Dakota Jordan — OGILVIE

Dakota JordanCF Eugene Emeralds

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 231 lbs A+ HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION439 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP292

ISO133

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 61

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER61

scouting grade only

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	416	370	115	15	6	14	37	95	5	27	4	311	381	497	878	186	381	23	9	385	146	+23	+4	—	—	+9	3.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	416	382	92	10	5	9	25	132	5	27	4	241	296	364	660	123	331	32	6	285	79	-10	+4	—	—	+9	0.2
2025	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	416	382	92	10	5	9	25	132	5	27	4	241	296	364	660	123	339	32	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	San Jose Giants	—	416	370	115	15	6	14	37	95	5	27	4	311	381	497	878	186	381	23	9	385	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	416	383	92	10	5	9	25	132	5	27	4	240	296	363	659	123	331	32	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	416	383	92	10	5	9	25	132	5	27	4	240	296	363	659	123	331	32	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	SF	—	439	410	87	20	1	14	23	166	2	21	2	212	257	368	626	156	312	38	5	269	68	-17	+3	+0	+2	+10	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	SF	—	355	321	93	22	1	18	28	98	2	15	2	290	350	533	883	243	359	28	8	381	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	SF	—	84	75	19	6	0	1	9	24	0	6	0	253	333	373	707	120	360	29	11	321	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	SF	0%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		298	33	0	273	71	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	SF	—	448	419	88	20	1	14	23	169	2	21	2	210	255	363	617	153	308	38	5	269	68	-17	+3	-0	+2	+10	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SF	30%	474	440	96	18	2	16	28	157	3	14	2	218	270	377	647	159	298	33	6	286	80	-11	+2	-0	+2	+10	0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	SF	44%	507	468	105	20	2	18	31	163	3	15	2	224	277	391	668	167	298	32	6	296	86	-8	+2	-0	+2	+11	0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	SF	51%	522	480	109	20	2	20	33	165	4	15	2	227	282	402	684	175	298	32	6	301	90	-6	+2	-0	+2	+11	0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	SF	52%	527	483	109	20	2	20	35	166	4	15	2	226	284	400	683	174	298	31	7	302	90	-6	+2	-0	+2	+11	0.9
2031	28	MLB MLE	SF	53%	525	481	109	20	2	20	35	166	4	14	2	227	285	401	686	175	297	32	7	301	90	-6	+2	-1	+2	+11	0.8
2032	29	MLB MLE	SF	53%	518	475	107	20	2	19	35	165	3	13	2	225	283	396	678	171	296	32	7	299	88	-7	+2	-2	+2	+11	0.6
2033	30	MLB MLE	SF	52%	508	466	103	19	2	18	34	163	3	12	1	221	278	386	665	165	295	32	7	296	86	-8	+2	-3	+2	+11	0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	SF	30%	144	133	28	5	1	4	9	48	1	4	1	211	266	353	619	143	292	33	6	274	80	-3	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	SF	44%	224	207	44	8	1	7	14	72	1	6	1	213	266	362	628	150	292	32	6	282	86	-4	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	SF	51%	265	244	53	10	1	9	17	84	2	7	1	217	274	377	651	160	291	32	6	287	90	-3	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	SF	52%	276	254	56	10	1	10	18	87	2	8	1	220	277	386	663	165	291	32	7	288	90	-3	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	SF	53%	280	257	56	10	1	10	19	89	2	7	1	218	277	381	658	163	291	32	7	287	90	-3	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	SF	53%	272	250	54	10	1	9	18	87	2	7	1	216	274	372	646	156	290	32	7	285	88	-4	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	SF	52%	265	243	53	10	1	9	18	85	2	6	1	218	278	379	656	160	288	32	7	283	86	-4	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1726	1588	344	63	7	58	113	552	12	45	7	217	274	375	648	158	290	32	7	284	86	-25	+6	-4	+6	+37	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	130	24	3	22	43	208	5	17	3	217	276	378	654	161	291	32	7	284	86	-9	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4006	3684	831	147	19	140	256	1280	29	125	17	226	281	390	671	164	302	32	6	296	86	-54	+14	-7	+13	+78	4.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	135	24	3	23	42	208	5	20	3	226	283	391	674	166	302	32	6	296	86	-10	+3	-1	+2	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.6	1,728	63	46	226	278	397	-10	+2	1.9	1.9
/162	664	24	18	-4.0	+0.7	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dakota Jordan (OGILVIE)	23	35→39	60→61	66→63	37	210/258/353	143	298	9	12	35%	5%	71	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→44	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	211/273/334	123	271	14	11	27%	7%	72	-0.7	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Jose Siri 2018 · A	23	41→51	47→60	58→55	31	208/239/345	137	304	14	21	36%	3%	60	-1.6	200/242/325	125	307	13	21	37%	5%	57	-1.8	233/280/442	210	319	27	25	35%	5%	98	+0.8
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	49→55	59→55	47	205/293/360	155	287	16	24	33%	10%	86	+0.3	245/323/418	173	327	19	21	29%	9%	109	+2.0	229/312/387	159	297	19	21	28%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Alex Castellanos 2009 · A	22	43→51	46→55	58→50	35	215/264/350	135	301	13	18	32%	4%	72	-0.7	217/269/350	133	312	11	15	33%	4%	74	-0.6	233/294/405	172	309	17	15	29%	6%	94	+0.7
✕Tyler Greene 2007 · A	23	42→51	46→50	57→55	36	206/271/331	125	322	14	20	39%	6%	70	-0.8	216/269/348	132	304	14	20	32%	5%	73	-0.6	235/305/385	150	317	15	24	29%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	40→37	53→60	56→55	45	216/275/390	173	253	21	15	24%	7%	85	+0.2	224/289/407	183	256	22	16	22%	7%	95	+0.9	221/290/400	179	249	21	19	21%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Denzel Clarke 2023 · A	23	43→44	49→50	57→55	40	203/285/356	153	342	16	22	42%	9%	82	-0.0	214/287/358	144	336	14	23	38%	8%	82	+0.0	214/286/353	139	331	13	27	36%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Brewer Hicklen 2019 · A	23	43→52	48→50	57→60	33	212/267/352	140	327	16	23	38%	5%	74	-0.6	211/275/348	137	328	16	28	38%	6%	76	-0.4	212/288/361	150	295	19	38	33%	7%	82	-0.0
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA	23	38→46	48→60	54→50	38	198/249/337	139	281	15	16	35%	6%	63	-1.3	226/295/422	196	298	25	12	32%	8%	101	+1.4	225/303/429	204	283	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.4
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A	23	42→51	43→50	56→55	43	208/263/326	118	266	9	16	25%	6%	65	-1.2	209/282/325	116	264	11	24	24%	8%	73	-0.6	235/299/371	136	298	13	21	24%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Aristides Aquino 2017 · A	23	41	50→60	50	37	213/252/369	156	271	17	9	29%	4%	72	-0.7	202/246/362	160	265	20	8	31%	5%	68	-1.0	212/278/428	216	266	32	9	33%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	43→42	47→50	53→55	40	215/272/353	138	300	15	21	33%	6%	76	-0.4	203/266/317	114	284	11	24	31%	7%	65	-1.2	193/264/284	90	267	9	27	29%	7%	54	-1.3
✕Nelson Velázquez 2022 · AA	23	42→38	49→60	53→50	33	211/255/358	146	324	18	13	39%	5%	70	-0.8	209/271/388	179	289	24	14	35%	7%	84	+0.1	201/271/385	185	259	25	12	32%	8%	82	-0.0
✕John Shelby 2009 · A	23	48→52	48→55	56→55	38	239/271/394	155	299	14	18	25%	4%	84	+0.1	219/259/357	138	278	13	18	25%	5%	71	-0.8	208/249/345	137	262	13	17	25%	5%	62	-1.1
✕Michael A. Taylor 2014 · A	23	41→51	42→55	56→60	37	198/250/308	110	297	8	24	35%	6%	56	-1.9	225/281/358	133	331	15	26	34%	7%	80	-0.2	240/298/383	143	310	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.5
●Trayce Thompson 2014 · AAA	23	36→46	48→60	52→50	39	190/252/328	138	270	16	15	35%	6%	63	-1.4	210/267/353	143	279	14	14	29%	7%	74	-0.6	206/295/413	207	291	28	7	37%	10%	97	+0.6
✕Shay Whitcomb 2022 · A	23	45→44	49→55	54→55	35	218/273/361	143	345	18	21	40%	6%	78	-0.3	199/249/347	148	291	20	18	37%	5%	66	-1.1	212/276/372	160	270	22	23	29%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	40→38	47→50	54→55	44	202/275/339	137	273	14	17	30%	8%	74	-0.6	192/271/310	118	266	11	17	30%	8%	66	-1.1	166/252/265	99	226	9	19	29%	8%	47	-1.4
✕A.J. Vukovich 2023 · AA	22	42→51	47→50	56→55	33	217/247/347	131	298	16	21	33%	3%	64	-1.3	222/270/355	133	324	15	13	34%	6%	75	-0.5	231/284/378	147	335	17	2	35%	6%	82	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps