Dalton Rushing — OGILVIE

Dalton RushingC Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 220 lbs MLB HR +15%K -3% Svc 0.802 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 2.7 · 2026

wRC+†vL 44150vR 122

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .293 / .400

PA250

HR11

K%31

BB%9

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

52→52

PWR

57→57

SPD

49→49

FLD

48↗50

EYE

51↗64

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.2peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.802 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.7	$22M	+$21M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$21M	+$20M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$21M	+$20M
2029	Arb-1	$5M	+2.4	$21M	+$16M
2030	Arb-2	$8M	+2.2	$20M	+$12M
2031	Arb-3	$10M	+2.0	$19M	+$8M
Totals		$25M		$123M	+$98M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	128	107	37	10	0	6	13	30	6	1	0	.346	.444	.607	1.052	.262	.425	23	10	.436	192	+13	+0	+0	+2	+4	2.0
2023	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	381	310	59	14	1	13	52	117	16	1	0	.190	.336	.368	.704	.177	.251	31	14	.310	95	-2	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.6
2024	23	AA	2 teams	503	442	96	17	1	22	43	138	15	2	3	.217	.308	.410	.718	.192	.260	27	9	.310	95	-3	-1	+0	+9	+14	2.0
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	304	270	63	11	1	8	26	99	3	1	0	.233	.308	.370	.678	.137	.327	33	9	.296	85	-5	+0	+2	+5	+9	1.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	35	31	13	2	0	7	2	8	2	0	0	.419	.486	1.161	1.647	.742	.375	23	6	.667	369	+11	+0	-1	+1	+1	1.2
ROS	25	MLB	LAD	215	191	43	7	0	12	18	65	4	2	0	.225	.305	.450	.755	.225	.270	30	8	.334	114	+3	+0	+2	+4	+6	1.6
TOT	25	MLB	LAD	250	222	56	9	0	19	20	73	6	2	0	.252	.331	.550	.880	.297	.282	29	8	.381	150	+14	+0	+1	+4	+7	2.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB	LAD	399	353	77	12	1	19	35	119	8	3	1	.218	.303	.419	.722	.201	.269	30	9	.323	105	+2	+0	+3	+7	+11	2.5
2028	27	MLB	LAD	408	361	80	13	1	19	36	120	8	3	1	.222	.306	.421	.727	.199	.271	29	9	.323	106	+3	+0	+3	+7	+12	2.5
2029	28	MLB	LAD	412	364	81	13	1	19	37	120	8	2	0	.223	.308	.420	.728	.198	.272	29	9	.322	105	+2	+0	+3	+7	+12	2.5
2030	29	MLB	LAD	406	359	79	13	1	18	37	119	7	1	0	.220	.305	.412	.717	.192	.272	29	9	.320	103	+1	+0	+2	+7	+12	2.3
2031	30	MLB	LAD	401	355	78	13	1	18	36	119	7	0	0	.220	.304	.414	.718	.194	.270	30	9	.317	101	+0	+0	+1	+7	+11	2.0
2032	31	MLB	LAD	374	330	72	12	1	16	34	112	7	0	0	.218	.305	.406	.711	.188	.269	30	9	.313	98	-1	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.7
2033	32	MLB	LAD	345	305	65	10	1	15	31	105	6	0	0	.213	.298	.400	.698	.187	.267	30	9	.309	94	-2	+0	-1	+6	+10	1.3
2034	33	MLB	LAD	307	272	57	9	1	13	27	96	5	0	0	.210	.293	.393	.686	.184	.265	31	9	.303	90	-3	+0	-2	+5	+9	0.9
2035	34	MLB	LAD	258	229	46	7	1	10	23	83	4	0	0	.201	.285	.371	.656	.170	.263	32	9	.296	85	-4	+0	-3	+5	+7	0.5
2036	35	MLB	LAD	205	182	36	6	0	8	18	68	3	0	0	.198	.281	.363	.643	.165	.261	33	9	.288	79	-5	+0	-4	+4	+6	0.1
2037	36	MLB	LAD	151	135	25	4	0	5	13	52	2	0	0	.185	.267	.326	.593	.141	.258	34	9	.279	72	-5	+0	-5	+3	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5197	4565	994	171	12	221	479	1562	109	16	5	.218	.307	.406	.713	.188	.275	30	9	.315	99	-5	+1	+0	+93	+147	24.2
/ 162G	—			650	571	125	21	2	28	60	195	14	2	1	.219	.309	.410	.718	.191	.276	30	9	.315	99	-1	+0	+0	+12	+18	3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	128	99	42	11	0	8	21	21	6	1	0	.424	.548	.778	1.325	.354	.472	16	16	.552	280	+26	+0	—	—	+4	3.1
2023	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	381	290	66	18	1	15	72	93	16	1	0	.228	.407	.452	.859	.224	.276	24	19	.386	153	+23	+0	—	—	+11	3.5
2024	23	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	169	139	38	6	0	9	26	34	3	2	1	.273	.399	.511	.910	.237	.299	20	15	.400	164	+12	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2024	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	334	281	76	15	1	17	38	69	12	0	2	.270	.380	.512	.892	.242	.299	21	11	.391	157	+22	-1	—	—	+9	3.1
2025	24	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	155	142	29	5	0	4	10	58	1	0	0	.204	.261	.324	.585	.120	.305	37	6	.262	58	-7	+0	+2	+5	+4	0.4
2025	24	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	149	118	37	7	1	5	26	32	2	1	0	.314	.445	.517	.962	.203	.381	21	17	.418	178	+13	+0	—	—	+4	1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			155	142	29	5	0	4	10	58	1	0	0	.204	.261	.324	.585	.120	.305	37	6	.262	58	-7	+0	+2	+5	+4	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dalton Rushing (OGILVIE)	25	52	57	49	64	.223/.306/.449	.226	.261	14	2	28%	9%	114	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Munson 2005 · MLB	27	41→43	59→60	47→40	51	.229/.303/.436	.207	.244	29	5	21%	9%	108	+2.3	.232/.295/.421	.189	.258	25	3	21%	7%	101	+1.8	.226/.290/.397	.171	.249	22	1	20%	7%	89	+0.5
●Will Smith 2021 · MLB	26	40→50	61→60	50→45	50	.225/.308/.446	.221	.260	30	5	27%	10%	112	+2.6	.250/.347/.451	.201	.275	25	4	19%	11%	129	+3.7	.249/.351/.438	.188	.273	23	3	18%	11%	123	+3.0
●Shea Langeliers 2023 · MLB	25	41→48	57→65	49→45	41	.225/.280/.419	.194	.284	27	5	31%	6%	94	+1.3	.227/.286/.438	.211	.271	29	6	28%	7%	102	+1.8	.254/.314/.505	.250	.279	37	6	24%	7%	126	+2.3
✕Jesús Sánchez 2023 · MLB	25	47→53	57→60	49→50	45	.247/.310/.445	.198	.304	25	5	27%	8%	113	+2.6	.245/.311/.423	.178	.306	21	10	26%	8%	107	+2.2	.242/.310/.410	.168	.298	19	13	25%	8%	100	+1.4
★Kyle Schwarber 2018 · MLB	25	43→48	63→70	43→45	53	.235/.330/.468	.232	.290	32	4	30%	12%	127	+3.6	.235/.336/.482	.247	.276	34	4	28%	13%	133	+4.0	.219/.352/.476	.257	.251	36	4	29%	16%	129	+4.4
✕MJ Melendez 2023 · MLB	24	40→47	59→60	41→50	53	.221/.306/.429	.207	.257	27	5	26%	11%	107	+2.2	.215/.291/.391	.176	.272	20	8	28%	9%	91	+1.1	.206/.275/.376	.170	.266	19	10	29%	8%	77	+0.1
●Gleyber Torres 2021 · MLB	24	50→54	59→60	46→50	51	.266/.336/.470	.205	.301	27	7	22%	9%	130	+3.8	.260/.328/.420	.160	.303	19	12	20%	9%	113	+2.6	.258/.343/.395	.138	.293	16	6	17%	11%	111	+2.7
●Pedro Álvarez 2014 · MLB	27	43→47	61→65	48→45	46	.236/.305/.451	.215	.294	30	3	30%	9%	112	+2.6	.242/.314/.463	.221	.289	31	6	27%	9%	119	+3.1	.241/.318/.461	.220	.280	31	5	26%	10%	110	+1.8
✕Wilin Rosario 2014 · MLB	25	48→55	58→60	42→45	39	.257/.289/.451	.194	.299	27	5	25%	4%	105	+2.1	.256/.292/.423	.167	.300	20	5	21%	5%	98	+1.6	.250/.283/.407	.157	.289	19	3	21%	4%	85	+0.5
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	40→41	57→60	45→50	45	.214/.295/.410	.196	.290	26	9	35%	10%	98	+1.6	.210/.300/.403	.193	.281	26	13	33%	11%	98	+1.6	.198/.296/.384	.186	.261	25	15	33%	11%	87	+0.7
●Jay Bruce 2013 · MLB	26	48→55	58→65	45→50	52	.253/.330/.465	.213	.296	26	8	24%	10%	126	+3.5	.243/.313/.442	.199	.296	24	9	25%	9%	113	+2.6	.243/.311/.484	.240	.266	31	5	22%	9%	115	+2.8
●Franmil Reyes 2020 · MLB	25	45→52	62→65	42→45	45	.247/.307/.467	.220	.300	32	2	29%	8%	118	+3.0	.249/.314/.464	.215	.316	30	3	30%	9%	119	+3.1	.238/.303/.434	.195	.313	27	3	32%	8%	104	+1.3
●William Contreras 2023 · MLB	25	48→58	55	49→45	48	.250/.320/.433	.183	.310	24	4	27%	9%	113	+2.6	.271/.351/.438	.167	.329	18	6	22%	11%	127	+3.6	.274/.362/.430	.156	.327	16	6	20%	12%	121	+3.4
✕Ian Stewart 2011 · MLB	26	45→52	56→60	47→45	50	.238/.323/.436	.198	.294	24	8	27%	10%	115	+2.8	.205/.287/.357	.152	.274	18	6	30%	10%	80	+0.4	.160/.246/.287	.127	.228	15	3	35%	9%	39	-1.1
✕Ike Davis 2013 · MLB	26	47→53	60	39→40	55	.251/.333/.468	.217	.286	28	3	23%	11%	128	+3.6	.230/.326/.410	.180	.273	21	3	23%	13%	110	+2.4	.221/.326/.370	.149	.266	16	2	22%	13%	95	+0.9
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2015 · MLB	24	48→53	57→60	42→45	43	.248/.308/.449	.201	.316	25	4	29%	7%	113	+2.6	.218/.279/.392	.174	.283	23	3	31%	7%	86	+0.8	.213/.292/.399	.186	.286	24	3	33%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Jerry Sands 2012 · MLB	24	44→46	57→60	48→45	46	.235/.298/.432	.197	.279	25	7	26%	8%	105	+2.1	.215/.281/.369	.154	.280	19	4	29%	8%	80	+0.4	.236/.302/.383	.147	.286	16	2	23%	8%	90	+0.6
●Jay Gibbons 2002 · MLB	25	45→54	62→60	43→30	50	.248/.313/.474	.226	.248	31	5	17%	7%	121	+3.2	.255/.316/.459	.204	.259	26	2	14%	8%	118	+3.0	.267/.319/.455	.187	.278	22	0	13%	7%	112	+2.2
✕Rowdy Tellez 2021 · MLB	26	47→50	57→60	41→45	46	.250/.310/.445	.195	.291	25	5	24%	7%	113	+2.6	.235/.307/.436	.201	.261	27	3	22%	9%	109	+2.4	.219/.297/.410	.192	.238	26	1	21%	9%	87	+0.7
✕Matt Mervis 2023 · AAA	25	43→47	57→60	50→45	43	.235/.292/.436	.202	.278	26	5	26%	6%	103	+1.9	.219/.289/.409	.190	.275	25	5	29%	8%	95	+1.4	.196/.272/.383	.187	.248	26	4	32%	8%	79	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)