Ian Mejia
P
Columbus Clingstones
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.9 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 88 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.79
FIP4.79
K%16.5%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%7.2%
ROS IP88
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 128 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 6 | 6 | 17 | 70 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 2.8 | 18.6% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 1.4% | 3.78 | 3.22 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 6 | 6 | 17 | 70 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 2.8 | 18.6% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 1.4% | 3.78 | 3.22 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Rome Braves | 23 | 23 | 121 | 504 | 110 | 28 | 16 | 100% | 5.3 | 16.8% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 4.69 | 4.58 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Rome Braves | 23 | 23 | 121 | 504 | 110 | 28 | 16 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.8% | 5.6% | 16.3% | 3.2% | 4.69 | 3.70 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 126 | 544 | 124 | 59 | 11 | 96% | 5.0 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 3.80 | 4.36 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 126 | 544 | 124 | 59 | 11 | 96% | 5.0 | 22.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 2.0% | 3.80 | 3.67 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 18 | 131 | 525 | 109 | 41 | 10 | 72% | 5.3 | 17.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 2.67 | 4.04 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 18 | 131 | 525 | 109 | 41 | 10 | 72% | 5.3 | 20.8% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 1.9% | 2.67 | 3.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | 17 | 7 | 40 | 194 | 34 | 22 | 13 | 41% | 2.4 | 12.1% | 12.0% | 0.1% | 9.0% | 8.32 | 8.52 | -1.9 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | ATL | 84 | 0 | 88 | 372 | 61 | 35 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 4.79 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | ATL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 128 | 566 | 95 | 57 | 23 | — | — | 16.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.89 | 5.96 | -0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 16.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 87 | 366 | 62 | 34 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.77 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 84 | 356 | 62 | 33 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 4.77 | 4.82 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 8 | 8 | 50 | 211 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 4.77 | 4.82 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 15 | 14 | 85 | 357 | 61 | 33 | 10 | 93% | 5.6 | 17.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.42 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 144 | 78 | 24 | 89% | 5.5 | 17.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.42 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 96 | 78 | 435 | 1837 | 313 | 166 | 64 | 81% | 4.5 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 4.12 | 4.72 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 36 | 200 | 845 | 144 | 76 | 30 | 81% | 4.5 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 4.12 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ian Mejia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.79 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 171 | +0.00 | — | — | — |
| Hector Noesí R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 86 |
| Forrest Snow R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 86 |
| Braydon Tucker R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.80 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 1.4% | .268 | 4.76 | 16.8% | 6.5% | 78 | +0.96 | 3.24 | 289 | 84 |
| Luke Irvine R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 104 | 84 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 84 |
| Frank Batista R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.33 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 118 | 84 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 83 |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.73 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.97 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.76 | 3.16 | 308 | 83 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.25 | 14.4% | 9.5% | 4.0% | .344 | 5.06 | 12.9% | 4.7% | 173 | -0.19 | 4.25 | 412 | 83 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .287 | 4.90 | 20.9% | 2.1% | 72 | +0.46 | 4.44 | 200 | 83 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 81 |
| Allen Webster R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.50 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.51 | 4.43 | 177 | 81 |
| Tyler Cravy R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.08 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 2.3% | .305 | 4.72 | 18.6% | 7.8% | 138 | +0.64 | 4.01 | 276 | 81 |
| Nestor Molina R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 80 |
| David Phelps R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.94 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | .299 | 2.83 | 29.9% | 20.6% | 142 | -1.11 | 2.51 | 373 | 80 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 80 |
| Brannon Easterling R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.25 | 12.7% | 8.2% | 2.1% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 334 | 80 |
| Mike Augliera R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 114 | 80 |
| Braden Olthoff R 2023 · 4.57 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.57 | 12.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 108 | 80 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.78 | 14.6% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .277 | 4.85 | 14.9% | 5.0% | 55 | +1.07 | 3.78 | 254 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 1.11 | 4.77 |
| Daniel Mengden ('19) | 4 | 73 | 17.3% | 7.7% | 1.24 | 4.68 |
| Matt Manning ('24) | 4 | 64 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 1.06 | 4.43 |
| Jeff Locke ('17) | 3 | 109 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 0.99 | 5.22 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Doug Fister ('18) | 4 | 110 | 15.8% | 7.5% | 1.19 | 4.56 |