Andrew Dutkanych IV
P
Palm Beach Cardinals
Age 23
RHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION20 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120110vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%23.6%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 9 | 18 | 77 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 100% | 2.0 | 26.3% | 20.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.08 | 5.96 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 9 | 18 | 77 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 100% | 2.0 | 32.5% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 2.6% | 4.08 | 3.61 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 9 | 6 | 20 | 93 | 29 | 20 | 2 | 67% | 2.2 | 23.2% | 22.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 7.65 | 4.04 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | STL | 2 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.2 | 23.6% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.6% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.43 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | STL | — | — | 28 | 129 | 37 | 24 | 3 | — | — | 29.1% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 2.4% | 6.69 | 4.16 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | STL | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.0 | 24.1% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | STL | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 24.1% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.3 | 24.1% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 70 | 23 | 100% | 5.6 | 24.1% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 18 | 15 | 38 | 170 | 42 | 37 | 4 | 83% | 2.1 | 24.6% | 21.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 5.97 | 4.91 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 96 | 80 | 200 | 903 | 222 | 195 | 19 | 83% | 2.1 | 24.6% | 21.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 5.97 | 4.91 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Dutkanych IV (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 23.6% | 10.0% | 3.1% | — | 4.30 | 24.1% | 14.7% | 20 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Jared Ruxer R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .333 | 4.68 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 240 | +0.52 | 3.38 | 270 | 77 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2029 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 76 |
| Drew Rasmussen R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.62 | 24.6% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .312 | 3.26 | 22.7% | 16.2% | 237 | -0.36 | 1.21 | 621 | 75 |
| River Ryan R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.58 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .321 | 3.86 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 134 | +0.28 | 2.13 | 218 | 75 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 74 |
| Michael Grove R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.46 | 24.3% | 9.5% | 4.0% | .409 | 5.62 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 176 | +1.16 | 3.54 | 377 | 74 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 73 |
| Ray Gaither R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 73 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2027 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 71 |
| Colin Fields R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 70 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 70 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2027 · 5.41 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.41 | 17.2% | 11.3% | 4.2% | .370 | 3.48 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 142 | -1.93 | 2.88 | 157 | 70 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 69 |
| Grant Judkins R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.40 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.85 | 16.4% | 5.4% | 150 | +0.45 | 5.40 | 322 | 69 |
| Mason McGwire R 2025 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.50 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 128 | 68 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 68 |
| Dane Acker R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.44 | 19.3% | 15.2% | 3.7% | .284 | 4.44 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 215 | -1.00 | 4.23 | 257 | 68 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 68 |
| Blake Rivera R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.38 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .432 | 4.33 | 20.4% | 4.5% | 92 | -0.05 | 3.78 | 179 | 67 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 67 |