Dakota Jordan — OGILVIE

Dakota JordanOF Eugene Emeralds

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 231 lbs A+ HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION355 act + 236 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .256 / .346

PA236

HR7

SB8

K%36

BB%5

BABIP298

ISO141

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 61

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER61

scouting grade only

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	416	383	87	9	5	7	24	138	5	27	4	227	282	332	613	104	331	33	6	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	416	370	115	15	6	14	37	95	5	27	4	311	381	497	878	186	381	23	9	385	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	SF	—	355	331	70	15	1	13	18	137	2	15	2	211	256	381	637	169	308	39	5	271	66	-14	+2	+0	-2	+10	-0.4
YTD	23	A+	SF	—	355	321	93	22	1	18	28	98	2	15	2	290	350	533	883	243	359	28	8	381	150	+20	+2	+0	-2	+10	3.1
ROS	23	A+	SF	0%	236	219	45	8	1	7	13	86	2	8	1	205	256	346	602	141	296	36	5	267	62	-10	+1	-0	-1	+7	-0.4
ROS	23	MLB	SF	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						290	0	0	256	54	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	SF	—	356	332	70	15	1	13	18	137	2	15	2	211	256	380	635	169	306	38	5	271	66	-14	+2	-0	-2	+10	-0.4
TOT	23	A+	SF	—	591	550	115	23	2	20	31	223	4	23	3	209	256	367	623	158	304	38	5	269	64	-24	+3	-0	-4	+17	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	SF	30%	581	539	114	20	3	19	33	201	4	16	2	212	262	365	628	154	294	35	6	280	72	-18	+2	-0	-3	+16	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	SF	44%	609	563	123	22	3	22	37	204	4	17	2	218	272	385	657	167	295	33	6	289	79	-14	+3	-0	-4	+17	0.2
2029	26	MLB	SF	51%	627	578	129	23	3	24	39	207	5	17	3	223	278	398	676	175	295	33	6	295	84	-11	+2	-0	-4	+18	0.5
2030	27	MLB	SF	52%	638	587	130	23	3	24	41	209	5	17	3	221	278	394	672	172	295	33	6	296	84	-11	+2	-0	-4	+18	0.5
2031	28	MLB	SF	53%	637	586	130	23	3	24	41	209	5	16	2	222	278	394	673	172	294	33	6	295	84	-12	+2	-1	-4	+18	0.4
2032	29	MLB	SF	53%	629	579	126	22	3	23	41	208	4	16	2	218	274	385	659	168	293	33	7	293	82	-13	+2	-2	-4	+18	0.2
2027	24	MLB	SF	30%	176	163	34	6	1	6	10	61	1	5	1	209	259	368	627	160	289	35	6	269	64	-7	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	SF	44%	269	249	52	9	1	9	16	90	2	7	1	209	262	361	624	153	289	33	6	278	71	-9	+1	-0	-2	+8	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	SF	51%	318	293	64	11	2	12	20	105	2	9	1	218	273	392	666	174	289	33	6	284	75	-9	+1	-0	-2	+9	-0.1
2030	27	MLB	SF	52%	335	309	67	12	2	12	21	110	2	9	1	217	271	385	656	168	289	33	6	284	76	-9	+1	-0	-2	+9	-0.0
2031	28	MLB	SF	53%	340	313	68	12	2	12	22	112	2	9	1	217	273	383	656	166	289	33	6	283	75	-10	+1	-1	-2	+10	-0.1
2032	29	MLB	SF	53%	330	304	65	11	2	12	21	109	2	8	1	214	269	382	651	168	288	33	6	282	74	-10	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1769	1632	350	61	10	63	110	587	11	47	6	214	269	380	649	165	289	33	6	281	73	-54	+7	-2	-11	+50	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	128	22	4	23	40	216	4	17	2	213	267	378	645	165	288	33	6	281	73	-20	+3	-1	-4	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	4373	4034	884	150	24	150	269	1462	34	134	19	219	274	380	653	161	300	33	6	288	78	-107	+19	-4	-26	+124	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	131	22	4	22	40	217	5	20	3	218	273	378	651	160	299	33	6	288	78	-16	+3	-1	-4	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	416	370	115	15	6	14	37	95	5	27	4	311	381	497	878	186	381	23	9	385	152	+25	+4	—	—	+12	4.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,770	65	47	220	272	390	-11	+2	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	24	18	220	272	390	-4.0	+0.7	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dakota Jordan (OGILVIE)	23	35→39	60→61	66→63	37	209/256/367	158	304	20	23	38%	5%	64	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brewer Hicklen 2019 · A	23	42→43	47→55	57→60	33	207/261/344	137	318	15	23	38%	5%	66	-0.6	215/277/363	148	328	18	28	38%	6%	78	+0.2	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Shay Whitcomb 2022 · A	23	44	47→60	54→55	35	213/268/344	131	341	16	21	40%	6%	69	-0.4	196/245/348	152	294	21	18	39%	5%	60	-1.0	214/280/392	178	274	24	24	31%	7%	84	+0.4
✕Alex Castellanos 2009 · A	22	43→49	46→55	58→50	35	215/264/350	135	301	13	18	32%	4%	68	-0.5	217/268/352	135	313	11	15	33%	4%	70	-0.3	226/288/398	173	303	17	15	30%	6%	89	+0.8
●Jose Siri 2018 · A	23	40→50	45→65	57→55	31	204/233/331	128	301	13	21	37%	3%	50	-1.8	197/240/326	129	308	14	21	39%	5%	51	-1.7	236/285/460	223	322	30	25	35%	5%	104	+1.3
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	37→41	46→50	57→55	33	184/240/318	134	303	14	20	42%	6%	50	-1.7	202/262/339	137	290	17	22	35%	6%	65	-0.7	206/270/345	138	286	17	24	33%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Jared Oliva 2019 · A	23	46→45	42→50	56→65	43	219/288/328	109	304	8	24	29%	7%	72	-0.2	218/277/322	104	307	8	25	30%	6%	66	-0.6	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Nelson Velázquez 2022 · AA	23	42→38	50→60	53→50	32	213/256/364	152	326	19	13	40%	5%	69	-0.4	212/274/400	188	294	25	14	35%	7%	86	+0.8	205/274/399	195	264	27	12	33%	8%	84	+0.5
✕Michael A. Taylor 2014 · A	23	38→48	41→55	55→60	36	189/241/296	107	290	8	24	36%	6%	44	-2.1	220/276/353	133	331	15	26	36%	7%	74	-0.1	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Melky Mesa 2011 · A	24	38→43	50→55	54→55	36	198/256/352	154	293	17	17	37%	6%	66	-0.6	214/265/370	156	312	19	18	36%	5%	74	-0.1	212/260/370	158	305	20	20	36%	4%	68	-0.4
●Tyler Greene 2007 · A	23	42→52	46→50	57→55	36	206/271/331	125	322	14	20	39%	6%	66	-0.6	216/269/353	137	306	15	20	33%	5%	71	-0.3	240/311/381	142	325	14	28	29%	7%	91	+0.9
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A	23	44→50	43→50	57→55	44	214/268/338	124	268	9	16	23%	6%	66	-0.6	212/284/333	121	266	12	24	24%	8%	72	-0.2	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Travis Witherspoon 2012 · A	23	41→47	42→50	56→55	37	202/248/302	100	290	10	22	33%	5%	48	-1.9	214/268/343	129	290	15	23	30%	6%	68	-0.5	209/267/345	136	278	16	25	30%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	39→38	47→50	54→55	43	198/273/336	137	281	14	17	33%	8%	69	-0.4	191/270/311	120	270	12	17	32%	8%	62	-0.9	168/253/270	102	226	10	19	29%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	46→55	52→55	42	202/273/338	137	283	13	17	32%	7%	69	-0.4	210/275/344	134	293	13	18	31%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	45	52→65	39	191/248/311	120	257	14	21	31%	6%	51	-1.7	219/287/347	128	293	11	39	27%	8%	77	+0.1	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA	23	37→46	48→60	54→50	36	196/246/338	142	285	17	16	37%	6%	57	-1.2	225/294/422	197	299	25	12	32%	8%	100	+1.7	224/302/430	206	282	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
✕Kevin Smith 2019 · A	23	42→43	47→55	53→50	36	214/256/352	138	292	15	15	32%	5%	65	-0.7	201/251/370	169	280	21	14	35%	5%	69	-0.4	200/251/358	158	270	20	15	33%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Ernesto Martinez Jr. 2022 · A	23	44→52	48→50	59→55	39	213/283/354	141	321	15	24	36%	7%	78	+0.2	217/290/352	135	305	15	20	32%	8%	80	+0.4	229/297/366	138	300	14	11	27%	7%	84	+0.4
✕John Rave 2022 · A	24	40→44	47→55	54→55	40	202/271/332	130	303	15	14	37%	8%	67	-0.5	217/284/358	141	307	17	15	33%	8%	79	+0.3	220/292/381	161	277	17	23	26%	9%	84	+0.5
✕Bubba Thompson 2021 · A	23	40→50	41→50	55→65	33	188/240/287	99	323	8	19	42%	6%	41	-2.3	239/279/370	131	335	13	36	31%	4%	79	+0.3	244/287/374	130	337	13	46	30%	4%	79	+0.2