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	41→45	63→65	42	213/260/314	102	267	8	35	24%	5%	61	-1.5	243/285/345	102	306	7	37	22%	5%	78	-0.3	254/296/351	97	318	7	41	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	38→43	43→45	59→60	43	188/270/295	107	285	11	31	36%	8%	62	-1.4	205/277/320	115	284	11	35	30%	8%	70	-0.9	202/274/318	116	272	11	40	28%	8%	66	-0.7
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	42→39	46→45	53→55	51	210/295/335	126	263	13	20	25%	10%	80	-0.1	211/270/323	112	266	10	17	24%	7%	68	-1.0	202/249/302	100	249	8	18	21%	5%	53	-0.7
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→44	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	211/273/334	123	271	14	11	27%	7%	72	-0.7	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Clay Fuller 2009 · A	22	45	42→45	59→55	44	212/292/327	115	313	8	20	32%	8%	77	-0.3	208/277/318	110	293	11	18	31%	7%	70	-0.9	202/268/308	105	278	12	18	30%	7%	61	-1.1
✕Rymer Liriano 2012 · A	21	47→52	44→45	57→55	40	228/275/350	122	307	11	28	29%	6%	75	-0.5	238/288/357	119	329	10	23	29%	5%	82	-0.0	235/295/354	119	333	11	20	31%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Eric Brown Jr. 2023 · A	22	46→33	44→40	58→55	45	222/296/344	122	294	11	27	27%	8%	82	+0.0	193/261/275	82	251	7	28	25%	7%	53	-2.1	165/234/232	67	219	6	18	26%	7%	31	-1.7
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→48	42→50	56→50	42	223/275/338	115	301	9	15	28%	6%	72	-0.7	214/270/329	115	284	10	12	27%	6%	69	-0.9	226/275/366	139	277	16	14	24%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Luisangel Acuña 2023 · AA	21	47→55	44→45	58→60	44	226/287/337	111	315	12	31	30%	8%	77	-0.3	244/289/339	95	312	8	35	23%	6%	77	-0.3	249/291/334	85	310	6	40	21%	5%	74	-0.5
✕Delino DeShields 2014 · A	21	50→55	40→45	62→65	45	235/299/336	101	315	7	37	26%	7%	81	-0.1	231/304/333	102	309	7	35	25%	9%	82	+0.0	239/318/333	94	320	6	34	25%	10%	82	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps