Cannon Peebles — OGILVIE

Cannon PeeblesC Hill City Howlers

Age 22 S/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION378 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP259

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$43M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 28 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT28

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE76

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.3M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$12M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	32	29	8	1	1	0	3	9	0	4	0	276	344	379	723	103	400	28	9	326	107	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	32	30	7	1	1	0	2	13	0	4	0	233	281	333	615	100	348	41	6	229	41	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	32	30	7	1	1	0	2	13	0	4	0	233	281	333	615	100	412	41	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	32	29	8	1	1	0	3	9	0	4	0	276	344	379	723	103	400	28	9	326	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	32	30	7	1	1	0	2	13	0	4	0	233	281	333	615	100	348	41	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	32	30	7	1	1	0	2	13	0	4	0	233	281	333	615	100	348	41	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A MLE	CLE	—	378	317	51	14	1	9	54	136	7	9	7	161	296	297	593	136	244	36	14	275	72	-12	-1	+0	+7	+8	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	CLE	—	274	215	46	14	2	7	55	69	4	9	7	214	383	395	779	181	281	25	20	357	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ RAW	CLE	—	104	73	17	5	0	4	28	28	3	0	0	233	462	466	927	233	317	27	27	420	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A MLE	CLE	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		260	33	11	288	81	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A MLE	CLE	—	387	325	52	14	1	9	55	139	7	9	7	160	295	292	587	132	243	36	14	275	72	-13	-1	+0	+7	+8	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CLE	43%	316	269	54	12	2	8	40	94	4	6	3	201	313	349	663	149	265	30	13	296	87	-5	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	58%	395	338	68	15	2	10	49	115	5	8	4	201	311	346	657	145	268	29	12	301	90	-5	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	430	368	75	16	2	12	53	123	6	9	4	204	314	356	670	152	270	29	12	304	92	-4	+0	+0	+8	+9	1.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	451	386	79	17	2	12	56	129	6	9	4	205	315	352	667	148	270	29	12	305	93	-4	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	455	389	80	17	2	13	57	130	6	9	4	206	316	360	676	154	270	29	13	305	93	-4	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	CLE	68%	454	388	79	17	2	12	57	130	6	9	4	204	315	351	665	147	269	29	13	304	92	-4	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	CLE	66%	445	380	78	17	2	12	56	129	6	9	4	205	317	355	672	150	268	29	13	302	91	-5	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	CLE	66%	436	372	74	16	2	11	55	127	6	8	4	199	312	341	653	142	267	29	13	300	89	-6	+0	-2	+8	+9	1.0
2035	31	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	410	350	69	15	2	10	52	121	5	7	4	197	310	337	647	140	264	30	13	296	86	-7	-0	-3	+7	+9	0.7
2036	32	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	381	325	62	13	1	9	48	114	5	7	3	191	304	320	624	129	260	30	13	290	83	-8	+0	-4	+7	+8	0.4
2037	33	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	341	291	54	11	1	8	43	104	4	6	3	186	299	313	612	127	256	30	13	283	78	-9	+0	-4	+6	+7	0.0
2038	34	MLB MLE	CLE	60%	291	250	44	9	1	6	36	90	3	4	2	176	287	292	579	116	249	31	12	275	72	-10	+0	-5	+5	+6	-0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	CLE	43%	136	116	23	5	1	3	17	41	2	2	1	198	311	336	647	138	264	30	12	286	87	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	58%	229	195	40	9	1	6	29	67	3	4	2	205	317	354	671	149	267	29	13	291	90	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2029	25	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	279	238	49	11	1	8	35	80	4	6	3	206	318	361	679	155	269	29	13	293	92	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2030	26	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	307	262	54	12	1	8	38	88	4	6	3	206	316	351	667	145	269	29	12	295	93	-3	+0	+0	+5	+7	1.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	309	264	54	12	1	8	38	88	4	6	3	205	314	348	662	144	269	28	12	295	93	-3	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	CLE	68%	309	263	54	12	1	8	39	89	4	6	3	205	317	350	667	144	268	29	13	294	92	-3	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.9
2033	29	MLB CTX	CLE	66%	296	253	51	11	1	8	37	86	4	6	3	202	313	348	661	146	267	29	12	292	91	-3	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.8
2034	30	MLB CTX	CLE	66%	286	244	49	11	1	7	36	83	4	5	3	201	313	340	654	139	266	29	13	289	89	-4	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2035	31	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	267	228	46	10	1	7	34	79	3	5	2	202	313	346	660	145	263	30	13	286	86	-4	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.5
2036	32	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	247	211	41	9	1	6	31	74	3	4	2	194	306	332	638	137	260	30	13	280	83	-5	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.2
2037	33	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	220	187	35	7	1	5	28	67	3	4	2	187	303	316	618	128	255	30	13	274	78	-6	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.0
2038	34	MLB CTX	CLE	60%	175	149	27	5	1	4	22	54	2	3	1	181	295	309	604	128	248	31	13	266	72	-6	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3060	2610	523	114	12	78	384	896	40	57	28	200	312	343	655	143	270	29	13	288	87	-44	+0	-13	+55	+66	6.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	554	112	24	3	17	82	190	8	12	6	202	313	348	662	146	271	29	13	288	87	-9	+0	-3	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4846	4144	824	176	22	123	605	1422	62	95	43	199	310	341	651	142	267	29	12	297	87	-70	+1	-20	+86	+104	10.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	556	110	24	3	16	81	191	8	13	6	198	309	338	647	140	267	29	12	297	87	-9	+0	-3	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	2.5	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
/162	664	14	9	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	4.8	3,177	82	60	201	308	345	+57	+36	9.7	8.5
/162	664	17	13	+11.9	+7.5	2.0	pk7: 7
#6Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cannon Peebles (OGILVIE)	22	23→28	44→49	48→53	76	185/303/315	130	260	3	3	31%	13%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	38→41	47→45	50→45	48	196/307/325	129	265	16	7	30%	10%	84	+0.2	187/296/284	97	258	8	5	29%	10%	71	-0.8	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	47→48	46→50	48→45	54	232/318/372	139	281	13	11	22%	10%	97	+1.1	223/303/356	133	270	13	9	21%	9%	88	+0.4	215/296/345	130	258	13	9	21%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Thomas Dillard 2021 · A	23	45→38	44→45	52→50	51	215/305/333	118	304	12	10	31%	11%	84	+0.1	196/283/318	122	326	13	9	40%	10%	72	-0.7	182/275/301	120	302	13	9	40%	10%	64	-1.1
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→43	49→55	54→50	48	203/290/352	149	278	16	16	32%	10%	82	+0.0	214/299/386	172	268	20	10	27%	10%	93	+0.8	205/292/383	178	245	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.3
✕Nolan Fontana 2013 · A	22	47→43	40	53→50	63	214/343/314	99	296	6	15	26%	16%	95	+0.9	213/321/311	98	309	6	11	29%	13%	84	+0.2	207/315/300	93	301	5	9	29%	13%	78	-0.2
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42→41	46→50	48→40	46	211/282/339	129	262	14	4	25%	7%	77	-0.3	219/310/346	127	298	13	6	29%	9%	89	+0.5	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→39	45→50	48→45	53	208/299/335	127	266	12	11	25%	10%	82	+0.0	198/288/331	133	281	13	8	31%	10%	77	-0.3	175/276/313	138	241	16	6	32%	11%	66	-0.7
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→51	46→55	48→50	52	226/305/358	133	270	13	12	21%	9%	89	+0.5	230/298/389	159	277	18	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	222/292/383	160	263	19	11	23%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Luis Lara 2017 · A	22	48	42→45	52→45	50	233/294/345	112	273	9	8	18%	8%	81	-0.1	207/271/300	93	275	7	5	25%	8%	62	-1.4	173/243/245	73	238	6	1	28%	8%	37	-0.8
✕Jose Lobatón 2007 · A	22	44	42→45	42→30	47	210/289/319	109	299	10	4	31%	9%	74	-0.5	219/282/343	124	298	13	3	29%	8%	77	-0.3	233/317/359	126	296	11	0	23%	11%	91	+0.3
✕Daniel Vellojin 2022 · A	22	45	43→45	45	56	216/315/332	116	282	9	7	25%	12%	87	+0.4	187/274/291	104	267	10	5	31%	10%	63	-1.4	154/237/226	72	219	7	4	31%	9%	32	-1.3
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	42	42→40	46→45	48	206/291/311	105	278	9	6	28%	9%	73	-0.6	220/302/308	88	316	7	6	30%	9%	76	-0.4	234/327/306	73	330	7	6	28%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→45	58→60	54	211/315/327	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	86	+0.3	215/313/338	123	273	13	33	24%	11%	88	+0.5	211/310/338	127	264	13	40	24%	11%	84	+0.2
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	41→39	42→45	46→55	56	196/304/308	112	272	9	11	28%	13%	78	-0.3	197/295/308	111	251	10	20	24%	12%	75	-0.5	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Brian Holberton 2014 · A	22	42	45	47→30	51	208/291/330	122	251	13	6	22%	9%	78	-0.3	213/275/319	106	250	9	3	18%	7%	68	-1.0	210/270/316	106	241	9	1	16%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	88	+0.5	208/282/344	136	276	15	19	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Curt Casali 2012 · A	23	45	45→50	49→30	51	221/288/350	129	254	11	7	18%	8%	80	-0.1	237/309/365	128	285	12	3	20%	8%	92	+0.7	240/318/384	145	301	16	0	25%	9%	94	+0.4
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43	48→55	56→50	47	211/301/358	147	306	15	12	34%	10%	88	+0.4	216/294/377	161	276	19	10	28%	9%	90	+0.6	211/292/376	165	256	20	8	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	46→49	40→45	48→45	49	216/322/312	96	283	8	9	24%	9%	86	+0.3	226/314/335	109	285	10	7	23%	7%	88	+0.4	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps