Noah Cardenas — OGILVIE

Noah CardenasC St. Paul Saints

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION176 act + 117 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.168 / .275 / .286

PA117

HR3

K%30

BB%11

BABIP218

ISO118

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	25	21	5	1	0	1	2	4	1	0	0	238	333	429	762	190	235	16	8	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	25	20	6	1	0	1	3	3	1	0	0	300	417	500	917	200	294	12	12	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	401	332	77	20	1	8	51	101	15	11	5	232	359	370	730	139	305	25	13	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	401	310	81	18	1	9	73	70	15	11	5	261	425	413	838	152	308	17	18	382	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	378	322	69	16	1	2	42	109	11	9	5	214	325	289	614	75	313	29	11	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	378	309	84	23	1	3	55	77	11	9	5	272	400	382	782	110	349	20	15	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	305	265	35	9	0	6	32	99	8	4	4	132	246	234	480	102	181	32	10	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	305	254	44	11	0	5	43	71	8	4	4	173	311	276	587	102	219	23	14	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	256	221	44	8	0	7	29	68	6	0	1	199	309	330	639	131	253	27	11	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	256	208	51	10	0	10	42	51	6	0	1	245	387	438	824	192	279	20	16	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	MIN	—	176	149	19	2	0	5	19	55	4	1	0	128	244	242	486	114	154	31	11	232	36	-13	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.5
YTD	26	AAA	MIN	—	176	140	22	3	0	6	28	46	4	1	0	157	314	307	621	150	178	26	16	287	78	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
ROS	26	AAA	MIN	10%	117	101	17	3	0	3	13	35	2	1	0	168	275	286	561	118	214	30	11	257	55	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
ROS	26	MLB	MIN	10%	12	11	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	91	167	91	258		214	33	8	242	43	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AAA	MIN	—	188	160	20	2	0	5	20	59	4	1	0	125	239	231	470	106	153	31	11	233	36	-14	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.5
TOT	26	AAA	MIN	—	293	250	36	5	0	8	32	90	6	2	0	144	257	260	516	116	180	31	11	242	43	-19	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	MIN	31%	298	258	45	9	0	7	32	87	6	2	1	174	280	291	571	116	226	29	11	267	62	-13	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2027	27	MLB	MIN	31%	92	80	14	3	0	2	10	27	2	1	0	175	283	287	570	112	226	29	11	253	52	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	104	91	15	3	0	2	11	31	2	1	0	165	269	264	533	99	224	30	11	251	51	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	93	19	0	12	69	194	12	6	0	163	268	260	528	97	223	30	11	251	51	-36	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	1780	1520	292	66	2	34	201	503	49	27	16	192	306	305	611	113	260	28	11	277	70	-60	-1	+0	+32	+50	2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	555	106	24	1	12	73	184	18	10	6	191	304	303	607	112	260	28	11	277	70	-22	-0	+0	+12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	25	20	6	1	0	1	3	3	1	0	0	300	417	500	917	200	294	12	12	393	159	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	401	310	81	18	1	9	73	70	15	11	5	261	425	413	838	152	308	17	18	382	151	+23	+0	—	—	+11	3.5
2023	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	378	309	84	23	1	3	55	77	11	9	5	272	400	382	782	110	349	20	15	358	132	+14	-0	—	—	+11	2.5
2024	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	305	254	44	11	0	5	43	71	8	4	4	173	311	276	587	102	219	23	14	281	73	-9	-1	—	—	+9	-0.1
2025	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	129	107	25	3	0	7	20	26	2	0	0	234	364	458	822	224	243	20	16	368	139	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	127	101	26	7	0	3	22	25	4	0	1	257	409	416	825	158	315	20	17	378	147	+7	-0	—	—	+4	1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Noah Cardenas (OGILVIE)	26	34	44	44	59	144/257/260	116	180	8	2	31%	11%	43	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Ortiz 2014 · AAA	26	40	43→45	45→40	47	198/279/307	110	268	11	4	29%	9%	64	-0.8	208/301/298	90	295	7	5	29%	11%	71	-0.3	189/310/248	58	279	3	0	28%	13%	59	-0.5
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	38	46→50	47→30	44	198/261/319	121	270	14	4	32%	8%	59	-1.1	219/286/363	144	306	18	4	32%	8%	81	+0.4	211/283/356	145	291	19	1	33%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Dan Butler 2013 · AAA	26	42→38	43→45	47→40	46	208/277/318	110	259	10	3	24%	7%	66	-0.6	210/271/320	110	265	10	3	24%	6%	63	-0.8	220/291/305	85	286	5	0	23%	8%	65	-0.3
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	41	45→50	44→40	44	208/276/324	116	260	13	6	25%	7%	67	-0.5	222/290/349	127	278	15	6	25%	7%	79	+0.3	211/275/318	107	244	12	3	18%	6%	62	-0.3
✕Dustin Garneau 2014 · AA	26	39→37	45→50	43→45	47	197/264/326	128	227	13	5	20%	7%	63	-0.9	201/259/327	126	233	14	6	20%	6%	60	-1.0	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Brad Davis 2010 · AAA	27	39	46→50	42→45	44	201/260/336	135	254	13	3	26%	7%	63	-0.9	220/274/344	124	286	12	5	26%	6%	70	-0.3	217/271/330	113	284	10	4	26%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB	27	36→38	50	47→45	50	192/289/343	151	253	19	7	31%	10%	79	+0.3	193/288/320	127	267	14	10	30%	11%	72	-0.2	180/282/293	113	252	12	11	31%	12%	61	-0.6
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→39	43→45	42→45	48	190/274/298	109	258	11	5	30%	10%	60	-1.0	194/275/299	105	281	10	7	32%	9%	61	-1.0	106/214/187	81	163	7	0	37%	8%	7	-1.1
✕Jordan Tarsovich 2017 · AA	26	40	45	46→50	47	201/275/317	116	256	13	9	26%	8%	65	-0.7	194/265/291	97	267	8	12	29%	8%	53	-1.5	168/244/247	79	236	5	15	29%	8%	31	-2.0
✕Adam Donachie 2009 · AA	25	39	43→45	42→30	45	198/264/301	103	265	12	3	29%	8%	55	-1.4	186/252/279	93	260	9	3	30%	8%	44	-2.1	165/235/251	86	229	8	0	30%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Grayson Greiner 2020 · MLB	27	42	45	45→30	45	212/276/331	119	282	13	3	29%	8%	68	-0.5	203/266/324	121	314	14	4	37%	7%	63	-0.9	179/245/267	88	331	10	1	45%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Dusty Brown 2008 · AAA	26	42	45	45→30	42	212/265/335	123	277	13	3	28%	6%	64	-0.8	224/285/342	118	301	12	3	28%	7%	75	-0.0	197/270/356	159	242	17	2	26%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Andrew Susac 2017 · MLB	27	41→40	47→50	47→30	43	210/272/345	135	276	15	3	29%	7%	70	-0.3	196/269/337	141	275	17	5	33%	9%	68	-0.5	165/254/305	140	229	19	0	35%	10%	53	-0.5
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	40	43→45	43→40	42	200/265/312	112	284	10	5	32%	7%	59	-1.1	218/285/362	144	262	15	6	22%	8%	81	+0.4	201/267/376	175	208	21	2	16%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	35→27	50	43→40	41	191/254/334	143	251	19	5	32%	7%	60	-1.0	195/273/339	144	246	19	5	28%	8%	70	-0.3	200/276/347	147	231	17	4	22%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Brian Serven 2021 · AA	26	36	43→45	43→30	39	187/243/298	110	248	11	5	29%	5%	46	-2.0	186/244/314	128	236	16	4	28%	6%	51	-1.7	224/307/333	109	327	9	1	31%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Stevie Berman 2022 · AA	27	41	42→50	49→40	49	203/284/306	102	254	10	6	23%	8%	66	-0.6	210/295/336	126	275	13	5	27%	9%	79	+0.3	195/291/323	129	254	15	1	28%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	36→38	45	47→40	37	189/244/308	119	264	14	4	33%	5%	49	-1.8	215/272/313	98	325	9	8	35%	5%	62	-0.9	241/300/316	75	381	6	5	36%	5%	71	-0.1