Dalton Rushing
C Los Angeles Dodgers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 503 | .271/.386/.512 | 26 | 2 | 101 | — | .229/.318/.412 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAALAD | 149 | .314/.445/.517 | 5 | 1 | 133 | — | .283/.377/.441 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBLAD | 155 | .204/.261/.324 | 4 | 0 | 65 | 0.4 | |
| 2026 | 25 | MLBLAD | 253 | .246/.329/.460 | 12 | 0 | 124 | 1.7 | |
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBLAD | 252 | .237/.316/.441 | 12 | 2 | 112 | 1.3 | |
| 2028PROJ98% MLB | 27 | MLBLAD | 270 | .236/.315/.438 | 12 | 1 | 111 | 1.4 | |
| 2029PROJ98% MLB | 28 | MLBLAD | 283 | .234/.313/.433 | 13 | 1 | 110 | 1.3 |
Tools · Splits · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 128 | 99 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 424 | 548 | 778 | 1.325 | 354 | 472 | 16 | 16 | 552 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 381 | 290 | 66 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 72 | 93 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 407 | 452 | 859 | 224 | 276 | 24 | 19 | 386 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | — | 169 | 139 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 273 | 399 | 511 | 910 | 237 | 299 | 20 | 15 | 400 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 334 | 281 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 17 | 38 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 270 | 380 | 512 | 892 | 242 | 299 | 21 | 11 | 391 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 155 | 142 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 261 | 324 | 585 | 120 | 305 | 37 | 6 | 262 | 65 | -6 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 149 | 118 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 314 | 445 | 517 | 962 | 203 | 381 | 21 | 17 | 418 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 253 | 224 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 74 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 329 | 460 | 789 | 214 | 309 | 29 | 9 | 348 | 124 | +7 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +5 | 1.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 408 | 366 | 84 | 17 | 0 | 16 | 33 | 132 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 304 | 407 | 711 | 178 | 308 | 32 | 8 | 315 | 100 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | +9 | 2.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 128 | 107 | 36 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 336 | 437 | 570 | 1.007 | 234 | 406 | 24 | 10 | 431 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 381 | 310 | 60 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 52 | 118 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 339 | 374 | 713 | 181 | 245 | 31 | 14 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | — | 169 | 147 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 245 | 339 | 429 | 768 | 184 | 284 | 24 | 11 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 334 | 295 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 220 | 307 | 403 | 711 | 183 | 257 | 26 | 7 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 155 | 142 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 261 | 324 | 585 | 120 | 305 | 37 | 6 | 265 | 65 | -6 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Comets | — | 149 | 127 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 283 | 377 | 441 | 818 | 157 | 358 | 26 | 11 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 253 | 224 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 74 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 333 | 469 | 802 | 219 | 309 | 29 | 9 | 352 | 124 | +7 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +5 | 1.7 |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 128 | 107 | 36 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 336 | 437 | 570 | 1.007 | 234 | 425 | 24 | 10 | 431 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 128 | 99 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 424 | 548 | 778 | 1.325 | 354 | 472 | 16 | 16 | 552 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 381 | 310 | 60 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 52 | 118 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 339 | 374 | 713 | 181 | 258 | 31 | 14 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 381 | 290 | 66 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 72 | 93 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 407 | 452 | 859 | 224 | 276 | 24 | 19 | 386 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 503 | 441 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 20 | 44 | 129 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 227 | 318 | 408 | 726 | 181 | 271 | 26 | 9 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 503 | 420 | 114 | 21 | 1 | 26 | 64 | 103 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 271 | 386 | 512 | 898 | 240 | 299 | 20 | 13 | 394 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 304 | 269 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 96 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 249 | 324 | 390 | 715 | 141 | 347 | 32 | 9 | 314 | 99 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +7 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 304 | 260 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 90 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 254 | 351 | 412 | 763 | 158 | 343 | 30 | 12 | 338 | 99 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +7 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 253 | 224 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 74 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 333 | 469 | 802 | 219 | 317 | 29 | 9 | 352 | 124 | +7 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +5 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 253 | 224 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 74 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 329 | 460 | 789 | 214 | 309 | 29 | 9 | 348 | 124 | +7 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +5 | 1.7 |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 128 | 108 | 36 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 437 | 565 | 1.001 | 231 | 406 | 24 | 10 | 431 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 381 | 310 | 60 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 52 | 118 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 339 | 374 | 713 | 181 | 245 | 31 | 14 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 503 | 439 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 20 | 44 | 129 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 228 | 318 | 410 | 728 | 182 | 266 | 26 | 9 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 304 | 271 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 96 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 247 | 324 | 387 | 712 | 140 | 331 | 32 | 9 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 253 | 223 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 74 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 251 | 333 | 471 | 804 | 220 | 309 | 29 | 9 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 503 | 439 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 20 | 44 | 129 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 228 | 318 | 410 | 728 | 182 | 266 | 26 | 9 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 304 | 271 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 96 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 247 | 324 | 387 | 712 | 140 | 331 | 32 | 9 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 253 | 223 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 74 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 251 | 333 | 471 | 804 | 220 | 309 | 29 | 9 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAD | 100% | 363 | 323 | 77 | 14 | 1 | 16 | 32 | 96 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 318 | 440 | 759 | 201 | 287 | 26 | 9 | 334 | 112 | +5 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +8 | 1.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAD | 100% | 252 | 224 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 67 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 237 | 316 | 441 | 757 | 204 | 281 | 27 | 9 | 333 | 112 | +4 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 1.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAD | 98% | 275 | 245 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 73 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 317 | 438 | 755 | 199 | 286 | 27 | 9 | 333 | 111 | +4 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAD | 98% | 289 | 258 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 78 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 236 | 315 | 433 | 748 | 196 | 285 | 27 | 9 | 330 | 110 | +3 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAD | 98% | 285 | 254 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 77 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 312 | 426 | 739 | 192 | 283 | 27 | 9 | 326 | 107 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +6 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAD | 98% | 283 | 252 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 78 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 309 | 418 | 727 | 187 | 281 | 28 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB MLE | LAD | 98% | 252 | 225 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 70 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 304 | 408 | 712 | 181 | 278 | 28 | 9 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB MLE | LAD | 98% | 223 | 199 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 297 | 395 | 692 | 174 | 273 | 28 | 9 | 308 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAD | 98% | 270 | 240 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 72 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 236 | 315 | 438 | 753 | 202 | 280 | 27 | 9 | 332 | 111 | +4 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAD | 98% | 283 | 252 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 76 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 313 | 433 | 747 | 199 | 279 | 27 | 9 | 329 | 110 | +3 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAD | 98% | 279 | 249 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 76 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 232 | 310 | 427 | 737 | 195 | 278 | 27 | 9 | 326 | 107 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +6 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAD | 98% | 277 | 247 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 76 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 307 | 419 | 726 | 190 | 276 | 27 | 9 | 321 | 104 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB CTX | LAD | 98% | 247 | 221 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 302 | 409 | 711 | 184 | 273 | 28 | 9 | 315 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB CTX | LAD | 98% | 219 | 195 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 296 | 396 | 691 | 177 | 268 | 28 | 9 | 307 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1983 | 1770 | 405 | 74 | 3 | 84 | 170 | 563 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 229 | 306 | 416 | 723 | 188 | 284 | 28 | 9 | 321 | 107 | +9 | +1 | -17 | +38 | +43 | 7.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 580 | 133 | 24 | 1 | 28 | 56 | 185 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 307 | 419 | 726 | 190 | 284 | 28 | 9 | 321 | 107 | +3 | +0 | -5 | +12 | +14 | 2.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3428 | 3008 | 705 | 139 | 8 | 137 | 321 | 954 | 71 | 11 | 3 | 234 | 323 | 423 | 745 | 188 | 293 | 28 | 9 | 327 | 107 | +13 | +1 | -18 | +43 | +49 | 9.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 570 | 134 | 26 | 2 | 26 | 61 | 181 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 235 | 322 | 425 | 747 | 189 | 294 | 28 | 9 | 327 | 107 | +4 | +0 | -5 | +12 | +14 | 2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAOklahoma City Comets · 149 PAwOBA .415 → .365 (−49)K% 21.5% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.48% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.78% | ÷1.083 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 11.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.91% | ÷0.951 | ×0.930 | ×0.957 | ×1.048 | 27.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.14% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×0.957 | ×1.048 | 6.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.957 | ×1.048 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.81% | ÷0.956 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.46% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 90, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 103, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .415 → .365; ISO .203 → .175; BABIP .381 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AATulsa Drillers · 334 PAwOBA .382 → .307 (−75)K% 20.7% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.66% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.08% | ÷1.048 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.59% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 3.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.28% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | ×0.979 | ×1.027 | 18.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.08% | ÷1.003 | ×0.840 | ×0.979 | ×1.027 | 5.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.142 | ×0.940 | ×0.979 | ×1.027 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.02% | ÷1.063 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 6.20% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 108, 2B 101, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .382 → .307; ISO .242 → .189; BABIP .299 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAOklahoma City Baseball Club · 169 PAwOBA .392 → .339 (−53)K% 20.1% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.12% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 10.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.78% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.90% | ÷0.977 | ×0.930 | ×0.980 | ×1.050 | 21.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×1.050 | 5.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.126 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.57% | ÷0.896 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 7.03% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 95, 2B 86, 3B 125, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .392 → .339; ISO .237 → .202; BABIP .299 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Great Lakes Loons · 381 PAwOBA .379 → .311 (−69)K% 24.4% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.41% | ÷1.004 | ×1.270 | — | — | 30.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.90% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 13.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.20% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 3.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.24% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 15.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.14% | ÷1.011 | ×0.810 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 7.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷0.997 | ×0.850 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.61% | ÷0.951 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 6.48% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 95, 2B 102, 3B 99, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .379 → .311; ISO .224 → .189; BABIP .276 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 128 PAwOBA .545 → .431 (−114)K% 16.4% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.41% | ÷0.930 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.62% | ÷1.072 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 10.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.69% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 3.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.49% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 26.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.10% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 12.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.26% | ÷1.247 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 6.68% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 86, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .545 → .431; ISO .354 → .259; BABIP .472 → .406. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).