Cannon Peebles — OGILVIE

Cannon PeeblesC Hill City Howlers

Age 22 S/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION244 act + 162 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .278 / .301

PA162

HR3

K%31

BB%10

BABIP257

ISO119

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 28 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT28

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE68

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$12M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	32	30	6	1	1	0	2	13	0	4	0	200	250	300	550	100	353	41	6	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	32	29	8	1	1	0	3	9	0	4	0	276	344	379	723	103	400	28	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	CLE	—	244	211	34	10	1	5	30	87	3	9	7	161	275	289	564	128	244	36	12	255	53	-13	-1	+0	+4	+7	-0.3
YTD	22	A	CLE	—	244	194	42	13	2	6	47	61	3	9	7	216	377	397	774	180	283	25	19	354	129	+8	-1	+0	+4	+7	1.9
ROS	22	A	CLE	0%	162	142	26	6	1	3	17	51	2	4	2	182	278	301	580	119	261	31	10	271	65	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
ROS	22	MLB	CLE	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		261	—	—	263	60	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	CLE	—	244	212	34	10	1	5	30	87	3	9	7	160	275	288	562	127	242	36	12	255	53	-13	-1	+0	+4	+7	-0.3
TOT	22	A	CLE	—	406	353	60	16	2	8	47	138	5	13	9	170	276	294	570	124	249	34	12	261	58	-19	-1	+0	+7	+12	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CLE	34%	314	275	53	11	2	7	33	95	3	7	3	193	286	324	610	131	264	30	11	278	71	-10	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.5
2028	24	MLB	CLE	46%	394	346	69	15	2	9	41	116	4	9	4	199	292	332	624	133	267	29	10	284	75	-11	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.8
2029	25	MLB	CLE	52%	429	378	76	16	3	10	44	125	4	9	4	201	291	339	630	138	269	29	10	287	78	-11	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.0
2030	26	MLB	CLE	54%	450	396	81	17	3	11	46	130	5	10	4	205	295	346	641	141	269	29	10	289	79	-11	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.1
2031	27	MLB	CLE	54%	455	400	81	17	3	11	47	132	5	10	5	203	294	343	637	140	269	29	10	289	79	-11	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.0
2032	28	MLB	CLE	54%	454	398	81	17	3	11	48	132	5	10	4	204	297	344	641	141	268	29	11	288	78	-11	+0	-1	+8	+13	1.0
2033	29	MLB	CLE	53%	445	390	77	16	2	11	47	131	5	9	4	197	292	333	625	136	267	29	11	286	77	-12	+0	-1	+8	+13	0.8
2027	23	MLB	CLE	34%	108	95	18	4	1	2	11	33	1	2	1	189	280	316	596	126	264	31	10	271	65	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	24	MLB	CLE	46%	182	159	32	7	1	4	19	54	2	4	2	201	294	333	628	132	267	30	10	276	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2029	25	MLB	CLE	52%	222	195	38	8	1	5	23	65	2	5	2	195	286	323	609	128	269	29	10	280	72	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	26	MLB	CLE	54%	244	214	43	9	1	6	25	71	3	5	2	201	293	336	630	136	270	29	10	281	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2031	27	MLB	CLE	54%	247	216	43	9	1	6	26	72	3	6	2	199	294	333	627	134	269	29	11	281	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2032	28	MLB	CLE	54%	246	215	43	9	1	6	26	72	3	5	2	200	295	335	630	135	269	29	11	280	73	-8	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.4
2033	29	MLB	CLE	53%	236	207	42	9	1	6	25	69	2	5	2	203	295	343	638	140	268	29	11	278	71	-8	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1485	1302	259	55	7	35	155	436	16	32	13	199	292	333	625	134	267	29	10	279	72	-48	+1	-1	+27	+42	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	113	24	3	15	68	191	7	14	6	198	292	330	622	132	267	29	10	279	72	-21	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	3135	2755	550	116	20	73	325	925	33	72	30	200	292	336	627	136	269	29	10	285	76	-85	+2	-2	+56	+89	6.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	114	24	4	15	67	192	7	15	6	200	291	335	626	135	270	30	10	285	76	-18	+1	-0	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	32	29	8	1	1	0	3	9	0	4	0	276	344	379	723	103	400	28	9	326	107	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,603	38	35	202	290	339	+29	+16	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	16	14	202	290	339	+11.9	+6.6	1.4	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cannon Peebles (OGILVIE)	22	23→28	42→47	51→56	68	170/276/294	124	249	8	13	34%	12%	58	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Thomas Dillard 2021 · A	23	45→36	44→45	52→50	52	216/310/332	115	308	12	10	31%	12%	83	+0.6	190/278/310	120	326	13	9	41%	10%	65	-0.7	173/266/290	118	297	13	9	42%	10%	53	-1.2
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	42	41→45	55→50	50	202/289/303	101	287	8	16	30%	10%	67	-0.5	220/278/339	119	309	13	11	31%	7%	71	-0.3	222/264/350	128	302	16	8	31%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→38	46→50	48→45	53	208/301/343	135	264	13	11	25%	11%	82	+0.5	198/289/339	141	285	14	8	33%	10%	77	+0.1	175/277/324	148	244	17	6	34%	11%	65	-0.5
✕Michael Papierski 2019 · A	23	38→44	39→45	47→40	54	184/290/266	83	249	7	6	27%	12%	59	-1.1	192/281/280	88	271	9	4	30%	10%	59	-1.1	204/292/309	105	261	11	0	25%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Kaden Polcovich 2022 · AA	23	38→41	45	54→55	44	193/273/319	127	275	13	17	33%	8%	65	-0.7	202/283/330	128	276	13	17	30%	8%	72	-0.2	194/281/320	126	262	13	19	29%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Marcus Littlewood 2014 · A	22	40	40→45	48→45	46	194/268/290	96	282	7	4	32%	9%	54	-1.4	208/272/320	112	275	10	5	27%	8%	63	-0.8	209/274/322	113	270	10	4	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	37→41	48→45	50→45	49	193/307/330	137	261	17	7	31%	10%	84	+0.6	184/294/281	97	261	9	5	30%	10%	66	-0.6	174/315/272	98	251	9	3	30%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Yasel Antuna 2023 · AA	23	38→36	43→45	48→50	49	189/273/296	108	264	11	14	31%	10%	59	-1.1	189/270/286	97	280	9	13	33%	9%	55	-1.4	142/231/225	83	214	8	12	35%	9%	21	-1.5
✕Austin Elkins 2014 · A	23	43→41	40	49→50	53	207/296/306	99	256	7	13	21%	10%	71	-0.3	215/295/304	89	278	6	10	23%	9%	69	-0.4	208/296/270	62	273	3	6	23%	9%	57	-0.5
✕Jason Taylor 2010 · A	22	44→39	45	52→55	49	219/291/341	122	268	12	21	23%	8%	77	+0.1	208/258/316	108	272	10	13	26%	6%	56	-1.3	142/167/229	87	185	9	6	29%	2%	-7	-1.1
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	40→45	54→60	55	161/294/251	90	257	7	24	35%	14%	59	-1.1	189/306/294	105	299	8	20	35%	12%	73	-0.1	189/308/299	110	300	9	21	35%	12%	73	-0.1
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42	47→50	48→40	46	215/286/350	135	266	15	4	25%	7%	78	+0.2	219/309/349	130	303	13	6	30%	9%	88	+0.9	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Charlie Valerio 2013 · A	22	43	41→40	47→45	47	213/277/311	98	268	9	8	24%	8%	63	-0.8	210/266/293	83	308	5	5	31%	7%	53	-1.5	205/252/289	85	306	5	0	33%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Nolan Fontana 2014 · A	23	42→43	39→40	52→50	58	198/312/287	89	285	6	14	30%	14%	73	-0.1	204/300/291	87	305	4	9	30%	12%	69	-0.4	184/288/308	124	252	11	12	29%	12%	68	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	46→55	44→50	48	183/269/314	131	257	13	8	32%	10%	62	-0.9	197/280/350	153	289	17	9	35%	9%	76	+0.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	41→40	44→55	49→50	45	201/281/320	119	294	11	8	33%	9%	68	-0.5	192/266/342	150	282	16	11	36%	9%	67	-0.5	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Jacob Berry 2023 · A	22	43→41	42→45	46→55	43	211/288/314	103	281	10	6	27%	7%	70	-0.3	200/251/312	112	256	11	12	26%	5%	53	-1.5	205/272/308	102	253	10	23	22%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA	21	44→47	44→50	48→50	47	218/285/344	126	279	11	11	25%	8%	76	+0.0	225/282/355	130	283	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.1	227/277/371	143	272	15	13	22%	5%	78	+0.1