Caden Vire — OGILVIE

Caden Vire P Salem RidgeYaks

Age 22 LHP 6'6" / 170 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 6 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 131

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%22.5%

BB%14.9%

K-BB%7.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	3	1	3	15	2	4	1	33%	0.9	13.3%	26.7%	-13.3%	6.7%	3.38	9.01	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Gold	3	1	3	15	2	4	1	33%	0.9	13.3%	26.7%	-13.3%	6.7%	3.38	10.97	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	7	2	11	60	11	15	1	29%	1.6	12.5%	31.2%	-18.8%	2.0%	9.82	7.12	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Gold	7	2	11	60	11	15	1	29%	1.6	18.3%	25.0%	-6.7%	1.7%	9.82	6.37	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	7	0	10	56	12	11	3	0%	1.5	14.6%	24.6%	-10.0%	7.9%	12.19	9.32	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	7	0	10	56	12	11	3	0%	1.5	14.6%	24.6%	-10.0%	7.9%	12.19	9.32	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	7	0	10	56	12	11	3	0%	1.5	21.4%	19.6%	1.8%	5.4%	12.19	7.75	—
2025	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	5	0	4	25	7	10	1	0%	0.7	28.0%	40.0%	-12.0%	4.0%	19.64	8.00	—
2025	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	5	0	4	25	7	10	1	0%	0.7	28.0%	40.0%	-12.0%	4.0%	19.64	8.00	—
2025	21	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	5	0	4	25	7	10	1	0%	0.7	28.0%	40.0%	-12.0%	4.0%	19.64	11.01	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	13	1	15	81	20	25	1	8%	1.1	17.3%	38.3%	-21.0%	1.7%	11.66	7.42	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	13	1	15	81	20	25	1	8%	1.1	17.3%	38.3%	-21.0%	1.7%	11.66	7.42	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	BOS	1	1	1	4	2	0	0	100%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	9.00	-1.12	—
2026	22	A RAW	BOS	12	0	14	77	18	25	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	32.5%	-9.1%	1.3%	11.85	5.95	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BOS	19	0	20	84	20	11	3	0%	1.1	23.3%	13.0%	10.4%	3.0%	4.90	4.79	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	BOS	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	13.0%	10.4%	3.0%	4.90	4.79	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.1	23.3%	13.0%	10.4%	3.0%	4.90	4.41	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	102	20	0%	1.1	23.3%	13.0%	10.4%	3.0%	4.90	4.41	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		35	4	42	237	39	78	9	11%	1.2	16.3%	32.7%	-16.4%	3.8%	11.48	7.96	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		165	19	200	1120	183	366	43	11%	1.2	16.3%	32.7%	-16.4%	3.8%	11.48	7.96	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Caden Vire (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	22.5%	14.9%	3.0%	—	4.79	23.3%	10.4%	20	-0.34	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	87
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	83
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.01	223	82
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	81
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	81
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	81
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	81
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	80
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	80
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.27	22.8%	8.8%	171	+0.08	3.22	198	80
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	80
Ignacio Briceno L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.270	3.28	14.7%	3.5%	76	-1.26	2.39	156	79
Nick Jones L 2022 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	22.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.284	3.63	21.7%	12.0%	143	-0.58	1.32	201	79
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	79
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	79
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	78
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	78
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	77
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	77
Fraser Ellard L 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	19.2%	14.6%	1.7%	.367	3.64	23.1%	10.5%	141	-0.64	2.91	199	76