Bryce Cunningham
P
Hudson Valley Renegades
Age 23
RHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
K%20.5%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%10.9%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 12 | 11 | 54 | 220 | 55 | 19 | 4 | 92% | 4.5 | 19.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 2.82 | 4.06 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 12 | 11 | 54 | 220 | 55 | 19 | 4 | 92% | 4.5 | 25.0% | 8.6% | 16.4% | 1.8% | 2.82 | 3.08 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 11 | 9 | 47 | 203 | 46 | 27 | 7 | 82% | 4.3 | 17.4% | 15.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.21 | 5.93 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 62 | 260 | 53 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.56 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.62 | 4.62 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 109 | 463 | 99 | 52 | 15 | — | — | 21.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 5.15 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 20.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.62 | 4.24 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 58 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.7% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 60 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.30 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 61 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.7% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.28 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 60 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 5 | 5 | 27 | 114 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 21.7% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 40 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 49 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 22.7% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 52 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 30 | 30 | 174 | 736 | 165 | 66 | 22 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.5% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 3.99 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 76 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.5% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 23 | 20 | 101 | 423 | 78 | 53 | 14 | 87% | 4.4 | 18.4% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.46 | 4.96 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 39 | 200 | 835 | 153 | 104 | 28 | 87% | 4.4 | 18.4% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.46 | 4.96 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryce Cunningham (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.32 | 22.3% | 13.3% | 191 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| Pat Gallagher R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 90 |
| Cameron Foster R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 88 |
| Marcelo Perez R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.02 | 18.0% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 14.1% | 6.7% | 217 | +0.97 | 4.02 | 285 | 88 |
| Chad Patrick R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 87 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 87 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 86 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.94 | 20.2% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .269 | 4.98 | 17.4% | 3.3% | 197 | +0.04 | 4.60 | 529 | 85 |
| Ricky Castro R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 85 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 85 |
| Nick Dean R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.00 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 2.5% | .275 | 3.50 | 21.7% | 14.6% | 111 | -0.50 | 2.73 | 202 | 85 |
| Bryce Jarvis R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.78 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 3.8% | .276 | 5.00 | 18.0% | 6.0% | 296 | +0.22 | 4.22 | 513 | 85 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.87 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.37 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 143 | +0.50 | 3.87 | 247 | 84 |
| Tyler Skulina R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 18.3% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .242 | 5.24 | 13.0% | -1.0% | 147 | +0.78 | 4.46 | 222 | 84 |
| Trent Palmer R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .284 | 4.83 | 12.8% | -9.4% | 22 | -0.02 | 3.51 | 140 | 84 |
| Zack Lee R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.41 | 19.2% | 7.0% | 1.9% | .293 | 5.18 | 14.7% | 5.9% | 130 | +1.77 | 3.41 | 213 | 84 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.63 | 21.8% | 10.4% | 1.9% | .261 | 4.10 | 24.1% | 14.3% | 117 | +0.47 | 3.63 | 209 | 84 |
| Mitch Spence R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.12 | 20.3% | 9.5% | 2.8% | .314 | 4.50 | 19.2% | 11.6% | 445 | +0.38 | 4.09 | 738 | 83 |
| Michael Ross R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.05 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .275 | 5.83 | 12.5% | 3.6% | 64 | +0.78 | 5.05 | 146 | 83 |
| Luke Russo R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.67 | 21.7% | 11.1% | 1.8% | .326 | 4.43 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 112 | +0.76 | 3.67 | 213 | 83 |
| Kenten Egbert R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.6% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .257 | 4.28 | 11.0% | 3.6% | 131 | -0.16 | 3.95 | 229 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 63 | 22.0% | 9.1% | 1.12 | 4.40 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |