Blake Whitney — OGILVIE

Blake Whitney P Tennessee Smokies

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.42

FIP4.42

K%23.0%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%14.4%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	9	9	31	132	37	17	1	100%	3.5	19.1%	16.1%	3.0%	1.1%	2.30	4.11	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 2	9	9	31	132	37	17	1	100%	3.5	28.0%	12.9%	15.2%	0.8%	2.30	2.78	—
2019	23	A MLE	South Bend Cubs	2	0	3	15	4	0	0	0%	1.5	26.7%	0.0%	26.7%	0.0%	6.00	0.85	—
2019	23	A RAW	South Bend Cubs	2	0	3	15	4	0	0	0%	1.5	26.7%	0.0%	26.7%	0.0%	6.00	0.43	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	2	46	207	67	21	11	7%	1.7	25.6%	12.1%	13.5%	6.8%	6.41	6.22	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	2	46	207	67	21	11	7%	1.7	32.4%	10.1%	22.2%	5.3%	6.41	4.65	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	69	293	74	23	9	0%	2.0	20.9%	8.4%	12.5%	3.5%	4.17	4.31	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	69	293	74	23	9	0%	2.0	25.3%	7.8%	17.4%	3.1%	4.17	3.65	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	70	301	81	28	6	0%	1.8	22.3%	9.5%	12.8%	1.9%	3.20	3.46	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	70	301	81	28	6	0%	1.8	22.3%	9.5%	12.8%	1.9%	3.20	3.46	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	70	301	81	28	6	0%	1.8	26.9%	9.3%	17.6%	2.0%	3.20	3.10	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	41	3	66	270	77	20	10	7%	1.6	23.1%	8.1%	15.0%	5.2%	3.14	5.04	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	41	3	66	270	77	20	10	7%	1.6	23.1%	8.1%	15.0%	5.2%	3.14	5.04	—
2024	28	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	41	3	66	270	77	20	10	7%	1.6	28.5%	7.4%	21.1%	3.7%	3.14	3.65	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	CHC	4	0	4	17	4	1	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	8.6%	14.4%	3.3%	4.42	4.42	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	CHC	40	0	42	178	40	16	6	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.0%	13.6%	3.5%	4.53	4.61	-0.0
2027	31	MLB CTX	CHC	12	0	13	55	12	5	2	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.0%	13.6%	3.5%	4.53	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	56	13	5	2	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.0%	13.6%	3.5%	4.53	4.23	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	197	76	30	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.0%	13.6%	3.5%	4.53	4.23	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		153	14	286	1218	273	121	46	9%	1.9	22.4%	10.0%	12.4%	3.7%	3.87	4.52	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	10	200	852	191	85	32	9%	1.9	22.4%	10.0%	12.4%	3.7%	3.87	4.52	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blake Whitney (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	23.0%	8.6%	3.3%	—	4.61	22.6%	13.6%	42	+0.19	—	—	—
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	83
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	82
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	82
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	82
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	81
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	212	79
Joakim Soria R 2015 · 3.70 FIP	31	SU	3.70	23.5%	6.6%	3.2%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.79	2.01	380	79
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	78
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	78
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	78
Rob Wooten R 2015 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	19.3%	5.5%	4.9%	.299	3.87	17.7%	14.4%	111	-0.99	3.19	191	78
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	77
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	77
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	77
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	77
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	77
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	76
Carlos Villanueva R 2015 · 3.62 FIP	31	SU	3.62	22.0%	7.6%	2.6%	.259	4.73	19.0%	15.9%	74	+1.11	3.62	135	76
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	75
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	44	22.8%	8.8%	1.30	4.47
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Félix Peña ('20)	1.2	62	23.6%	8.3%	1.37	4.46
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43