Dalton RushingC Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 220 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 0.802 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION205 act + 138 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 1664vR 82
AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .307 / .415
PA138
HR6
K%28
BB%9
BABIP275
ISO187
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +8.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+8BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -1.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +6.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +9.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +2.40+2.4WAR
0.01.53.01.02.92.92.72.62.4+$87M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 57
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
906.2%
xwOBA
550.315
POWER57
Barrel%
8012.6
Avg EV
6089.8
Bat Spd
6572.9
EYE61
Chase%
9010.7%
SPEED45
Sprint
4627.3
DEFENSE50
scouting grade only
Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 178 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
41
137
wRC+
10
136
▶▶R
wOBA
198
363
▶▶R
ISO
292
BABIP
273
319
R
K%
36.6%
35.0%
R
BB%
7.3%
6.6%
L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   0.802 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.3M+1.0$4M+$4M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.9$22M+$21M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.9$20M+$19M
2029Arb-1$5M+2.7$17M+$13M
2030Arb-2$9M+2.6$15M+$10M
2031Arb-3$12M+2.4$13M+$6M
Totals $28M $91M +$72M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202221 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 128108 361005 12336 10 333429565993 231431 269 422 181
202221 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 12899 421108 21216 10 4245487781.325 354472 1616 552 280
202322 A+Great Lakes Loons 381310 5814113 5212516 10 187333365698 177257 3314 310 95
202322 A+Great Lakes Loons 381290 6618115 729316 10 228407452859 224276 2419 386 153
202423 AA2 teams 503444 9718122 4114215 23 218306412718 194265 288 309 95
202423 AA2 teams 503420 11421126 6410315 23 271386512898 240299 2013 394 160
202524 MLB2 teams 304271 661119 25983 10 244314391706 148337 328 309 94 -2 +0 +2 +5 +9 1.4
202524 MLB2 teams 304260 661219 36903 10 254351412763 158343 3012 338 117 +6 +0 +2 +5 +9 2.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD25 MLBLAD 205181 4610010 19534 00 254338475813 221303 269 354 129 +7 +0 -1 +4 +6 1.6
YTD25 MLBLAD 205181 4610010 19534 00 254338475813 221303 269 358 132 +7 +0 -1 +4 +6 1.7
ROS25 MLBLAD 100% 138123 28506 12382 10 228307415721 187283 289 330 111 +2 +0 -0 +2 +4 0.8
ROS25 MLBLAD 100% 138123 28506 12382 10 228307415721 187279 289 313 98 -0 +0 -0 +2 +4 0.6
FULL25 MLBLAD 343304 7415016 31916 10 243326451776 207291 279 338 116 +6 +0 -1 +6 +10 2.2
TOT25 MLBLAD 343304 7415016 31916 10 243326451776 207291 279 344 122 +8 +0 -1 +6 +10 2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726 MLBLAD 98% 520460 10820123 461429 21 235317433749 198282 279 330 110 +6 +0 -2 +9 +15 2.9
202827 MLBLAD 98% 520459 10720123 471429 21 233317431748 198282 279 330 110 +6 +0 -2 +9 +15 2.9
202928 MLBLAD 98% 520460 10720123 471438 21 233315430745 198281 289 329 110 +6 +0 -3 +9 +15 2.8
203029 MLBLAD 98% 520460 10720123 471448 21 233315430745 198280 289 327 108 +5 +0 -3 +9 +15 2.6
203130 MLBLAD 98% 515455 10419122 471448 20 229312420732 191279 289 324 106 +4 +0 -4 +9 +15 2.4
203231 MLBLAD 98% 490434 9818121 451388 20 226310417727 191276 289 320 103 +2 +0 -5 +9 +14 2.0
203332 MLBLAD 98% 465413 9117019 421337 10 220303400703 179273 299 314 99 -1 +0 -5 +8 +13 1.6
203433 MLBLAD 98% 389345 7313015 351136 10 212295380675 168268 299 307 93 -3 +0 -6 +7 +11 1.0
203534 MLBLAD 94% 258229 478010 23774 00 205289371660 166262 309 298 86 -4 +0 -6 +5 +7 0.2
202726 MLBLAD 98% 510452 10419122 451398 21 230311423733 192278 279 313 98 -1 +0 -2 +9 +14 2.1
202827 MLBLAD 98% 510451 10319122 461398 21 228311421732 193277 279 313 98 -1 +0 -2 +9 +14 2.1
202928 MLBLAD 98% 510451 10319122 461408 21 228311421732 193277 279 312 97 -2 +0 -3 +9 +14 2.0
203029 MLBLAD 98% 510451 10319122 461418 21 228311421732 193276 289 310 95 -3 +0 -3 +9 +14 1.8
203130 MLBLAD 98% 505446 10119121 461418 20 226310415725 188275 289 307 93 -4 +0 -4 +9 +14 1.6
203231 MLBLAD 98% 480425 9517120 441358 20 224308409718 186272 289 304 90 -5 +0 -4 +9 +14 1.3
203332 MLBLAD 98% 456405 8716018 411307 10 215298388686 173269 299 298 86 -7 +0 -5 +8 +13 0.9
203433 MLBLAD 98% 381338 7213015 341116 10 213296385681 172264 299 291 81 -8 +0 -5 +7 +11 0.4
203534 MLBLAD 94% 241213 43709 22724 00 202289362650 160258 309 283 75 -7 +0 -5 +4 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 43963897 8681586181 392124468 154 223305406710 183275 289 304 91 -46 +1 -33 +81 +125 13.1
/ 162G 650576 12823127 5818410 21 222304406711 184274 289 304 91 -7 +0 -5 +12 +18 1.9
Career 56514971 11272139234 5211612109 207 227314414728 188283 299 321 104 +27 +1 -34 +101 +160 26.0
/ 162G 650572 13025127 6018513 21 227315416731 189283 289 321 104 +3 +0 -4 +12 +18 3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202221 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 12899 421108 21216 10 4245487781.325 354472 1616 552 280 +26 +0 +4 3.1
202322 A+Great Lakes Loons 381290 6618115 729316 10 228407452859 224276 2419 386 153 +23 +0 +11 3.5
202423 AAAOklahoma City Baseball Club 169139 38609 26343 21 273399511910 237299 2015 400 164 +12 +0 +5 1.7
202423 AATulsa Drillers 334281 7615117 386912 02 270380512892 242299 2111 391 157 +22 -1 +9 3.1
202524 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 155142 29504 10581 00 204261324585 120305 376 262 58 -7 +0 +2 +5 +4 0.4
202524 AAAOklahoma City Comets 149118 37715 26322 10 314445517962 203381 2117 418 178 +13 +0 +4 1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 155142 29504 10581 00 204261324585 120305 376 262 58 -7 +0 +2 +5 +4 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons
124,80420317228306417+86+523.721.1
/162664282+11.9+0.73.3pk7: 19
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA
104,23813437256308421+45-1017.017.2
/162664216+7.1-1.52.7pk7: 18
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA
123,7531342235284407+60+3015.816.0
/162664240+10.7+5.32.8pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA
93,1271105235308414+56-1014.114.8
/162664231+11.9-2.13.0pk7: 16
#5Welington Castillolast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA
82,667975254313425+48-1413.313.2
/162664241+11.9-3.43.3pk7: 13
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA
72,8359025245302422+30+1413.013.0
/162664216+7.1+3.23.0pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Dalton Rushing (OGILVIE) 25 47→50 57 45 61 243/326/451 207291 161 27% 9% 122 +2.4
William Contreras
2023 · MLB
25 49→59 57→55 49→45 48 256/325/450 193317 264 27% 9% 120 +3.1 279/359/458 179336 207 21% 11% 135 +4.2 280/367/45017033118620%12%131+4.2
James Darnell
2012 · MLB
25 49→53 55 46→40 50 253/318/440 188288 234 21% 8% 115 +2.7 231/290/390 159279 196 24% 7% 90 +1.0 208/285/37616823523323%8%83+0.1
Pedro Álvarez
2013 · MLB
26 45→46 56→60 44→45 47 235/307/425 190307 243 31% 9% 106 +2.2 239/310/452 213293 305 29% 9% 115 +2.7 236/310/45421828132528%9%106+1.8
Luis Urías
2022 · MLB
25 48→58 54→55 47→45 53 248/334/428 180288 217 22% 10% 118 +3.0 228/325/382 154274 185 23% 10% 103 +1.9 211/314/34613625716423%10%88+0.7
Renato Núñez
2020 · MLB
26 44→51 56→60 43→30 45 236/298/421 184280 253 26% 7% 102 +1.8 242/310/452 210289 293 27% 7% 115 +2.8 236/309/46723127934128%7%117+1.6
Gleyber Torres
2021 · MLB
24 50→53 58→60 46→50 52 262/334/461 199295 276 21% 9% 127 +3.6 256/324/408 152299 1812 20% 9% 108 +2.3 259/345/39914029417617%11%113+2.9
Shea Langeliers
2023 · MLB
25 41→51 57→65 49→45 41 224/280/417 193283 265 31% 7% 93 +1.3 232/291/449 217275 296 27% 7% 106 +2.2 254/315/49824427935523%7%126+2.8
Chance Sisco
2021 · MLB
26 44→54 52→50 43→40 47 223/324/388 165300 203 31% 9% 105 +2.1 204/288/345 141275 155 30% 8% 78 +0.2 160/245/27711721610030%7%40-1.0
Brad Miller
2017 · MLB
27 47→56 56→60 48→50 49 246/311/447 202285 249 23% 8% 113 +2.6 232/314/419 187295 227 27% 11% 108 +2.3 231/323/46523427832528%11%120+1.5
Luis Torrens
2022 · MLB
26 46→47 54→55 45→30 46 238/296/415 177289 223 26% 8% 98 +1.6 234/288/383 149306 173 28% 7% 87 +0.8 227/280/35512828413224%6%75+0.0
Welington Castillo
2013 · MLB
26 45→55 54→55 43→30 46 235/306/409 173294 222 28% 8% 102 +1.8 246/315/397 151306 183 24% 7% 102 +1.9 252/308/43318130625126%7%105+1.4
Eric Munson
2004 · MLB
26 43 56→60 49→40 54 234/307/418 184244 266 18% 9% 105 +2.1 230/297/432 202254 284 22% 8% 104 +2.0 221/285/42120124228123%7%92+0.7
Austin Allen
2020 · MLB
26 43→51 60→65 38→40 40 240/285/455 215280 292 27% 5% 105 +2.1 236/278/434 198283 273 27% 5% 97 +1.5 213/264/41019724428027%5%81+0.2
Oswaldo Arcia
2015 · MLB
24 47→51 58→60 42→45 42 245/306/450 205311 264 30% 7% 112 +2.6 219/281/396 177285 233 31% 7% 88 +0.9 215/292/41419829226334%8%95+0.7
Will Smith
2021 · MLB
26 42→52 63→65 50→45 51 234/320/469 235265 315 26% 10% 123 +3.3 263/358/486 223286 284 19% 11% 143 +4.7 263/362/47421228426318%11%136+3.9
Ian Stewart
2011 · MLB
26 43→52 55→60 47→45 51 229/315/417 188280 238 27% 10% 108 +2.3 193/275/335 142264 176 32% 10% 70 -0.3 146/232/26311722413239%9%28-1.2
Colby Rasmus
2012 · MLB
25 48→55 53→60 47→50 52 245/318/424 180293 208 23% 10% 110 +2.4 239/304/430 191296 235 27% 8% 106 +2.2 241/308/45921931428332%8%113+2.0
Sean Murphy
2020 · MLB
25 43→50 53→60 45→30 45 227/287/403 175272 204 25% 7% 92 +1.2 237/322/431 194286 233 25% 10% 114 +2.7 242/337/44119928323022%10%120+2.6
Nomar Mazara
2020 · MLB
25 50→51 54→55 46→40 47 257/315/438 181299 224 22% 7% 113 +2.6 245/307/386 141311 154 25% 7% 95 +1.4 238/306/35211330811025%8%85+0.3
Miguel Montero
2008 · MLB
25 47→57 52→55 39→40 49 242/304/405 163261 213 17% 7% 100 +1.7 259/325/425 166297 183 19% 8% 113 +2.6 273/358/43316032716020%10%120+2.6