Josh Bostick

P Eugene Emeralds

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 226 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.9 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP41ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	ASF	26	23	107	4.78	3.41	26.0%	9.5%	—	K 19.3% · BB 11.2% · FIP 4.65
2025	23	A+SF	24	23	119	3.71	4.04	28.2%	7.9%	—	K 21.7% · BB 9.1% · FIP 5.40
2027PROJ	25	MLBSF	24	24	139	4.76	4.76	22.3%	10.1%	0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBSF	10	10	60	4.55	4.54	22.5%	9.8%	0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBSF	14	14	86	4.54	4.55	22.4%	9.8%	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff53Control52Command42FB velo55

CompsRiley Gowens (age 24) · Rorik Maltrud (age 24) · Alex Pham (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%22.3%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%12.1%

Proj IP139

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 139 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5055

CTRL5050

CMD3540

K†5555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	4	2	5	21	7	2	0	50%	1.2	33.3%	9.5%	23.8%	0.0%	3.86	1.49	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Orange	4	2	5	21	7	2	0	50%	1.2	33.3%	9.5%	23.8%	0.0%	3.86	1.39	—
2024	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	26	23	107	465	121	44	11	88%	4.1	19.3%	11.2%	8.1%	3.2%	4.78	4.65	—
2024	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	26	23	107	465	121	44	11	88%	4.1	19.3%	11.2%	8.1%	3.2%	4.78	4.65	—
2024	22	A RAW	San Jose Giants	26	23	107	465	121	44	11	88%	4.1	26.0%	9.5%	16.6%	2.4%	4.78	3.41	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	24	23	119	493	139	39	21	96%	5.0	21.7%	9.1%	12.6%	5.4%	3.71	5.40	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	24	23	119	493	139	39	21	96%	5.0	21.7%	9.1%	12.6%	5.4%	3.71	5.40	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	24	23	119	493	139	39	21	96%	5.0	28.2%	7.9%	20.3%	4.3%	3.71	4.04	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	SF	24	24	139	587	131	59	20	100%	5.8	22.3%	10.1%	12.1%	3.4%	4.76	4.76	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SF	23	23	139	587	132	58	20	100%	6.0	22.5%	9.8%	12.6%	3.4%	4.69	4.68	+0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	SF	23	23	137	578	130	56	20	100%	6.0	22.4%	9.8%	12.7%	3.4%	4.68	4.69	+0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	SF	22	22	133	561	125	55	19	100%	6.0	22.3%	9.8%	12.5%	3.5%	4.71	4.75	+0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	SF	21	21	127	535	118	53	19	100%	6.0	22.0%	10.0%	12.0%	3.6%	4.80	4.87	+0.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	SF	20	20	119	503	109	52	19	100%	6.0	21.7%	10.3%	11.4%	3.8%	4.95	5.05	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	SF	10	10	60	253	57	25	8	100%	6.0	22.5%	9.8%	12.6%	3.1%	4.55	4.54	+0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	SF	14	14	86	363	81	35	11	100%	6.1	22.4%	9.8%	12.7%	3.1%	4.54	4.55	+0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	SF	17	17	100	422	94	41	14	100%	5.9	22.3%	9.8%	12.5%	3.2%	4.57	4.61	+0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	SF	17	17	103	435	96	43	15	100%	6.1	22.0%	10.0%	12.0%	3.3%	4.65	4.72	+0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	SF	17	17	102	431	93	44	15	100%	6.0	21.7%	10.3%	11.4%	3.5%	4.79	4.89	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		75	75	451	1905	422	190	63	100%	6.0	22.1%	10.0%	12.2%	3.3%	4.63	4.30	+3.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	187	84	28	100%	6.0	22.1%	10.0%	12.2%	3.3%	4.63	4.30	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		54	48	231	979	204	99	42	89%	4.3	20.8%	10.1%	10.7%	4.3%	4.21	4.96	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		47	42	200	848	176	86	36	89%	4.3	20.8%	10.1%	10.7%	4.3%	4.21	4.96	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Bostick (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	22.3%	10.1%	3.4%	—	4.71	22.4%	12.6%	409	-0.05	—	—	—
Riley Gowens R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP	4.55	22.6%	10.3%	3.7%	.279	4.37	21.3%	12.1%	173	-0.18	4.30	295	87
Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 3.91 FIP	24	SP-	3.91	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.40	18.6%	9.4%	193	+0.49	3.91	298	84
Alex Pham R 2024 · 4.09 FIP	24	SP	4.09	22.6%	11.1%	2.7%	.284	3.85	23.2%	11.3%	100	-0.24	3.73	352	82
Isaac Coffey R 2024 · 3.67 FIP	24	SP	3.67	24.3%	11.4%	2.1%	.280	5.77	18.5%	6.9%	56	+2.10	3.67	287	82
Austin Love R 2022 · 4.34 FIP	23	SP	4.34	20.6%	10.6%	3.0%	.358	3.58	22.1%	9.7%	56	-0.76	3.58	240	82
Roman Angelo R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP	3.99	22.6%	11.4%	2.5%	.291	5.72	18.6%	5.2%	169	+1.73	3.99	290	82
Mike Clevinger R 2016 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	22.1%	10.7%	2.6%	.290	3.19	28.1%	19.0%	482	-0.83	2.28	1,236	82
Mason Black R 2024 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP	4.73	19.7%	9.3%	3.9%	.304	5.29	17.0%	7.1%	213	+0.56	3.95	569	81
Jack Wenninger R 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP-	4.33	20.9%	9.3%	3.3%	.309	4.29	21.1%	11.1%	251	-0.04	3.90	366	81
Trevor Martin R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	23	SP	4.21	20.6%	8.1%	3.3%	.296	4.16	19.9%	9.6%	121	-0.05	3.94	353	81
Nolan McLean R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	23	SP	4.40	20.0%	10.1%	3.1%	.292	3.26	25.6%	16.0%	341	-1.14	3.17	451	81
Nic Swanson R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	25	SP	4.91	19.3%	11.8%	3.5%	.286	5.43	19.9%	6.5%	132	+0.52	4.29	438	81
Félix Peña R 2015 · 3.73 FIP	25	SP	3.73	21.0%	9.8%	2.1%	.296	3.83	24.0%	15.6%	263	+0.10	2.79	615	81
Justin Armbruester R 2024 · 5.73 FIP	25	SP	5.73	20.2%	11.1%	5.3%	.289	1.49	27.5%	21.9%	15	-4.24	1.49	373	80
Luke Russo R 2024 · 3.74 FIP	23	SP	3.74	21.7%	11.1%	1.9%	.326	5.00	19.6%	8.8%	159	+1.26	3.74	260	80
Brian Edgington R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	25	SP	3.99	19.5%	6.5%	3.1%	.321	5.28	19.3%	7.0%	58	+1.29	3.99	171	80
Will Warren R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	25	SP	4.26	24.5%	7.6%	4.1%	.344	3.77	23.7%	15.2%	318	-0.49	3.72	709	79
Jaime Schultz R 2016 · 3.67 FIP	25	SP	3.67	25.9%	12.9%	2.1%	.326	3.88	28.2%	15.6%	126	+0.21	2.19	391	79
Patrick Reilly R 2024 · 4.96 FIP	22	SP	4.96	23.2%	13.6%	3.8%	.242	5.00	27.8%	20.2%	40	+0.04	4.96	159	79
Brady Feigl R 2021 · 5.26 FIP	25	SP	5.26	19.4%	9.6%	4.7%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	257	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.0	132	22.2%	10.0%	1.36	4.76
Jack Bentley ('13-'27, 5 WAR*)	3.6	143	21.1%*	9.8%*	1.35*	4.67*
Ken Kravec ('75-'82, 5 WAR*)	4.3	123	23.6%*	10.7%*	1.11*	4.73*
Bill Stoneman ('67-'74, 7 WAR*)	6.2	155	22.8%*	11.1%*	1.25*	4.75*
John Maine ('13)	3.0	99	19.5%	10.5%	1.23	4.45
Kevin Foster ('01)	2.5	127	18.9%	10.0%	1.55	4.86
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	106	20.5%	9.7%	1.30	4.61